The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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qs185
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Apr 2003
Posts: 1866
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Here's where it gets a bit interesting. All calculations use a standard -110.
First, each tier by itself
Tier 1 131-114, net profit 5.6 units, ROI 2.08%
Just to show the math, which is the same for the rest, 131 + 114 = 245
245 * 1.1 = 269.5 units risked
5.6 (net units won) / 269.5 (units risked) = 2.08% ROI
Tier 2 68-46, net profit 17.4 units, ROI 13.88%
Tier 3 27-19, net profit 6.1 units, ROI 12.06%
Now, if you look at it as a 2 game chase instead of a 3 game chase:
Tier 1 risking 1.1 unit to win 1 unit
Tier 2 risking 2.31 units to win 1 unit (1.1 unit lost on Tier 1 plus still trying to win 1 unit is 2.1 units and then with the -110, 2.31 units)
So, a loss will be a 3.41 unit loss.
Resulting record for a 2 game chase
199-46, net profit 42.14 units, ROI 15.64%
The 42.14 net profit is 199 - (46 * 3.41) = 42.14
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01-22-13 08:09 PM |
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