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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

WILL BRAZIL WIN ALL THREE GROUP STAGE MATCHES?
This is an interesting wager with YES priced at +125 (NO -155).

Brazil is certainly not in the easiest group, but neither are they in the toughest. They’ve got Switzerland, Serbia and Costa Rica with all three having the capability of playing them extremely tough, especially Serbia.

As it stands on the date of publication, Brazil is -275 to beat Switzerland, -450 to beat Costa Rica and -275 to beat Serbia so they are sizable faves in moneyline markets in all three.

Brazil won two and drew one in the group stage of the 2010 and 2014 World Cups and last swept the group stage in 2006 when it shared a group with Australia, Croatia and Japan, scoring seven and conceding just one en route to a full nine-point haul.

I’m not in love with YES here at +125 and I’m actually more inclined to back the NO option as there could very well be a draw in the cards, especially with the final game coming against Serbia, which could have massive implications for a pretty talented Serbian side.

Old Post 06-03-18 04:38 PM
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Traderpro
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Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375

I like it Mike, Switzerland only team in that group that can come within a goal imo.I saw something on lpwsports twitter where they have allowed just 3 goals in last 10 games! wow.Brazil opens with the Swiss, Under 2.5 is just -122 right now. I think that heads north.

Old Post 06-05-18 09:05 PM
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Traderpro
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Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375

Will add later in week,but will start it with this one.

World Cup Thursday 6-14

2* Saudi Arabia vs Russia Draw +322

Russia had 3 games in 2014 WC and managed just 2 goals in a fairly weak Group H where they participated in 2 draws.This version looks weaker and with very little attack and their new manager is defense first type,so expect some boring soccer from Russia.Saudi's look capable of stopping a limited Russian attack but are limited offensively themselves.The +824 price on Saudi Arabia is appealing,but with these two teams I think a 1-1 result is more likely and +322 is not a bad return. GL

Old Post 06-11-18 03:19 PM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

World Cup Group A - Round 1

Three more days to the Worlds greatest sporting event.

I am on these.

Group A
Saudi +1, +1.5 -130. Saudi hangs around against host Russia.
Uruguay -161. Egypt has one great player, Mo Salah, and he has an injured shoulder, not enough.

I will be out of town for the weekend, so I will post all my weekend plays in the next day or two.

Old Post 06-11-18 08:23 PM
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Traderpro
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Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375

Houstonfan,

GL with those. I have same take on Saudi as I am not sure Russia could score 2 goals on my 9 year olds soccer team.I think their FIFA #70 ranking is a gift by FIFA. FIFA ranking are in my estimation awful for handicapping purposes, but not really able to find any decent power ratings for International Soccer.

Old Post 06-11-18 08:59 PM
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geg1951
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14866

swag world cup play ...........

throwing a #3 BK combo for a 5* steak dinner for two !!

PARLAY WAGER

Russia -227
Australia v France over 2.5 -120
Argentina -285
Serbia v Costa Rica over 2-113
Germany -200
Brazil -243

glta




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED
---------------------------------------------------

Old Post 06-12-18 07:33 PM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Like all of those brother




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 06-12-18 09:46 PM
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eagleseye13
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2013
Posts: 1807

Looking in some lines

ill update WC W-L-T record and hopefully some good profit. bets already made:

from 5D
Belgium wins group -120
Uraguay wins group -150
Poland wins group +168
Denmark advances -135
Germany wins WC +470
Germany reaches final +240
Brazil wins WC +415

all for 100 fyi

trying to decide it russia doesn’t advance +240 ish or if i bet egypt to..Salah does not look healthy from report what is and that’s huge huge..need the dens opinions on this one specifically



single games will mostly bet totals and i’ll post those to.. seeing a lot of 2/2.5 on games w teams that don’t quite make sense..

onto games:

Saudi Arabia +1 +119
Saudi Arabia ML +847
morocco/iran o2 +128
spain/portugal o2 -126
France/Australia o2.5 -119

GL all!




eagleseye13

"It doesn't matter who wins the game, it matters who covers"

2014 MLB Season Contest 2nd place +1985 (59-35-3)

Old Post 06-13-18 07:06 AM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Futures bets

Here are my futures WC bets.

Belgium Group G Winner -125
Uruguay Group A Winner -140

Parlay:
Uruguay Group A -140
Spain Group B -200
France Group C -300
Brazil Group E -375
Germany Group F -300
.5 to win 2.3

Spain wins WC +550
Brazil Wins WC +400
Germany Wins WC +450
France Wins WC +650




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 06-13-18 02:04 PM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

Weekend Matches

I am traveling tomorrow, so here is what I have already played for the weekend.

Group B
Morocco/Iran Draw +197
Portugal/Spain. This is the first big time match of the tournament. Should be excellent. I look for Spain to win. They have too much talent, in spite of firing their coach this morning. Worlds best goal keeper. Spain -110

Group C
France/Australia O2.5
Denmark/Peru Draw +210

Group D
Croatia/Nigeria Draw +250
Argentina/Iceland O2, 2.5 -122
Iceland +1.5 -119

Group E
Brazil/Swiss O2,2.5 -110
Brazil -1,-1.5 -106
Costa Rica/Serbia Draw +235

Group F
Germany ML -206




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 06-13-18 03:17 PM
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HoustonFan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 6159

adds

Some additions

Peru/Denmark - BTTS
Germany/Mexico - O2.5 -111

Top Scorer of the tournament - Neymar (Brazil) +900




"Just Got Paid" -- ZZ Top
2008,2009 NCAA HOF Battle of the Brackets Champion

Old Post 06-13-18 07:16 PM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

FIFA World Cup wagering stat leaders ...

ticket count
Germany
Brazil
Belgium
Argentina
France
Spain 🇪🇸

money wagered
Brazil
Germany
Argentina
France
Spain
Belgium

Old Post 06-14-18 12:00 AM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Russia vs. Saudi Arabia, 11 a.m. ET Thursday, FOX
Russia -227
Saudi Arabia +904
Draw +343
Bet To Watch:
Draw +343

Hoo boy.

What a way to start a World Cup. If you’re a fan of conspiracy theories, this is your World Cup Final, because in terms of geopolitical intrigue, this could be the best World Cup match of all time. Seriously, you can’t make it up. It’s like an episode of “Homeland” or something.

Russia and its president, Vladimir Putin, are hell-bent on putting on a great event, so much so that the Kremlin powwowed with the top boys of Russia’s most fearsome hooligan armies and told them they best behave (they did not behave at Euro 2016). Not only do the Russians want this thing to go off without a hitch, they want their bad team to perform well. Take it away, Vlad:

“We very much expect — all fans and lovers of football in Russia — expect the team to play with dignity, for them to show modern, interesting football, and to fight until the end.”

Luckily, Russia drew what is likely the softest group in World Cup history, and they will open the show against the worst team in the field. How convenient.

While the spectacle of these two nations opening up the biggest sporting event on the planet is awesome on one level, in terms of the actual football, this tilt could be pretty dire — with both teams doing everything they can to avoid a loss.

That is especially true for the hosts, who can’t afford a banana peel with the world — and their fearless leader — watching. The visitors, assuming they haven’t been approached, would surely take a draw into their second match, and I think we will see the Green Falcons set up conservatively, inviting Russia to come at them. That could prove to be a useful strategy, as Sbornaya doesn’t offer much down the road.

I don’t see either team creating many chances, and I think we should expect to see a boring game in which neither team takes any risks. The extenuating circumstances surrounding this match make it a must-watch — the actual teams do not.

Old Post 06-14-18 07:44 AM
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Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375

These guys have been pretty solid on Soccer comps recently, they had a Montreal last night in MLS,I simply didnt have time to post.Here is their feed for anyone who wants to check it.This is a little too much for me at -161,but good look if you play it.
twitter.com/LpwSports
6-14 World Cup
1* Saudi Arabia/Russia Under 2.5(-161)

Old Post 06-14-18 03:51 PM
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isdativan
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 1328

Saudi +1 (+110)
Saudi over .5 goals (+105)




I'm like a walking accident.
Everywhere I go, I wreck.

Old Post 06-14-18 04:12 PM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Uruguay vs. Egypt (8 a.m. ET), Group A
Uruguay opened -140 at Pinnacle for this match but shot up to -180 as soon as Egypt’s Mo Salah was injured in the Champions League Final on May 26. Since that time, the odds have slipped back down to -170/-175, but Uruguay is still attracting nearly 80% of betting tickets.

Salah (shoulder) is expected to play, but it’s hard to know how healthy he’ll be. A win here is crucial for both teams after seeing Russia throttle Saudi Arabia 5-0 in the Group A opener.

The over/under is set at just two goals (over -145), and the over is the most lopsided total on the board so far, attracting 84% of tickets.

Old Post 06-15-18 07:44 AM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Morocco vs. Iran (11 a.m. ET), Group B
Morocco opened as slight +137 favorites in a pivotal Group B matchup and have moved to +128. Both teams will want to win and get all three points, knowing it’ll be tough to get anything from Spain and Portugal. Morocco reached as high as +150 over the last few months but never dropped below +122. Based on the odds, this will be one of the most competitive matches of the group stage.

Public bettors have liked the over in this game as well, moving the juice on two goals from over +135 to over -105.

Old Post 06-15-18 07:46 AM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Portugal vs. Spain (2 p.m. ET), Group B
The majority of bettors are on Spain, but their odds have moved from -110 to +112. They just fired their head coach Julen Lopetegui two days ago and replaced him with Fernando Hierro, so the line movement is likely a combination of two things: sportsbooks reacting, and money quickly pouncing on Portugal.

Old Post 06-15-18 07:46 AM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Bet to Watch
Under 2, 2.5 goals -117 (Bookmaker)*

In the first game of the World Cup, fans were treated to a goal party as Russia demolished Saudi Arabia, 5-0. It was a bit of a dud in terms of entertainment value, but luckily the schedule-makers did us all a favor on Day 2, as Iberian rivals Portugal and Spain are set to meet at 2 p.m. ET at Fisht Stadium in Sochi.

Spain come into the match as favorites, but La Furia Roja sacked their manager, Julen Lopetegui, on Wednesday after it was made public that he would take over Real Madrid at the tournament’s end. Fernando Hierro replaces Lopetegui and now has to deal with Portugal striker Cristiano Ronaldo in his debut.

Ronaldo and Portugal are the defending European champions and conceded just a single goal during the knockout rounds en route to the title. When bettors see Ronaldo vs. Spain, they automatically expect a high-powered matchup with tons of goals, but there’s reason to believe that won’t be the case.

Portugal won Euro 2016 thanks to a strong defensive effort — in addition to a lot of luck — and rely on keeping their shape and hitting teams on the counterattack. They don’t generate tons of chances.

Under Lopetegui, Spain did not lose a single game (14-0-6), and while their odds dipped a bit after the shock announcement, there’s so much quality in this side that if any team can handle something like such a shakeup on the eve of the tournament, it’s La Furia Roja.

I would expect Spain to continue to play the beautiful brand of football that they are known for with the likes of David Silva, Isco and Andres Iniesta pulling the strings. Spain will look to stay on the ball and severely limit Portugal’s chances while in turn trying to generate elite scoring chances of their own through their intricate passing combinations.

Even though Spain will have the lion’s share of the ball, Portugal’s compact, pragmatic defense could frustrate them. Look for Spain to dominate the ball, but don’t expect that possession to turn into a scoring frenzy. In fact, I expect this game to be low scoring — albeit entertaining — and think there’s a distinct chance that it can end 0-0. If you’re feeling frisky, taking the “exact score” at +750 on Bovada is good value.

Old Post 06-15-18 07:48 AM
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Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375

World Cup 6-15
4* Iran vs Morocco Over 1.5 (-166)

I would have liked to have gotten this lower but still think this game gets 2 goals with something to spare. This is low largely because of perception that Morocco's games should be low scoring. 12 of Morocco's last 15 games have reached 2 or more and Iran has scored 1+ in 13 of last 15 games. This one could surprisingly turn into a shoot out. GL

Old Post 06-15-18 03:28 PM
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