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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Long Sheet

Monday, March 25

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ROBERT MORRIS (24 - 10) at PROVIDENCE (18 - 14) - 3/25/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PROVIDENCE is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) in home games in March games since 1997.
PROVIDENCE is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in all tournament games over the last 3 seasons.
PROVIDENCE is 32-56 ATS (-29.6 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MERCER (24 - 11) at BYU (22 - 11) - 3/25/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BYU is 178-126 ATS (+39.4 Units) as a favorite since 1997.
BYU is 26-10 ATS (+15.0 Units) as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points since 1997.
BYU is 118-83 ATS (+26.7 Units) in all home games since 1997.
BYU is 118-83 ATS (+26.7 Units) in home lined games since 1997.
BYU is 54-32 ATS (+18.8 Units) in home games after a non-conference game since 1997.
BYU is 53-31 ATS (+18.9 Units) in home games in non-conference games since 1997.
BYU is 82-56 ATS (+20.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MERCER is 11-1 ATS (+9.9 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MERCER is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in March games over the last 3 seasons.
MERCER is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LOUISIANA TECH (27 - 6) at SOUTHERN MISS (26 - 9) - 3/25/2013, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISIANA TECH is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 32-21 ATS (+8.9 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
SOUTHERN MISS is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 against the spread versus LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
SOUTHERN MISS is 1-1 straight up against LOUISIANA TECH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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HOUSTON (20 - 12) at GEORGE MASON (19 - 14) - 3/25/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGE MASON is 34-17 ATS (+15.3 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 15-25 ATS (-12.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in all home games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 9-18 ATS (-10.8 Units) in home lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICHMOND (19 - 14) at WRIGHT ST (22 - 12) - 3/25/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICHMOND is 3-10 ATS (-8.0 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WRIGHT ST is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 20-11 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all lined games this season.
WRIGHT ST is 12-5 ATS (+6.5 Units) as a favorite this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICHMOND is 1-0 against the spread versus WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
RICHMOND is 1-0 straight up against WRIGHT ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SANTA CLARA (22 - 11) at PURDUE (16 - 17) - 3/25/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 21-34 ATS (-16.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
PURDUE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in all home games over the last 3 seasons.
PURDUE is 29-15 ATS (+12.5 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 28-11 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games when playing with 5 or 6 days rest since 1997.
SANTA CLARA is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

W MICHIGAN (21 - 12) at WYOMING (20 - 13) - 3/25/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
W MICHIGAN is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
WYOMING is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) in home games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
WYOMING is 8-2 ATS (+5.8 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WYOMING is 20-35 ATS (-18.5 Units) in March games since 1997.
WYOMING is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
WYOMING is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
WYOMING is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

UC-IRVINE (21 - 15) at ORAL ROBERTS (19 - 14) - 3/25/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UC-IRVINE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) in road games after scoring 80 points or more since 1997.
ORAL ROBERTS is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
ORAL ROBERTS is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) in March games since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-25-13 10:42 PM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Monday, March 25

Robert Morris kids might still be hung over after beating Kentucky last week on national TV; Colonials lost by 10 at Pitt LY, last time they've faced a Big East team. Providence plays only seven guys; they're 8-3 in last 11 games, beat Bryant by 32, in only game vs NEC opponent.

Mercer finished ahead of Florida Gulf Coast in A-Sun; they're 12-2 in last 14 games, but lost at New Mexico by 18, Denver by 29 in its two western road games this year. BYU is 4-5 in its last nine games, but won three of last four at home. Last three Mercer games went over total.

27-6 Louisiana Tech snapped 3-game skid with 71-66 win at Florida St., Tech (-4) beat Southern Miss 65-55 Dec 8, despite 23 turnovers; USM top scorer Davis had only 7 points. Eagles won last five home games and eight of last 11 overall. Tech lost two of its last three away games.

George Mason is announcing move to A-16 today; their last six games were all decided by 6 or less points. Patriots lost four of last five home games. Houston has played easiest schedule in country this year; they've won five of last six games, with last three wins all by 5 or less points.

Richmond's 76-71 win at Bryant in first round was its second win in last ten road games; Spiders are 16-2 this season vs teams ranked outside top 100 (Wright State is #113). Raiders won four of last five games; they're 1-0 vs CAA teams this year, winning 63-57 at league doormat Hofstra.

Santa Clara is 10-5 in its last 15 games, but lost lost last three road tilts, by 17-43-13 points; Broncos are 1-7 vs teams in top 70, winning by 7 at Saint Louis in November. Purdue won three of last four at home, with only loss by 5 to Michigan. Purdue is 12-4 vs teams outside top 80.

Western Michigan lost three of last four road games, with four of its last five on road decided by 4 or less points; Broncos won 12 of its last 17 games overall. Wyoming is 15-0 vs teams outside MWC, 12-0 vs teams ranked outside top 125- they've beaten four top 70 teams in Laramie.

Cal-Irvine won nine of last 11 games; they lost by hoop at Sam Houston State in OT, its only game vs Southland opponent- they won two of last three road games. Oral Roberts beat Sam Houston two out of three, but lost to them in Southland tourney; Titans won seven of eight at home.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-25-13 10:44 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB

Monday, March 25

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:00 PM
ST. JOHN'S vs. VIRGINIA
St. John's is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. John's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Virginia's last 6 games
Virginia is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games

1:00 PM
STANFORD vs. ALABAMA
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Stanford's last 7 games on the road
Alabama is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Alabama's last 5 games

7:00 PM
HOUSTON vs. GEORGE MASON
Houston is 3-5-1 ATS in its last 9 games on the road
Houston is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
George Mason is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home
George Mason is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
SANTA CLARA vs. PURDUE
Santa Clara is 7-16 SU in its last 23 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Santa Clara's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Purdue's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Purdue's last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
RICHMOND vs. WRIGHT STATE
Richmond is 4-1-1 ATS in its last 6 games on the road
Richmond is 6-12-3 ATS in its last 21 games on the road
Wright State is 12-4 SU in its last 16 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wright State's last 7 games at home

7:00 PM
ROBERT MORRIS vs. PROVIDENCE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Providence's last 6 games at home
Providence is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

8:00 PM
UC IRVINE vs. ORAL ROBERTS
UC Irvine is 6-13 ATS in its last 19 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UC Irvine's last 6 games on the road
No trends available

9:00 PM
WESTERN MICHIGAN vs. WYOMING
Western Michigan is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Michigan is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
Wyoming is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games at home
Wyoming is 2-7 ATS in its last 9 games

9:00 PM
MERCER vs. BYU
No trends available
BYU is 17-8 SU in its last 25 games
BYU is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games at home

10:00 PM
LOUISIANA TECH vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Louisiana Tech is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 8 of Louisiana Tech's last 10 games on the road
Southern Miss is 3-11-1 ATS in its last 15 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Southern Miss's last 5 games at home




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-25-13 10:45 PM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Dunkel

Houston at George Mason
The Patriots look to build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 non-conference games. George Mason is the pick (-6) according to Dunkel, which has the Patriots favored by 8. Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-6). Here are all of today's games.

MONDAY. MARCH 25

Game 613-614: Robert Morris at Providence (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Robert Morris 55.374; Providence 66.196
Dunkel Line: Providence by 11; 142
Vegas Line: Providence by 8 1/2; 138
Dunkel Pick: Providence (-8 1/2); Over

Game 615-616: Mercer at BYU (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mercer 56.284; BYU 64.887
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8 1/2; 139
Vegas Line: BYU by 7; 143
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-7); Under

Game 617-618: Louisiana Tech at Southern Mississippi (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisiana Tech 58.293; Southern Mississippi 67.286
Dunkel Line: Southern Mississippi by 9; 147
Vegas Line: Southern Mississippi by 8; 144 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (-8); Over

Game 621-622: Houston at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 55.425; George Mason 63.312
Dunkel Line: George Mason by 8; 147
Vegas Line: George Mason by 6; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: George Mason (-6); Under

Game 623-624: Richmond at Wright State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 61.961; Wright State 60.486
Dunkel Line: Richmond by 1 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Wright State by 1; 127 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Richmond (+1); Over

Game 625-626: Santa Clara at Purdue (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 58.705; Purdue 71.082
Dunkel Line: Purdue by 12 1/2; 137
Vegas Line: Purdue by 6 1/2; 141 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (-6 1/2); Under

Game 627-628: Western Michigan at Wyoming (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Western Michigan 53.071; Wyoming 60.543
Dunkel Line: Wyoming by 7 1/2; 122
Vegas Line: Wyoming by 6; 127
Dunkel Pick: Wyoming (-6); Under

Game 629-630: UC-Irvine at Oral Roberts (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UC-Irvine 55.708; Oral Roberts 56.589
Dunkel Line: Oral Roberts by 1; 145
Vegas Line: Oral Roberts by 4 1/2; 141
Dunkel Pick: UC-Irvine (+4 1/2); Over
Reply With Quote




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-25-13 10:46 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NCAAB
Short Sheet

Monday, March 25

NIT Tournament Betting Trends

Robert Morris at Providence, 7:00 ET ESPNEWS
Robert Morris: 8-3 ATS after winning 3 of their last 4 games
Providence: 3-12 ATS at home in March

Mercer at BYU, 9:00 ET ESPNEWS
Mercer: 9-1 ATS as a road underdog
BYU: 9-19 ATS off an ATS win

Louisiana Tech at Southern Miss, 10:00 ET ESPNU
Louisiana Tech: 8-2 ATS off a non-conference game
Southern Miss: 11-22 ATS off a home game


CBI Tournament Betting Trends

Houston at George Mason, 7:00 ET
Houston: 8-1 Over away off an Under
George Mason: 1-7 ATS at home after winning 2 of their last 3 games

Richmond at Wright State, 7:00 ET
Richmond: 3-10 ATS off a non-conference game
Wright State: 10-1 ATS off 3+ games allowing 65 points or less

Santa Clara at Purdue, 7:00 ET
Santa Clara: 9-17 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Purdue: 9-0 ATS at home after playing BB games as a favorite

Western Michigan at Wyoming, 7:00 ET
Western Michigan: 7-0 Over in March
Wyoming: 8-2 ATS vs. non-conference opponents


CIT Tournament Betting Trends

Cal Irvine at Oral Roberts, 8:00 ET
Cal Irvine: 15-5 Over vs. non-conference opponents
Oral Roberts: 4-13 ATS in March
Reply With Quote




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-25-13 10:47 PM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Monday, March 25

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Robert Morris - 7:00 PM ET Providence -7.5 500
Providence - Under 138.5 500

Richmond - 7:00 PM ET Wright St. -1 500 POD # 3
Wright St. - Under 129 500

Santa Clara - 7:00 PM ET Purdue -6 500 POD # 4
Purdue - Under 141.5 500

Houston - 7:00 PM ET George Mason -7 500
George Mason - Over 152 500

UC Irvine - 8:00 PM ET Oral Roberts -4 500 POD # 2
Oral Roberts - Under 142 500

Mercer - 9:00 PM ET Mercer +8 500 POD # 1
Brigham Young - Under 143 500

Western Michigan - 9:00 PM ET Wyoming -6 500
Wyoming - Under 127.5 500

Louisiana Tech - 10:00 PM ET Louisiana Tech +6.5 POD # 5 500
Southern Miss - Over 142.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-25-13 11:30 PM
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CNOTES
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Tuesday's NIT/CIT Action

March 26, 2013

Only one game takes place in the NIT on Tuesday night, while three contests are showcased in the College Insider Tournament. All six teams playing the CIT hail from mid-major conferences, but the two squads hooking up in the NIT both are from power leagues and playing well down the stretch.

Maryland at Alabama (-3 ½) - 7:30 PM EST

The first spot in the NIT Final Four will be filled out on Tuesday night with the winner of this contest in Tuscaloosa. The Crimson Tide has cashed seven of their last eight games following Saturday's 66-54 victory over Stanford as 4 ½-point favorites, the second straight triumph in the NIT by double-digits.

The Terrapins are equally as hot as the Tide, posting a similar 7-1 ATS record the previous eight contests, including six consecutive covers. Maryland rallied past Denver, 62-52 in the second round of the NIT, while grabbing the ATS win as 4 ½-point 'chalk.' Mark Turgeon's team is 5-0 ATS the last five games away from College Park, including three straight covers as an underdog.

These two teams are going in different directions from a totals standpoint. Maryland has cashed the 'over' in four of the last five games, while the offense has tallied at least 75 points four times in this stretch. Alabama is playing solid defense recently by allowing 58 points or less in four of the previous five contests, as Anthony Grant's club is riding a 6-2 run to the 'under.'

CIT

Evansville at Canisius (-1) - 7:00 PM EST

The Purple Aces are riding under the ATS radar lately by putting together a 7-1 mark against the number the last eight games. Evansville plays its first road game in the CIT following home victories over Tennessee State (84-72) and Eastern Kentucky (86-72), while cashing each time in the favorite role.

Canisius rallied from a 17-point halftime deficit to stun Youngstown State in overtime on Saturday, 84-82 as 2 ½-point road underdogs. The Golden Griffins shot just 37% from the floor, but knocked down 10 three-pointers to win consecutive games for the first time since early February. In the last three games away from home, Canisius has drilled the 'over,' while allowing at least 82 points each time. However, the Griffins step up their defense at home by giving up 65 points or less in the last three home contests.

Following a six-game road losing streak in Missouri Valley play, Evansville has won each of its last two away contests at Wright State and Wichita State. The Purple Aces shocked Wichita State as 11 ½-point underdogs, 59-56 in late February, while going 4-1 ATS the last five opportunities in the away 'dog role.

Loyola-Maryland at East Carolina (-4) - 7:00 PM EST

The Pirates needed a massive rally to survive the opening round against Savannah State, 66-65. However, ECU had an easier time against Rider on Friday, 75-54 to easily cash as four-point favorites, while limiting the Broncs to just 27% shooting from the floor. On Tuesday, the Pirates will see another MAAC team, a Loyola-Maryland squad that finished tied with Rider for second place in the conference.

The Greyhounds snapped a four-game ATS skid in a 73-59 rout of Kent State as 4 ½-point favorites, while the Golden Flashes couldn't hit a lick from the floor by shooting 27%. Loyola split its previous six road contests, as the Greyhounds are 3-1-1 the last five times in the away underdog role. The 'over' is rolling for the Greyhounds on the highway recently by cashing in each of the last six away from Maryland.

East Carolina has played just one away game since March 6, a 79-72 defeat to Tulsa in the Conference USA quarterfinals. In the four other contests in this stretch, ECU is 4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS in Greenville, while posting a 5-2 ATS record the last seven games in the home favorite role.

Bradley at Northern Iowa (-11) - 8:00 PM EST

These two Missouri Valley squads are meeting for the third time this season after UNI swept the season series. The Panthers destroyed the Braves in Cedar Falls, 84-53 in January as 7 ½-point favorites, while taking a 41-14 advantage at halftime. Northern Iowa squeaked by Bradley in the second meeting in Peoria a month later, 68-65 as three-point favorites.

Bradley took care of business in its first two CBI games at home over Green Bay (75-69) and Tulane (77-72). The Braves are just 1-8 SU and 2-7 ATS the last nine road contests, while one of the covers came by a ½ point at Creighton as 17-point underdogs. Bradley has been involved high-scoring affairs recently by going 8-3 to the 'over' the last 11 games.

Northern Iowa is struggling against the number of late by going 1-5 ATS the past six games, as the last two non-covers came as double-digit favorites against North Dakota and Illinois-Chicago. The Panthers are riding a 7-1 'over' stretch the previous eight trips to the court, but three of those 'overs' came on totals of 119 ½ or below.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-26-13 11:32 PM
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Sweet 16 Primer

March 25, 2013


With 52 schools eliminated, the 2013 NCAA Tournament is down to the Sweet 16. This year’s guests include former supermodel Amanda Marcum, ‘Dunk City,’ the LaSalle Explorers, three schools from the Sunshine State and Wichita St. from out of the Missouri Valley Conference.

The cast of characters include Buzz Williams, the lovable Marquette head coach who plays a mean air guitar and has led his team to a pair of improbable comeback victories over Davidson and Butler.

You want Hall-of-Fame-bound coaches? We’ve got Rick Pitino, Tom Izzo, Billy Donovan, Mike Krzyzewski and Bill Self. If Ohio St. ends up cutting the nets down in Atlanta, then Thad Matta should’ve been included in the previous sentence.

Cinderella is still in this tournament, but she’s way hotter this time around. Andy Enfield has a trophy wife and bigger paychecks headed his way after leading Florida Gulf Coast to a pair of blowout wins over second-seeded Georgetown and seventh-seeded San Diego St. In doing so, the Eagles became the first No. 15 seed to advance to the region semifinals.

And there was nothing fluky about it. FGCU beat Miami earlier this season, prompting many pundits to point to that defeat as the reason why the Hurricanes shouldn’t be a No. 1 seed. Um, I think we can now call that a quality loss (by three) for UM.

FGCU used a 21-2 second-half surge to take a 52-33 lead over Georgetown with 12:28 remaining Friday night. The Hoyas would rally to make it respectable, but the Eagles won by a 78-68 count as 13-point underdogs at Wells Fargo Center in Philadelphia. Bernard Thompson was the catalyst with 23 points and seven rebounds, while Brett Comer finished with 12 points, 10 assists and six boards.

Enfield’s bunch took out the Aztecs 81-71 as a 7.5-point ‘dog. Thompson scored 23 points (again) and Comer posted another double-double with 10 points and 14 dimes. Sherwood Brown added 17 points and eight boards, including a ridiculous dunk off a no-look alley-oop dish from Comer.

FGCU will take its high-flying act to Cowboys Stadium to challenge third-seeded Florida on Friday night in Arlington. The Gators, who advanced with easy wins and covers over Northwestern St. and Minnesota, were favored by 13 against the Eagles as of Monday afternoon.

The total was 133.5. The Eagles are +700 on the money line (risk $100 to win $700).

Donovan has UF in the Sweet 16 for the third straight season. The Gators were led by Mike Rosario’s game-high 25 points in Sunday’s 78-64 win over Minnesota as eight-point ‘chalk. Rosario splashed the nets with six 3-pointers on nine attempts as Florida raced to a 48-27 lead at halftime.

Florida has had to go through Cinderella stories before in recent NCAA Tournaments with mixed results. In 2006, the Gators beat George Mason in the national semifinals before winning their first national title in school history.

UF has faced Butler in three different NCAA Tourneys since 1999 when it beat the Bulldogs on Mike Miller’s leaner at the buzzer in a first-round matchup. In the 2007 tournament, Florida had its toughest test on the way to repeating as national champs in a nail-biting win over Butler in the Sweet 16. Two years ago, Butler rallied from a double-digit second-half deficit to beat the Gators in overtime at the South Region finals in New Orleans.

Also in 1999, UF was eliminated in the West Region semifinals in Phoenix where Gonzaga advanced to the Elite Eight thanks to Casey Calvary’s tip-in winner in the final seconds.

Just last year, UF didn’t have to face Missouri in the second round because the second-seeded Tigers were stunned by No. 15 seed, Norfolk St.

The other game at Cowboys Stadium on Friday night will feature top-seeded Kansas up against Michigan, an undervalued No. 4 seed that looked like the best team in the field following easy wins and covers over South Dakota St. and VCU.

Most books are listing KU as a two-point favorite with a total of 136 ½.

The Jayhawks got all they wanted from Western Kentucky in Friday’s 64-57 win as 20.5-point favorites. The Hilltoppers led 31-30 at intermission and threatened to become the first No. 16 seed to advance. Then on Sunday, North Carolina raced out to a 12-2 advantage over KU and still led 31-20 at halftime, but Bill Self’s team used a 29-8 run to propel it to a 70-58 win as a 6.5-point favorite.

In the West Region semifinals on Thursday at Staples Center in Los Angeles, No. 2 Ohio St. will collide with sixth-seeded Arizona. Most spots have the Buckeyes favored by 3 ½ with a total of 133 ½. Gamblers can take the Wildcats to win outright for a +155 return (risk $100 to win $155).

Ohio St. survived a game effort from Iowa St. and won a 78-75 decision thanks to Aaron Craft’s 3-pointer with 0.5 seconds remaining. The Buckeyes had posted an easy first-round win over Iona.

Arizona is 4-1 ATS in its last five games after thumping Belmont (81-64) and Harvard (74-61) to easily cover the number in both spots.

The other game in Tinseltown will pit LaSalle vs. Wichita St. Most spots have the Shockers as four-point favorites with the total in the 135-136 range. The Explorers are +160 on the money line.

LaSalle went into Kansas City and upset Kansas St. before winning a nail-biter over Ole Miss. Gregg Marshall’s team advanced by dominating Pittsburgh before knocking off top-seeded Gonzaga.

The East Region semifinals will take place at Verizon Center in Washington, D.C., where Syracuse and Indiana will square off in a rematch of the 1987 national championship game won by IU on Keith Smart’s baseline jumper at the Superdome in New Orleans.

Most spots have Tom Crean’s squad installed as a 5.5-point favorite with a total of 136. The ‘Cuse is +210 on the money line.

In the late game following IU-Syracuse, Miami is a 5.5-point ‘chalk’ vs. Marquette with a total of 127. The Golden Eagles are +220 on the money line (risk $100 to win $220). The Hurricanes blasted Pacific by 29 points but failed to cover in Sunday’s 63-59 victory over Illinois as eight-point favorites.

If Marquette and Indiana meet in the Elite Eight, Tom Crean would have to face his former team that he took to the Final Four in 2003.

The Midwest Region will anoint its winner in Indianapolis. Louisville, which wasn’t challenged in blowout wins over North Carolinal A&T and Colorado St., will meet No. 12 seed Oregon. The Ducks advanced with victories over No. 5 and No. 4 seeds, Oklahoma St. and Saint Louis.

Most books have U of L favored by 10 with a total of 128. Dana Altman’s team can be had to win outright for a +450 payout.

The Oregon-Louisville winner will face the survivor of Duke and Michigan St. Most books have Duke as a two-point favorite with a total of 134.

Louisville remains the ‘chalk’ to win the national championship in two weeks. Sportsbook.ag has the Cardinals’ odds reduced to 3/1. Indiana and Florida have the next-shortest odds at +450 and +500, respectively.

Miami has 7/1 odds, followed by Ohio St. and Duke at 8/1 apiece, while Kansas, Michigan St., Syracuse and Michigan share 12/1 odds. At this point, I believe the Wolverines have the best value in the futures market.

Arizona has 25/1 odds, followed by Wichita St. (30/1), Marquette (40/1), Oregon (60/1), LaSalle (75/1) and Florida Gulf Coast (100/1).

**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**

--Minnesota fired Tubby Smith on Monday afternoon. Candidates to replace Smith might include Butler’s Brad Stevens, VCU’s Shaka Smart, Florida Gulf Coast’s Andy Enfield, Marquette’s Buzz Williams, former UCLA and Pitt coach Ben Howland and/or Wichita St.’s Gregg Marshall.

--Ben Howland is also out at UCLA. This search should be all about Butler’s Stevens or VCU’s Smart. However, Pitt’s Jamie Dixon might be the top choice even though he recently inked a 10-year extension with the Panthers. The Bruins will have plenty of quality options so they better get it right.

--Following its win over Ole Miss, LaSalle decided to stay in Kansas City instead of flying back to Philadelphia before a Tuesday trip to Los Angeles. The Explorers will fly from KC to LA on Tuesday afternoon.

--Sportsbook has Florida as the -150 favorite to win the South Region and move on to Atlanta. Kansas is at +225 while Michigan is +300. Florida Gulf Coast has 25/1 odds to win two more games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-26-13 11:35 PM
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Sweet 16 Returnees

March 26, 2013

Sweet 16 Trends

With the 2013 NCAA Tournament entering the SWEET 16 round, let's take a different perspective in analyzing the teams that have arrived. This one pertains specifically to teams that are returning to the SWEET 16 for the 2nd straight year.

Do these experienced teams perform with aplomb and panache, or do they bomb like Ted Kaczynski on a 2nd date? Let's take a peek.

ALL HANDS ON DECK

-- Taking a look at this year's list of returnees, we find half of last year's field returning. They include - Florida, Indiana, Kansas, Louisville, Marquette, Michigan State, Ohio State and Syracuse.

-- According to our database, since 1992, teams making a right-back appearance in the SWEET 16 are 63-43 SU and 48-56-2 ATS in this round of the tourney.

-- The cut-line, however, is often times the pointspread.

-- That's confirmed by the fact that favorites of more than 6 points are 35-3 SU and 23-15 ATS in these games.

-- Priced at anything less (dog or favorite of 6 or fewer points), they dip drastically to 28-40 SU and 25-41-2 ATS in competitive contests.

-- This year's teams making the cut (favored by 6 or more points) are: Florida and Louisville.

NOT QUITE A '10'

-- Looking at it from a varied perspective, SWEET 16 returnees seem to struggle when arriving off a win of less than 10 points, going just 25-24 SU and 17-30-2 ATS.

-- This year that would include Marquette and Ohio State.

Note: Indiana and Syracuse face one another.

SEEDY DEVELOPMENT

-- As expected, the top two seeds fare the best in Sweet 16 games as returnees, going 48-15 SU combined. To the spread, however, they are lukewarm, at best, going 32-31 ATS.

-- No. 3 seeds have fared the worst, going 5-7 SU and 3-9 ATS as returnees in this round. Not good news for Marquette or Michigan State.

-- Ironically, the Eagles failed in this same role as small favorites, losing 68-58 as small favorite versus Florida.

SAYANORA

-- Worse, when SWEET 16 returnees arrive and are forced to take on top quality foe with a win percentage of .850 or greater they spring a major leak, going 7-16 SU and 8-14-1 ATS, including 4-14 SU and 4-13-1 ATS in they won fewer than 30 games last season.

-- If these same guys are facing a foe off a win of 15 or more points they capsize, going 0-7 SU and 1-6 ATS.

-- The life rafts are ready and standing by for Michigan State this Friday.

-- The bottom line is you can draw your own conclusions, if you like. But make no mistake, when it comes to handicapping teams in the SWEET 16, the winners will likely be the better-qualified teams that have 'been there-and-done that'. Or those who know how to keep a ship afloat, if you know what I mean.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-26-13 11:36 PM
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Armadillo: Tuesday's six-pack

-- Mike Krzyzewski's record in his first three years at Duke? 38-47, with an ACC record of 13-29; if that was today instead of 1983, he'd be fired.

-- Minnesota fired Tubby Smith after not building him a practice facility they had promised in '07; interesting to see who they find that is better.

-- Sun Belt is adding four teams this week; Georgia Southern, Appalachian State for all sports, then Idaho/New Mexico State, just for football.

-- 34-year old Kyle Lohse got $33M for three years from Milwaukee, just to prove that once again, this is a great country.

-- Miami Heat won their 27th game in a row, beating Orlando, 108-94. Last time they lost was February 1 at Indiana.

-- John Wall had 47 points, 8 assists as Washington upset the Memphis Grizzlies 107-94; Wiz aren't bad when Wall is healthy.


*****

Armadillo: Tuesday's List of 13: Nobody asked me, but.......

13) All this talk about Florida Gulf Coast being founded in the 1990’s made me think; how much cash does it take to start a college? I mean, how do you hire teachers? Where do the students come from? Books? Computers? Cafeteria workers? Has to be a pretty big undertaking.

12) Ben Howland gets $3.5M as a parting gift from UCLA; wish someone would pay me to go away. Imagine how much someone dislikes your work to pay you $3.5M just to go away?

11) By the way, it seems unfair that Howland gets the ziggy while Shabazz Muhammad will be a first round pick in the NBA in June; he grabbed zero rebounds in 39 minutes against Minnesota Friday. Zero, as in none. John Stockton’s kid at Gonzaga, who is 5-11 maybe 170, has a better defensive rebounding metric than Muhammad this season. That’s embarrassing.

10) ESPN.com has 8.15M brackets filled out in its contest; four people had 15 of 16, 760 had 14 of 16, 1,046 had zero of 16. Zero? That’s not good.

9) Former Villanova coach Steve Lappas, a studio guy on CBS Sports Network, ripped the refs of Indiana-Temple game, saying “….they held Kashif (Wyatt) every play in the last 5:00.” Not often you hear a studio guy who wasn’t even calling the game be so outspoken about officials.

8) LA Angels ate $34M of the remaining $42M on his contract to send Vernon Wells to the Bronx; he’s been paid by three different teams on this contract: Toronto still owes him $15M for three years on the deal. Wells is the most overpaid person in America not named Kardashian.

7) Former Dallas Cowboy exec Gil Brandt, who knows stuff, posted these college football teams as his top six going into the 2013 season: Ohio State-Texas A&M-Oregon-South Carolina-Florida-Alabama.

6) If they’re going to have spring college football, why not let each team have one home scrimmage, charge admission and televise them? Wouldn’t that raise a lot of money?

5) CBS televises The Masters? Who knew? Good thing they run those commercials every half hour to remind us.

4) High school basketball players who want to play in college should forego AAU and instead spend their time
a) Improving their bodies as much as possible to become better athletes and b) become as good a shooter as humanly possible. Shooters are always in demand, always.

Look at Sherwood Brown on Florida Gulf Coast; pretty terrific player, right? he's a walk-on, as in, no scholarship offers. He made himself a player.

3) Its fairly obvious that CBS dictated that Creighton-Duke have a 9:40 tipoff time Sunday night, despite the game being in Philadelphia. Made for a dead crowd and a lackluster game. Kansas-North Carolina from Kansas City would’ve been my choice for the last game of the day.

2) You can actually make the argument that Albany gave Duke a stiffer test than the Bluejays did. Creighton was dismal on offense; obviously Duke played much better against them, but Great Danes were down 8 with 4:40 left, lost by 12.

1) You wonder if Florida Gulf Coast’s success has a trickle down effect on other coaches, making their jobs more difficult, as in “How come they can get to the Sweet 16 and we can’t even make the tournament?”

I’m especially thinking of South Florida’s Stan Heath, the other team on Florida’s gulf coast, up in Tampa. Not only are the Bulls bad, they play a slower style. Got to be easier to recruit kids when you play fast. Has to be.
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Old Post 03-26-13 11:38 PM
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Tuesday, March 26

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Evansville - 7:00 PM ET Canisius -1.5 500 POD # 1
Canisius - Over 147 500

Loyola-Maryland - 7:00 PM ET East Carolina -3 500 POD # 2
East Carolina - Under 147.5 500

Maryland - 7:30 PM ET Alabama -3.5 500
Alabama - Under 127 500

Bradley - 8:00 PM ET Northern Iowa -11 500
Northern Iowa - Under 134 500




Believe in the 3 G's
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Old Post 03-27-13 12:18 AM
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Wednesday's NIT Action

March 26, 2013

The Sweet 16 is right around the corner in the NCAA Tournament, but the NIT is down to its Elite Eight with three games to determine who will move on to Madison Square Garden next Tuesday night. Seven of the eight teams in this round are third seeds or higher with the lowest seed being Providence (4). The premiere contest takes place in Charlottesville with a late-season ACC/Big Ten Challenge.

Iowa at Virginia - 7:30 PM EST

The Cavaliers own a perfect 20-0 record at home, as UVA will play its final game at John Paul Jones Arena this season with a potential trip to New York for the NIT Final Four on the line. Iowa invades Charlottesville with an eight-game ATS win streak, while six of its last seven victories have come by double-digits. The Hawkeyes advanced to this round of the NIT following solid home triumphs over Indiana State (68-52) and Stony Brook (75-63).

Virginia's bubble burst for an NCAA Tournament bid by losing late-season contests to Florida State, Boston College, and N.C. State. However, Tony Bennett's team is making the most of its NIT appearance with home wins over Norfolk State (67-56) and St. John's (68-50), but the Cavs only covered in the victory over the Red Storm as 10 ½-point favorites. The cover snapped a five-game ATS skid for Virginia, who has compiled a 14-3-1 ATS record at home this season.

The Hawkeyes are the best ATS team in the nation (22-9), in spite of winning just two of 10 true road games this season. Iowa closed the season cashing five of its last six opportunities when receiving points away from home, but Fran McCaffery's club lost all six times to Michigan State, Indiana, Michigan, Purdue, Wisconsin, and Minnesota. In November's ACC/Big Ten Challenge, Iowa traveled to Virginia Tech and was trounced by the Hokies, 95-79 as two-point underdogs.

BYU at Southern Mississippi - 8:00 PM EST

Two underrated teams from mid-major conferences hook up in Hattiesburg as the Cougars travel to the Gulf Coast off home blowouts of Washington (90-79) and Mercer (90-71). BYU cashed each time in the favorite role, while obliterating the 'over' (148 vs. Washington and 144 vs. Mercer) in both victories. Southern Miss held off Louisiana Tech's late rally in a 63-52 home win on Monday to cash as six-point favorites, avenging an earlier road loss to the Bulldogs in December.

The Golden Eagles have won five of six overall with the lone defeat coming in double overtime to Memphis in the Conference USA tournament final. The 'under' in Monday's triumph over Louisiana Tech snapped a four-game streak to the 'over,' while Donnie Tyndall's team is now 10-3 to the 'over' the previous 13 contests. Southern Miss owns a mediocre 6-7 ATS record as a favorite of 6 ½ points or less this season, but the Golden Eagles have won each of their last three games in this pointspread spot by double-digits.

BYU is playing only its third true road game since February 8, as the Cougars are 2-4 ATS this season away from Provo. The Cougars won just once in six tries in this role, coming at Santa Clara on January 12 as two-point 'dogs in an 82-64 victory. The last 10 games have not been kind to BYU backers with a 3-6-1 ATS record, but all six ATS defeats came as favorites of eight points or more.

Providence at Baylor - 9:00 PM EST

The Bears try to salvage their season by looking for their first appearance in the NIT Final Four since losing in the championship to Penn State in 2009. Baylor's offense has gone nuts in two NIT blowouts over Long Beach State (112-66) and Arizona State (89-86), but the Bears failed to cover as 8 ½-point favorites against the Sun Devils on Friday night.

Providence used a late run to eliminate upstart Robert Morris on Monday, 77-68 as 7 ½-point 'chalk.' The Friars closed the season winning six straight games at the Dunkin Donuts Center, while posting a 5-4 ATS record as a road underdog. Ed Cooley's team has put together a 1-4 SU/ATS mark on the highway following a home victory, which includes recent setbacks at Connecticut and Syracuse.

Baylor has covered just once in its last four opportunities as a home favorite, while going 8-3 to the 'over' in the previous 11 games overall. Scott Drew's club has eclipsed the 80-point mark in five of the last six contests played in Waco, as the Bears put up a 60-spot in the second half of Friday's win against Arizona State. Since 2010, Baylor owns an impressive 11-1 ledger to the 'over' in postseason games (including conference tournaments).




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-27-13 06:53 AM
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Wednesday, March 27

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Iowa - 7:00 PM ET Iowa +4 500
Virginia - Under 123 500

Western Michigan - 7:00 PM ET Western Michigan +4.5 500 POD # 4
George Mason - Under 138.5 500

Brigham Young - 8:00 PM ET Southern Miss -5.5 500
Southern Miss - Over 151 500

Providence - 9:00 PM ET Baylor -9 500 POD # 3
Baylor - Over 147 500

Oral Roberts - 9:00 PM ET Weber St. -9 500 POD # 2
Weber St. - Over 141 500

Santa Clara - 9:00 PM ET Santa Clara +1 500 POD # 1
Wright St. - Under 133 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-27-13 07:03 AM
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Thursday's Early Action

March 27, 2013

Thursday's Sweet 16 action in the East and West regionals involves an interesting group of teams ranging from 13th seed La Salle to top-seeded Indiana. We'll take a look at the two tips in the 7:00 EST hour as four major conferences are represented, leading off with the Big East against the ACC.

East Regional

(2) Miami vs. (3) Marquette - 7:15 PM EST - CBS

The first tip-off at the Verizon Center in Washington D.C. involves two teams that weren't expected to be playing in this round when the season began. The Hurricanes continued their magical run by holding off Illinois in Sunday's round of 32 with a 63-59 triumph, but failed to cash as eight-point favorites. However, UM will be without one of its key players for Thursday's Sweet 16 showdown with Marquette.

Center Reggie Johnson underwent minor knee surgery on Tuesday, which will keep him out of this weekend's action. Johnson's productivity dipped following a thumb injury in December's Diamond Head Classic in Hawaii, as 'Canes big man has not scored more than eight points in any of the last 12 games. In Sunday's win over Illinois, Johnson failed to score a single point in 18 minutes, but point guard Shane Larkin came through with a huge three-pointer in the final minute to take the lead for good.

Marquette managed to qualify for this round after squeaking by Davidson and Butler in the first two games. In the victory over Davidson in the second round, the Golden Eagles erased a five-point deficit in the final 41 seconds to shock the Wildcats, 59-58. Buzz Williams' team couldn't cash as 3 ½-point favorites, the fifth consecutive non-cover away from Milwaukee. The Golden Eagles held off Butler in the third round on Saturday, 74-72, as many closing numbers had Marquette as two-point 'chalk,' while the line hovered at 1 ½ for most of the day.

The Hurricanes turned in one of the better ATS records in the country at 21-10-1, as Jim Larranaga's club is riding a 4-1 ATS run. Miami is in the midst of a 7-3 'over' stretch, but the offense has been held to 65 points or less three times, including in the Illinois victory. The 'Canes are facing Marquette for the first time in school history, while searching for their first-ever appearance in the Elite Eight.

Miami is listed as five-point favorites, while the total is set at 127.

West Regional

(2) Ohio State vs. (6) Arizona - 7:45 PM EST - TBS

The Buckeyes survived a scare in Sunday's round of 32 triumph over Iowa State thanks to a three-pointer at the buzzer by Aaron Craft. Ohio State edged its way to the Sweet 16 with a 78-75 win, but couldn't take home the money as 7 ½-point favorites. Thad Matta's squad led by 13 points in the second half, as the Cyclones rallied back with 19-5 run to grab a one-point advantage in the final two minutes of regulation. Craft's three-ball helped put the Buckeyes in the Sweet 16 for the fourth consecutive March.

The Wildcats breezed through their first two tournament victories over Belmont and Harvard, winning each game by at least 17 points. Sean Miller's team easily cashed in the favorite role each time, including as 10 ½-point favorites in a wire-to-wire 74-51 rout of the Crimson in the third round. In each of Arizona's last six victories, the Wildcats have won by double-digits, but four of those triumphs came against weaker competition as favorites of at least 10 points.

Ohio State has been nearly an automatic cover since February 20, posting an 8-2 ATS record the last 10 games. The two ATS losses came to Iowa State (in which the Buckeyes had a commanding lead) and at Northwestern, as the Wildcats cashed as 11-point home underdogs in a 63-53 loss. The Buckeyes are dominated as a single-digit favorite of late by going 7-2 ATS the last nine games in this role.

Arizona doesn't have to travel very far after returning home from Salt Lake City, as the next two rounds of this regional take place at Staples Center in Los Angeles. It may not mean much, but the Wildcats lost each of their two games in L.A. this season at UCLA and USC towards the end of the season. The 'Cats are listed as an underdog for just the second time this season, as Arizona came back late to stun Florida at home in December, 65-64.

The Buckeyes are 3 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 134.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-28-13 09:39 PM
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Thursday's Late Action

March 28, 2013


An interesting contrast of late games takes place to wrap up the first night of the Sweet 16. Indiana and Syracuse are no surprise to make it to this round of the NCAA Tournament, but La Salle and Wichita State were definitely not predicted to qualify at this point. We'll start with the rematch of the 1987 National Championship in the Nation's Capital.

East Regional

(1) Indiana vs. (4) Syracuse - 9:45 PM EST - CBS

These two traditional powers are meeting for the first time since 1998, as the Hoosiers survived a scare from Temple in the round of 32. Indiana advanced to the Sweet 16 for the second consecutive season by knocking out Temple, 58-52, but failed to cash as 12-point favorites. Tom Crean's club will not be laying points at that magnitude for at least the next two rounds (assuming they advance), as Syracuse's road to this round hasn't been difficult so far.

The Orange pulled off the biggest blowout in the second round by dispatching Montana, 81-34 as 13-point 'chalk.' Syracuse stepped in class in the next round against Cal, which had a slight home-court advantage by playing the game in nearby San Jose. Jim Boeheim's team overcame 39% shooting from the floor by eliminating the Golden Bears, 66-60, but couldn't grab the money as 7 ½-point favorites. Syracuse benefited greatly from the line by attempting 22 more free throws than Cal, while converting 26 foul shots.

Indiana has struggled down the stretch to cover numbers, posting a 2-5-1 ATS in the last eight games, which includes an outright underdog victory at Michigan to close the regular season. The Hoosiers put together a lousy 3-7 ATS record in the role of a single-digit favorite, while losing outright the last four times (Wisconsin, Illinois, Minnesota, and Ohio State).

Syracuse thrived in the underdog role two weeks ago in the Big East tournament with outright victories over Georgetown and Pittsburgh. However, the Orange blew a 16-point cushion in the championship against Louisville in a 78-61 defeat as 5 ½-point underdogs. Since 2006, Syracuse owns an 0-3 SU/ATS record when receiving points in an NCAA Tournament game, including last season's Elite Eight setback to Ohio State.

Indiana is listed as 5 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 136.

West Regional

(9) Wichita State vs. (13) La Salle - 10:15 PM EST - TBS

The Explorers finished tied for third in the Atlantic 10 standings, while being one of five teams from the conference to make the NCAA Tournament. La Salle is the only team remaining from that league in the Sweet 16, as the Explorers are the lone school to win three games so far after beating Boise State in the First Four.

Wichita State pulled off a nice shock by bouncing top-seeded Gonzaga, 76-70 as 6 ½-point underdogs in the third round. Gregg Marshall's club shot lights out by hitting 50% from the field, while drilling 14 three-pointers, including four each by Ron Baker and Cleanthony Early. The win was the second one in the underdog role for Wichita State in the tournament, who routed Pittsburgh in the second round, 73-55 as four-point 'dogs.

Interestingly enough, La Salle dropped its opening game inside the Atlantic 10 tournament to Butler, but has won three straight contests since, all in the underdog role. The Explorers held off Kansas State in the second round, 63-61 to cash as six-point 'dogs, while rallying late to stun Ole Miss, 76-74 as four-point 'dogs. Since the start of February, La Salle owns a solid 9-4 ATS record the previous 13 games.

Following a nice run of 'unders' to close January, the Shockers are 6-2 to the 'over' the last eight contests. Since winning and covering road contests at Drake and Bradley to kick off Missouri Valley play, the Shockers have cashed just once in the last five opportunities in the road favorite role on the highway (2-3 SU).

Wichita State is listed as 4 ½-point favorites, while the total is set at 135 ½.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-28-13 09:42 PM
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Armadillo: Thursday's six-pack

Odds to win the NBA title this spring.......

-- Miami Heat 23/20-- Who beats them best-of-7?

-- Oklahoma City Thunder 7/2-- Favorite to win the west.

-- San Antonio Spurs 13/2-- Need Parker back healthy.

-- Los Angeles Clippers 10/1-- No easy playoff series out west.

-- Indiana Pacers 18/1-- Need Miami to get hit with injuries.

-- Los Angeles Lakers 20/1-- Worst bet on the board.
Denver Nuggets, who just won 15 games in a row, are listed at 30-1.


*****

Armadillo: Thursday's List of 13: Random thoughts on a spring day......

13) Shaka Smart signed an extension with VCU thru 2023 and UCLA is left scratching its head, wondering why no one they want wants them. You fire a guy after he wins a league title and no one thinks its that great a job.

According to SI.com.....

"A majority of what Smart asked VCU for was improvements for his staff and program. That includes more salary for his staff and a bevy of things like better meals for players, improved travel for the program and other perks for his staff."

12) Rick Pitino knows that deflections are a great indicator of how hard a team is playing. Every time a Cardinal tips a pass, blocks a shot, makes a steal, swats a dribble or grabs a loose ball, he gets credit for one. Doing little things help teams win, and few teams win as much as Louisville.

11) Life in the NBA isn’t always glamorous; Clippers lost in OT at Dallas Tuesday, didn’t get to New Orleans until 3:30 am, then had to play the Hornets 17 hours later. There are lot worse ways to make a living, but it ain’t always fun.

10) Pretty cool of Jeep to use Al Pacino’s “Life is a game of inches…” speech from Any Given Sunday in one of its commercials. Caught me by surprise the first time I heard it.

9) Jason Campbell better write a book someday; he signed on to play QB with Cleveland this year, his 4th NFL team in the last five years. When he was at Auburn, he played for four different OC’s in four years; he’s had one of the most dysfunctional careers ever, much of it not his doing. Would like to see him have some success before he’s through playing.

8) There are around 40,000 Subway sub shops worldwide, double what they had just ten years ago.

7) Northwestern hired Chris Collins as basketball coach; not sure how sitting next to (Chicago native) Mike Krzyzewski makes you qualified to be a Big Dozen head coach with no prior head coaching experience, but there he is with a big job in his pocket.

Of Coach K’s coaching tree, only Mike Brey has been successful- Johnny Dawkins is doing OK at Stanford, but not that great, plus he played over a decade in the NBA. Tommy Amaker couldn’t win at Seton Hall/Michigan; he’s doing well at Harvard because they loosened the admissions strings for him. We’ll see how young Collins does; Wildcats would’ve been better off hiring his father, but they probably couldn’t afford Doug Collins.

6) Up until six years ago, I used to spend two weeks every July in Florida at AAU basketball tournaments in Orlando; if you’ve read this site for a long time, you’ll remember me talking about various kids I saw play, or meeting Doc Rivers and Tubby Smith, among other coaches. One of the kids we wrote about in 2007 is now writing an unlikely story for himself at Southern Mississippi, after almost falling through the cracks of the system.

5) Dwayne Davis played AAU ball for my friend Joe Gill with the PA Red Storm in ‘07; he was an explosive scorer even back then, but washed out at Morehead State (academics), then played JC ball in Texas, before finally getting a chance this season with the Golden Eagles in this, his last year of college eligibility, and boy, has he taken advantage of that chance, scoring 16 ppg for a team that lost in double OT in the conference USA title game.

Dwayne is 6-5, plays some point guard and makes 42% of his shots behind the arc. Would be a special story if he could make it to the NBA, but at least we’re thinking he’ll make good money playing in Europe next year, or in the NDBL. 6-5 guards who can shoot aren't that easy to find.

Would be great to see him the NBA Summer League in Las Vegas this July.

4) Stanford's football team has players from 30 states and Canada.

3) Huge blow for Miami Hurricanes; center Reggie Johnson is out for this weekend. Takes a productive big body out of the middle.

2) Good news for people who watch baseball on TV: Tim McCarver is out at FOX after this season. Like most analysts, McCarver was way better when he was working every day. Doing games once a week, he's not as good.

1) Glad to hear that Marcus Lattimore did well in his workout at South Carolina’s pro day; kid has been through a lot with injuries. Curious to see who drafts him next month.
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Old Post 03-28-13 09:44 PM
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NCAAB
Dunkel

Marquette vs. Miami (FL)
The Hurricanes look to take advantage of a Marquette team that is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games overall. Miami (FL) is the pick (-5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hurricanes favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-5 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

THURSDAY, MARCH 28

Game 807-808: Syracuse vs. Indiana (9:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 71.864; Indiana 72.513
Dunkel Line: Indiana by 1; 140
Vegas Line: Indiana by 5 1/2; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+5 1/2); Over

Game 809-810: Marquette vs. Miami (FL) (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Marquette 66.549; Miami (FL) 73.692
Dunkel Line: Miami (FL) by 7; 125
Vegas Line: Miami (FL) by 5 1/2; 127
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (-5 1/2); Under

Game 811-812: Arizona vs. Ohio State (7:47 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 68.350; Ohio State 76.116
Dunkel Line: Ohio State by 8; 137
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 3; 133 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Ohio State (-3); Over

Game 813-814: LaSalle vs. Wichita State (10:17 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 63.466; Wichita State 69.176
Dunkel Line: Wichita State by 5 1/2; 132
Vegas Line: Wichita State by 4; 135 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wichita State (-4); Under




NCAAB
Long Sheet

Thursday, March 28

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SYRACUSE (28 - 9) vs. INDIANA (29 - 6) - 3/28/2013, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 135 to 139.5 over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 70-97 ATS (-36.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game since 1997.
INDIANA is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
------------------------------------------------------------------------

MARQUETTE (25 - 8) vs. MIAMI (29 - 6) - 3/28/2013, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIAMI is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all games this season.
MIAMI is 21-8 ATS (+12.2 Units) in all lined games this season.
MIAMI is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
MIAMI is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
MIAMI is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
MARQUETTE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 188-145 ATS (+28.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 112-84 ATS (+19.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
MARQUETTE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
MARQUETTE is 30-15 ATS (+13.5 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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ARIZONA (27 - 7) vs. OHIO ST (28 - 7) - 3/28/2013, 8:47 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 39-27 ATS (+9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
OHIO ST is 203-156 ATS (+31.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
OHIO ST is 132-96 ATS (+26.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
ARIZONA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) when the total is 130 to 139.5 this season.
ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-5 ATS (+9.5 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in road games versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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LASALLE (24 - 9) vs. WICHITA ST (28 - 8) - 3/28/2013, 10:17 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WICHITA ST is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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Friday, March 29

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OREGON (28 - 8) vs. LOUISVILLE (31 - 5) - 3/29/2013, 7:15 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 22-14 ATS (+6.6 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 17-7 ATS (+9.3 Units) when the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 35-24 ATS (+8.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a neutral court game where the total is 120 to 129.5 over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in March games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 10-2 ATS (+7.8 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-2 ATS (+12.8 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-7 ATS (+8.3 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
LOUISVILLE is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in a NCAA tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOUISVILLE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 15-8 ATS (+6.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MICHIGAN ST (27 - 8) vs. DUKE (29 - 5) - 3/29/2013, 9:45 PM
Top Trends for this game.
DUKE is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
DUKE is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games in non-conference games this season.
DUKE is 45-70 ATS (-32.0 Units) in March games since 1997.
DUKE is 13-27 ATS (-16.7 Units) on Friday nights since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus DUKE over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 2-0 straight up against MICHIGAN ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN (28 - 7) vs. KANSAS (31 - 5) - 3/29/2013, 7:37 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games this season.
KANSAS is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game this season.
MICHIGAN is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 56-38 ATS (+14.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 23-12 ATS (+9.8 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
MICHIGAN is 47-30 ATS (+14.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLA GULF COAST (26 - 10) vs. FLORIDA (28 - 7) - 3/29/2013, 10:07 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLORIDA is 99-72 ATS (+19.8 Units) after a non-conference game since 1997.
FLORIDA is 100-70 ATS (+23.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 62-35 ATS (+23.5 Units) in all tournament games since 1997.
FLORIDA is 26-13 ATS (+11.7 Units) in a NCAA tournament games since 1997.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all lined games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in March games over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) in all tournament games this season.
FLA GULF COAST is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
FLA GULF COAST is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet

Thursday, March 28

NCAA Tournament, Sweet Sixteen

Syracuse vs. Indiana, 9:45 ET CBS
Syracuse: 1-7 ATS away playing thier second game in seven days
Indiana: 14-5 ATS after allowing 55 points or less

Marquette vs. Miami FL, 7:15 ET CBS
Marquette: 2-9 ATS away after winning 4 of their last 5 games
Miami FL: 16-6 ATS after playing as a favorite

Arizona vs. Ohio State, 7:45 ET TBS
Arizona: 15-6 ATS as an underdog
Ohio State: 3-11 ATS after having 5 or less offensive rebounds

La Salle vs. Wichita State, 10:15 ET TBS
La Salle: 0-6 ATS off 3+ ATS wins
Wichita State: 14-4 ATS off BB Overs


Friday, March 29

NCAA Tournament, Sweet Sixteen

Oregon vs. Louisville, 7:15 ET CBS
Oregon: 1-7 ATS after playing as an underdog
Louisvile: 8-0 ATS in March

Michigan State vs. Duke, 9:45 ET CBS
Michigan State: 14-5 ATS away off an ATS win
Duke: 1-8 ATS after having 9 or less assists

Michigan vs. Kansas, 7:35 ET TBS
Michigan: 7-1 ATS in tournament games
Kansas: 11-1 Under in NCAA Tournament games

Florida Gulf Coast vs. Florida, 10:05 ET TBS
FL Gulf Coast: 7-0 ATS as an underdog
Florida: 5-13 ATS off ATS wins in 2 of their last 3 games




NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, March 28

Thursday's games
Underdogs are 11-5 vs spread in regional semis last two years; Syracuse will have crowd advantage playing in Washington, but since '04, Orange lost three of four regional finals, losing by 9-13-4 points, winning by one LY- they're 0-6 vs spread in last six regional semis, with two wins by a point. Indiana beat Georgetown in OT in its only game vs Big East team this year; Crean has experience vs Syracuse zone when he was coaching Marquette up until '08 (0-2 vs Syracuse in Big East). Crean is 1-1 in this round, losing to Kentucky LY, upsetting Pitt in '03. Since 2002, #1 seeds are 9-3 vs #4 seeds in this round, but only 5-7 vs spread.

Miami won its last six games, five by 10+ points; this is same building where Larranaga won regionals with George Mason in '06. Hurricanes are #9 in country in experience, played #14 schedule- they allowed 54 ppg in first two tourney games, after winning ACC tournament. Since 2002, underdogs are 7-4 vs spread when 2-seed plays a 3-seed in this round. Marquette was down six with 1:10 to Davidson in first round, trailed by down 8 at half to Butler Saturday- they lost in this round last two years, by 18 to UNC, 10 to Florida. Over last decade, ACC tournament winner is 3-5 in this round, despite being favored in eight of the nine games.

LaSalle-Wichita is 9-13 game, first one in tourney history- there was an 8-13 game in '98, with Valparaiso losing/covering vs URI. Explorers won three games last week, after losing last regular season game by 24, first game in A-16 tourney by 11- they've got average experience, are #320 in bench minutes but defend arc (29.9%) well. Wichita pummeled Pitt, then upset #1 seed Gonzaga-- Shockers are 14-1 outside MVC, losing 69-60 at Tennessee- they're #79 in experience, played #67 schedule. LaSalle is #173 in experience, played #77 schedule. Explorers give up 64.5% of its points inside arc, highest percentage in country, partly because center Zack is out injured.

Last five years, team that won Big 10 tourney got to Sweet 16, then lost this game, despite being favored four times; only twice in last decade has tourney winner gotten to Elite 8 (1-6 vs spread in regional semi). SoCal site favors Arizona whose fans were all over Vegas for Pac-12 tourney two weeks ago; Wildcat coach Miller was once an assistant for Matta when he was Xavier's coach. Since 1987, underdogs are 15-9-1 vs spread when 2-seed plays 6-seed in this round. Arizona won by 17-23 in its first two tourney games, but they're going way up in class vs Buckeyes, after facing Belmont/Harvard last week. Wildcats are 14-0 in non-league games, with only three of those wins against top 40 teams.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-28-13 09:48 PM
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FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Friday's NCAA games
Louisville is 12-0 since losing in five OTs to Notre Dame Feb 9, winning last seven games by 12+ points each; Pitino is 4-0 in this round with the Cardinals (4-0 vs spread) winning by 14-19-39-13 points. Louisville is #2 in country at forcing turnovers (28.2% of time). Oregon turns ball over 21.5% of time (#264 in country); they lost by 11 to Cincinnati on neutral floor in only game vs Big East foe; they've won last five games, allowing 57-55 points in two tourney wins. Since 2001, #1 seeds are 8-2 vs spread in this round when facing someone other than a 4-5 seed (15-18 vs 4-5 seeds). Teams that won Pac-12 tourney are 3-2 in this round, 1-4 vs spread, 0-2 as underdogs, losing by 13-14 points.

Since 2005, Duke is 1-4 in this round, despite being favored in all five of the games, losing as favorites of 5-5-2-4 points. Since 1987, Duke is 8-3 vs Big Dozen teams in NCAAs; they're 2-1 vs Michigan State, winning 85-74 (-5) in '94, 68-62 (-12) in '99, losing in '05 78-68 (-5). Blue Devils beat Minnesota by 18, Ohio State by 5 in two tilts vs Big Dozen teams this year. You're reading ***************.com. Spartans are 14-2 outside Big Dozen play, but one of losses was 67-59 at Miami, its only game vs ACC team. Since '01, underdogs are 9-7 vs spread when 2-seed faces a 3-seed in this round. Spartans are holding teams to 29.8% from arc; Duke makes 40.3% behind arc, 5th in country. Appling hurt his shoulder last week, is expected to play here.

Bill Self is 5-1 (3-3 vs spread) in Sweet 16 games at Kansas, winning by 15-3-15-20-3 points, losing only to Michigan State (-2.5) in '09- they've won 12 of last 13 games (lost at Baylor), winning first two tourney tilts by 7-12, allowing 57.5 ppg. Michigan beat K-State by 14, West Virginia by 15 in its two games vs Big X teams; Wolverines won first two games in NCAAs by 15-25 points after going 6-6 in last 12 regular season tilts. #1 seeds are 15-18 vs spread in this round when facing a 4-5 seed (8-2 vs others). Michigan is young (#339 in experience), doesn't sub much (#325 in bench minutes) but their 54.6 eFG% is #11 in country. Jayhawk foes shoot just 38.7% inside arc; Michigan better make some 3-pointers.

Florida Gulf Coast is first 15-seed to get this far; they beat pair of teams last week (Hoyas/Aztecs) that struggle on offense, now Florida (28-1 in games decided by 10+ points, 0-6 in games decided by less than 10) are presenting a different problem- Gators shoot 38.3% from arc, 55.1% on 2-pointers are #28 in experience. FGCU has five losses to teams ranked outside top 200, but not now; this confident, athletic team has only two seniors in its rotation, but Comer is superior PG who has Eagles running and playing with swagger. Florida won its last five Sweet 16 games (4-1 vs spread) winning by 9-4-8-9-10 points. Hard to go against the Eagles here, but when Cinderella goes down, it often goes down by a big score.




NCAAB

Thursday, March 28

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Trend Report
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7:15 PM
MARQUETTE vs. MIAMI
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Miami's last 10 games
Miami is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:47 PM
ARIZONA vs. OHIO STATE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of Ohio State's last 10 games
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

9:45 PM
SYRACUSE vs. INDIANA
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Indiana's last 7 games
Indiana is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

10:17 PM
LA SALLE vs. WICHITA STATE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Wichita State's last 6 games
Wichita State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


Friday, March 29

7:15 PM
OREGON vs. LOUISVILLE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

7:37 PM
MICHIGAN vs. KANSAS
No trends available
Kansas is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

9:45 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. DUKE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Duke's last 5 games when playing Michigan State
Duke is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games

9:57 PM
FLORIDA GULF COAST vs. FLORIDA
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Florida's last 11 games
Florida is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games


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NCAAB

Thursday, March 28

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NCAA tournament East Regional: Semifinal betting previews
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Marquette Golden Eagles vs. Miami Hurricanes (-5, 127)

After both survived scares last weekend, the road will end for either third-seeded Marquette or second-seeded Miami when they clash Thursday in the NCAA Tournament round of 16 in Washington, D.C. The Hurricanes continued their charmed season by holding off Illinois 63-59 on Sunday, reaching the Sweet 16 for only the second time. They have never advanced to the Elite Eight, but will have to do so without reserve C Reggie Johnson, who underwent arthroscopic knee surgery Tuesday.

The Golden Eagles are in the Sweet 16 for the third straight year, but they haven't advanced past this point since a Final Four run in 2003. Marquette was fortunate to get out of the round of 64, needing a late rally to fend off upset-minded Davidson 59-58, and the Golden Eagles denied another challenge in a 74-72 win over Butler on Saturday. The teams have split four all-time meetings and are squaring off for the first time since 1989.

TV: 7:15 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT MARQUETTE (25-8, 13-15-1 ATS): The Golden Eagles have been forced to rally in the second half of their first two games in the tournament, and junior guard Vander Blue has been the hero in both. Blue made the winning basket in the final seconds against Davidson and poured in 29 points against Butler. "We had two close games - we had a lot of those this year," Blue told reporters. "What we went through earlier this year prepared us." They ought to expect another tight contest in a matchup of defensive-minded teams. Blue and junior forward Jamil Wilson are the only Marquette players averaging double-digit scoring in the tournament.

ABOUT MIAMI (29-6, 21-10-1 ATS): The Hurricanes already have enjoyed what could be described as the best season in school history, winning the ACC regular-season and tournament titles, and they're not ready to send off six seniors yet. "Words can't describe it," forward Julian Gamble told reporters. "It is the first time (in the Sweet 16) for our school since the year 2000. To be going with this group of guys and continue with this dream season of sorts is really hard to put into words right now. We are really excited about the opportunity." Junior Rion Brown helped keep the season going with 21 points against Illinois, as the Hurricanes overcame a tough offensive night from senior Durand Scott. There's a chance Johnson could return if Miami reaches the Final Four.

TRENDS:

* Golden Eagles are 0-4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Hurricanes are 4-1 ATS in their last five games overall.
* Under is 6-2 in Golden Eagles' last eight NCAA Tournament games.
* Over is 7-1 in Hurricanes' last eight NCAA Tournament games.

TIP-INS:

1. In five postseason games, Miami's Shane Larkin, Trey McKinney Jones, Scott and Brown all are averaging more than nine points, have hit 10 or more 3-pointers and are shooting better than 80 percent from the foul line.

2. Marquette is 4-6 this season when trailing at halftime, including two wins in the NCAA Tournament. The Golden Eagles are 20-1 when leading at half and 1-1 when tied at the break.

3. The Verizon Center is the same site where Miami coach Jim Larranaga led George Mason to the Final Four in 2006. The Patriots beat Wichita State in the regional semifinals and Connecticut in the regional final in Washington, D.C.


Indiana Hoosiers vs. Syracuse Orange (+5.5, 135.5)

It has been more than a quarter-century since Indiana and Syracuse created one of the most memorable finishes in national championship history. The two basketball powers will meet again in the NCAA Tournament for the first time since – this time in the East Regional semifinals – on Thursday in Washington D.C. In 1987, the Hoosiers’ Keith Smart drained a 16-foot jumper from the left baseline in the final seconds against the Orange, giving Indiana its last NCAA title. The Hoosiers reached their second consecutive Sweet 16 for the first time in school history Sunday after rallying in the final minutes to defeat Temple 58-52.

Like Indiana, the Orange survived their own third-round scare, pulling out a 66-60 victory over California despite 15 missed free throws and a second-half field-goal drought that lasted 12:09. “It was not pretty. Honestly, I don't think I can describe it. It was about as ugly as I think it can get,” Syracuse coach Jim Boeheim said following the game. The winner will face either Miami (Fla.) or Marquette in the Elite Eight on Saturday.

TV: 9:45 p.m. ET, CBS

ABOUT SYRACUSE (28-9, 18-15-0 ATS): Although he did not find out about it until after the game, Michael Carter-Williams’ home in Massachusetts was destroyed by fire Saturday, approximately at the same time the Orange were on the court with the Golden Bears in San Jose, Calif. Syracuse held Pac-12 Player of the Year Allen Crabbe to eight points and nine field-goal attempts – each mark two shy of his season low. The Bears also shot 4-for-21 beyond the arc. Defending the 3-point shot will be pivotal against the Hoosiers, who rank third in the country beyond the arc (40.8 percent) and feature three starters who knock down at least 43 percent of their 3-point attempts.

ABOUT INDIANA (29-6, 17-15-1 ATS): Victor Oladipo was named one of four finalists for the Naismith Award on Sunday and promptly closed out the Hoosiers’ victory over Temple by converting the tiebreaking free throw and a critical insurance 3-pointer with 14 seconds remaining. The Big Ten Defensive Player of the Year will enjoy a homecoming of sorts this week in the nation’s capital, which is a short drive from Oladipo’s hometown of Upper Marlboro, Md. The 58 points against the Owls matched the Hoosiers’ second-lowest output of the season and marked the first time the third-highest scoring team in the country won a game in which they scored fewer than 66 points.

TRENDS:

* Orange are 2-5 ATS in their last seven NCAA Tournament games.
* Hoosiers are 0-3-1 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games.
* Over is 5-2 in Orange last seven neutral site games.
* Under is 5-2 in Hoosiers last seven overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Indiana is 11-1 all-time as a No. 1 seed, with the resulting .916 winning percentage the best such mark for a top seed in NCAA Tournament history.

2. Boeheim’s 50 NCAA Tournament victories rank fourth all-time.

3. The Hoosiers are the sixth-best shooting team in the country (48.6 percent) while the Orange own the third-best field-goal defense (37.3).


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-28-13 09:50 PM
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Posts: 10543

NCAAB

Thursday, March 28

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NCAA tournament West Regional: Semifinal betting previews
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Arizona Wildcats vs. Ohio State Buckeyes (-3.5, 134)

The longstanding friendship between Arizona coach Sean Miller and Ohio State coach Thad Matta will be set aside Thursday when the sixth-seeded Wildcats and No. 2 Buckeyes collide in the NCAA Tournament Sweet 16 in Los Angeles. Miller and Matta became friends while serving on the Miami (Ohio) staff of Herb Sendek, currently the head coach at Arizona State. Their 12th-seeded RedHawks upset fifth-seeded Arizona in the 1995 NCAA Tournament.

Matta later hired Miller as his assistant at Xavier, where Miller took over after Matta left for Ohio State in 2004. They met on opposite ends of the floor once before, in the second round of the 2007 NCAA Tournament, with the top-seeded Buckeyes prevailing in overtime against No. 9 Xavier. This matchup looks to be similarly close, as Ohio State enters on a 10-game winning streak but could be vulnerable against Arizona’s size. Amir Williams, a 6-11 sophomore center, is the only player taller than 6-8 for the Buckeyes, but he's been limited to 16.5 minutes. The Wildcats, meanwhile, feature 7-foot freshman center Kaleb Tarczewski in the starting lineup with freshmen forwards Grant Jerrett (6-10) and Brandon Ashley (6-8) off the bench.

TV: 7:47 p.m. ET, TBS.

ABOUT ARIZONA (27-7, 16-16-0 ATS): Mark Lyons has already accomplished something no other player in NCAA history done, advancing to two straight Sweet 16s with different teams. Lyons, a 6-1 senior point guard, led Xavier to the quarterfinals last season before moving to Arizona in the offseason as a graduate transfer. He also helped the Musketeers to the Sweet 16 as a freshman before they lost in double overtime to Kansas State. Lyons has been playing his best basketball of the season lately. He’s averaging 25 points through the first two tournament games and has turned the ball over twice in each of the last four games.

ABOUT OHIO STATE (28-7, 20-12-1 ATS): Aaron Craft missed three free throws in the final 4:40 of Sunday’s game against 10th-seeded Iowa State but saved the Buckeyes by drawing a controversial charge with 1:41 remaining and then sinking a 3-pointer with one second left in the 78-75 victory. His defense on Lyons will be key in the West Regional semifinal. Some opposing coaches consider Craft the best defensive guard in the country. “You can’t simulate the defensive pressure of Craft in practice. He’s like having two guys on you,” Northern Kentucky coach Dave Bezold said after a loss to the Buckeyes back in December.

TRENDS:

* Wildcats are 5-0 ATS in their last five NCAA Tournament games.
* Buckeyes are 5-1 ATS in their last six neutral-site games.
* Under is 22-10-1 in Wildcats' last 33 overall.
* Under is 7-3 in Buckeyes' last 10 overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Ohio State forward Deshaun Thomas is averaging 23 points through the first two tournament games after leading all players in scoring at last season’s NCAA Tournament (19.2).

2. Ohio State and Arizona have met once previously, a 90-47 victory by the Buckeyes during the 1972-73 season.

3. With his next appearance, Arizona State senior forward Solomon Hill will tie the school record for most games played (139). Kyle Fogg set the current mark from 2008-12.

La Salle Explorers vs. Wichita State Shockers (-4, 135.5)

Either Wichita State or La Salle will be playing for a spot in the Final Four. The ninth-seeded Shockers and 13th-seeded Explorers are unlikely opponents in Thursday’s Sweet 16 contest in Los Angeles and the winner advances to Saturday’s West Regional final. Wichita State shocked top-seeded Gonzaga in the round of 32, while La Salle won three days in five games and advanced to the Sweet 16 with a 76-74 victory over Mississippi.

Explorers coach John Giannini refuses to buy into the notion that the Explorers are a “Cinderella” after their unlikely string of victories that began with wins over Boise State and Kansas State. “What people label us, we really try not to acknowledge it,” Giannini said. Wichita State routed Pittsburgh before posting the 76-70 victory over the Bulldogs, and the Shockers are very much aware that few people expected them to reach the Sweet 16 for the first time since 2006. “You hear stuff and people come up to you saying, ‘What do you think about 70 percent of America has you losing the first game?’” junior forward Cleanthony Early said. “You have to avoid everyone’s opinion and go out there and play hard.”

TV: 10:17 p.m. ET, TBS

ABOUT WICHITA STATE (28-8, 17-14-2 ATS): Freshman guard Ron Baker joined Early in having a big game in the slaying of Gonzaga. Both players scored 16 points and made four 3-pointers but Baker’s effort stood out for two reasons – it fell two points shy of his career-best output and it was only his fifth game since returning from a foot injury that sidelined him for 21 games. “Those 21 games were a long 21 games, I’ll just say that,” said Baker, who is averaging 8.3 points in 15 games. Early averages a team-best 13.9 points, senior forward Carl Hall averages 12.6 points and a team-high 6.9 rebounds and senior guard Malcolm Armstead contributes 10.6 points and a team-best four assists.

ABOUT LA SALLE (24-9, 15-12-2 ATS): Fatigue hasn’t yet been an issue for the Explorers despite the fact the team had to travel to Kansas City after winning their first outing in Dayton, Ohio. “At this point, you’re too young to be getting tired,” junior guard Tyreek Duren said. “You don’t really have time to get tired at this point. You wake up and win games.” Duren had 19 points against Ole Miss and ranks second on the squad in scoring at 14.5 points. Senior guard Ramon Galloway scored 24 points against the Rebels and averages a team-best 17.4 points. Junior guard Tyrone Garland averages 12.8 points and scored 17 against Ole Miss, including the game-winning basket on a driving shot with two seconds left.

TRENDS:

* Explorers are 5-2 ATS in their last seven non-conference games.
* Shockers are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 non-conference games.
* Over is 7-3 in Explorers' last 10 overall.
* Over is 5-1 in Shockers' last 6 overall.

TIP-INS:

1. Wichita State last advanced to a regional final in 1981. La Salle played in back-to-back title games in 1954-55 and won the 1954 championship game.

2. Five Explorers have 30 or more steals, led by Galloway (63) and Duren (56).

3. The Shockers made 14 3-pointers in the upset of Gonzaga, tying for second-most in school history




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-28-13 09:56 PM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Thursday, March 28

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Marquette - 7:15 PM ET Marquette +5.5 500
Miami-Florida - Over 126.5 500 POD # 1

Arizona - 7:47 PM ET Ohio St. -3.5 500 POD # 2
Ohio St. - Over 134 500

Syracuse - 9:45 PM ET Indiana -5 500 POD # 3
Indiana - Under 136 500

La Salle - 10:17 PM ET La Salle +4.5 500 POD # 4
Wichita St. - Under 134 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 03-28-13 10:30 PM
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