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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Hilltoppers best-kept betting secret in college football?

The Western Kentucky Hilltoppers are tied as the second-most profitable team in FBS college football. They covered in their first five games this season and each of their final nine games last season and they put the incredible 14-game money streak on the line Thursday against the Troy Trojans.

So, are they the best-kept betting secret in college football?

“From a value perspective, unfortunately, I think the ship has already sailed when it comes to the Hilltoppers,” cautions Covers Expert Sean Murphy. “They were an under-the-radar team early this season, but upset road wins against Kentucky and Arkansas State have brought them some attention, and now we find them favored away from home for just the second time in program history at the FBS level. Troy is coming off a miserable 2011 campaign, but looks to be on its way back up here in 2012. All things considered, this is a tough spot to lay points with WKU against a proven Sun Belt performer.”

But not all of the Covers Experts share the same opinion. Ted Sevransky says the smart money is pouring in on Troy this week and he wouldn’t be “completely shocked if the Hilltoppers go off.” Most books opened WKU as 2.5-point road favorites, but that number has now been bet down to just a single point.

Here are five things bettors should know about the Hilltoppers heading into their Week 7 tilt with the Troy Trojans:

Western Kentucky Hilltoppers at Troy Trojans (1, 54)

1. WKU picked up its first-ever victory over Troy last season, closing out the 2011 campaign with a 41-18 win over the Trojans in Bowling Green. The Hilltoppers will now look for their first win on Troy's home field, as the Trojans have won four of the five previous meetings on their home field, with the other contest resulting in a tie. Troy leads the all-time series 8-1-1.

2. Hilltoppers QB Kawaun Jakes will wear a left knee brace for Thursday's game. Jakes was hurt in WKU’s 26-13 victory at Arkansas State on Sept. 29 and was sidelined in the second half. The results from an MRI last week were negative but Jakes has been limited to mostly individual drills in practice this week.

3. The Hilltoppers have won eight consecutive Sun Belt Conference games dating back to last season. That is the longest active conference-game winning streak in the Sun Belt and the third-longest active run in the nation.

4. WKU is 11-2 in its last 13 games, with the only two losses coming at the hands of the No. 1-ranked teams - LSU last season and Alabama earlier in 2012.

5. WKU junior RB Antonio Andrews established a new career high for rushing yards for the third consecutive week as he ran for 215 yards on 29 carries at Arkansas State.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:16 AM
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CNOTES
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Posts: 10543

Thursday, October 11

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Western Kentucky - 7:30 PM ET Western Kentucky -1.5 500
Troy - Under 55 500

Texas El Paso - 8:00 PM ET Tulsa -17 500
Tulsa - Over 59.5 500

Arizona State - 9:00 PM ET Colorado +22 500
Colorado - Over 57 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-12-12 01:18 AM
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Navy Under Friday Night Lights At Central Michigan

A pair of 2-3 college football teams might not sound like an exciting matchup, and it seems an unlikely one to get prime-time treatment from the self-anointed "worldwide leader in sports." But Friday night's contest at Central Michigan between the Chippewas and Navy Midshipmen could turn out to be one of the more entertaining games of the week for fans and bettors alike.

It already qualifies as one of the more interesting games on the Week 7 betting board in terms of early movement. The opening spread was all over the place with Navy -2½ at some sports books charted by Don Best's Pro Odds, other locales having it a pick 'em and a few shops offshore starting Central Michigan at -1½. It has since settled with the Chippewas laying 2-2½ and a 60-point total that has shot up since beginning at 57.

One reason for what has been a 2-4 point swing into Central Michigan's favor is the status of Navy quarterback Trey Miller. The junior pivot was in a walking boot at practice on Monday after injuring his left ankle in the final quarter of last week's overtime win over Air Force, and his availability for Friday's game should be known by Wednesday. Miller leads the Midshipmen in rushing and had 110 yards on the ground while completing all three of his passes at the time of the injury.

Freshman Keenan Reynolds relieved Miller and guided the Midshipmen (2-3 straight up, 2-3 against the spread) back from a 21-13 deficit at Air Force with around 10 minutes remaining in regulation.

The early movement in the Chips' direction isn't anything new this year. Three of their games – at Iowa and Toledo, home vs. Michigan State – saw spreads move towards Central Michigan (2-3 SU) who is 1-4 ATS in 2012 after going 1-11 at the betting windows in 2011.

The Falcons shot themselves in the foot with three turnovers to help Navy along last week, and while head coach Ken Niumatalolo was obviously pleased with the outcome, expect him to run Navy through practices this week as if the Middies lost the game. Air Force's top-ranked ground attack literally ran roughshod over Navy for 507 total yards of offense (363 rushing), and they're going to face a different animal this week with CMU preferring to put the ball in the air behind senior QB Ryan Radcliffe who is well on his way to a third consecutive 3,000-yard passing season.

Navy hasn't allowed a lot of yards through the air this year (146 per game, 30th in nation), but that has been a product of playing several teams who like to keep it on the ground. Radcliffe, who has received good protection from his line all season, should have time to throw and challenge the Midshipmen in what very well could be a 'who scores last' affair.

The key to the game, however, will be Central Michigan's ability to at least slow Navy's option or force Miller/Reynolds to make mistakes the few times they do throw. If oil flowed as easily from underground formations as points are put up on the Chippewas, gas would be going for about 89¢ a gallon. Only four teams have been scored upon more than Central Michigan (40.8 ppg), and the Chippewas rank 103rd in total defense (457 ypg) with more than half of that coming via the ground.

There isn't much as far as series history for bettors to consider, but what's there is pretty recent. Navy has won the only two other meetings (2003, 2010), splitting at the window while the 'over' cashed each time. The collision in 2010 went down to the wire in Annapolis before the Middies pulled off a 38-37 win by stopping CMU's 2-point conversion try with only a few ticks left on the clock. Navy was a 2-TD favorite in that game.

The current weather forecast for Mount Pleasant on Friday is a good one – upper-40s and clear at kickoff from Kelly/Shorts Stadium which is set to come a little past 8:00 p.m. (ET) on ESPN2. Navy will return home to host the Indiana Hoosiers on Oct. 20 while the Chippewas get back to their MAC schedule and host Ball State the same day.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 12:59 AM
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CNOTES
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NCAAF

Dunkel

Week 7

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 12

Game 109-110: Navy at Central Michigan (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 80.025; Central Michigan 74.298
Dunkel Line: Navy by 5 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Central Michigan by 2 1/2; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Navy (+2 1/2); Over


SATURDAY, OCTOBER 13

Game 111-112: Texas vs. Oklahoma (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 103.294; Oklahoma 108.114
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 5; 66
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 3; 61
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-3); Over

Game 113-114: Iowa at Michigan State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 91.200; Michigan State 95.592
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 4 1/2; 37
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 10; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (+10); Under

Game 115-116: North Carolina at Miami (FL) (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 100.715; Miami (FL) 93.053
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 7 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 6 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: North Carolina (-6 1/2); Under

Game 117-118: Miami (OH) at Bowling Green (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 69.240; Bowling Green 78.719
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 9 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 7; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (-7); Over

Game 119-120: Kent State at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 80.361; Army 68.877
Dunkel Line: Kent by 11 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: Kent State by 1 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Kent (-1 1/2); Over

Game 121-122: Akron at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Akron 65.305; Ohio 91.887
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 26 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Ohio by 20; 67
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-20); Under

Game 123-124: Toledo at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Toledo 89.704; Eastern Michigan 69.158
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 9 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Toledo by 13 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (+13 1/2); Over

Game 125-126: Maryland at Virginia (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Maryland 85.775; Virginia 85.008
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 1; 42
Vegas Line: Virginia by 2 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+2 1/2); Under

Game 127-128: Duke at Virginia Tech (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Duke 79.551; Virginia Tech 91.576
Dunkel Line: Virginia Tech by 12; 50
Vegas Line: Virginia Tech by 10; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (-10); Under

Game 128-129: Wisconsin at Purdue (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wisconsin 97.263; Purdue 90.456
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 7; 56
Vegas Line: Purdue by 2 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Wisconsin (+2 1/2); Over

Game 131-132: Northwestern at Minnesota (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 90.394; Minnesota 89.086
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Northwestern by 3 1/2; 51
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+3 1/2); Over

Game 133-134: Syracuse at Rutgers (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 87.238; Rutgers 92.299
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 5; 43
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 7 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+7 1/2); Under

Game 135-136: Boston College at Florida State (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 80.460; Florida State 110.542
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 30; 52
Vegas Line: Florida State by 28; 54
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-28); Under

Game 137-138: Temple at Connecticut (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Temple 84.920; Connecticut 83.206
Dunkel Line: Temple by 1 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 5 1/2; 41 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Temple (+5 1/2); Over

Game 139-140: Louisville at Pittsburgh (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 90.899; Pittsburgh 89.876
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 1; 46
Vegas Line: Louisville by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+3); Under

Game 141-142: Memphis at East Carolina (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 64.491; East Carolina 80.594
Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 16; 55
Vegas Line: East Carolina by 18; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+18); Over

Game 143-144: Florida at Vanderbilt (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 100.383; Vanderbilt 93.670
Dunkel Line: Florida by 6 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Florida by 8 1/2; 40
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+8 1/2); Over

Game 145-146: Air Force at Wyoming (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Air Force 82.874; Wyoming 77.864
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 5; 55
Vegas Line: Air Force by 2; 61 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-2); Under

Game 147-148: Western Michigan at Ball State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 83.192; Ball State 80.311
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 3; 69
Vegas Line: Ball State by 3; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Western Michigan (+3); Over

Game 149-150: Buffalo at Northern Illinois (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 69.385; Northern Illinois 88.217
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 19; 52
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 12 1/2; 56
Dunkel Pick: Northern Illinois (-12 1/2); Under

Game 151-152: Idaho at Texas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Idaho 67.022; Texas State 68.323
Dunkel Line: Texas State by 1 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: Texas State by 3; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (+3); Under

Game 153-154: Kansas State at Iowa State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas State 102.606; Iowa State 101.419
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 1; 54
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 7; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (+7); Over

Game 155-156: Auburn at Mississippi (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 93.192; Mississippi 88.234
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 5; 53
Vegas Line: Mississippi by 6; 49
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+6); Over

Game 157-158: UAB at Houston (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UAB 68.841; Houston 85.271
Dunkel Line: Houston by 16 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Houston by 13 1/2; 67
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-13 1/2); Under

Game 159-160: Illinois at Michigan (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 78.270; Michigan 104.446
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 26; 46
Vegas Line: Michigan 23 1/2; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-23 1/2); Under

Game 161-162: Fresno State at Boise State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 92.046; Boise State 97.347
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 5 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Boise State by 7 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Fresno State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 163-164: USC at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 109.576; Washington 94.561
Dunkel Line: USC by 15; 53
Vegas Line: USC by 11 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-11 1/2); Under

Game 165-166: Oregon State at BYU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon State 95.924; BYU 102.241
Dunkel Line: BYU by 6 1/2; 41
Vegas Line: BYU by 6; 37 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-6); Over

Game 167-168: Alabama at Missouri (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Alabama 122.608; Missouri 92.618
Dunkel Line: Alabama by 30; 48
Vegas Line: Alabama by 21 1/2; 43
Dunkel Pick: Alabama (-21 1/2); Over

Game 169-170: Stanford at Notre Dame (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Stanford 103.690; Notre Dame 114.608
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 11; 42
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 8; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Notre Dame (-8); Under

Game 171-172: Utah State at San Jose State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 89.449; San Jose State 90.257
Dunkel Line: San Jose State by 1; 43
Vegas Line: San Jose State by 3 1/2; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+3 1/2); Under

Game 173-174: Kentucky at Arkansas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kentucky 76.727; Arkansas 95.353
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 18 1/2; 54
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 17; 51
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-17); Over

Game 175-176: Tennessee at Mississippi State (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 89.305; Mississippi State 97.699
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 8 1/2; 60
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 3; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-3); Over

Game 177-178: South Carolina at LSU (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Carolina 111.443; LSU 106.475
Dunkel Line: South Carolina by 5; 36
Vegas Line: LSU by 3; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Carolina (+3); Under

Game 179-180: California at Washington State (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: California 88.545; Washington State 83.009
Dunkel Line: California by 5 1/2; 58
Vegas Line: California by 7 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+7 1/2); Over

Game 181-182: West Virginia at Texas Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 104.847; Texas Tech 98.171
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 6 1/2; 73
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 3 1/2; 77 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-3 1/2); Under

Game 183-184: TCU at Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 99.967; Baylor 101.457
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 1 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Baylor by 8 1/2; 68
Dunkel Pick: TCU (+8 1/2); Under

Game 185-186: Southern Mississippi at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Southern Mississippi 75.359; Central Florida 93.703
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 18 1/2; 55
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 17; 50
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (-17); Over

Game 187-188: Oklahoma State at Kansas (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma State 102.375; Kansas 77.900
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma State by 24 1/2; 77
Vegas Line: Oklahoma State by 23 1/2; 74
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma State (-23 1/2); Over

Game 189-190: Ohio State at Indiana (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Ohio State 96.194; Indiana 81.634
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 14 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 17; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+17); Under

Game 191-192: SMU at Tulane (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 80.301; Tulane 66.577
Dunkel Line: SMU by 13 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: SMU by 15; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tulane (+15); Under

Game 193-194: TX-San Antonio at Rice (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TX-San Antonio 66.191; Rice 67.212
Dunkel Line: Rice by 1; 61
Vegas Line: Rice by 3 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: TX-San Antonio (+3 1/2); Over

Game 195-196: Nevada at UNLV (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nevada 90.560; UNLV 73.903
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 16 1/2; 66
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 197-198: Colorado State at San Diego State (6:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado State 69.789; San Diego State 91.049
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 21 1/2; 53
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 20 1/2; 55 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego State (-20 1/2); Under

Game 199-200: Utah at UCLA (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah 87.154; UCLA 96.972
Dunkel Line: UCLA by 10; 47
Vegas Line: UCLA by 8; 52
Dunkel Pick: UCLA (-8); Under

Game 201-202: New Mexico at Hawaii (12:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico 76.773; Hawaii 67.606
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 9; 57
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-3 1/2); Over

Game 203-204: Florida Atlantic at UL-Monroe (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida Atlantic 58.134; UL-Monroe 95.005
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 37; 58
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 24; 54
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-24); Over

Game 205-206: South Alabama at Arkansas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Alabama 59.844; Arkansas State 80.375
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 19 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Arkansas State by 21; 52 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Alabama (+21); Under

Game 207-208: Middle Tennessee State at Florida International (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Middle Tennessee State 83.315; Florida International 71.880
Dunkel Line: Middle Tennessee State by 11 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Middle Tennessee State by 3; 57
Dunkel Pick: Middle Tennessee State (-3); Under

Game 235-236: Texas A&M at Louisiana Tech (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 104.570; Louisiana Tech 97.992
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 6 1/2; 83
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 8; 80
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (+8); Over

OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 241-242: Fordham at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fordham 51.985; Cincinnati 94.003
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 42
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 01:04 AM
CNOTES is offline Click Here to See the Profile for CNOTES Edit post   Report post
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAF

Long Sheet

Week 7


--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Friday, October 12

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NAVY (2 - 3) at C MICHIGAN (2 - 3) - 10/12/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
NAVY is 32-14 ATS (+16.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NAVY is 125-94 ATS (+21.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 79-50 ATS (+24.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 63-30 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 63-30 ATS (+30.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 81-54 ATS (+21.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 27-12 ATS (+13.8 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
NAVY is 66-32 ATS (+30.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.
C MICHIGAN is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) off a loss against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-15 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
C MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
NAVY is 1-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 01:06 AM
CNOTES is offline Click Here to See the Profile for CNOTES Edit post   Report post
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAF

Short Sheet

Week 7

Friday, October 12, 2012

Navy at Central Michigan, 8:00 ET ESPN2
Navy: 48-19 ATS as a road underdog
Central Michigan: 0-8 ATS off a conference game




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 01:08 AM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Friday, October 12

8:00 PM
NAVY vs. CENTRAL MICHIGAN
Navy is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Navy is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Central Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Central Michigan is 6-19 SU in its last 25 games




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 01:09 AM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAF

Friday, October 12

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Navy at Central Michigan: 9 things bettors should know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Navy Midshipmen at Central Michigan Chippewas (-2, 60)
7:30 p.m. ET on ESPNU

1. This line opened with Navy as a 3.5-point road favorite and moved to Central Michigan -2 by Thursday afternoon - a significant line move of 5.5 points.

2. Navy will have freshman quarterback Keenan Reynolds start Friday night, the first time a frosh will start at QB for Navy since 1991. Reynolds was unfazed last Saturday when he replaced Trey Miller on the road with the Midshipmen trailing Air Force 21-13 in the fourth quarter. Reynolds led Navy to a touchdown on his first drive and the Middies pulled out a 28-21 win in OT.

“All any of us could say was, ‘Wow.’ I mean that was big-time," Navy Coach Ken Niumatalolo told the Washington Post.

3. The 'over' is 3-0-1 in Chippewas games this season. They've allowed 105 points over their past two games and average 40.8 against per game. That's fifth-worst in the nation out of 124 teams.

4. Navy runs an option offense where they run the ball 70 percent of the time. They rank second in the nation in rushing with 390.8 yards per game. Central Michigan ranks 117th in the nation at stopping the run with 233.2 yards against per game.

5. CMU coach on Navy's defense: “They’re a 3-4 defense that does different things out of their defense that we don’t see a lot,” Enos told Central Michigan Life. “So, not only are we playing a football team that is well coached, with guys that play with great effort, you’re also challenged with those different schemes as well.”

6. The Chippewas' 50-35 loss to Toledo as 11.5-point dogs was closer than the score indicates. CMU threw two late interceptions that ended up being too costly to overcome. QB Ryan Radcliffe threw for 337 yards and four TDs.

7. Sixty-one percent of Covers Consensus players were on CMU as of Thursday afternoon.

8. The under is 3-0-1 for Navy this season. Before last game against Air Force, they scored just 17 points in three games against FBS opponents. Their 12-0 loss to San Jose State on Sept. 29 marked the first time the team had failed to score in six years.

9. Should be a beautiful night for football on Friday at Kelly/Shorts Stadium. Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with clear skies and low winds.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 01:11 AM
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Friday, October 12

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Navy - 8:00 PM ET Navy +1 500

Central Michigan - Under 58 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 01:20 AM
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College football odds: Week 7 opening line report

It’s all about damage assessment today as three teams with national championship aspirations deal with the carnage left over from Saturday. Third-ranked Florida State, No. 4 LSU and fifth-rated Georgia are all licking their wounds and hoping to find a way to soldier on after difficult defeats that sucker-punched their title aspirations.

Florida State paid the price for getting into a taffy pull with North Carolina State and lost in the final seconds when it couldn’t get off a punt. The special teams disaster led to a short field goal for the Wolfpack, who were 17-point dogs but came out with a 17-16 SU victory.

Bettors grew suspicious of LSU after the Tigers were forced to play a full 60 minutes against Towson. On Saturday, it became apparent that the doubts were legit – LSU faded again, going scoreless in the second half and sputtering all day without a TD in a 14-6 loss to Florida. Why the Gators were +2 in that one is anyone’s guess.

Georgia, meanwhile, is still trying to get the plate number of the truck that ran over them in Columbia. Steve Spurrier’s Gamecocks (-1) went wire-to-wire in a 35-7 win, and the old ball coach’s team should be ranked somewhere in the top four when the new ratings come out.

Here’s an early look at some of the biggest games this coming weekend, with an assist from Peter Korner, founder of the Las Vegas-based oddsmaking firm The Sports Club:

Alabama Crimson Tide (-17) at Missouri Tigers

“My team had this one as low as 15 and as high as 20,” said Korner, “so we settled on 17.”

That number is Alabama’s lowest spread of the year. The Crimson Tide will need to get used to playing on the road as they have only one game at home in October, though four of their final five are in Tuscaloosa.

No. 1-ranked Alabama had this past weekend off, and Missouri is still dealing with the effects of the one-game suspension of five players for allegedly getting caught blowing dope. Only one of the miscreants, WR Dorial Green-Beckham, had been seeing serious playing time. He’ll be back against Bama, but Missouri will still have trouble moving the ball against the country’s best defense.

West Virginia Mountaineers (-4.5) at Texas Tech

Has any team ever given up 35 points a game through the first half of season and been 5-0? Given their defensive indifference, the Mountaineers have no option but to score. A lot.

“This seems to me like a pretty close game,” said Korner, “but to me it’s a bit more than a field goal. We had this game as low as 3 and as high as 6, so we settled at 4.5.”

Tech actually has a decent defense, but it’s doubtful the Red Raiders will see the likes of WVU Heisman favorite Geno Smith anywhere else on their schedule.

Stanford Cardinal (+7.5) at Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Korner advises Stanford backers to hang on before moving on this game – “I just see the number going up,” he says. “The [betting] public is results oriented.”

Notre Dame is 5-0, headed upward in the polls and seems to be hitting its stride after a 41-3 victory over Miami. ND’s defense has been solid all season, and the Cardinal have been sloppy with the ball (four fumbles, two lost) over the last two games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 04:27 AM
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Saturday, October 13, 2012

Texas vs. Oklahoma, 12:00 ET
Texas: 16-6 ATS off 3+ Overs
Oklahoma: 11-24 ATS away after winning 3 of their last 4 games

Iowa at Michigan State, 12:00 ET
Iowa: 1-8 ATS off a win
Michigan State: 9-2 Under in the first half of the season

North Carolina at Miami FL, 3:30 ET
North Carolina: 4-18 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points
Miami FL: 8-0 Under at home after scoring 9 points or less

Miami OH at Bowling Green, 3:30 ET
Miami OH: 8-1 Under off BB Overs
Bowling Green: 1-5 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

Kent State at Army, 12:00 ET
Kent State: 12-3 ATS off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games
Army: 8-0 Over vs. MAC opponents

Akron at Ohio U, 2:00 ET
Akron: 1-8 ATS vs. conference opponents
Ohio U: 5-1 ATS at home off a conference win

Toledo at Eastern Michigan, 1:00 ET
Toledo: 14-5 ATS vs. conference opponents
Eastern Michigan: 12-4 Under after allowing 300+ rushing yards

Maryland at Virginia, 3:00 ET
Maryland: 0-7 ATS off a conference game
Virginia: 34-17 Under in October

Duke at Virginia Tech, 12:30 ET
Duke: 5-15 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Virginia Tech: 10-2 ATS at home off BB losses

Wisconsin at Purdue, 12:00 ET
Wisconsin: 0-6 ATS away off BB conference games
Purdue: 8-1 Over in home games

Northwestern at Minnesota, 12:00 ET
Northwestern: 26-12 ATS away after allowing 37+ points
Minnesota: 12-3 Over as a home underdog of 7 points or less

Syracuse at Rutgers, 12:00 ET
Syracuse: 0-6 ATS in road games
Rutgers: 9-2 Under off a win

Boston College at Florida State, 5:30 ET
Boston College: 2-9 ATS in the first half of the season
Florida State: 18-6 Under as a favorite

Temple at Connecticut, 1:00 ET
Temple: 10-2 Under in road games
Connecticut: 14-3 ATS at home off a conference loss

Louisville at Pittsburgh, 11:00am ET
Louisville: 7-0 ATS off BB Unders
Pittsburgh: 13-3 Over at home after scoring 14 points or less

Memphis at East Carolina, 4:30 ET
Memphis: 19-35 ATS off a home win
East Carolina: 34-17 ATS off a loss by 17+ points

Florida at Vanderbilt, 6:00 ET
Florida: 2-9 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 points or less
Vanderbilt: 9-0 ATS in home games

Air Force at Wyoming, 7:00 ET
Air Force: 13-3 Under away after allowing 125 or less passing yards
Wyoming: 6-16 ATS off BB games forcing 3+ turnovers

Western Michigan at Ball State, 3:00 ET
Western Michigan: 4-12 ATS off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
Ball State: 10-2 Over in home games

Buffalo at Northern Illinois, 3:30 ET
Buffalo: 1-8 ATS off an Over
Northern Illinois: 20-7 ATS at home in October

Idaho at Texas State, 7:00 ET
Idaho: 3-13 ATS off a home conference win
Texas State: * No Trends Available *

Kansas State at Iowa State, 12:00 ET
Kansas State: 6-0 ATS in road games
Iowa State: 32-17 Under off a road game

Auburn at Mississippi, 12:20 ET
Auburn: 0-8 ATS away off BB conference losses
Mississippi: 16-6 Under off a conference loss by 6 points or less

UAB at Houston, 12:00 ET
UAB: 1-9 ATS off BB games scoring 31+ points
Houston: 13-4 ATS as a favorite

Illinois at Michigan, 3:30 ET
Illinois: 7-0 Under off BB conference games
Michigan: 1-11 ATS off an Over

Fresno State at Boise State, 3:30 ET
Fresno State: 6-0 ATS in all games this season
Boise State: 0-7 ATS at home off a win by 17+ points

USC at Washington, 7:00 ET
USC: 6-0 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Washington: 14-30 ATS off a road conference loss

Oregon State at BYU, 3:30 ET
Oregon State: 8-0 ATS with a line of +3 to -3
BYU: 1-9 ATS at home off BB home games

Alabama at Missouri, 3:30 ET
Alabama: 6-0 ATS away off a win by 17+ points
Missouri: 8-0 Over at home off a SU loss as a favorite

Stanford at Notre Dame, 3:30 ET
Stanford: 8-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
Notre Dame: 7-0 Over off 4+ Unders

Utah State at San Jose State, 4:00 ET
Utah State: 6-0 Under away off an ATS win
San Jose State: 9-0 ATS off a non-conference game

Kentucky at Arkansas, 7:00 ET
Kentucky: 0-6 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
Arkansas: 7-0 ATS at home off a conference win

Tennessee at Mississippi State, 9:00 ET
Tennessee: 24-9 ATS away in October
Mississippi State: 6-0 Under off 3+ wins

South Carolina at LSU, 8:00 ET
South Carolina: 7-0 ATS after forcing 1 or 0 turnovers
LSU: 20-42 ATS at home off a road game

California at Washington State, 10:30 ET
California: 12-32 ATS as a road favorite
Washington State: 19-8 Over off a SU loss / ATS win

West Virginia at Texas Tech, 3:30 ET
West Virginia: 8-1 Over off an Over
Texas Tech: 15-5 ATS off a home conference loss

TCU at Baylor, 7:00 ET
TCU: 9-2 Under off a SU loss as a favorite
Baylor: 8-1 ATS in home games

Southern Miss at Central Florida, 8:00 ET
Southern Miss: 13-2 ATS off BB games scoring 17 points or less
Central Florida: 5-1 Under off a combined score of 60+ points

Oklahoma State at Kansas, 3:30 ET
Oklahoma State: 10-2 ATS in road games
Kansas: 6-21 ATS as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points

Ohio State at Indiana, 8:00 ET
Ohio State: 1-8 ATS off a home win
Indiana: 9-1 Over vs. conference opponents

SMU at Tulane, 1:00 ET
SMU: 4-12 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 points or less
Tulane: 7-3 Over after scoring 14 points or less

Texas San Antonio at Rice, 3:30 ET
Texas SA: 3-0 ATS in road games
Rice: 29-10 Over off a road loss

Nevada at UNLV, 3:00 ET
Nevada: 6-1 Under off 4+ games scoring 31+ points
UNLV: 10-2 ATS as a home underdog

Colorado State at San Diego State, 6:30 ET
Colorado State: 1-8 ATS away off an ATS loss
San Diego State: 8-0 Under off a conference win by 21+ points

Utah at UCLA, 3:00 ET
Utah: 28-13 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 to 10 points
UCLA: 8-1 Under at home off a loss

New Mexico at Hawaii, 11:59 ET
New Mexico: 8-1 Under in road games
Hawaii: 0-7 ATS off a conference game


Added Games

Florida Atlanta at Louisiana Monroe, 8:05 ET
Florida Atl: 3-15 ATS vs. conference opponents
LA Monroe: 27-13 Over off an ATS win

South Alabama at Arkansas State, 7:00 ET
South Alabama: 4-0 ATS in road games
Arkansas State: 19-8 Under playing on artificial turf

Middle Tennessee State at Florida International, 6:00 ET
Mid Tenn State: 1-8 ATS off a conference loss
Florida Int: 8-1 Under off a conference game

Texas A&M vs. Louisiana Tech, 9:00 ET
Texas A&M: 0-9 ATS away off BB games gaining 450+ total yards
Louisiana Tech: 7-0 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents


(TC) = Time Change




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 04:30 AM
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Saturday, October 13

11:00 AM
LOUISVILLE vs. PITTSBURGH
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
Louisville is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing Louisville
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisville

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. MINNESOTA
Northwestern is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Minnesota
Northwestern is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Minnesota
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Minnesota is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
UAB vs. HOUSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games when playing Houston
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games on the road
Houston is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games at home
Houston is 15-4 SU in its last 19 games

12:00 PM
TEXAS vs. OKLAHOMA
Texas is 4-7-1 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Oklahoma
Texas is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games when playing Oklahoma
Oklahoma is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Texas
Oklahoma is 8-4 SU in its last 12 games when playing Texas

12:00 PM
KANSAS STATE vs. IOWA STATE
Kansas State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Iowa State
The total has gone OVER in 10 of Kansas State's last 13 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Iowa State's last 5 games when playing at home against Kansas State
Iowa State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games at home

12:00 PM
IOWA vs. MICHIGAN STATE
Iowa is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games on the road
Iowa is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Michigan State is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Iowa
Michigan State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Iowa

12:00 PM
WISCONSIN vs. PURDUE
Wisconsin is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Purdue
Wisconsin is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games
Purdue is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games
Purdue is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Wisconsin

12:00 PM
SYRACUSE vs. RUTGERS
Syracuse is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Rutgers
Syracuse is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Rutgers
Rutgers is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games when playing Syracuse

12:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. ARMY
Kent State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Kent State is 4-13 SU in its last 17 games on the road
Army is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games

12:21 PM
AUBURN vs. MISSISSIPPI
Auburn is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Auburn's last 5 games on the road
Mississippi is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games at home
Mississippi is 4-8 ATS in its last 12 games when playing Auburn

12:30 PM
DUKE vs. VIRGINIA TECH
Duke is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games on the road
Virginia Tech is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Duke
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia Tech's last 7 games when playing Duke

1:00 PM
TOLEDO vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Toledo is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Eastern Michigan
Eastern Michigan is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Toledo
Eastern Michigan is 6-16 SU in its last 22 games at home

1:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. TULANE
Southern Methodist is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games when playing Tulane
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulane's last 6 games at home

1:00 PM
TEMPLE vs. CONNECTICUT
Temple is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Temple's last 11 games on the road
Connecticut is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Temple
Connecticut is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games

2:00 PM
AKRON vs. OHIO
Akron is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
Akron is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Ohio's last 5 games when playing at home against Akron
Ohio is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Akron

2:30 PM
NORTH CAROLINA vs. MIAMI
North Carolina is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of North Carolina's last 6 games on the road
Miami is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Miami is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home

3:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. BALL STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Western Michigan's last 5 games when playing on the road against Ball State
Western Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Ball State
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games when playing at home against Western Michigan
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ball State's last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
MARYLAND vs. VIRGINIA
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Maryland's last 5 games when playing Virginia
Maryland is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Virginia
Virginia is 0-3-2 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Virginia is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Maryland

3:00 PM
NEVADA vs. UNLV
Nevada is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Nevada's last 5 games on the road
UNLV is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games
UNLV is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing Nevada

3:00 PM
UTAH vs. UCLA
Utah is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of UCLA's last 15 games
UCLA is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games

3:30 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. TEXAS TECH
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Texas Tech is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Texas Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
UTSA vs. RICE
UTSA is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Rice is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home
Rice is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
OREGON STATE vs. BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon State's last 9 games
Oregon State is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
BYU is 13-3 SU in its last 16 games
BYU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
OKLAHOMA STATE vs. KANSAS
Oklahoma State is 15-3 SU in its last 18 games
The total has gone UNDER in 17 of Oklahoma State's last 25 games on the road
Kansas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Kansas is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing Oklahoma State

3:30 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. BOWLING GREEN
Miami (Ohio) is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Miami (Ohio)'s last 7 games on the road
Bowling Green is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami (Ohio)
Bowling Green is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Miami (Ohio)

3:30 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. BOISE STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Fresno State's last 6 games when playing Boise State
Fresno State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Boise State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Fresno State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Boise State's last 5 games at home

3:30 PM
ALABAMA vs. MISSOURI
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Alabama's last 6 games on the road
Alabama is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Missouri is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games
Missouri is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
STANFORD vs. NOTRE DAME
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games on the road
Stanford is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Notre Dame's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Notre Dame's last 8 games

3:30 PM
ILLINOIS vs. MICHIGAN
Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Illinois is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Michigan
Michigan is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Illinois
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan's last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
BUFFALO vs. NORTHERN ILLINOIS
Buffalo is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing Northern Illinois
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Northern Illinois
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Northern Illinois is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games at home

4:00 PM
UTAH STATE vs. SAN JOSE STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Utah State's last 7 games when playing San Jose State
Utah State is 5-0-1 ATS in its last 6 games
San Jose State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of San Jose State's last 7 games when playing Utah State

4:30 PM
MEMPHIS vs. EAST CAROLINA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Memphis's last 6 games when playing East Carolina
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing East Carolina
East Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Memphis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of East Carolina's last 6 games when playing Memphis

5:30 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. FLORIDA STATE
Boston College is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Boston College's last 13 games on the road
Florida State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Florida State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

6:00 PM
MIDDLE TENNESSEE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Middle Tennessee is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing Florida International
Middle Tennessee is 3-8 SU in its last 11 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida International's last 6 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 10 of Florida International's last 15 games

6:00 PM
FLORIDA vs. VANDERBILT
Florida is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida's last 5 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 7-15 SU in its last 22 games at home
Vanderbilt is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida

6:30 PM
COLORADO STATE vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
Colorado State is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games when playing San Diego State
Colorado State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
San Diego State is 13-6 SU in its last 19 games at home
San Diego State is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games when playing at home against Colorado State

7:00 PM
SOUTH ALABAMA vs. ARKANSAS STATE
South Alabama is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Arkansas State is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home
Arkansas State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games

7:00 PM
FORDHAM vs. CINCINNATI
Fordham is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games
Fordham is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Cincinnati is 2-3-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Cincinnati is 8-1 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
KENTUCKY vs. ARKANSAS
Kentucky is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Kentucky is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Arkansas is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

7:00 PM
TCU vs. BAYLOR
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
TCU is 12-1 SU in its last 13 games
Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing TCU
Baylor is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
IDAHO vs. TEXAS STATE
Idaho is 1-8 SU in its last 9 games
Idaho is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Texas State is 2-17 SU in its last 19 games
Texas State is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

7:00 PM
AIR FORCE vs. WYOMING
Air Force is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing on the road against Wyoming
Air Force is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Wyoming is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home
Wyoming is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. WASHINGTON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 5 games on the road
Southern Cal is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington's last 6 games when playing Southern Cal
Washington is 10-1 SU in its last 11 games at home

8:00 PM
OHIO STATE vs. INDIANA
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 14-7 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Indiana is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games
Indiana is 2-4-1 ATS in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
FLORIDA ATLANTIC vs. LOUISIANA-MONROE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Florida Atlantic's last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe
Florida Atlantic is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Louisiana-Monroe is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games
Louisiana-Monroe is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games at home

8:00 PM
SOUTH CAROLINA vs. LSU
South Carolina is 0-4-1 SU in its last 5 games ,when playing LSU
South Carolina is 9-1 SU in its last 10 games on the road
LSU is 24-1 SU in its last 25 games at home
LSU4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing South Carolina

8:00 PM
SOUTHERN MISS vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Southern Miss's last 5 games on the road
Southern Miss is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Central Florida is 8-2 SU in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Central Florida's last 11 games at home

9:00 PM
TENNESSEE vs. MISSISSIPPI STATE
Tennessee is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Tennessee's last 6 games when playing Mississippi State
Mississippi State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Mississippi State's last 6 games when playing Tennessee

9:15 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. LOUISIANA TECH
Texas A&M is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Louisiana Tech
Texas A&M is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Louisiana Tech is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games at home
Louisiana Tech is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home

10:30 PM
CALIFORNIA vs. WASHINGTON STATE
California is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Washington State
California is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Washington State's last 6 games when playing California
Washington State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games

11:59 PM
NEW MEXICO vs. HAWAII
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of New Mexico's last 5 games on the road
New Mexico is 1-24 SU in its last 25 games on the road
Hawaii is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games at home
Hawaii is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 04:30 AM
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College football Top 25 betting cheat sheet: Week 7

If you're looking to get some action down but only have a few minutes to handicap, let our Top-25 cheat sheet help you out. We grabbed some quick-hitting betting info on each of the Top 25 matchups with odds available in Week 7 of the season:

(16) Louisville at Pittsburgh (3, 48.5)

Louisville (5-0) is off to its best start since 2006 as it opens Big East play at Pittsburgh. The Cardinals have scored on 22 of their 23 trips into the red zone, a major reason for their impressive start. The Panthers have relied heavily on a defense that has allowed an average of 13.7 points over their last three games and ranks 22nd in the nation in total defense. Louisville has failed to cover in each of its last five meetings with Pittsburgh.

Syracuse at (19) Rutgers (-7, 45)

Rutgers will try for its first 6-0 start since 2006 when it hosts Syracuse. Sophomore RB Jawan Jamison rushed for his sixth straight 100-yard game in a 19-3 victory over Connecticut last week. But the defense is the real story behind the school’s success so far. The Rutgers stop unit ranks 15th in total defense at 296.8 yards per contest, fifth in points allowed (10.8) and second in rushing yards allowed (60.6). The Scarlet Knights have won each of their games by at least nine points and have outscored the opposition 38-3 in the third quarter this season. The under is 4-1 in their last five meetings.

(15) Texas at (10) Oklahoma (-3.5, 60.5)

Texas QB David Ash has 11 touchdowns against only one pick and ranks third nationally in passer efficiency for an offense that has produced an average of 46.8 points per game. This will mark only the third game in five weeks for Oklahoma, which bounced back from its only loss with a strong performance in a 41-20 victory at previously undefeated Texas Tech last week. The under is 5-1 in the Sooners’ last six games overall and the Longhorns have lost seven consecutive games to ranked opponents.

(5) Kansas State at (25) Iowa State (6.5, 49)

The Wildcats are second in the conference and ninth in the nation in rushing offense at 264.8 yards, sparked by RB John Hubert and speedy QB Collin Klein. Iowa State (4-1) is off to its best start since 2002 and cracked the national rankings this week for the first time in 10 years. Defense has ignited the Cyclones’ early season rise. Senior linebacker Jake Knott leads the conference with 32 solo tackles and senior strong safety Durrell Givens has recovered three fumbles in five games. The underdog is 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

(14) Oregon State at BYU (-6, 37.5)

Oregon State got dealt a not-so-pleasant surprise when starting QB Sean Mannion discovered he will likely miss 2-to-4 weeks with torn cartilage in his knee despite not missing a snap in last Saturday’s 19-6 home victory over Washington State. Junior Cody Vaz will get his first start since high school Saturday at Brigham Young, which hasn’t surrendered an offensive touchdown in 13 consecutive quarters. The Cougars have played under the total in their last five home games.

(1) Alabama at Missouri (21, 43.5)

Alabama leads the nation in total defense (191.6 yards per game) and scoring defense (7.0 points per game) and will be an even greater challenge for Missouri without starting quarterback James Franklin (knee). Redshirt freshman Corbin Berkstresser will make his second career start in Franklin's place. The Crimson Tide is 6-1 ATS in its last seven road games.

Fresno State at (22) Boise State (-7, 57.5)

Fresno State has lost 10 of its last 11 matchups against Boise State while being outscored 108-7 over the past two games. Boise State hasn’t lost a game in October since 2001, winning 45 straight. The favorite is 11-1 ATS in their last 12 meetings.

(17) Stanford at (7) Notre Dame (-7.5, 44.5)

Notre Dame is 5-0 for the first time since 2002 and has already beaten ranked squads from Michigan State and Michigan this season. The Fighting Irish defense has gone three straight games without allowing a touchdown for the first time since 1980. Stanford senior QB Josh Nunes earned Pac-12 Offensive Player of the Week honors by passing for 360 yards and accounting for five touchdowns (two passing, three rushing) in the win over Arizona last week. Notre Dame has played under the total in its last four games.

(4) West Virginia at Texas Tech (3.5, 77.5)

West Virginia QB Geno Smith showed his mettle against Texas last week as he passed for 268 yards (a season-low) and four touchdowns while being harassed all night by a hostile Longhorns’ defense. The senior has 24 touchdowns and zero interceptions, including 12 TDs in the last two games, and leads the nation in passing efficiency (202.3). The Mountaineers have to outscore opponents because their defense, which switched to a mixture of 3-4 and 4-3 fronts, hasn't stopped anyone this season (allowing 460.0 yards per game).

Boston College at (11) FSU (-27.5, 55.5)

The Seminoles fell from No. 4 to No. 11 in the USA Today Coaches Poll - and saw their national championship aspirations take a serious hit - when they were outscored 17-0 in the second half en route to a stunning 17-16 loss at North Carolina State last week. Despite the loss, Florida State is the only team ranked in the top 10 in eight statistical categories - five on defense. The Seminoles are just 1-4 ATS in their last five conference games.

(6) Florida at Vanderbilt (8.5, 40.5)

No. 6 Florida seeks its 22nd consecutive victory over Vanderbilt when the teams square off in Nashville on Saturday. The Gators upended LSU 14-6 last Saturday and are the only team in the country that hasn’t allowed a single fourth-quarter point this season. Vanderbilt defeated Missouri last week for its first SEC win of the season, but has lost 15 consecutive games against ranked opponents. The road team is 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

(23) TCU at Baylor (-9, 68.5)

Suspended QB Casey Pachall will leave Texas Christian for an inpatient rehab facility and will not play again in 2012, coach Gary Patterson announced Tuesday. So redshirt freshman Trevone Boykin will get his second start against Baylor on Saturday. The Bears have won nine straight at home, including last year's 50-48 season-opening victory against TCU. Baylor has one of the nation's most prolific offenses, but is still licking its wounds a bit after allowing 807 yards and 70 points in a loss to West Virginia two weeks ago. The Horned Frogs are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.

(9) USC at Washington (12.5, 54.5)

After three straight games with less than 300 yards, Trojans QB Matt Barkley completed nearly 77 percent of his passes for 303 yards in a come-from-behind win at Utah last week. USC RB Curtis McNeal and WR Robert Woods appeared to suffer head injuries against Utah, but are expected to play Saturday. The Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their last seven meetings with Washington.

Fordham at (20) Cincinnati (-40.5)

Bearcats RB George Winn is averaging 111.5 yards per contest to help Cincinnati extend its winning streak to seven games overall. The Bearcats have outscored their opponents 44-6 in the first quarter this season and have won 23 straight non-conference games at home.

(3) South Carolina at (8) LSU (-2.5, 40.5)

The Gamecocks have moved into championship contention because of a vast improvement on the defensive side of the ball as they rank fourth in the nation in points against. The eighth-ranked Tigers have taken a dip due to an offense that has totaled 18 points in its first two conference games. Going up against the Tigers’ second-ranked pass defense, South Carolina will likely look to Heisman candidate Marcus Lattimore. The junior RB has at least one touchdown in every game this season and has rushed over 100 yards in each of the last two contests. The Gamecocks have covered the spread in each of their last five games.

Tennessee at (18) Mississippi State (-2.5, 57)

Tennessee brings its high-powered passing offense on the road to Mississippi State on Saturday night, looking to extend its winning streak against the No. 18 Bulldogs to seven games. The Bulldogs have scored at least 25 points in their first five games, something they’ve never accomplished in the program’s 113-year history. Tennessee has allowed five touchdown runs of more than 50 yards in the last three games. Head coach Derek Dooley will coach from the press box after undergoing hip surgery this week. The Volunteers are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.

(21) Texas A&M at (24) Louisiana Tech (7.5, 80.5)

This game, originally scheduled for Aug. 30 but postponed because of Hurricane Isaac, features two of the three teams in the FBS that rank in the top 30 nationally in rushing, passing, total and scoring offense. The Bulldogs, winners of 12 straight regular-season games, matched the 1975 team for the best start in school history with a 58-31 victory over UNLV last week while Texas A&M overcame six turnovers to win 30-27 at Mississippi. Texas A&M is 10-0 all-time against the Bulldogs, but only one of those games has been played in Shreveport. The Aggies are 4-0 ATS in their last four meetings.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 04:33 AM
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Road Warriors

October 10, 2012

Deep Six Angle

With the season approaching the mid way point, let’s take one final look at expanding our bankroll with college football teams in Game 6 situations.

Our well-oiled database reports a turning point for 3-2 or better teams that take to the road when playing off one-loss exact. They win and continue with the prospects of donning bowling shirts, or they lose and begin entertaining visions of staying home for the holidays. Thus these become pivotal games on each team’s schedule.

These Game Six travelers, playing off one-loss exact, respond with vigor in the Game Six scenarios going 89-59-2 ATS in all games since 1980.

That’s represents a rock solid 60% wining spread mark.

This week finds qualifying three teams taking to the road, namely Middle Tennessee State, TCU and Tennessee.

Middle Tennessee State at Florida International
TCU at Baylor
Tennessee at Georgia

Better yet, when priced as dogs in competitive situations (+10 or fewer points) they improve to 38-18-1 ATS (68%).

The best role occurs when these same visitors take on a foe sporting a winning record as they improve to 27-10-1 ATS (73%) in these spirited contests.

TCU (+8) and Tennessee (+3) look to be ‘devilish’ sides on this week’s card. Good luck…




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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ACC Report - Week 7

October 10, 2012

Last week, my positive cash streak in the ACC was put in serious, serious jeopardy. If you bet Clemson, and didn't see the final minute, you should be very pleased. The Tigers were laying 10 1/2-11 points, and were up nine with just about 50 seconds remaining. They had the ball first and goal at the Georgia Tech 5, and the Yellow Jackets had no timeouts. Had the ball been at the 50, or inside Clemson territory, etc. - they likely would have knelt and ended the game.

However, the Tigers had some difficulty handling the ball inside the 5 earlier in the game, and in past weeks, so unorthodox head coach Dabo Swinney kept his offense on the field to get game-time red zone practice. Clemson ended up punching it in, albeit with reserves, to go up 16, thus covering the number. Thankfully that happened, because I was duped into believing Miami had a chance against Notre Dame, and easily lost that one.

Joe Williams's ACC Season Picks:
Period: 8/31/2012 to 10/10/2012
Pick Type: All Picks
Record: 15-7-0 ( 68.2% , +720)

PICK DETAILS
Week Record Total
Week 6 (Oct. 4-6) 2-1 Won (+90)
Week 5 (Sept. 27-29) 3-1 Won (+190)
Week 4 (Sept. 19-22) 3-1 Won (+190)
Week 3 (Sept. 13-15) 3-2 Won (+80)
Week 2 (Sept. 6-8) 2-1 Won (+90)
Week 1 (Aug. 31-Sept. 3) 2-1 Won (+80)

Saturday - North Carolina at Miami (Fla.) (ESPNU, 2:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game

The Tar Heels are coming off an impressive home win against Virginia Tech, squaring their ACC record at 1-1. As such, they need this game badly, as the Hurricanes are sitting pretty at 3-0 atop the Coastal Division despite an awful thumping at the hands of Notre Dame last weekend. The Tar Heels are just 1-5 ATS in their past six road games, and 1-6 ATS in their past seven road games against a team with a winning record. On the other side, while the Hurricanes have been absolutely thrashed, failing to come close to covering in two marquee non-conference games against K-State and ND, they are 5-1 ATS in their past six conference games, including a perfect 3-0 ATS mark against ACC foes this season. Remember, though, that the Tar Heels are 5-2-1 ATS in the past eight meetings, and the underdog is 6-1-1 ATS in the past eight battles between the sides. Basically, all of these line trends scream stay away. However, playing the total might make more sense. The over is 5-2 in UNC's past seven games overall, and 4-0 in their past four October contests (including last week). The over is 4-1 in Miami's past five games, and 8-3 in their past 11 conference battles. In addition, the over has cashed in four of the previous five meetings.

Saturday - Duke at Virginia Tech (Gameplan/ESPN3, 12:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game

The Duke Blue Devils are starting to look for real, or they have just taken advantage of a semi-soft schedule. We'll definitely get a better feel for Duke this weekend against a damaged, yet still dangerous, Virginia Tech team at Lane Stadium in Blacksburg. Duke winning at Virginia Tech looked like a pipe dream earlier in the season, but they legitimately have a shot, especially if QB Sean Renfree (elbow) can get back to 100 percent. The Blue Devils are 4-0 ATS in their past four games since being thumped by Stanford on the road earlier this season. However, while at home Duke has been the play, they are just 1-4 ATS in their past five trips away from Wallace Wade Stadium. However, the Hokies are a dismal 1-4 ATS in their past five conference games, including a pasting at UNC last week. They are just 3-13 ATS in their past 16 games on grass, and 0-3-1 in their past four games against teams with a winning record. Could Duke really go to Virginia Tech and win? If so, they'd become bowl eligible for the first time since appearing in the 1994 Hall of Fame Bowl (now the Outback Bowl) against Wisconsin.

Saturday - Boston College at Florida State (ESPN2, 5:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game

Poor Boston College. They will be walking into a hornet's nest in Tallahassee Saturday afternoon, facing a very angry Seminoles team that was neutered in Raleigh last Saturday night by N.C. State. The 'Noles blew a 16-0 lead, and fell 17-16 in one of the biggest upsets of this season, likely losing all hope of a national championship in the process. What looked like an almost impenetrable defense early in the season allowed the Wolfpack to march downfield for a late game-winning touchdown, leaving most garnet and gold supporters to wonder what might have been. As for BC, well...they just stink. They are 0-2 on the road this season, including a setback against Army last week. If they were to turn their season around, they needed to win at West Point last weekend. If they couldn't handle Army, one has to think they're going to have a whale of a time trying to stop FSU's skill players. The line is just 27.5, and that could easily be erased by halftime. While BC has a semi-respectable offense, led by QB Chase Rettig, their defense is just poor. FSU should mash them in their bounce-back week. If you're brave enough, BC is 9-4 ATS in their past 13 road games, while FSU is 1-4 ATS in their past five ACC battles. The road team is 6-1 ATS in the past seven battles, and the underdog is 5-1 ATS in the past six meetings. However, I am not touching Boston College with a 20-foot-pole, twice as long as the pole I usually use to avoid teams.

Saturday - Maryland at Virginia (GamePlan/ESPN3, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game

It's hard to believe Maryland is 3-2 overall on the season, as this team is just not good. But they find a way to win. Overall, though, they're a hard team to figure. They are 2-3 ATS this season, barely scraping by William & Mary, before pasting Temple on the road. They were dropped by UConn at home, then stayed with West Virginia in Morgantown, losing just 31-21. Then, last week, they beat Wake Forest, but failed to cover in a low-scoring affair. They have gone under in two straight, including a very rare under for West Virginia, after a pair of overs earlier. Virginia, on the other hand, isn't hard to figure at all. They're just bad. They have dropped four straight games, including a 42-17 pasting at Duke last week. The Cavaliers are 0-5-1 ATS this season, including five straight non-covers. The over has also connected in three of their past four games. However, the Terps are just 1-4 ATS in their past trips to Charlottesville, and the road team is 4-1 ATS in the past five battles. If you're considering Maryland, those numbers are confusing. It's best to stay away from this one, as it is tough to predict, other than it is almost a certainty bad football will be played. The under might be the play. The total has gone under in four of the past five meetings between these teams. For UVA, the under has connected in 14 of the past 20 games, and is 8-1 in Virginia's past nine home games. For Maryland, the under is 4-0 in their past four road games against teams with a losing record, and 13-6 in their past 19 October games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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Big Ten Report - Week 7

October 12, 2012

Wisconsin and Purdue match-up this week in the Big Ten's marquee game. Surprisingly this meeting between the Badgers and the Boilers could decide the Leaders division representative in the Big Ten title game. ASA has the full preview for that game, as well as every other match-up (includes Michigan State-Iowa & Minnesota-Northwestern). Get all the answers inside!

Purdue (-2.5) vs. Wisconsin - (Big Ten Network, 12:00 p.m. ET)
PU: Last week vs. Michigan: L 13-44
UW: Last week vs. Illinois: W 31-14

With Penn State and Ohio State ineligible for the postseason, and Illinois and Indiana not showing many signs of life, this game could decide the Leaders Division representative for the Big Ten championship. Motivation shouldn't be a factor here as both coaches know how big this game is. Wisconsin's win over Illinois looked to be a cakewalk by the look of the final score (31-14), but it definitely wasn't. It was 7-7 at halftime and Wisconsin put a couple of late touchdowns on the board to pull away. The defense put in another solid performance, holding the Illini to just 284 yards and 15 first downs. Offensively the Badgers still can't seem to find their rhythm as this unit ranks 107th in yards per game and 91st in points per game.

No Big Ten team disappointed more in week six than Danny Hope's Boilers. Purdue spotted Michigan a 25-point lead midway through the 2nd quarter and never really challenged the Wolverines. The Boilers managed just 213 yards on offense while turning the ball over four times. The defense has taken significant steps backward the past two weeks, allowing 41 points to Marshall and 44 points to Michigan in two home games. There's a bit of a quarterback controversy as Caleb TerBush has struggled recently. Robert Marve may be the better option, despite a torn ACL. Coach Hope stated that TerBush will remain the starter, but coaches will decide later in the week how to integrate Marve into the game.

Recent history: Wisconsin is 6-0 SU & ATS in the last six straight meetings, winning by an average of 23 points per game (average score of 35-12). Last year the Badgers piled on 605 yards and 62 points in a blowout at home. Montee Ball rushed for 223 yards and three scores.

Trends: The Badgers are 5-1 ATS in their last six games as an underdog. Purdue is 1-5 ATS in its last six Big Ten games.

Injury report: Purdue RB Ralph Bolden finally could return this week. After rushing for 935 yards and tallying 11 total touchdowns in 2009, Bolden didn't play in 2010, played sparingly in 2011 before another knee injury, and hasn't played at all this year yet.

Michigan State (-10) vs. Iowa - (ESPN, 12:00 p.m. ET)
MSU: Last week at Indiana: W 31-27
UI: Last week: BYE

It's ridiculously early, but the Hawkeyes are tied for the Legends Division lead. A win here over the sporadic Spartans could further shake up the division race. Iowa had a week off to prepare for this road trip to East Lansing. The Hawks had a morale boosting win over rival Minnesota two weeks ago. Offensively the Hawks got another strong performance from walk-on RB Mark Weisman, who now has now rushed for 507 yards (7.0 YPC) and seven touchdowns the last three games. QB Vandenberg continues to struggle, however, as he's completing less than 59% of his passes with just two touchdowns and two interceptions (threw for 25 touchdowns and seven interceptions last season). This offense will face their stiffest test of the season against this Spartans defense that ranks 11th against the run and 25th against the pass.

Michigan State hasn't had a complete performance since a September 8th win over Central Michigan. Since then they scored three points in a loss to Notre Dame, struggled to beat a bad Eastern Michigan team, lost to Ohio State at home, and barely beat Indiana on the road last week. Sparty was down 14-27 at Indiana last week. The defense shut down the Hoosiers in the 2nd half and MSU survived a four-point victory. Offensively the Spartans rank 100th in points per game and things won't get any easier against this Hawkeye defense that seems to be improving every week.

Recent history: Iowa is 4-2 SU over the last six meetings and & 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including a win & cover the last time here in East Lansing. MSU took a 31-7 lead into halftime of last year's meeting at Iowa. The Spartans cruised to a 37-21 win.

Trends: Iowa is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 road games and 1-11 ATS in its last 12 following a straight up win. Michigan State is 9-17-1 ATS its last 27 Big Ten home games.

Injury report: Michigan State tight end Dion Sims will miss Saturday's game against Iowa, leaving the Spartans without their leading receiver (24 receptions, 313 yards). Iowa will have top cornerback Micah Hyde on the field at Michigan State. Hyde was arrested during the weekend for public intoxication and interfering with official acts. Because he's a first-time offender, Iowa's student-athlete conduct policy doesn't require him to miss a game.

Minnesota (+3.5) vs. Northwestern - (ESPN2, 12:00 p.m. ET)
UM: Last week: BYE
NU: Last week at Penn State: L 28-39

Another virtual division elimination game as the winner will stay alive in the Legends race, while the loser is probably done. Both squads are off of their first loss of the season; Northwestern at Penn State last week and Minnesota at Iowa two weeks ago. Minnesota QB Max Shortell struggled under center against the Hawkeyes, throwing for just 197 yards with two touchdowns and three interceptions. As coach Jerry Kill said, the Gophers really need top quarterback MarQueis Gray to get healthy. Also unsettling was the play of Minnesota's defense, which couldn't stop Iowa's rushing attack Weisman. Northwestern brings one of the top rushing offenses in the nation here, averaging 232 yards per game (17th nationally).

Despite a sluggish offensive day overall (247 total yards), Northwestern put itself in position for a win at Penn State last week. The Wildcats led 28-17 midway through the 4th quarter before allowing 22 unanswered points to the Nittany Lions. The Wildcats couldn't get any pressure on PSU QB McGloin and he threw for 282 yards and two touchdowns while they notched 161 rush yards. That's not promising considering that the PSU offense ranks in the bottom half of all major defensive categories. Minnesota ranks similar offensively to Penn State, so this will be an interesting matchup if Northwestern can bounce back.

Recent history: Northwestern has won four of the last five overall, but Minnesota has covered seven of the last nine overall. The Wildcats jumped out to a 21-7 first quarter lead last season and not much happened after that. Northwestern won 28-13 but failed to cover as the 16-point favorite.

Trends: Minnesota is 6-0 ATS in its last six home games and 8-2 ATS in its last 10 games overall. The Wildcats are 5-13 ATS in the last 18 conference games.

Injury report: Minnesota quarterback MarQueis Gray participated in Sunday's light practice and will be on the field this week when the team begins its prep for Northwestern. Coach Jerry Kill is "cautiously optimistic" Gray has a chance to play against the Wildcats.

Michigan (-23.5) vs. Illinois - (ABC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
UM: Last week at Purdue: W 44-13
UI: Last week at Wisconsin: L 14-31

Illinois is struggling in all facets. It ranks 102nd in yards per game and 104th in points per game. Their QB Scheelhaase has three touchdowns and five interceptions this season while their leading rusher has just 227 yards. Defensively the Illini are allowing more than 40 points per game against its past four FBS opponents. They have had particular trouble slowing down spread teams, which is evident in the 45 points allowed to Arizona State and the 52 allowed to Louisiana Tech. That could mean a big day for Denard Robinson and this Michigan offense that put up 44 points at Purdue a week ago.

Off it its bye week, Michigan got its best performance of the season against Purdue. The defense recorded four takeaways (returned one for a score) and allowed just 213 yards. QB Denard Robinson rebounded well after his disastrous game against Notre Dame. He tallied 235 rush yards and one passing touchdown and didn't throw any interceptions. Overall they ran for 304 yards and that allowed Michigan to hold the ball for +12.5 minutes time of possession. Michigan can't afford a letdown here by looking ahead to its home showdown against Michigan State next week.

Recent history: Michigan is 8-2 SU the last 10 meetings, but Illinois is 4-2 ATS in the previous six meetings. Last season Michigan held Illinois to just 214 total yards, including 37 rush yards on 33 carries. It was an ugly game that featured six total turnovers and Michigan won and covered, 31-14.

Trends: Illinois is 1-4 ATS in its last five conference games and 1-4 ATS in its last five road games. The Illinis are also 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games as a 20+ point underdog (5-0 ATS run). Michigan is 8-24 ATS in its last 32 conference games.

Injury report: Illinois cornerback Terry Hawthorne, who left the field last Saturday at Wisconsin in an ambulance, has recovered well but still must pass a concussion test before playing again. Redshirt freshman Eaton Spence will start in Hawthorne's place if he can't play.

Indiana (+17) vs. Ohio State - (Big Ten Network, 8:00 p.m. ET)
UI: Last week vs. Michigan State: L 27-31
OSU: Last week vs. Nebraska: W 63-38

Ohio State has to avoid a letdown here on the road at Indiana after its big win against Nebraska last week. The Buckeyes saw what almost happened to MSU in Bloomington a week ago so they won't be taking the Hoosiers lightly. OSU put on a scoring clinic last week against the Huskers. The Bucks tallied 371 rush yards (7.7 YPC average) and six touchdowns, Braxton Miller threw for one touchdown, and they scored on an interception return and a punt return. Defensively the Bucks allowed a lot of yards and 38 points, but they forced four turnovers and were able to get constant pressure on the quarterback. Expect more big numbers for the offense this week against Indiana's 95th ranked defensive unit.

Indiana is much improved from a year ago, though its progress has merely translated into agonizing losses against Ball State, Northwestern and Michigan State. Still, it's a promising development that the Hoosiers are actually competitive this season. It looked as though they would record their first signature win of the Kevin Wilson era last week. They dominated the first half against Michigan State and sliced through the Big Ten's top defense with their up-tempo attack. They led 27-14 at halftime but didn't record another point. QB Coffman threw for 282 yards and three touchdowns, but he will likely split time with QB Sudfeld this week - according to coach Wilson.

Recent history: Ohio State has won 17 straight games over Indiana and they are 11-4-2 ATS over that span (average win margin of 22.2 points per game). The Hoosiers hung with the Buckeyes in Columbus last year, trailing 20-27 heading into the 4th quarter. OSU tallied 346 rush yards with three players recording over 100 yards each.

Trends: Ohio State is 20-6-1 ATS in its last 27 Big Ten road games. OSU is also 12-6 ATS its last 18 road games as a double-digit favorite.

Injury report: Indiana coach Kevin Wilson expects to play both of his top quarterbacks -- Cameron Coffman and Nate Sudfeld -- Saturday. Coffman made his third consecutive start last week against Michigan State and played brilliantly in the first half. Sudfeld has practiced a bit better than Coffman this week and both will see the field.

Nebraska - BYE
UN: Last week at Ohio State: L 38-63

After a strong first quarter against OSU, Nebraska's defense fell apart. The Huskers allowed six consecutive touchdown drives and 371 rush yards. They were killed by the big play as OSU scored six touchdowns of 16 yards or more. QB Taylor Martinez committed four turnovers, including an interception returned for a touchdown. Nebraska still has a shot at the division title, but it will need to fix a lot of problems this off week as it prepares for a key three game stretch against Northwestern, Michigan, and Michigan State.

Injury report: RB Rex Burkhead should be fine for the team's next game at Northwestern, coach Bo Pelini said. Burkhead injured his left knee in the third quarter against Ohio State and didn't return.

Penn State - BYE
PSU: Last week vs. Northwestern: W 39-28

Penn State has bounced back after an 0-2 start to win four straight games. The Lions rallied to beat Northwestern after an 11-point fourth quarter deficit. Quarterback Matt McGloin continues his strong play with two more touchdowns and no picks. He now has 12 touchdowns and just two interceptions this season. The defense has been very opportunistic and seems to get better and better every week. Last week they allowed just 247 yards to one of the better offenses in the Big Ten. They have a ton of momentum heading forward as they prepare for a road game at Iowa on October 20th.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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Pac-12 Report - Week 7

October 12, 2012

Saturday - Stanford at Notre Dame (NBC, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Five-Star Game

The Cardinal and the Irish hook up in South Bend in one of the more anticipated games of the weekend. The brutal schedule for Notre Dame continues, but at least they play at home. That's fine with Stanford, though, as they are 12-3-1 ATS in their past 16 road games, and 9-4 ATS in their past 13 games against teams with a road record. Digging deeper, however, we find Stanford is just 4-9 ATS in their past 13 games aginst Independents. Hmm. Meanwhile, Notre Dame is an impressive 4-1 ATS in their past five games, including a 41-3 blasting of Miami last weekend in Chicago. If you had heard the Notre Dame defense was pretty good, they were right. But we learned that the Irish have a little something going on offensively, too. In this series, there are no skewed trends in favor of one team or another, but the under has cashed in five of the past six meetings. The under is also 17-5 in Notre Dame's past 22 home games, and 5-2 in Stanford's past seven road games.

Saturday - Southern California at Washington (FOX, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Four-Star Game

The Trojans haven't exactly been cover kings this season, hitting the number just once in five games this season. However, they are 5-2 ATS in their past seven against Pac-12 opponents, and 5-2 ATS in their past seven games against teams with a winning record. The Huskies pulled off a signature win at home against Stanford a few weeks ago, but they were unable to carry that momentum to Eugene, losing 52-21 last week. Still, Washington is 2-1 ATS in their past three games, and those two covers came at home. Remember this, the Trojans are 2-5 ATS in their past seven meetings with U-Dub, and 2-5 ATS in their past seven trips to Seattle. The underdog, presumably, without looking, Washington every time, is 5-2 ATS in the past seven battles between these sides.

Saturday - Oregon State at Brigham Young (ABC/ESPN3, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Three-Star Game

This game had the look of a marquee game until last week. The Beavers ended up losing QB Sean Mannion (knee) for at least two to four weeks due to torn cartilage in his knee, meaning QB Cody Vaz will make his first collegiate start. Going up against the vaunted BYU defense, which has allowed 10 total points over their past three games, it is a tall order for Vaz. It's also reason why there is a rare college total under 40 (currently at 37). The Cougs have problems of their own under center, as they lost versatile QB Taysom Hill (knee) to a knee injury last Friday. He is done for the season, and will be replaced, most likely, by former starter QB Riley Nelson. This game has the look of a slog, but under 37 is still a risky proposition. The Beavers are 4-1-1 ATS in their past six games, and the public apparently likes that. However, you have to remember Mannion is out, and this will look like a completely different offense against a stout D. The Cougs are 6-2 ATS in their past eight home games.

Saturday - Utah at UCLA (FOX, 3:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Two-Star Game

The Bruins are a difficult team to figure. They come into this game with a still impressive 4-2 record, but they were punished in Berkeley last week, 43-17. Really, they never win at Cal, but the Bears are not good this year, and the Bruins have looked better. Guess not. Suddenly, UCLA is just 1-2 ATS in their past three games, and they need to get untracked. Utah would seem like the perfect team to pick it up against, but they were spanked by the Utes 31-6 in the last meeting. Utah is 0-2 this season away from Rice-Eccles Stadium, however, so it will be an uphill climb. Utah is just 1-4 ATS in their past five road games against a team with a winning home record, and the Bruins are 5-1 ATS in their past six home games. If you don't have a sour taste in your mouth from past UCLA failures, and can look at this objectively, UCLA looks like the clear-cut play. However, keep in mind UCLA is just 7-16 ATS in their past 23 Pac-12 games, and 3-13 ATS in their past 16 games in the month of October.

Saturday - California at Washington State (Pac-12 Network, 10:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup One-Star Game

California was a struggling 1-4 club, but they got well last week and whaled on UCLA 43-17. All of a sudden, things are looking up for head coach Jeff Tedford's bunch. This team can run the football with authority, and they could keep things going in the right direction with a win on the Palouse. The Bears are just 3-9 ATS in their past 12 road games, however, although they are an impressive 5-2 ATS in their past seven Pac-12 games. WaZu is 11-3 ATS in their past 14 games in the month of October. They are also 8-3 ATS in their past 11 meetings with Cal. However, the road team is 6-2 ATS in the past eight meetings, so be careful with the line. The over has cashed in five straight home games for Washington State, but the under is 11-4 in Cal's past 15 games. This game is a good idea to stay far away from.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:01 AM
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South Carolina at LSU

October 12, 2012


South Carolina announced itself as a legitimate national-title contender last weekend. As for LSU, it lost for the first time and is now in desperation mode as the Gamecocks come to Baton Rouge to face the Tigers on Saturday night.

As of Friday afternoon, most books had LSU (5-1 straight up, 2-4 against the spread) installed as a 2 ½-point favorite with a total of 39 ½ for ‘over/under’ wagers. Gamblers can take the Gamecocks to win outright for a plus-125 return (risk $100 to win $125).

South Carolina took Georgia behind the woodshed last Saturday night in Columbia, cruising to a 35-7 win as a one-point home favorite. The 42 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 54 ½-point total.

Steve Spurrier’s squad raced out to a 21-0 lead midway through the first quarter thanks to a pair of Connor Shaw touchdown passes and a 70-yard punt return for a score by Ace Sanders.

Shaw completed 6-of-10 throws for 162 yards and two TDs without an interception. The junior signal caller also scored on a seven-yard run. Marcus Lattimore posted the third 100-yard game of his career against Georgia, rushing 24 times for 109 yards and one TD.

For the season, Shaw is connecting on 75.7 percent of his passes for 733 yards with a 7/2 touchdown-to-interception ratio. Shaw is first in the SEC in passing efficiency (184.7). He has also rushed for 281 yards, averaging 4.4 yards per carry.

Lattimore has rushed for 549 yards and nine TDs, averaging 4.7 YPC.

South Carolina leads the SEC in sacks with 25. Sophomore defensive end Jadeveon Clowney is second in the SEC in sacks (6 ½) and tackles for losses (11 ½). With Clowney, senior DE Devin Taylor, sophomore DT Kelcy Quarles and junior DE Chaz Sutton, the Gamecocks have one of the nation’s premier defensive lines.

That’s not good news for LSU, which has issues on its offensive line. Starting OT Chris Faulk went down with a season-ending injury a few weeks ago, and now two other starters could be out. Junior OG Josh Williford sustained a concussion last week and is ‘doubtful,’ while OT Alex Hurst left the team earlier this week for personal reasons and is considered ‘questionable.’

Also on the injury front, LSU will most likely be without LB Kwon Alexander, who is ‘doubtful’ with a sprained ankle.

Les Miles’s team had won 18 consecutive regular-season games until Florida won a 14-6 decision over the Tigers as a three-point home underdog. LSU led 6-0 at intermission and it was clear that points were going to be at a premium in the second half.

Florida finally got going offensively behind the between-the-tackles running of senior RB Mike Gillislee, who scored a pair of touchdowns for the Gators. LSU’s offense couldn’t get anything going whatsoever and when it did make a big play, Odell Beckham fumbled inside the red zone when he was stripped by UF safety Matt Elam.

Despite the defeat, everything remains on the table for LSU. In other words, as long as the Tigers take care of their business, they can still win the SEC and probably get into the BCS Championship Game. With that said, another loss most likely eliminates all of the aforementioned goals.

In his first season as a starter, LSU junior QB Zach Mettenberger is completing 61.8 percent of his passes for 1,174 yards with a 6/3 TD-INT ratio.

LSU is led in rushing by sophomore RB Kenny Hilliard, who has 382 yards and six TDs on 58 carries for a 6.6 YPC average. The Tigers are deep in the backfield with Spencer Ware (4.6 YPC) and Michael Ford (5.7 YPC).

During Les Miles’s eight-year tenure, LSU has limped to an 18-28-1 spread record as a home favorite. Meanwhile, the Gamecocks are 12-8-1 against the spread as road underdogs on Steve Spurrier’s watch.

South Carolina hasn’t played in Baton Rouge since 2007 when LSU won a 28-16 decision as a 17 ½-point underdog. In the last head-to-head meeting in 2008, LSU overcame a halftime deficit to capture a 24-17 victory as a 1 ½-point road ‘chalk.’

The ‘under’ is 3-2 overall for LSU, but the ‘over’ is 2-1 in its three home games that had a total. Totals have been a wash for South Carolina both overall (3-3) and in its road assignments (1-1)

Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Toledo junior QB Terrance Owens is enjoying a sensational year to date. The southpaw has thrown for 1,503 yards with a 9/1 TD-INT ratio. Owens has also rushed for 164 yards and three touchdowns. He’s been the catalyst behind the Rockets’ 5-1 start. They are 15-point favorites Saturday at Eastern Michigan.

--La. Tech QB Colby Cameron has 13 TD passes without being intercepted. The Bulldogs take on Texas A&M in Shreveport on Saturday night.

--Dating back to 1998, Boise St. owns a 10-1-1 spread record in 12 games as a single-digit home favorite. The Broncos host Fresno St. on Saturday as seven-point favorites.

--Nevada QB Cody Fajardo has been downgraded to ‘doubtful’ Saturday at UNLV. Fajardo suffered a lower back injury in last week’s 35-28 home win over Wyoming. He has passed for 1,465 yards and rushed for 521. Fajardo has a 9/3 TD-INT ratio and seven rushing scores.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:04 AM
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My Best Bets Till 4pm Eastern: Good Luck !

Saturday, October 13

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Louisville - 11:00 AM ET Pittsburgh +3 500
Pittsburgh -

Kansas State - 12:00 PM ET Kansas State -6 500
Iowa State -

Iowa - 12:00 PM ET Iowa +7.5 500
Michigan State - Under 39 500

Northwestern - 12:00 PM ET Northwestern -3.5 500
Minnesota -

Syracuse - 12:00 PM ET Rutgers -7 500
Rutgers -

Texas - 12:00 PM ET Texas +3.5 500
Oklahoma - Under 58.5 500

Alabama-Birmingham - 12:00 PM ET Houston -13.5 500
Houston -

Kent State - 12:00 PM ET Kent State -2 500
Army -

Wisconsin - 12:00 PM ET Wisconsin +1 500
Purdue -

Auburn - 12:21 PM ET Mississippi -6 500
Mississippi - Under 49 500

Duke - 12:30 PM ET Duke +10 500
Virginia Tech -

Temple - 1:00 PM ET Temple +5.5 500
Connecticut -

Toledo - 1:00 PM ET Toledo -14.5 500
Eastern Michigan -

Southern Methodist - 1:00 PM ET Southern Methodist -18.5 500
Tulane -

Akron - 2:00 PM ET Ohio -20.5 500
Ohio -

North Carolina - 2:30 PM ET North Carolina -7.5 500
Miami -

Utah - 3:00 PM ET UCLA -9.5 500
UCLA -

Maryland - 3:00 PM ET Maryland +2 500
Virginia -

Western Michigan - 3:00 PM ET Western Michigan +3 500
Ball State -

Nevada - 3:00 PM ET UNLV +11 500
UNLV -

Fresno State - 3:30 PM ET Fresno State +7 500
Boise State -

Stanford - 3:30 PM ET Notre Dame -7 500
Notre Dame -

Alabama - 3:30 PM ET Missouri +22 500
Missouri -

Texas-San Antonio - 3:30 PM ET Texas-San Antonio +2.5 500
Rice -

Oregon State - 3:30 PM ET Brigham Young -5.5 500
Brigham Young -

Oklahoma State - 3:30 PM ET Kansas +27.5 500
Kansas -

West Virginia - 3:30 PM ET Texas Tech +3.5 500
Texas Tech -

Illinois - 3:30 PM ET Michigan -25 500
Michigan -

Miami (Ohio) - 3:30 PM ET Bowling Green -7.5 500
Bowling Green -

Buffalo - 3:30 PM ET Northern Illinois -14 500
Northern Illinois -

Utah State - 4:00 PM ET San Jose State -3 500
San Jose State -

Memphis - 4:30 PM ET Memphis +17 500
East Carolina -

Boston College - 5:30 PM ET Boston College +28 500
Florida State -

Florida - 6:00 PM ET Florida -9 500
Vanderbilt -

Middle Tennessee - 6:00 PM ET Middle Tennessee -2.5 500
Florida International -

Colorado State - 6:30 PM ET San Diego State -22.5 500
San Diego State -




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-13-12 05:37 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Evening Best Bets:


Colorado State - 6:30 PM ET San Diego State -22.5 500
San Diego State -

Kentucky - 7:00 PM ET Kentucky +17 500
Arkansas -

Texas Christian - 7:00 PM ET Texas Christian +6.5 500
Baylor -

Southern California - 7:00 PM ET Washington +13.5 500
Washington -

Idaho - 7:00 PM ET Texas State -2.5 500
Texas State -

South Alabama - 7:00 PM ET Arkansas State -19.5 500
Arkansas State -

Air Force - 7:00 PM ET Wyoming +4 500
Wyoming -

Ohio State - 8:00 PM ET Indiana +18 500
Indiana -

South Carolina - 8:00 PM ET South Carolina +3 500
Louisiana State -

Southern Mississippi - 8:00 PM ET Southern Mississippi +16 500
Central Florida -

Florida Atlantic - 8:00 PM ET UL Monroe -22.5 500
UL Monroe -

Tennessee - 9:00 PM ET Mississippi State -3 500
Mississippi State -

Texas A&M - 9:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech +9 500
Louisiana Tech -

California - 10:30 PM ET Washington State +7 500
Washington State -

New Mexico - 11:59 PM ET Hawaii +2 500
Hawaii -




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-14-12 12:24 AM
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