The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Tottenham vs. Liverpool betting: Past meetings
Despite Tottenham coming above Liverpool in the last two Premier League campaigns, they have failed to beat them in the last six meetings, losing three.
Spurs’ home form is a cause for concern also. Before their win against Bournemouth last time out, Pochettino’s men hadn’t won at home in the league.
In fact, all of Harry Kane’s six goals this season have come away from their temporary home. Struggling at a new home is no new trend, with West Ham United showing recently how difficult it is to maintain performance in new surroundings.
Meanwhile, Liverpool’s record on the road has also been a problem for Jurgen Klopp’s men. Despite criticism of their defence, Liverpool have only conceded once at Anfield. However, their defensive record away is less impressive.
In just four games away from Anfield Liverpool have conceded 11 goals, including conceding more than two on two occasions. It should be noted however that their 5-0 loss to Manchester City with ten men put a large dent in Liverpool’s goal difference.
Tottenham vs. Liverpool: Exploited goalkeepers
Both sides have a proven record of creating and scoring chances at a substantial rate. Therefore, the defences may be the separating factor in Sunday’s clash.
Tottenham have conceded just five goals in eight league games this season: only the two Manchester clubs have a better record.
Meanwhile, Liverpool have conceded a worrying 12 goals in just eight games, and before their most recent clash with Manchester United had failed to keep a clean sheet in their last four. Couple this with their 42 goals conceded last season (the worst record in the top four) and the signs look worrying for Liverpool.
Their difficulties at the back have left goalkeeper Simon Mignolet exploited, averaging 2.29 saves per game. In comparison, Hugo Lloris has only averaged 1.13 saves per game, as Tottenham’s defence has kept the shots he has faced down to a minimum.
Whilst Hugo Lloris has a substantially stronger defence in front of him than Liverpool stopper Mignolet, there is still a clear difference between the two.
On average, Mignolet is only stopping 1.33 shots per goal he concedes. Whereas, Hugo Lloris is averaging 1.8 saves per game. Therefore, not only is Liverpool conceding fewer shots on their goal, but Mignolet is having difficulties with handling the shots faced.
Tottenham vs. Liverpool odds: Where is the value?
Whilst Tottenham have struggled at home, they are more in-form than Liverpool who have won just one of their last five. If Tottenham can exploit Liverpool’s defensive frailties, then -0.5 handicap odds of 2.120* could offer value.
Two of Liverpool’s three games against one of last season’s top six had over three goals. If both teams can utilise their attacking prowess, and Harry Kane can break his Wembley woes, then Over 3 goals odds could be a smart bet.
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10-22-17 01:31 PM |
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