reverse movement here as they go from +150 to +104 ? with 44% ?

SOC [201310] TORINO +104

massive movement going on the Ligue 1

Crotone/Lazio U huge
Bologna/Chievo DRAW

Bologna +149
Chievo a pt above relegation with 2 to go. Bologna not quite safe but a result today should wrap that up. Chievo no road wins in Serie A since last September. Chievo 2W 4D 6L last 12 in Serie A at Bologna

Lazio/Crotone draw +267
Crotone finish with Lazio today then Napoli next week needing every pt they can get to avoid relegation. Lazio trying to secure Champions League face Inter, the team chasing them next week. A draw today sets up nicely for both of these teams given there circumstances.

Torino/Spal draw +237
Meaningless match for Torino as no relegation or promotion is in there future. Spal just outside of relegation zone as of now needs any result they can get. Spal haven't won B2B road matches in Serie A since 1962 and these two teams top the list of draws in Serie A this year with 15 and 14 respectively.

Verona +1 +161
Verona already relegated with Udinese possibly soon to follow. These two are two of the worst when it comes to recent form. Making Verona this big a dog at home makes no sense to me and while the ml is tempting I'll take the + money with the +1 spread here.

Fiorentina +104 1st half
Both teams need wins here for different reasons. I'll back Fiorentina to get out early given Cagliaris poor starts this season. Cagliari have conceded 11 goals in the first 15 minutes in league matches, the most by any side.

GL

Chelsea vs. Newcastle stats: What you need to know
Time: Sunday, May 13, 15:00 GMT

Venue: St James Park

There have been under 2.5 goals in eight of Newcastle last 10 Premier League home games
Chelsea have won their last three Premier League away games
Newcastle have lost with a one-goal margin in their last four matches
Chelsea have scored the least number of goals in the Premier League of the top

Anything but a win for Chelsea ends any slim hopes that the Blues may have in playing Champions League soccer next season.

A win will turn their attention to Anfield, where Antonio Conte will be hoping that Chris Hughton’s Brighton can overcome all the odds and claim all three points against Liverpool. The odds suggest that Brighton have a 5% chance of taking all three points against the Champions League finalists.

It is a slim hope, but with Liverpool’s attention very much on their Champions League final on May 26, there is a certain possibility that it may come to fruition. It will be a satisfying end to a season that has been disappointing for Chelsea.

Newcastle have little to play for in this Premier League season, albeit Rafa Benitez maybe looking to get one over his old club.

The Magpies have a respectable record at home against the top six this season, taking seven points from a possible 15 including two wins from five. Prior to their loss to West Brom at St James’ Park, Newcastle were undefeated in their last eight at home, including four wins in a row.

This is by no means an easy game for Antonio Conte’s men, particularly after their lacklustre performance last time out against Huddersfield.

Yet they do have something to play for, which may be the difference between the two sides on Sunday. Nevertheless, the value looks to lie in the Total Goals market (with the Under 2.5 perhaps appealing to bettors).

Chelsea have scored just one goal in their last four Premier League outings, meanwhile Newcastle have lost by a single goal margin in all of their last four Premier League games. Whilst the odds may point to a high scoring game, Under 2.5 odds of 2.020* could be a smart move, particularly with the patchy form of Chelsea’s strikers.

Morning line movement in the EPL

Newcastle
Crystal Palace
Leicester City
Watford
Southampton
Brighton
Bournemouth

the movement going on after lineups in PL is unreal

big reverse going here

SOC [200154] TOTAL u3-116 (WATFORD vrs MANCHESTER UNITED)

SOC [200161] TOTAL o3-118 (ARSENAL vrs HUDDERSFIELD TOWN)
SOC [200154] TOTAL u3-116 (WATFORD vrs MANCHESTER UNITED)
SOC [201310] TORINO +104

BetShare
NEW/CHE

Spread
NEW (+0.5 & +1) 38%
CHE (-0.5 & -1) 62%

ML
Newcastle 27%
Chelsea 40%
Draw 33%

Tot (2.5 & 3)
Ov 64%
Un 36%

thank you for the thread this season, it has added to my bankroll and i have played more soccer than ever. good luck to you today i see you're going for 15 straight W's at the network, just a sick run there, thank you again

Tottenham injury replacement late, Vertonghen apparently injured in warmups. Great for Leicester City backers, bad for everything else.

thanks for that over in the Netherlands with plenty to spare

Houston Fan, geg1951, Gush, isdativan, Trader Pro, and eagleseye13 for all the work with this thread, let's hope we get some more people involved during the World Cup

love those late goals and a nail biter to boot

SOC [200161] TOTAL o3-118 (ARSENAL vrs HUDDERSFIELD TOWN)
SOC [200154] TOTAL u3-116 (WATFORD vrs MANCHESTER UNITED)
SOC [201310] TORINO +104..........W

Portland PK
Orlando/Atlanta o3
LaFC/NYFC o3

GL all

Sunday MLS

2* Seattle +291 vs Portland

Cant pass up the value here with 2 teams that are very comparable in talent.Portland has outscored last 3 opponents 7-2 and off dramatic 1-0 win over San Jose so not so sure they will bring maximum effort into this rivalry game with Seattle.I will take Seattle +291 tonight. GL

0-3 -300

361883042
SOC Crystal Palace DRAW +277

361883043
SOC Burnley FC DRAW +245

361883044
SOC West Ham United DRAW +239

SOC [200161] TOTAL o3-118 (ARSENAL vrs HUDDERSFIELD TOWN)............L
SOC [200154] TOTAL u3-116 (WATFORD vrs MANCHESTER UNITED).............W
SOC [201310] TORINO +104..........W

YTD
51-36-6 +40.8

3-3-1 +5.96

Big winner in Scotland this a.m.

Add

Brazil 3pm
Flamengo +126

NYCFC @ LAFC - should be entertaining. Looking forward to this shootout. O3 total goals -122. To win 2 units.

GL HoustonFan.Yesterdays MLS games averaged almost 4 goals per game,lets hope trend carries over into today.