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playtowin
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Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 8329

N.Eng-Balt Champ game***1-20-13

Seies: N.Eng 7-2 SU / 6-3 ATS / 5-4 O/U...Tied 1-1 in playoffs
N.Eng won 2 of last 3 meeting
vs Playoff teams: Balt 4-4 / N.Eng 4-3
Playoff Record: Balt 12-7 / N.Eng 24-16
N.Eng is 6-1 SU vs Balt in regular season & 4-0 at home all time.
........................................................................................................
Favorites in Conf Champ games have covered 57% since 1978
Prior Champ games only 1 other team has been this big a fav.
The adjustment between their last game & this game is over
10 points.
Teams that score 40+ pts are in playoffs are 3-20 ATS next week
N.Eng has covered only 2 of last 10 playoff games
Brady 97% QB rating vs league & 83% rating vs Balt
Brady 59% comp rate vs Balt
Brady 5-2 SU vs Balt
N.Eng is 7-1 SU all time home in Conf Champ game
N.Eng as HF 9 or more pts is 2-8 ATS
Bellichick in Conf Champ game is 5-1 SU & 3-3 ATS, he has been
favored by 7 + pts in two of them losing ATS both times,
including last yr a 23-20 win vs Balt
N.Eng last 3 home games vs Balt they averaged just 20 ppg
........................................................................................................
In a rematch of AFC Title game in consecutive years, the team
that won the first meeting also won the second, i believe this
has happened twice in 1986-1987 with Den & Clev , Den won
both games one at home & one at Clev.
The other was Pit vs Hou, Pit won both games, but they were both played in Pit, like the game today with Balt playing the
second time at pit.
.........................................................................................................
Teams who played a Wild Card game are 11-13 SU & 14-10 ATS,
including 5-0 ATS vs opp that scored more than 35 pts in Div
round ( N.Eng scored 41 pts.
Flacco has most playoff wins in SB era at seven.
# 4 seeds ( Balt ) are 6-1 in Conf Champ games since 1990.
Last 118 NFL playoff games are 59 over & 59 under

Old Post 01-20-13 08:32 PM
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playtowin
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Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 8329

ADDING

Playoff Game Trends
Play over any playoff game if the HF went over by at least 10 pts
21-13-1 ATS Since 1999.....S.F @ Atl & Balt @ N.Eng
.........................................................................................................
Play on any road playoff team that won on the road last week
21-12 ATS Since 2005 ( Balt )
.........................................................................................................
Play on any playoff dog off 2 SU wins 56-39-1 ATS Since 1999
( Balt )
........................................................................................................
In playoff rematches of non-division regular season, play on team
that lost regular season meeting SU. 27-14 ATS Since 2002
play on N.Eng )

Old Post 01-20-13 11:57 PM
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