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wildcat76
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thanks for these

Old Post 03-29-13 12:24 AM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Saturday, March 30

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Syracuse - 4:30 PM ET Syracuse -5 500
Marquette - Under 128 500 POD # 5

Evansville - 5:00 PM ET East Carolina +1.5 500
East Carolina - Under 150.5 POD # 6
500
Wichita St. - 7:05 PM ET Ohio St. -4 500 POD # 1
Ohio St. - Over 130 500 POD # 2

Weber St. - 8:00 PM ET Weber St. +4.5 500 POD # n3
Northern Iowa - Over 137.5 500 POD # 4




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-30-13 07:46 PM
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NCAAB
Dunkel

Wichita State vs. Ohio State
The Shockers look to build on their 6-2 ATS record in their last 8 games against a team with a winning percentage above .600. Wichita State is the pick (+4 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Buckeyes favored by only 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+4 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SATURDAY, MARCH 30

Game 521-522: Syracuse vs. Marquette (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 71.864; Marquette 69.712
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 2; 132
Vegas Line: Syracuse by 4 1/2; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Marquette (+4 1/2); Over

Game 523-524: Wichita State vs. Ohio State (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 71.298; Ohio State 73.639
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 2 1/2; 127
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 4 1/2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (+4 1/2); Under

Game 525-526: Evansville at East Carolina (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 63.153; East Carolina 59.233
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 4; 146
Vegas Line: Evansville by 1 1/2; 151 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (-1 1/2); Under

Game 527-528: Weber State at Northern Iowa (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Weber State 63.566; Northern Iowa 64.399
Dunkel Line: Northern Iowa by 1; 140
Vegas Line: Northern Iowa by 4; 136 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (+4); Over




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Saturday, March 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SYRACUSE (29 - 9) vs. MARQUETTE (26 - 8) - 3/30/2013, 4:20 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 71-97 ATS (-35.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 244-200 ATS (+24.0 Units) in all games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 244-200 ATS (+24.0 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 19-8 ATS (+10.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 37-23 ATS (+11.7 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 51-29 ATS (+19.1 Units) in road games on Saturday games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 189-145 ATS (+29.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 113-84 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 22-12 ATS (+8.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARQUETTE is 4-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
MARQUETTE is 3-1 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WICHITA ST (29 - 8) vs. OHIO ST (29 - 7) - 3/30/2013, 6:55 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 263-216 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all games since 1997.
OHIO ST is 263-216 ATS (+25.4 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
OHIO ST is 182-142 ATS (+25.8 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
OHIO ST is 45-25 ATS (+17.5 Units) when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
OHIO ST is 203-157 ATS (+30.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 132-97 ATS (+25.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 49-31 ATS (+14.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in road games after allowing 60 points or less since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 16-8 ATS (+7.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

EVANSVILLE (21 - 14) at E CAROLINA (21 - 12) - 3/30/2013, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
EVANSVILLE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all games this season.
EVANSVILLE is 20-12 ATS (+6.8 Units) in all lined games this season.
EVANSVILLE is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
EVANSVILLE is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
EVANSVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
E CAROLINA is 162-201 ATS (-59.1 Units) in all games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 162-201 ATS (-59.1 Units) in all lined games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in all home games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 67-93 ATS (-35.3 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 63-99 ATS (-45.9 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.
E CAROLINA is 50-80 ATS (-38.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WEBER ST (29 - 6) at N IOWA (21 - 14) - 3/30/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WEBER ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 84-55 ATS (+23.5 Units) on Saturday games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, March 30

Saturday's games
Marquette (+1.5) beat Syracuse 74-71 at home Feb 25, game they trailed by 11 in first half; Eagles outscored Orange 29-5 on foul line, making 29-35, while SU was just 5-7- both teams shot 57%+ inside arc. Gardner scored 27 points off bench for Marquette (7-7 from floor, 12-14 on foul line). Marquette held Miami to 35% Thursday in 71-61 win, playing a whole lot better than they did last week in two narrow wins. Syracuse won its three tourney games by 47-6-11 points- they're 3-2 in regional finals since '87, losing LY to Ohio State in this round. Since 2003, dogs covered last five regional finals with neither a #1 or #2 seed in them. Marquette (+5) upset Syracuse 66-62 in second round of '11 tourney.

Over last 17 years, underdogs are 9-8 in West region final (12-3 last 15 vs spread); Wichita State won 10 of last 13 games; they beat Iowa by 12 on neutral court Nov 21, its only game by Big Dozen foe. Shockers won first three tourney games by 18-6-14 points, wiith no opponent making more than 35.7% of its shots from floor. Ohio State won its last two games by 2-3 points- they've won 11 games in row since 71-49 loss at Wisconsin Feb 17. Buckeyes played four starters 30+ minutes in last games Thursday, couple subs got 14+ minutes- Ross had 17 points in 18 minutes off bench. OSU beat Memphis/Syracuse in regional finals in last six years. Wichita trying to be first Final Four team from MVC since Larry Bird's Indiana State team in '79.

Other tournaments
Evansville won seven of last eight games (lost by point to Indiana State in MVC tourney), with three of seven wins on road- they scored 84+ in last four wins. East Carolina won its last five home games- they haven't left home in this tournament, after losing at Tulsa in C-USA tourney.

Weber State won 16 of last 17 games, with only loss at Montana by 3 in Big Sky tourney final; this is Wildcats' first road game since then, with home wins by 42-21-9 since then. Northern Iowa won home games by 11-12-14 in this event; they've won 10 of last 13 overall, are 2-0 vs Big Sky teams this year, beating North Dakota by 25, No Colorado by 17.




NCAAB

Saturday, March 30

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4:30 PM
SYRACUSE vs. MARQUETTE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Marquette's last 5 games
Marquette is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

5:00 PM
EVANSVILLE vs. EAST CAROLINA
Evansville is 5-14 SU in its last 19 games on the road
East Carolina is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 11 of East Carolina's last 16 games

7:05 PM
WICHITA STATE vs. OHIO STATE
No trends available
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Ohio State's last 6 games

8:00 PM
WEBER STATE vs. NORTHERN IOWA
Weber State is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Northern Iowa is 10-2 SU in its last 12 games at home
Northern Iowa is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB

Saturday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Syracuse vs. Marquette: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Syracuse Orange (-3.5, 128)

The conference that is disintegrating due to the realignment chaos is assured of having a team in the Final Four. Big East mates Syracuse and Marquette square off Saturday in Washington D.C. in the East Regional final, marking the first time since 2009 that teams from the same conference will compete for a Final Four berth. The fourth-seeded Orange dominated top-seeded Indiana on Thursday while third-seeded Marquette thrashed second-seeded Miami.

The Golden Eagles defeated Syracuse 74-71 on Feb. 25 in the lone regular-season meeting. Marquette squeezed past Davidson and Butler in its first two NCAA Tournament games, which made the rout of the Hurricanes particularly impressive. “They dominated a team that won the regular-season ACC and the ACC tournament,” Orange coach Jim Boeheim said. “Tremendous team and Marquette dominated the game.” Syracuse frustrated Indiana 61-50 after posting earlier tournament victories over Montana and California. Golden Eagles junior guard Vander Blue knows his team will be the underdog. “We’re used to people not giving us credit, saying we were no good,” Blue said. “If you were to look at our roster, no one would expect us to be an Elite Eight team.” The last time conference foes battled for a Final Four spot also featured two Big East squads – Villanova defeating Pittsburgh.

TV: 4:30 p.m. ET, CBS.

ABOUT MARQUETTE (26-8): The Golden Eagles are led by Blue, but feature a wealth of contributors who are capable of stepping up at any time. Junior forward Jamil Wilson had 16 points and eight rebounds against Miami, while Blue and junior reserve forward Davante Gardner contributed 14 points apiece. In fact, Gardner’s 11.4 average is second on the squad behind Blue’s 14.8. Wilson averages 9.9 points, senior guard Junior Cadougan averages 8.6 and senior wing Trent Lockett contributes 7.2 points and a team-best 5.1 rebounds. A blue-collar mentality sometimes leads to Marquette being overshadowed by more talented teams. “We want to keep being the hunters,” Blue said. “We don’t want to be the hunted.”

ABOUT SYRACUSE (29-9): Sophomore point guard Michael Carter-Williams had a spectacular game against Indiana with a career-best 24 points to go with six rebounds and four steals. “This was the best he’s played all year,” Boeheim said. “He was tremendous. He was the difference in the game on offense, clearly.” Williams ranks fourth on the Orange at 12.1 points per game while averaging a team-best 7.5 assists. He has 104 steals, one of three players nationally with 100 or more. Junior forward C.J. Fair averages a team-high 14.4 points and also grabs a team-leading seven rebounds per game, while senior guard Brandon Triche (13.8) and senior forward James Southerland (13.4) also score in double digits.

TRENDS:

* Orange are 0-5 ATS in their last five Saturday games.
* Over is 4-0 in Golden Eagles’ last four games following a win.
* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Orange are 0-5 ATS in the last five meetings.

TIP-INS

1. Gardner scored 26 points in Marquette’s February win over the Orange. Fair scored 20 to lead Syracuse.

2. Syracuse is attempting to reach the Final Four for the first time since the Carmelo Anthony-led team won the 2003 national title.

3. Marquette is also vying to return to the Final Four for the first time since 2003, when Dwyane Wade was the team’s star player.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB

Saturday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wichita State vs. Ohio State: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-30-13 07:53 PM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB

Saturday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Wichita State vs. Ohio State: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Wichita State Shockers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-4, 130)

Ohio State has become accustomed to coming up with critical shots late in the NCAA Tournament in its quest for a second consecutive Final Four. Wichita State has simply played big as it pursues a regional final victory for the second time in school history. The teams meet for the first time since 1963 on Saturday in Los Angeles for the right to represent the West Region in the Final Four.

For the second straight game, Ohio State drained a 3-pointer in the waning seconds to break a tie and advance. After Ohio State used a 3-pointer from Aaron Craft to break Iowa State’s heart on Sunday, LaQuinton Ross hit one to sink Arizona on Thursday. The Buckeyes will put their 11-game winning streak on the line against the Shockers, who followed their upset win over top-seeded Gonzaga last Saturday with an impressive victory over La Salle on Thursday.

TV: 7:05 p.m. ET, CBS.

ABOUT WICHITA STATE (29-8): Carl Hall dominated the undersized Explorers inside, hitting his first five shots and scoring 14 of his 16 points inside the paint. The Shockers recorded 40 points in the paint against La Salle and took 43 shots inside, the most such attempts for a team in this tournament. Wichita State’s tournament opponents – Pittsburgh, Gonzaga and La Salle – each entered their games with the Shockers shooting at least 45 percent, but the teams combined to shoot 35.5 percent against the Missouri Valley Conference’s top-ranked field-goal percentage defense.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (29-7): Unlike the play that left Craft open for a 3-pointer against the Cyclones, the pivotal moment in the win Thursday came when Arizona overcommitted to the Buckeyes’ point guard. "It was similar to the play we ran last game," Ross said. "We like to get the (big men) on a pick-and-roll. It so happened they messed up the switch there and I was able to knock down the shot." Perhaps one of the biggest turnarounds the team has made lately is beyond the arc. In three NCAA Tournament games, Ohio State is a combined 23-for-46 (50 percent) from the 3-point line after shooting 35.9 percent over its first 33 contests.

TRENDS:

* Shockers are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 6-0 in Buckeyes’ last six Saturday games.
* Over is 4-1 in Shockers’ last five non-conference games.
* Shockers are 4-0 ATS in their last four non-conference games.

TIP-INS

1. Craft and Ross are two of only four players in this tournament to make a potential game-tying or go-ahead field goal in the final 10 seconds of a game.

2. Wichita State, one win shy of its first 30-win season, is seeking its first Final Four since 1965.

3. The Buckeyes are 8-2 all-time as a No. 2 seed in the NCAA Tournament.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB

Saturday, March 30

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA's biggest betting mismatches: Saturday's Elite Eight
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Syracuse Orange vs. Marquette Golden Eagles (+3, 127)

Orange’s flat final 20 vs. Golden Eagles’ halftime adjustments

Marquette won the lone meeting with the Orange this season, putting together a strong second-half push to win 74-71 as a 1.5-point home underdog in February. Second-half adjustments are the Golden Eagles’ calling card in March, having won in comeback fashion in their first two NCAA games, versus Davidson and Butler, before steamrolling Miami Thursday.

Syracuse has been a poor second-half squad all season. The Orange ranked fifth in the country in first half margin (+8.7) but ran out of steam in the final 20 minutes, boasting an average margin of just +3.4. The Orange were outscored in the second half versus Indiana and Cal – which resulted in a backdoor cover for the Golden Bears - and who can forget their embarrassing 16-point collapse to Louisville in the conference title game. It’s enough to turn Orange bettors green.


Wichita State Shockers vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-6.5, 132)

Shockers’ deep bench vs. Buckeyes’ short reserves

Just like a swarm of bugs, the Shockers have strength in numbers. Wichita State head coach Gregg Marshall rolls out wave after wave of players, frustrating foes with their pressure defense and physical play. Just like a boxer working the body, WSU’s “Play Angry” philosophy wears on opponents and leaves them gasping for air come crunch time. The Shockers have gone at least 10 deep into their bench in each of their tournament games.

Ohio State head coach Thad Matta is not as trusting with his reserves. The Buckeyes have water wings on when it comes to their bench and try not to go too deep. They usually run an eight-man rotation and only two of those backups - Shannon Scott and LaQuinton Ross – get serious minutes. The grind of the tournament will never be more prominent for OSU than against the relentless Shockers Saturday. The Buckeyes have to avoid early foul trouble, especially PG Aaron Craft who picked up four personals versus Arizona.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-30-13 07:54 PM
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CNOTES
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NCAAB
Short Sheet

Saturday, March 30

NCAA Tournament, Elite Eight

Syracuse vs. Marquette, 4:30 ET CBS
Syracuse: 9-2 ATS off BB non-conference games
Marquette: 4-11 ATS off BB SU wins

Wichita State vs. Ohio State, 7:05 ET CBS
Wichita State: 4-18 ATS as a neutral court underdog of 6 points or less
Ohio State: 22-10 ATS away after having 9 or less assists


CIT Tournament, Semifinals

Evansville at East Carolina, 5:00 ET
Evansville: 14-1 ATS off 3+ games scoring 75+ points
East Carolina: 12-25 ATS at home off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games

Weber State at Northern Iowa, 8:00 ET
Weber State: 7-1 ATS after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Northern Iowa: 30-15 Under in tournament games
Reply With Quote




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-30-13 08:04 PM
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CNOTES
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Posts: 10543

Sunday's Elite Eight

March 30, 2013


The Final Four takes place next Saturday at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, as two more spots need to be filled out on the dance card. Four big-time programs look to advance to the Peach State, as Florida takes on Michigan, while Duke battles Louisville. We'll begin in the Lone Star State with two schools that have gotten together for bowl games, but not tournament showdowns.

South Regional

(3) Florida vs. (4) Michigan - 2:20 PM EST - CBS

Both the Gators and Wolverines had to rally from double-digit deficits on Friday night to advance to the Elite Eight, but both squads put together their comebacks in different ways. Florida erased an early 15-4 deficit to upstart Florida Gulf Coast en route to a 62-50 victory, but the Gators didn't cash as 14-point favorites. Meanwhile, Michigan pulled off a bit more dramatic rally to reach the round of eight.

Kansas sat two minutes away from the regional final, but the Jayhawks squandered a 10-point lead late in regulation as Trey Burke's three-pointer in the final seconds forced overtime. The Wolverines responded in the extra session by capping off a 33-17 run in a 12-minute span to upend the Jayhawks, 87-85 to cash as 1 ½-point underdogs. Burke put the Wolverines on his back by scoring 13 points in a 5 ½-minute stretch, giving Michigan its first Elite Eight appearance since 1994.

The Gators covered in their first two tournament games in victories over Northwestern State and Minnesota, while Billy Donovan's team failed to knock down some key free throws in the final seconds in the non-cover against Florida Gulf Coast. Florida fell to 6-11 ATS the last 17 games, but eight of those ATS defeats came as 'chalk' of 10 points or more. As a favorite of single-digits, the Gators own a mediocre 3-4 ATS record, including outright losses away from Gainesville against Kentucky, Missouri, and Arizona.

Michigan closed the regular season with a 1-9 ATS record in the final 10 games, but John Beilein's club has cashed four of five postseason contests (including the Big 10 tournament). The Wolverines are just 2-2 ATS this season when receiving points, as the Maize and Blue did lose outright at Indiana and Ohio State as underdogs. Michigan has trended towards the 'over' in the 'dog role, cashing three times in four opportunities.

Florida is listed at 2 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 131.

Midwest Regional

(1) Louisville vs. (2) Duke - 5:05 PM EST - CBS

The only top-seed left in the tournament is Louisville, who plays with revenge after losing to Duke in the Bahamas back in November. The Cardinals won their 13th straight game following Friday's 77-69 Sweet 16 triumph over Oregon, but Louisville couldn't close for backers as 11-point favorites. Rick Pitino's squad led by 14 points at the half, as the Ducks grabbed a backdoor cover with a layup in the final 30 seconds.

Seth Curry lifted Duke's offense to a Sweet 16 triumph over Michigan State on Friday, 71-61 as two-point favorites. Curry scored a game-high 29 points, including six three-pointers, while the Blue Devils knocked down 24-of-26 free throws to ice the victory. The game barely finished 'under' the total of 132 ½, in spite of Duke hitting all eight free throws in the final two minutes.

The Blue Devils held off the Cardinals as 1-point underdogs at the Battle 4 Atlantis during Thanksgiving weekend, 76-71. Duke shot just 5-of-20 from three-point range, including a 2-of-9 effort from Curry. Louisville rallied from an eight-point deficit to make things interesting, but Quinn Cook scored the final eight points for Duke to hand the Cardinals their first loss of the season.

Since the start of February, Mike Kryzyewski's team has covered consecutive games four times. However, the Blue Devils were unable to cash in the third opportunity, including outright losses to Virginia and Maryland. Duke enters this situation off back-to-back ATS wins over Creighton and Michigan State.

During this 13-game hot streak, the Cardinals have drilled the 'over' in eight consecutive contests, while posting a 9-1 ATS record in the last 10 victories. This is the third time the Cardinals are playing with revenge this season, as the Big East champions won and covered against Syracuse and Notre Dame after losing to those teams earlier in the campaign.

Louisville is listed as 3 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 137.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-31-13 08:17 PM
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CNOTES
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Armadillo: Sunday's six-pack

Odds to win next fall's college football championship......

3-1-- Alabama-- Why not? They've won the last two years.

8-1-- Oregon-- Can the new coach maintain their momentum?

10-1-- LSU-- If Les Miles plays Scrabble, he probably tries to use words that don't exist, just to see if he can get away with it.

10-1-- Ohio State-- Urban Meyer's daughter plays volleyball at that noted sports factory, Florida Gulf Coast.

14-1-- Texas A&M-- Kind of high for a team with a sophomore QB-- oh wait, forget I said that (it was a JOKE!!!!).

15-1-- Florida and Florida State. Four SEC teams in the top seven.


*****

Armadillo: Sunday's List of 13: Wrapping up a sports Saturday.......

13) Steve Alford to UCLA? Wow. He gets $2.6M a year for seven years and his son Bryce, who scored 37 ppg in high school this year, gets an upgrade from playing in the Pit to Pauley Pavilion, while still playing for his dad. So UCLA wins the press conference, hiring a famous name to replace the fired Ben Howland, who made it to three Final Fours in ten years.

12) Like we said, Howland made it to three Final Fours in Westwood; he won the Pac-12 regular season this year, was 25-10 and he got canned. There are significant expectations involved with coaching the Bruins. Alford seems to be a good coach but his record in the NCAAs is 5-7. Uh-oh.

11) Alford is hoping his assistant coach Craig Neal replaces him with the Lobos, since New Mexico has everyone back next year and figures to win the Mountain West again. New Mexico gets tremendous crowd support and they recruit well, so its a good job that also has high expectations.

10) Alford recently signed a 10-year extension at New Mexico, but these days, contracts don't mean much-- the extension was going to start Monday, but instead, New Mexico is looking for its new coach, and Alford is house shopping and then recruiting. Coaching is an interesting profession.

9) Wichita State has six players who played JC basketball; all three of their assistant coaches also once worked at junior colleges.

8) Not sure why, but it bothers me when TV announcers call Syracuse "the 'cuse". So many of ESPN's play-by-play guys went to Syracuse, can't help but think they get preferential treatment from the media. Lets see how the media deals with it when they go on probation soon, and they are going to go on probation, if half of what is being written is true.

7) All minor league baseball players have to wear the two-flap batting helmets now, but major leaguers don't have to.

6) One of these years, would be nice if A's didn't open the season with the Mariners, so they didn't have to see Felix Hernandez in the opener. In 2012, they played Seattle over in Japan, so they had to face Hernandez in both the first and third games. Not the best planning there.

5) It never ends: a horse ran at Golden Gate Saturday: Trust in Tebow.

4) Kevin Kolb gets $13M for two years from Buffalo; what has this guy done to keep getting paid so much money?

3) Syracuse 55, Marquette 39-- Eagles shot 22.6% from floor. Gardner was 6-9, rest of team was a miserable 6-44. Marquette played scared.

2) Wichita State 70, Ohio State 66-- Shockers led 53-33 with 11:30 left in game, hung on for dear life to become first #9 seed to make Final Four in 64-team era of tournament. Penn was a #9 seed that made it back in 1979.

1) Its a cold world; weird seeing Johan Santana getting released in our 16-team fantasy baseball league, and knowing no one will pick him up.
Reply With Quote




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-31-13 08:26 PM
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CNOTES
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Posts: 10543

Sunday, March 31

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Duke - 5:05 PM ET Louisville -3.5 500 POD

Louisville - Over 137.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-31-13 09:15 PM
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CNOTES
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Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday, April 1

CBI Tournament, Championship Series (Game One)

George Mason at Santa Clara, 10:00 ET
George Mason: 2-8 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Santa Clara: 8-0 ATS in postseason tournament games




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-01-13 08:20 PM
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CNOTES
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NCAAB
Dunkel

George Mason at Santa Clara
The Patriots look to take advantage of a Santa Clara team that is 7-21 ATS in its last 28 home games. George Mason is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by only 5 1/2. Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+7 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY, APRIL 1

Game 747-748: George Mason at Santa Clara (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: George Mason 56.102; Santa Clara 61.615
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 5 1/2; 149
Vegas Line: Santa Clara by 7 1/2; 145 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (+7 1/2); Over




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, April 1

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GEORGE MASON (21 - 14) at SANTA CLARA (24 - 11) - 4/1/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 23-34 ATS (-14.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 8-20 ATS (-14.0 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, April 1

Santa Clara won its last four home games, by 9-10-23-10 points; they're still playing after winning at Purdue/Wright State last week. Broncos are 21-4 this season vs teams ranked outside the top 100 (George Mason is #137). Seven of Mason's last eight games were decided by six points or less, or in OT; they've won four of last five true road games. This is the first game of a best-of-3 series. Patriots are 2-4 vs teams ranked in top 100; its first one they've played since beating Richmond 67-64 Dec 22 (Santa Clara is #78). Over is 11-3 in last 14 Mason games, 4-1 last five Bronco games. Patriots covered six of last eight games as an underdog.




NCAAB

Monday, April 1

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Trend Report
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10:00 PM
GEORGE MASON vs. SANTA CLARA
George Mason is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of George Mason's last 5 games on the road
Santa Clara is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Santa Clara is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-01-13 08:23 PM
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Monday, April 1

Game Score Status Pick Amount

George Mason - 10:00 PM ET George Mason +7 500 POD

Santa Clara - Under 145.5 500 POD




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-01-13 08:25 PM
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Where the action is: Early Final Four line moves

Brackets have been busted, Cinderella has been crowned, and the tournament’s top team looks better than ever. Everything is set for a fantastic Final Four Saturday, including the odds.

Sportsbooks opened betting on the two Final Four matchups – Louisville vs. Wichita State and Syracuse vs. Michigan – Sunday night and already some of those lines have moved.

We talk to veteran oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro of William Hill Sportsbooks in Nevada and Michael Stewart, oddsmaker with online book CarbonSports.ag, about the early action on this weekend’s NCAA games.

Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals – Open: -10, Move: -10.5

The tournament’s top seed looked dominant versus Duke and garnered a double-digit spread versus the NCAA’s Cinderella in the Final Four. According to CarbonSports.ag, sharp money swooped in and immediately pushed the spread to -10, a trend they expect will continue.

“We went to -10.5 late last night and that has stopped the bleeding some, but I do believe it's going to be a case where the public is going to continue to play Louisville,” Stewart told Covers. “Unless a sharp betting group comes in on the dog, this line closes Louisville -11.”

Things have been a little quieter in Las Vegas, where the line can still be had at Louisville -10. Vaccaro says that only one bettor looking to make a big wager on this game won’t do it right now, with the line expected to climb before the weekend.

He is also happy to see Louisville in the driver’s seat during Final Four weekend. The Cardinals present the biggest win for the book in terms of futures action, with teams like Ohio State and Miami – the biggest threats to the futures book – knocked off last week.

“Louisville is the biggest pick up for us. It’s the same thing year after year. These big faves don’t really hold any value come tournament time,” Vaccaro told Covers. “We have a little (futures money) on Michigan but nothing on Wichita State and nothing really on Syracuse. People forgot about them when things went bad at the end of the season.”

The total for Saturday’s game between Louisville and Wichita State has moved slightly depending on where you bet. The number climbed from 129.5 to as high as 131 points at some books while others haven’t taken much action on the over/under.

“The public usually doesn't get involved with totals until the day of the game and wiseguys are most likely waiting to bet them once our limits go up,” says Stewart.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange – Open: +2, Move: +2.5

Books debated opening this spread at Michigan -1.5 and some oddsmakers suggested this Final Four matchup was more in the pick’em range. Early money on the Wolverines bumped the spread to -2.5 and moneyline bettors didn’t bother with the spread, taking the Wolverines outright.

“We took a nice play on the Wolverines’ moneyline but that’s about it,” says Vaccaro, who told Covers the spread hasn’t moved much since post. “The smarts aren’t going to jump in right now. We’ve taken a little bit of action on Michigan.”

The total for this game has remained relatively steady, with some markets bumping the number from 130.5 to 131 points. According to CarbonSports.ag, the action is split on the over/under.

Syracuse’s zone defense has been especially stingy in the tournament, limiting opponents to just 61 total field goals and forcing 67 turnovers in four games while playing under the total in three of those contests. Michigan, on the other hand, is averaging just under 79 points in the NCAA and has topped the total in its last two outings.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-02-13 03:34 AM
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NCAA tournament's biggest betting mismatches: Final Four

Finding a chink in the oddsmakers’ armor is tough come tournament time. We peel back Saturday’s Final Four matchups in search of some underlying mismatches that could make or break your college basketball bets.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange (+2.5, 131)

Wolverines’ four-guard set vs. Orange’s long, athletic zone

Michigan’s high-powered offense is driven by a four-guard set featuring freshman big Mitch McGary as the only starter over 6-foot-6. The Wolverines are able to play at a very quick pace, averaging nearly 75 points on 58 field goal attempts per game. Many of those come from behind the arc and Michigan may have to rely on its 3-point shooting versus Syracuse Saturday.

With the Orange’s 2-3 zone plugging up the paint, the Maize and Blue could be left with little choice but to launch from distance. Michigan is among the best 3-point shooting teams in the country and is shooting 40 percent for the tournament.

Syracuse’s long defenders forced Indiana – another premier perimeter team – to chuck up bricks from outside, limiting the Hoosiers to 3-of-15 shooting from 3-point range. The Orange defense is getting a hand up on outside shooters while slowing games to a standstill - not Michigan’s type of party. Cuse has locked down tournament foes to just 61 total field goals in its four games so far.

Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals (-10.5, 130.5)

Shockers’ second-chance buckets vs. Cardinals’ poor glass cleaning

Wichita State has hustled its way into the Final Four, surprising opponents and the nation with great defense, terrific team play, and relentless work on the glass. The Shockers were 25th in the country in rebounding and are especially dangerous on the offensive boards – 38th in Div. 1.

In the tournament, they’ve been out-rebounded only once (vs. Gonzaga) and more than 32 percent of their total boards are coming off the offensive glass. That’s led to plenty of second-chance looks for WSU.

Louisville has barely broken a sweat in the tournament with its closest game coming versus Oregon in the Sweet 16. The Cardinals don’t have many weaknesses but they have been soft on the boards, allowing opponents to grab 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this season.

Louisville allowed the Ducks to pull down 11 offensive rebounds and escaped with an eight-point win, it’s only blown cover since Dec. 23. The Cardinals failed to out-rebound their opponents in all but one of their five losses this season, giving up an average of 10.2 offensive boards in those games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-02-13 03:36 AM
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NIT Semifinals: What bettors need to know

BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears (-3, 153)

The first of the two National Invitation Tournament semifinal games at Madison Square Garden figures to be a high-scoring and entertaining one. Baylor comes in averaging 93.3 in its three previous NIT wins while Brigham Young is averaging 86.3 and scored 90 points in victories over Washington and Mercer.

BYU, which won NIT titles in 1951 and 1966, leads the all-time series with Baylor, 5-4. The two teams already met once this season with Baylor claiming a 79-64 win on Dec. 21 in Waco. The Bears also defeated the Cougars a year earlier in Provo, 86-83. This marks just the second time in school history that BYU has played a game in April. The Cougars lost to Colorado, 16-10, on April 2, 1903 in Provo. "I encouraged the guys today to score a couple more points than maybe that team did," Cougar coach Dave Rose joked to the Salt Lake Tribune.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2

ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (24-11, 16-17-1 ATS): The Cougars looked at the NIT as a chance for redemption and have made the most of it following a 72-69 loss to San Diego in the quarterfinals of the West Coast Conference tournament which snuffed out any chance for an NCAA at-large berth. BYU, which struggled with its 3-point shooting much of the season, connected for a season-best 11 treys in its 79-62 quarterfinal win at Southern Miss on Wednesday and has been hitting on all cylinders offensively in the NIT. BYU finished with 24 assists on its 26 field goals against the Golden Eagles. "We went to six straight NCAA Tournaments before this year, and I don't remember being any more excited than we are right now," Rose told the Salt Lake Tribune. "I mean, this is really good for our team. It is really good for our program." Sophomore guard Tyler Haws leads the Cougars in scoring (21.6) and is shooting 38.4 percent from 3-point range while lanky 6-9 senior forward Brandon Davies (17.8) is an NBA prospect who has 24 career double-doubles.

ABOUT BAYLOR (21-14, 15-15-0 ATS): Like BYU, the Bears come in on a roll offensively. Baylor shot a school-record 69.6 percent (16-of-23) from 3-point range in its 112-66 win over Long Beach State in its NIT opener and finished with 31 assists. The Bears had five turnovers in their 79-68 quarterfinal win over Providence, tying for the fewest in the 10-year Scott Drew coaching era. Senior point guard Pierre Jackson, who leads the Big 12 in scoring (19.7) and assists (6.9), set an NIT record with 16 assists in the Bears' 89-86 second round victory over Arizona State and has scored in double figures in 41 of his last 42 games. Junior forward Cory Jefferson (12.8) leads the Big 12 in field goal percentage (60.3) while 7-1 freshman center Isaiah Austin has 10 double-doubles and ranks third in the Big 12 in rebounding (8.3).

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12.
* Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Over is 6-2 in Cougars' last eight vs. Big 12.
* Over is 9-4 in Bears' last 13 non-conference games.

TIP-INS:

1. Haws, the WCC scoring leader (21.6), has scored 20 or more points in 24 games this season.

2. Baylor G Brady Heslip is shooting 58 percent (30-of-52) from 3-point range in seven career postseason games for Baylor.

3. PG Matt Carlino is averaging 17.7 points, nine assists and 6.3 rebounds in three NIT games for BYU while also connecting on 13-of-29 3-pointers (44.8 percent).

Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins (+2.5, 136)

Maryland, which upset No. 1 seed Alabama, 58-57, in the quarterfinals, makes its third appearance in the National Invitation Tournament semifinals. The Terrapins, who captured the 1972 title with wins over Jacksonville and Niagara, fell in the 2005 semis to South Carolina. Maryland has won five of its last six games with the lone loss to North Carolina, 79-76, in the semifinals of the ACC tournament.

Iowa advanced to the NIT semifinals for the first time in school history with a 75-64 victory at Virginia on Wednesday, snapping the Cavaliers' 19-game home win streak. The Hawkeyes have won 10 of their last 13 games and have done so by an average of 13.2 points per game. It's the third meeting between the two schools. Maryland has won both including a 83-65 victory in 1999 in the last meeting.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2

ABOUT IOWA (24-12, 23-9-0 ATS): The Hawkeyes, who start just one senior in guard Eric May, are a team to keep an eye on in 2013-14. Since Feb. 6, only Ohio State (11) has more victories than Iowa (10) in the Big Ten. Six of the Hawkeyes' nine losses in Big Ten play were by margins of four points or less including two in overtime and one in double overtime. Junior guard Roy Devyn Marble leads the team in scoring (15.1) and is averaging 25.3 points, 5.3 assists and three steals in three NIT games. Alex Woodbury, a 7-1 freshman center, had 10 points and eight rebounds in the quarterfinal upset of Virginia and figures to play a key role defensively against Maryland 7-1 sophomore center Alex Len, a probable high NBA lottery pick in June. "It's a great challenge for him," Iowa coach Fran McCaffery told Hawkcentral.com. "He's gone against other lottery picks this year. We'll see how it goes. He'll be ready for the challenge."

ABOUT MARYLAND (25-12, 17-12-1 ATS): Maryland hit the 25-win mark for the ninth time in school history and did it with a 10-man rotation that features seven underclassmen. All eyes will be on Len who is coming in off a Alabama game in which he finished with 15 points, 13 rebounds and five blocks. Another sophomore, swingman Dez Wells, leads the team in scoring (13.2) and is averaging 18.3 points in the postseason. Maryland leads the ACC and ranks 10th nationally in field goal percentage defense (38.4) and has held 21 of its 37 opponents to under 40 percent shooting.

TRENDS:

* Hawkeyes are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
* Terrapins are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Big Ten.
* Over is 4-1 in Hawkeyes' last five vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Over is 7-1 in Terrapins' last eight vs. Big Ten.

TIP-INS:

1. Maryland tops the ACC and ranks fourth nationally in rebounding margin at plus-8.7 per game.

2. Iowa has blocked a school-record 178 shots this season.

3. Freshman G Seth Allen, who averaged 7.8 points and 2.3 assists for the Terps, is out for the season after fracturing his hand in practice on March 24.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-02-13 03:38 AM
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Where the action is: Early Final Four line moves

Brackets have been busted, Cinderella has been crowned, and the tournament’s top team looks better than ever. Everything is set for a fantastic Final Four Saturday, including the odds.

Sportsbooks opened betting on the two Final Four matchups – Louisville vs. Wichita State and Syracuse vs. Michigan – Sunday night and already some of those lines have moved.

We talk to veteran oddsmaker Jimmy Vaccaro of William Hill Sportsbooks in Nevada and Michael Stewart, oddsmaker with online book CarbonSports.ag, about the early action on this weekend’s NCAA games.

Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals – Open: -10, Move: -10.5

The tournament’s top seed looked dominant versus Duke and garnered a double-digit spread versus the NCAA’s Cinderella in the Final Four. According to CarbonSports.ag, sharp money swooped in and immediately pushed the spread to -10, a trend they expect will continue.

“We went to -10.5 late last night and that has stopped the bleeding some, but I do believe it's going to be a case where the public is going to continue to play Louisville,” Stewart told Covers. “Unless a sharp betting group comes in on the dog, this line closes Louisville -11.”

Things have been a little quieter in Las Vegas, where the line can still be had at Louisville -10. Vaccaro says that only one bettor looking to make a big wager on this game won’t do it right now, with the line expected to climb before the weekend.

He is also happy to see Louisville in the driver’s seat during Final Four weekend. The Cardinals present the biggest win for the book in terms of futures action, with teams like Ohio State and Miami – the biggest threats to the futures book – knocked off last week.

“Louisville is the biggest pick up for us. It’s the same thing year after year. These big faves don’t really hold any value come tournament time,” Vaccaro told Covers. “We have a little (futures money) on Michigan but nothing on Wichita State and nothing really on Syracuse. People forgot about them when things went bad at the end of the season.”

The total for Saturday’s game between Louisville and Wichita State has moved slightly depending on where you bet. The number climbed from 129.5 to as high as 131 points at some books while others haven’t taken much action on the over/under.

“The public usually doesn't get involved with totals until the day of the game and wiseguys are most likely waiting to bet them once our limits go up,” says Stewart.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange – Open: +2, Move: +2.5

Books debated opening this spread at Michigan -1.5 and some oddsmakers suggested this Final Four matchup was more in the pick’em range. Early money on the Wolverines bumped the spread to -2.5 and moneyline bettors didn’t bother with the spread, taking the Wolverines outright.

“We took a nice play on the Wolverines’ moneyline but that’s about it,” says Vaccaro, who told Covers the spread hasn’t moved much since post. “The smarts aren’t going to jump in right now. We’ve taken a little bit of action on Michigan.”

The total for this game has remained relatively steady, with some markets bumping the number from 130.5 to 131 points. According to CarbonSports.ag, the action is split on the over/under.

Syracuse’s zone defense has been especially stingy in the tournament, limiting opponents to just 61 total field goals and forcing 67 turnovers in four games while playing under the total in three of those contests. Michigan, on the other hand, is averaging just under 79 points in the NCAA and has topped the total in its last two outings.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-03-13 12:10 AM
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NCAA tournament trends: Betting the Final Four

Listed below are some interesting trends and angles for the Final Four and National title game as college basketball betting head to Atlanta this weekend.

All results listed below are ATS (Against The Spread) and most recent since 1991 unless noted otherwise.

FINAL FOUR NOTES

• No. 1 Seed favorites 4 > pts are 6-1 ATS (Louisville)

• No. 8 or lower Seeds are 1-4 ATS (Wichita State)

• Favorites who won by 20 > pts are 0-4 ATS (Louisville)

• Favorites 4 > pts who scored 80 > pts in Elite Eight are 1-7 ATS (Louisville)

• Teams who are 4-0 ATS last four games are 8-15 ATS (Michigan, Wichita State)

• Big East teams are 0-3 ATS since 2004 (Louisville, Syracuse)

NATIONAL TITLE GAME NOTES

• No. 1 Seed favorites are 7-2 ATS

• No. 4 Seeds are 2-0 ATS

• No. 5 or worse Seeds are 0-5 SU and 1-4 ATS

• Favorites of 5 < pts are 11-1 ATS

• Favorites who scored 80 > pts in the Final Four are 5-1 ATS

• Teams with a win percentage of .810 < are 1-5 ATS

• Dogs > 2 pts who allowed 60 > pts in the Final Four are 0-5 ATS

• Dogs of 3 > pts off a SU dog win are 0-4 ATS

• Big East teams are 4-0 ATS

• Big 10 teams are 0-4 ATS

COACH ME UP

Louisville’s Rick Pitino is:

47-13 SU and 36-22-3 ATS in NCAA tournament
119-52 SU and 100-66-5 ATS vs. Big East
16-11 SU and 11-16 ATS vs. Big Ten
4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS vs. MVC
8-8 SU and 4-12 ATS vs. Beilein
12-5 SU and 10-6-1 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall

Michigan’s John Beilein is:

12-6 SU and 14-3-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
47-53 SU and 50-48-2 ATS vs. Big East
6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS vs. MVC
0-9 SU and 3-6 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall
2-2 SU AND 1-2-1 ATS vs. Pitino

Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim is:

34-18 SU and 27-21-2 ATS in NCAA tournament
13-4 SU and 11-6 ATS vs. Big Ten
292-160 SU and 219-227-5 ATS vs. Big East
4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. MVC
9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS vs. Beilein
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Marshall
1-0 5-12 SU and 6-10-1 ATS vs. Pitino

Wichita State’s Greg Marshall is:

4-1 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS vs. Big East
3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS vs. Big Ten
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Belein
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs. Pitino
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Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-03-13 12:12 AM
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NCAA tournament's biggest betting mismatches: Final Four

Finding a chink in the oddsmakers’ armor is tough come tournament time. We peel back Saturday’s Final Four matchups in search of some underlying mismatches that could make or break your college basketball bets.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange (+2.5, 131)

Wolverines’ four-guard set vs. Orange’s long, athletic zone

Michigan’s high-powered offense is driven by a four-guard set featuring freshman big Mitch McGary as the only starter over 6-foot-6. The Wolverines are able to play at a very quick pace, averaging nearly 75 points on 58 field goal attempts per game. Many of those come from behind the arc and Michigan may have to rely on its 3-point shooting versus Syracuse Saturday.

With the Orange’s 2-3 zone plugging up the paint, the Maize and Blue could be left with little choice but to launch from distance. Michigan is among the best 3-point shooting teams in the country and is shooting 40 percent for the tournament.

Syracuse’s long defenders forced Indiana – another premier perimeter team – to chuck up bricks from outside, limiting the Hoosiers to 3-of-15 shooting from 3-point range. The Orange defense is getting a hand up on outside shooters while slowing games to a standstill - not Michigan’s type of party. Cuse has locked down tournament foes to just 61 total field goals in its four games so far.


Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals (-10.5, 130.5)

Shockers’ second-chance buckets vs. Cardinals’ poor glass cleaning

Wichita State has hustled its way into the Final Four, surprising opponents and the nation with great defense, terrific team play, and relentless work on the glass. The Shockers were 25th in the country in rebounding and are especially dangerous on the offensive boards – 38th in Div. 1.

In the tournament, they’ve been out-rebounded only once (vs. Gonzaga) and more than 32 percent of their total boards are coming off the offensive glass. That’s led to plenty of second-chance looks for WSU.

Louisville has barely broken a sweat in the tournament with its closest game coming versus Oregon in the Sweet 16. The Cardinals don’t have many weaknesses but they have been soft on the boards, allowing opponents to grab 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this season.

Louisville allowed the Ducks to pull down 11 offensive rebounds and escaped with an eight-point win, it’s only blown cover since Dec. 23. The Cardinals failed to out-rebound their opponents in all but one of their five losses this season, giving up an average of 10.2 offensive boards in those games.
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Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-03-13 12:14 AM
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NCAA tournament's biggest betting mismatches: Final Four

Finding a chink in the oddsmakers’ armor is tough come tournament time. We peel back Saturday’s Final Four matchups in search of some underlying mismatches that could make or break your college basketball bets.

Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange (+2.5, 131)

Wolverines’ four-guard set vs. Orange’s long, athletic zone

Michigan’s high-powered offense is driven by a four-guard set featuring freshman big Mitch McGary as the only starter over 6-foot-6. The Wolverines are able to play at a very quick pace, averaging nearly 75 points on 58 field goal attempts per game. Many of those come from behind the arc and Michigan may have to rely on its 3-point shooting versus Syracuse Saturday.

With the Orange’s 2-3 zone plugging up the paint, the Maize and Blue could be left with little choice but to launch from distance. Michigan is among the best 3-point shooting teams in the country and is shooting 40 percent for the tournament.

Syracuse’s long defenders forced Indiana – another premier perimeter team – to chuck up bricks from outside, limiting the Hoosiers to 3-of-15 shooting from 3-point range. The Orange defense is getting a hand up on outside shooters while slowing games to a standstill - not Michigan’s type of party. Cuse has locked down tournament foes to just 61 total field goals in its four games so far.


Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals (-10.5, 130.5)

Shockers’ second-chance buckets vs. Cardinals’ poor glass cleaning

Wichita State has hustled its way into the Final Four, surprising opponents and the nation with great defense, terrific team play, and relentless work on the glass. The Shockers were 25th in the country in rebounding and are especially dangerous on the offensive boards – 38th in Div. 1.

In the tournament, they’ve been out-rebounded only once (vs. Gonzaga) and more than 32 percent of their total boards are coming off the offensive glass. That’s led to plenty of second-chance looks for WSU.

Louisville has barely broken a sweat in the tournament with its closest game coming versus Oregon in the Sweet 16. The Cardinals don’t have many weaknesses but they have been soft on the boards, allowing opponents to grab 9.9 offensive rebounds per game this season.

Louisville allowed the Ducks to pull down 11 offensive rebounds and escaped with an eight-point win, it’s only blown cover since Dec. 23. The Cardinals failed to out-rebound their opponents in all but one of their five losses this season, giving up an average of 10.2 offensive boards in those games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-03-13 12:15 AM
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NCAAB
Dunkel

Iowa vs. Maryland
The Terps look to build on their 6-0 ATS record in their last 6 games against a team with a winning SU record. Maryland is the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawkeyes favored by only 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

TUESDAY, APRIL 2

Game 767-768: BYU vs. Baylor (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 66.267; Baylor 70.385
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 4; 148
Vegas Line: Baylor by 3; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (-3); Under

Game 769-770: Iowa vs. Maryland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 69.537; Maryland 67.915
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 1 1/2; 131
Vegas Line: Iowa by 3 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Maryland (+3 1/2); Under

Game 771-772: East Carolina at Weber State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 57.314; Weber State 67.675
Dunkel Line: Weber State by 10 1/2; 142
Vegas Line: Weber State by 8; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Weber State (-8); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, April 2

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BYU (24 - 11) vs. BAYLOR (21 - 14) - 4/2/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 55-89 ATS (-42.9 Units) as an underdog since 1997.
BYU is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) as a neutral court underdog of 3 points or less or pick since 1997.
BYU is 7-18 ATS (-12.8 Units) in road games revenging a road loss vs opponent since 1997.
BYU is 19-39 ATS (-23.9 Units) in road games in all tournament games since 1997.
BYU is 64-101 ATS (-47.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
BAYLOR is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) versus good offensive teams - scoring 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
BAYLOR is 2-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BAYLOR is 2-0 straight up against BYU over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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IOWA (24 - 12) vs. MARYLAND (25 - 12) - 4/2/2013, 9:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 13-34 ATS (-24.4 Units) when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
MARYLAND is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MARYLAND is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
IOWA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 23-9 ATS (+13.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
IOWA is 17-5 ATS (+11.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IOWA is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
IOWA is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
IOWA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
MARYLAND is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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E CAROLINA (22 - 12) at WEBER ST (30 - 6) - 4/2/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
E CAROLINA is 51-80 ATS (-37.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points over the last 3 seasons.
WEBER ST is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) in all home games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 84-58 ATS (+20.2 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
WEBER ST is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in home games after scoring 60 points or less since 1997.
WEBER ST is 90-61 ATS (+22.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
WEBER ST is 28-9 ATS (+18.1 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Tuesday, April 2

NIT Tournament, Semifinals

BYU vs. Baylor, 7:00 ET ESPN2
BYU: 2-11 ATS off a road win by 10+ points
Baylor: 9-1 Over off an ATS win

Iowa vs. Maryland, 9:30 ET ESPN2
Iowa: 11-2 ATS off BB SU win
Maryland: 6-15 ATS after allowing 60 points or less


CIT Tournament, Championship Game

East Carolina at Weber State, 8:00 ET CBSS
East Carolina: 7-0 Over away in tournament games
Weber State: 10-1 ATS at home off a combined score of 115 points or less




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, April 2

Baylor (-7) beat BYU 79-64 Feb 21 in Waco, after falling behind 19-8 in first 8:00; Bears made 9-18 from arc- they've lost six of last seven road-neutral contests, with only win in stretch by 3 at West Virginia. BYU is 4-3 in last seven road/neutral games, winning at Southern Miss by 17 to get here. Cougars lost by 21 at Iowa State in its other game vs Big X foe.

Iowa lost by 16 at Va Tech in November, won by 11 at Virginia to get here, their two games vs ACC opponents; Hawkeyes won 10 of last 13 games, splitting last six road/neutral games. Inexperienced Iowa (#294 in experience) subs a lot (#34 in bench minutes). Maryland won five of last six games, losing by 3 to UNC in ACC tourney- they beat N'western by 20 in only game vs ACC foe. Mayrland is #322 in experience but they sub a lot too (#37 in bench minutes).

East Carolina won eight of last ten games but this is first time they'll be on road in this tournament; Pirates are #40 team in experience in nation, are 4-3 in last seven road/neutral games. Weber State should've been in NCAAs- they were best team in Big Sky. Wildcats won 17 of last 18, with only loss by 3 at Montana in Big Sky title game- their close win at Northern Iowa last game is very impressive. Weber has won 14 in a row at home since losing to BYU before Christmas.




NCAAB

Tuesday, April 2

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Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:00 PM
BYU vs. BAYLOR
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Baylor's last 6 games
Baylor is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. WEBER STATE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of East Carolina's last 7 games on the road
East Carolina is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Weber State's last 12 games at home
Weber State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

9:30 PM
IOWA vs. MARYLAND
No trends available
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Maryland's last 6 games


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB

Tuesday, April 2

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NIT Semifinals: What bettors need to know
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BYU Cougars vs. Baylor Bears (-3, 153)

The first of the two National Invitation Tournament semifinal games at Madison Square Garden figures to be a high-scoring and entertaining one. Baylor comes in averaging 93.3 in its three previous NIT wins while Brigham Young is averaging 86.3 and scored 90 points in victories over Washington and Mercer.

BYU, which won NIT titles in 1951 and 1966, leads the all-time series with Baylor, 5-4. The two teams already met once this season with Baylor claiming a 79-64 win on Dec. 21 in Waco. The Bears also defeated the Cougars a year earlier in Provo, 86-83. This marks just the second time in school history that BYU has played a game in April. The Cougars lost to Colorado, 16-10, on April 2, 1903 in Provo. "I encouraged the guys today to score a couple more points than maybe that team did," Cougar coach Dave Rose joked to the Salt Lake Tribune.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, ESPN2

ABOUT BRIGHAM YOUNG (24-11, 16-17-1 ATS): The Cougars looked at the NIT as a chance for redemption and have made the most of it following a 72-69 loss to San Diego in the quarterfinals of the West Coast Conference tournament which snuffed out any chance for an NCAA at-large berth. BYU, which struggled with its 3-point shooting much of the season, connected for a season-best 11 treys in its 79-62 quarterfinal win at Southern Miss on Wednesday and has been hitting on all cylinders offensively in the NIT. BYU finished with 24 assists on its 26 field goals against the Golden Eagles. "We went to six straight NCAA Tournaments before this year, and I don't remember being any more excited than we are right now," Rose told the Salt Lake Tribune. "I mean, this is really good for our team. It is really good for our program." Sophomore guard Tyler Haws leads the Cougars in scoring (21.6) and is shooting 38.4 percent from 3-point range while lanky 6-9 senior forward Brandon Davies (17.8) is an NBA prospect who has 24 career double-doubles.

ABOUT BAYLOR (21-14, 15-15-0 ATS): Like BYU, the Bears come in on a roll offensively. Baylor shot a school-record 69.6 percent (16-of-23) from 3-point range in its 112-66 win over Long Beach State in its NIT opener and finished with 31 assists. The Bears had five turnovers in their 79-68 quarterfinal win over Providence, tying for the fewest in the 10-year Scott Drew coaching era. Senior point guard Pierre Jackson, who leads the Big 12 in scoring (19.7) and assists (6.9), set an NIT record with 16 assists in the Bears' 89-86 second round victory over Arizona State and has scored in double figures in 41 of his last 42 games. Junior forward Cory Jefferson (12.8) leads the Big 12 in field goal percentage (60.3) while 7-1 freshman center Isaiah Austin has 10 double-doubles and ranks third in the Big 12 in rebounding (8.3).

TRENDS:

* Cougars are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big 12.
* Bears are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 non-conference games.
* Over is 6-2 in Cougars' last eight vs. Big 12.
* Over is 9-4 in Bears' last 13 non-conference games.

TIP-INS:

1. Haws, the WCC scoring leader (21.6), has scored 20 or more points in 24 games this season.

2. Baylor G Brady Heslip is shooting 58 percent (30-of-52) from 3-point range in seven career postseason games for Baylor.

3. PG Matt Carlino is averaging 17.7 points, nine assists and 6.3 rebounds in three NIT games for BYU while also connecting on 13-of-29 3-pointers (44.8 percent).


Iowa Hawkeyes vs. Maryland Terrapins (+2.5, 136)

Maryland, which upset No. 1 seed Alabama, 58-57, in the quarterfinals, makes its third appearance in the National Invitation Tournament semifinals. The Terrapins, who captured the 1972 title with wins over Jacksonville and Niagara, fell in the 2005 semis to South Carolina. Maryland has won five of its last six games with the lone loss to North Carolina, 79-76, in the semifinals of the ACC tournament.

Iowa advanced to the NIT semifinals for the first time in school history with a 75-64 victory at Virginia on Wednesday, snapping the Cavaliers' 19-game home win streak. The Hawkeyes have won 10 of their last 13 games and have done so by an average of 13.2 points per game. It's the third meeting between the two schools. Maryland has won both including a 83-65 victory in 1999 in the last meeting.

TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN2

ABOUT IOWA (24-12, 23-9-0 ATS): The Hawkeyes, who start just one senior in guard Eric May, are a team to keep an eye on in 2013-14. Since Feb. 6, only Ohio State (11) has more victories than Iowa (10) in the Big Ten. Six of the Hawkeyes' nine losses in Big Ten play were by margins of four points or less including two in overtime and one in double overtime. Junior guard Roy Devyn Marble leads the team in scoring (15.1) and is averaging 25.3 points, 5.3 assists and three steals in three NIT games. Alex Woodbury, a 7-1 freshman center, had 10 points and eight rebounds in the quarterfinal upset of Virginia and figures to play a key role defensively against Maryland 7-1 sophomore center Alex Len, a probable high NBA lottery pick in June. "It's a great challenge for him," Iowa coach Fran McCaffery told Hawkcentral.com. "He's gone against other lottery picks this year. We'll see how it goes. He'll be ready for the challenge."

ABOUT MARYLAND (25-12, 17-12-1 ATS): Maryland hit the 25-win mark for the ninth time in school history and did it with a 10-man rotation that features seven underclassmen. All eyes will be on Len who is coming in off a Alabama game in which he finished with 15 points, 13 rebounds and five blocks. Another sophomore, swingman Dez Wells, leads the team in scoring (13.2) and is averaging 18.3 points in the postseason. Maryland leads the ACC and ranks 10th nationally in field goal percentage defense (38.4) and has held 21 of its 37 opponents to under 40 percent shooting.

TRENDS:

* Hawkeyes are 22-6 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
* Terrapins are 8-3-1 ATS in their last 12 vs. Big Ten.
* Over is 4-1 in Hawkeyes' last five vs. Atlantic Coast.
* Over is 7-1 in Terrapins' last eight vs. Big Ten.

TIP-INS:

1. Maryland tops the ACC and ranks fourth nationally in rebounding margin at plus-8.7 per game.

2. Iowa has blocked a school-record 178 shots this season.

3. Freshman G Seth Allen, who averaged 7.8 points and 2.3 assists for the Terps, is out for the season after fracturing his hand in practice on March 24.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-03-13 12:17 AM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Tuesday, April 2

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Brigham Young - 7:00 PM ET Brigham Young +2.5 500 POD # 4
Baylor - Over 151.5 500

East Carolina - 8:00 PM ET East Carolina +9 500 POD # 3
Weber St. - Over 145 500 POD # 2

Iowa - 9:00 PM ET Maryland +3 500 POD # 1
Maryland - Over 135.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 04-03-13 12:21 AM
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