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markinc7
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2008
Posts: 2877

Fyi / Ncaa

PlaybooK

"Interestingly, since 1980, college
football teams that have yet to taste
defeat after Game Four of the regular
season are a money-burning 877-900-
36 ATS (49.3%). When favored on
the road against winning teams, they
dip even further to 129-162-4 ATS, or
44.3%. Better yet, take them on the
road in this role off a convincing doubledigit ATS win (10 or more points) and
they plummet to 36-63-3 ATS. That’s a
rather disgusting 35.3% ATS level, or a
real kick in the rear end to most bank
rolls.
All of which sets the patient up for this
final examination –

PLAY AGAINST any
undefeated college football
road favorite off a DD ATS
win from Game Five out
versus a winning opponent
off a win.

As you might expect, our dear old friend
is about to expire, as teams in this
role are just 18-49-3 ATS, covering the
spread just 26.8% of the time. Bring the
foe in off a SU and ATS win and they
call for timeout at 9-32-3 ATS! And if the
foe owns a win percentage of .750 or
greater, these fat road cats fall to 3-25-
3 ATS, winning only 12 of the 31 of
the games straight up! This week fi nds
Kansas State taking to the road ready to
get their you-know-what kicked at Iowa
State."




"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not."
Thomas Jefferson

"No problem can be solved from the same level of consciousness that created it."
Albert Einstein

Old Post 10-11-12 01:52 PM
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gregcrtwrght


Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 496

Iowa St

TxTech made them look stupid at home two games ago. Then, they go to a quarterback-less TCU and win on the road in a good situation for them. K State trounces their in-state rival after looking bad early, and they have big game coming up with W VA that will be primetime if both undefeated. W VA has no easy task this week also at TxTech. Very possible letdown spot for KSU. Right now my book has them at -6.5. Bill Snyder can out-coach a lot of Big 12 coaches and Klein is a gamer. Will they beat ISU, I think so. Will they cover? Ames is tough place to play. Weather is iffy with strong thunderstorms possible, so delays or anything might happen. It all adds up for a ISU cover IMO. If KSU wins this game, they could run the table up to a season end game vs Texas and play for BSC Champ if they beat them.

Old Post 10-11-12 04:30 PM
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