forget about trying to use thier very complicated power ratings formula , home field edge , strenght of schedule , yards used per play that result in points and then adjust for public perception
that **** will take you hours per game to figure out
wanna try it out go here
How to Create Your Own NFL Power Rankings
How to Create Your Own NFL Power Rankings | eHow.com http://www.ehow.com/how_5951410_create-own-nfl-power-rankings.html#ixzz2ExAk7AsI
then go figure out how to create point spreads from those numbers
lost the damn site grrrrrrrrrrrrrrr
so i do how many points scored by each vs how many points they give up
then subtract lower number from higher number after dividing by how many games each team has played
then i put in point spreads and see differnce from the pickem result i have
this tilt by far using to's defense and offense is no brainer it's bengals game to win or lose
however the Eagles are playing loose have nothing to lose tonight and That's a dangerous team
NOW we look at teams schedules are the Bengals looking ahead ?
YOU betcha they are they have two div rivals to play the Steelers and ravens and are looking to avenge early season losses to both teams
Which Bengals can do because Both teams are limping around now full of injuries
However Bengals have history of NOT looking ahead to steelers games if you check thier past years results Bengals win and cover before playing steelers
Turnovers I know i know eagles are horrible in this statistical catergory
- 17 turnovers on the year
Bengals are at 0 they take and give away 20
line movemnt key factor in all games
most times the reg bettors that have no clue move spreads and the sharps and wiseguys move in for the kill
however no one knows who or when the big boys are dropping10 g's on side
and btw their is way more $50 - $100 bettors than thier is the 10 thou type
raises hand i do not say like others do at other forums i'm dropping 10 dimes on this game it's a lock etc...
i dont have that kind of money neither do any of you so as they say in NEW Yawk
forgeddabouttit
Lets look at opening line and movement
ok an across the board move of 1 point at all Vegas houses from -3 1/2 to 4 1/2
now the sports books
five dimes and others - 4 1/2 bovada -5
as always the old bo dog lines higher than others but we know they became a bad book and we disreagard thier lines
however the top book of all Pinny can tip you off so lets see what they doing
hmmmmmmm only -4 at pinnacle
so it seems so far Cincy money came pouring in; well of course dummy that's obvious (said to self)
I think cincy will bounce back from that cowboys loss and just do what they do best beat a bad losing football team at home
rest assured that HE did not copy and paste as their (thier) are way too many misspelled words, we need to give odds as to when this person is gone like yesterday
Anyway give this beech props i went with my gut and won $50 was little concerned at 1/2 time but dem turnover boids blew up again and da cats from cincy had a big boid for late night snack