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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

League of Legends Wagers

Highlights
The North American league is now in Week 2 of the new split.
Betting lines haven’t adjusted to the changing strengths of teams.
The new patch continues to cause chaos, and many teams are experiments with unconventional compositions.
Week 1 is in the books for every region, and the evolution of this new metagame continues to shake up the League of Legends landscape. Some teams have embraced surprising new compositions while other teams are still hoping for success with a classic style. The market still hasn’t adjusted to the current meta, so many betting lines this week are exploitable.

All lines are from Bovada.

KPW Leaders
Golden Guardians: 20
Echo Fox: 18
Team Liquid: 17
DPL Leaders
Team Liquid: 20
Clutch Gaming: 18
FlyQuest: 16.5
Bets
CLG vs. Team Liquid: Saturday 6/23 at 5 p.m. ET
CLG: +140
Liquid: -175
Bet: CLG +140
Liquid doesn’t have an identity in the new meta, looking completely different in two matches so far. CLG on the other hand has been extremely consistent even with a loss. CLG thrives in this kind of meta, and Huhi is the perfect mid-laner to have right now, especially against a team reliant on its attack damage carry.

FlyQuest vs. OpTic Gaming: Sunday 6/24 at 3 p.m. ET
FlyQuest: -125
OpTic: +100
Bet: FlyQuest -125
As a FlyQuest fanboy (I actually own a FlyQuest jersey, as does my wife), I expected more from them this meta, although they were cheated a bit by a tough schedule in Week 1. Neither of team has looked good, but I expect FlyQuest to come out and destroy a fellow bottom-of-the-table team. Wildturtle in the bottom lane has an unbelievably diverse champion pool that plays well in this meta, and he should finally get to showcase that on Sunday.

Team Liquid vs. TSM: Sunday 6/24 at 7 p.m. ET
Team Liquid: +105
TSM: -130
Bet: TSM -130
Like CLG, TSM has looked fantastic in this patch, and Bjergsen is right up there with Huhi as a mid-laner who benefits from this meta. I believe TSM is significantly better than CLG, and if I’m picking CLG against Liquid you can be sure I like TSM in this matchup.

CLG vs. Clutch Gaming: Sunday 6/24 at 8 p.m. ET
CLG: -110
Clutch: -115
Bet: CLG: -110
Clutch is probably the team that was most hurt by this meta, which has drastically changed their style. They were the least bloody team in the league last year, but so far this season they have a top-three DPL rate. CLG shouldn’t struggle with this squad, and the -110 moneyline odds offer amazing value in this situation.

Old Post 06-24-18 03:00 AM
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HoustonFan
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Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

What is this?




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 06-24-18 01:13 PM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

esports (gaming) it's building a rather large wager market, not much to cap, always looking for other avenues to share
GL

Old Post 06-24-18 01:28 PM
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HoustonFan
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Registered: Jan 2006
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I thought it was gaming. Thanks, interesting.




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 06-24-18 01:39 PM
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msudogs
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Highlights
The Chinese and Korean leagues are in Week 3 of the new split.
Teams are still adjusting to the new metagame.
Betting lines are still heavily influenced by last season’s hierarchy, which has little bearing in this meta.
It’s Week 3 of the summer split, and the story of this new season continues to be the new metagame and how teams are adapting to it. Some teams are sticking with the new mage-and-bruiser bottom lanes while others have gone back to traditional attack damage carry (ADC) compositions. In the LCK, we’ve seen the most bottom-lane innovation and experimentation so far.

China LPL
KPW Leaders
PSG.LGD: 19.0
JD Gaming: 18.7
Vici Gaming: 17.7
DPL Laggards
Royal Never Give Up: 21.0
JD Gaming: 18.2
Vici Gaming: 17.8
Bets
Invictus Gaming vs. Royal Never Give Up: Saturday 6/30 at 7:00 a.m. ET
Invictus: -115
RNG: -110
Bet: Invictus -115
These are the two best teams in China, and we should see a great match no matter the outcome, but Invictus has a larger edge than the one implied by these odds. They were probably the most dominant team in the world last season up until a collapse against RNG in the semifinals, when their backup top-laner was forced to play. Starting top-laner TheShy is tentatively expected to return for this revenge game, and he’ll be the difference.

Old Post 06-30-18 12:28 AM
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msudogs
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OMG vs FunPlus Phoenix: Sunday 7/1 at 2:00 a.m. ET
OMG: +110
Phoenix: -135
Bet: OMG +110
These lines are heavily based on last year’s results, which no longer seem predictive. I came into this split thinking it was Phoenix’s time to break out, but the offseason loss of their jungler has affected them in unexpected ways. They’ve looked lost, managing to win only four games. OMG, however, has improved this season. They’re still not great, but the versatility of Chelly in the bottom lane gives them a valuable edge in champ select.

EDward Gaming vs. Rogue Warriors: Sunday 7/1 at 7:00 a.m. ET
Rogue Warriors: -110
EDG: -115
Bet: Rogue Warriors -110
Once again, these lines are heavily influenced by last season. Rogue Warriors are on an absolute rampage right now at 8-0. EDG has looked acceptable at 6-3, but they are still trying to figure out this meta: Their drafts have been erratic, and they’ve frequently misused iBoy in the bottom lane. Later in the season EDG could stand up to Rogue Warriors, but right now they are two teams in different phases of understanding the meta.

Old Post 06-30-18 12:29 AM
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msudogs
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Korean LCK
KPW Leaders
Team MVP: 15.3
Afreeca Freecs: 15.2
Griffin: 14.4
DPL Laggards
KINGZONE DragonX: 17.6
KT Rolster: 16.0
SK Telecom T1: 15.3
Bet
Afreeca Freecs vs. Gen.G: Sunday 7/1 at 4:00 a.m. ET
Afreeca: -140
Gen.G: +110
Bet: Gen.G +110
Both of these teams have looked like above-average units so far, but that’s not what was expected of them when the split started. Everyone expected Afreeca to ride the wave of last season’s finals appearance, but they’ve lost their last two matches, one of which was to the mediocre Hanwha Life Esports. Meanwhile Gen.G, which was expected to be a bottom-of-the-table team (especially in this meta), is a strong 5-1, with their only loss coming to the volatile KT Rolster. These two teams are closely matched, and if the odds were reversed I’d probably take Afreeca. As it is, I like the positive odds on Gen.G.

Old Post 06-30-18 12:30 AM
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msudogs
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“Why Should I Care?”
You already play the basketball, baseball, and football slates with a bit of NASCAR and MMA mixed in. Why should you bother learning another game? Here’s why.

eSports is, by far, the softest DFS sport available and has the most exploitable lines for betting. Most sportsbooks are not nearly as accurate and precise with eSports as they are with other sports. In general, there’s not a wealth of eSports data and projection-creating experts for sportsbooks to rely on.
eSports is the fastest growing form of entertainment there is. Traditional sports have higher viewership for the moment, but if you look at percentage increases then eSports dominates the field. Back in the day, when people threw the pigskin around at the local park, that was traditional sports, but now it’s more traditional for people to play video games with their friends. Within 15 years, eSports could be as popular as the major sports. In places like China and Korea it’s on national television and the teams even have home stadiums.

Old Post 06-30-18 12:32 AM
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