The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835
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I have had questions on liking the Oilers.
So here you go.....
Ok, here is the view. The books are putting a higher price tag on the Oilers than most think it should be. In most peoples view, no way should the defending Champs be this high of a dog, even on B2B and a bad goaltender in net. The Oilers should be favored and this is almost exactly what the line should be. I had them at -145, The algorithms, are saying about -135.
But everyone thinks the Blues are such a great value at this price. They are not a value at all.
Their last 3 of 4 games have went to OT
Bad goaltending if Allen starts, which he should
Oilers have only lost one game in regulation at home
Smith has just been a beast his last couple of games
The Blues have won 7 of their last 8 games. The books are not in the business of giving away money. Don't go for the empty net, just feather the puck out of your zone (More teams should do this)
It's a trap, stay away from the Blues
Now with all that said, I have the Oilers with a 62% of winning this game. So never a slam dunk, but I like them enough wager on them. And yes I am hedging my bet by playing a -1 line, with a +117 payback.
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11-06-19 08:59 PM |
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