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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

MLB
Dunkel

Oakland at Detroit
The A's look to build on their 8-2 record in Jarrod Parker's last 10 road starts. Oakland is the pick (+170) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 2. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+170). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 6

Game 905-906: Cincinnati at San Francisco (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.119; San Francisco (Cain) 15.960
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-125); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-125); Under

Game 907-908: Oakland at Detroit (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Parker) 17.061; Detroit (Verlander) 15.133
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-200); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+170); Over




MLB
Long Sheet

Saturday, October 6

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (97 - 65) at SAN FRANCISCO (94 - 68) - 9:35 PM
JOHNNY CUETO (R) vs. MATT CAIN (R)
Top Trends for this game.
CINCINNATI is 8-22 (-16.2 Units) against the money line in October games since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 94-68 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 94-68 (+19.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 60-37 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 43-25 (+17.3 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 42-22 (+16.8 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
CINCINNATI is 97-65 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
CINCINNATI is 47-34 (+10.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
CINCINNATI is 97-65 (+17.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
CINCINNATI is 402-445 (+38.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games since 1997.
CINCINNATI is 443-497 (+44.3 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
CUETO is 38-19 (+14.2 Units) against the money line in all games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
CUETO is 38-18 (+15.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 4-3 (+1.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 6 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+1.8 Units)

JOHNNY CUETO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CUETO is 2-1 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 1.93 and a WHIP of 1.107.
His team's record is 2-2 (-0.4 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

MATT CAIN vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
CAIN is 4-5 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 3.54 and a WHIP of 1.325.
His team's record is 4-6 (-4.5 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (94 - 68) at DETROIT (88 - 74) - 6:05 PM
JARROD PARKER (R) vs. JUSTIN VERLANDER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
VERLANDER is 38-11 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in home games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 38-11 (+18.5 Units) against the money line in home games in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 24-6 (+15.1 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
VERLANDER is 14-0 (+14.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
OAKLAND is 58-35 (+27.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
OAKLAND is 22-11 (+11.6 Units) against the money line after 3 or more consecutive wins this season.
OAKLAND is 49-38 (+21.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 27-19 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
OAKLAND is 94-68 (+37.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 38-36 (+33.8 Units) against the money line as a road underdog of +175 to +200 since 1997.
OAKLAND is 44-37 (+17.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 88-65 (+32.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 64-41 (+31.8 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
OAKLAND is 62-39 (+32.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
PARKER is 12-5 (+7.4 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
PARKER is 11-5 (+7.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 45-43 (-13.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
DETROIT is 88-74 (-11.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 84-71 (-12.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 51-48 (-11.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 (+0.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
5 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

JARROD PARKER vs. DETROIT since 1997
PARKER is 0-1 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.17 and a WHIP of 1.764.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-0. (+1.0 units)

JUSTIN VERLANDER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
VERLANDER is 8-5 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.63 and a WHIP of 1.148.
His team's record is 8-6 (+0.7 units) in these starts. The OVER is 5-9. (-4.9 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Saturday, October 6

A's won last six games and eight of last nine to win AL West. Tigers are 8-2 in last 10 games (all vs Royals/Twins), were beneficiaries of White Sox' collapse to win AL Central. Detroit won season series 4-3; winning team scored 10+ run in four of seven games- Tigers won two of three here Sept 18-20; teams split four games in Oakland in May. Parker is 4-0, 2.65 in his last five starts; he allowed two runs in 5.2 IP in 3-1 loss to Tigers in May, which was his first MLB loss. Verlander is 4-0, 0.96 in his last four starts; he beat Oakland twice this year, allowing one run in 13 IP. He had to throw 122 pitches in only six inning against the A's Sept 19.

Reds-Giants both jogged into playoffs, weren't stressed much in September-- Reds are 10-6 in last 16 games- they were 4-3 against SF this year, splitting a four game series in late July, after winning two of three at home in April. All four games here stayed under total; two of three in Ohio went over. Cueto is 2-0, 2.25 in his last three starts; he allowed three runs (two ER) in six IP in losing his only start against Giants this season. Cain is 3-0, 1.67 in his last five starts; he was 0-2, 5.54 in two starts against the Reds this season. Giants are 11-5 in their last 16 games.




MLB

Saturday, October 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

6:07 PM
OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oakland's last 10 games on the road
Oakland is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Detroit's last 7 games when playing Oakland
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

9:37 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 5 games when playing on the road against San Francisco
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Cincinnati's last 5 games
San Francisco is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Cincinnati
San Francisco is 9-2 SU in its last 11 games at home




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-06-12 03:53 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

MLB

Saturday, October 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ALDS Gm.1 betting preview: Athletics at Tigers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Oakland Athletics at Detroit Tigers (-187, 7.5)

The Oakland Athletics have been in playoff mode for the better part of the last six weeks and needed a three-game sweep of the Texas Rangers to complete a comeback from 13 games out to win the American League West. The Detroit Tigers wrapped up the Central a little earlier and have had a chance to rest and line up the rotation for the Division Series. The Tigers will send reigning Cy Young Award winner Justin Verlander in Game 1.

Verlander has been arguably the best pitcher in the AL during the regular season for the last handful of years but has never pitched well in the postseason, owning a 3-3 record with a 5.57 ERA in eight total starts. But at least Verlander has some playoff experience, whereas the Oakland staff is full of playoff first-timers. The Athletics cruise into the series having won six straight and eight of their last nine. They did hit a rough stretch on a road trip a couple weeks back, dropping six of 10 - including two of three at Detroit. Oakland was outscored 18-4 in the first two games of that series but bounced back to take the rubber game 12-4.

TV: 6:07 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to left field at 12 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics RH Jarrod Parker (13-8, 3.47 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Justin Verlander (17-8, 2.64)

Parker, like most of his teammates, is new to the playoff experience but was a big part of the surge the carried the team through the month. The rookie right-hander showed few signs of fatigue in his first full season, going 4-1 with a 2.63 ERA over his final six starts. Parker faced Detroit at home on May 13 and suffered the loss after allowing two runs on six hits in 5 2/3 innings. Triple Crown winner Miguel Cabrera went 2-for-3 with an RBI off Parker in that contest.

Verlander again has a strong case for the Cy Young Award after leading the majors with 239 strikeouts. He finished the campaign by going 4-0 with a 0.64 ERA in his final four turns. One of those wins came against Oakland on Sept. 19, when he scattered five hits over six scoreless innings while striking out five. Verlander has fared well against the A’s in his career, owning a 7-5 record with a 2.38 ERA in 13 career starts - including two wins in as many outings this season.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-0 in the last five meetings in Detroit.
* Tigers are 6-1 in their last seven games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Athletics are 7-1 in their last eight Saturday games.
* Over is 5-0 in Athletics last five vs. American League Central.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Oakland lineup led the major leagues in strikeouts with 1,387 and will be going against the two starting pitchers (Verlander and Max Scherzer) who punched out the most batters during the regular season.

2. Cabrera went 14-for-29 (.483) with three homers and 14 RBIs in seven games against the A’s this season.

3. The Tigers took four of the seven meetings during the regular season and swept the A's in the 2006 ALCS - Oakland's last trip to the playoffs.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-06-12 03:55 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

MLB

Saturday, October 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLDS Gm.1 betting preview: Reds at Giants
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Cincinnati Reds at San Francisco Giants (-119, 6.5)

Runs figure to be at a premium when the San Francisco Giants and Cincinnati Reds meet in Game 1 of the best-of-five National League Division Series at AT&T Park. Both teams relied heavily on their pitching to win their divisions by a wide margin, and the opener features a matchup of Cy Young award candidates Matt Cain and Johnny Cueto. Cincinnati went 4-3 against San Francisco this season, with three of the seven games decided by one run. While the Reds have Bronson Arroyo and Mat Latos lined up to start the next two games, the Giants haven’t announced who will follow Madison Bumgarner in Game 2. Manager Bruce Bochy said it’s possible that regular starters Tim Lincecum, Barry Zito or Ryan Vogelsong could be used in relief in the first two games.

The series marks a postseason return to San Francisco for Reds manager Dusty Baker, who managed the Giants from 1993-2002. Baker, who led the Giants to the 2002 World Series, is back in the dugout after being treated for an irregular heartbeat and a mini-stroke in September. The Giants’ offense revolves around MVP candidate Buster Posey, who hit .336 to win the first batting title by an NL catcher since 1942. Bochy did a masterful job handling his relief corps this season, but the Reds had the best bullpen ERA in the majors this season at 2.65. Jonathan Broxton and Sean Marshall provide a solid bridge to closer Aroldis Chapman, who converted 38 of his 43 save opportunities with a 1.51 ERA.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the mid-50s under clear skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 10 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Johnny Cueto (19-9, 2.78 ERA) vs. Giants RH Matt Cain (16-5, 2.79)

Cain took two of his five losses this season against the Reds, allowing eight earned runs in 13 innings - including four home runs. Cain, who threw the first perfect game in franchise history on June 13, set career bests in ERA, wins and strikeouts (193). He’s hoping to continue his success from the 2010 postseason, when he pitched 21 1/3 innings without allowing an earned run.

Cueto lost his only start against the Giants this season on June 28, when he gave up three runs and six hits over six innings. Hunter Pence is 8-for-29 (.276) with 11 strikeouts against Cueto, who is the first pitcher since Luis Tiant in 1968 with 200 innings pitched not to allow a runner to steal second or third base. He allowed three runs (one earned) over seven innings last Sunday against Pittsburgh.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-0-1 in the last five meetings in San Francisco.
* Under is 4-1 in Cain’s last five home starts vs. Reds.
* Giants are 2-6 in Cain’s last eight starts vs. Reds.
* Reds are 4-1 in Cueto’s last five Saturday starts.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Reds 1B Joey Votto batted .227 (5-for-22) against the Giants this season, while OF Jay Bruce was 11-for-26 (.423) with a homer and seven RBIs.

2. Giants 2B Marco Scutaro finished the regular season with a 20-game hitting streak, batting .436 with five doubles and 17 RBIs during that stretch.

3. Scott Rolen will likely start Game 1 at third base for the Reds over Todd Frazier, who was 13-for-72 (.181) with three RBIs in September.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-06-12 03:57 PM
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Playoff Record:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/05/12 3-_1-_0 75.00% +_1610 Detail


Saturday, October 6

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Oakland - 6:00 PM ET Oakland +179 500
Detroit - Over 7.5 500

Cincinnati - 9:30 PM ET San Francisco -120 500
San Francisco - Over 6.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-06-12 04:03 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

MLB
Short Sheet

Saturday, October 6

National League

NL Division Series, Game One (Series Tied, 0-0)
(TC) Cincinnati at San Francisco, 9:35 ET TBS
Cueto: Cincinnati 8-22 SU in October
Cain: San Francisco 33-13 SU after scoring 2 runs or less


American League

AL Division Series, Game One (Series Tied, 0-0)
(TC) Oakland at Detroit, 6:05 ET TBS
Parker: Oakland 11-2 SU off 6+ division games
Verlander: Detroit 8-0 Over at home off 5+ road games


(TC) = Time Change




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-06-12 10:37 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

NLDS preview and pick: Nationals vs. Cardinals

Check out our breakdown of the NL Divisional Series between the Washington Nationals and St. Louis Cardinals.

Washington Nationals (98-64) vs. St. Louis Cardinals (88-74)

Regular season head-to-head: Washington won the season series 4-3.

Series odds: Nationals -135, Cardinals +115 - Bet365.com

PITCHING

It’s time to find out whether the decision to shut down ace Stephen Strasburg in early September will come back to haunt the Nationals. Team management believes that 21-game winner Gio Gonzalez and righty Jordan Zimmermann can lead the charge and with good reason. Both of the young hurlers had better ERAs (2.89 and 2.94) than Strasburg (3.16) this season. Drew Storen and Tyler Clippard form a formidable one-two punch late in games and Sean Burnett is one of the most effective lefty specialists in the bigs.

The Cardinals are the defending World Series champs and boast a pitching staff that’s playoff proven. Chris Carpenter has rejoined the rotation just in time for the playoff run after finally dealing with a nerve ailment. The battle-tested veteran was untouchable in October last year, posting a perfect 4-0 record. Adam Wainwright missed last year’s storybook run because of Tommy John surgery, but he isn’t a stranger to the postseason. Remember, he closed out Game 5 against the Tigers during the club’s 2006 title run. Kyle Lohse and up-and-comer Lance Lynn round out a rotation that can most certainly repeat as champions. Closer Jason Motte proved last year he’s a playoff performer, closing out five games.

Edge: Nationals


HITTING

First baseman Adam LaRoche matched a career high with 100 RBI and he and the rest of the infield - Ryan Zimmerman, Ian Desmond and Danny Espinosa - combined for 100 homers this season. Oh yeah, and don’t forget about Bryce Harper. The rookie phenom led the NL in runs (27) in September and ranked in the top five in slugging percentage (.643) and batting average (.330) down the stretch.

Carlos Beltran was brought in to replace Albert Pujols' numbers this season and he didn’t disappoint. The veteran outfielder hit .269 with 32 home runs, while driving in 97 runs. Catcher Yadier Molina, who is renowned for his game-calling abilities, should receive some consideration for the league MVP after also putting up big offensive numbers (.315 BA, 22 HRs, 76 RBIs) this season.

Edge: Cardinals


INTANGIBLES

The Nationals return to the postseason for the first time since 1981, back when they were the Montreal Expos. The club posted the best record in the bigs this year, but have 11 regulars who will be making their playoff debuts Sunday. They'll have little margin for error in a shortened five-game series against a Cardinals squad loaded with postseason experience.

St. Louis overcame a 9 1/2-game deficit last season to nab a playoff spot on the season's final day and rode that momentum to claim its 11th World Series title. The Cardinals were once again strong down the stretch this year, taking 12 of their final 16 regular-season to build some serious momentum heading into the play-in game against Atlanta.

Edge: Cardinals


PREDICTION: Cardinals in five games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 04:41 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

ALDS preview and pick: Yankees vs. Orioles

Check out our breakdown of the AL Divisional Series between the New York Yankees and Baltimore Orioles.

New York Yankees (95-67) vs. Baltimore Orioles (93-69)

Regular season head-to-head: The clubs split 18 meetings this season.

Series odds: Yankees -220, Orioles + 180- Bet365.com

PITCHING

The Yankees will send staff ace CC Sabathia to the mound for Game 1. The big lefty has struggled against Baltimore this season, going 0-2 with a 6.38 ERA in 16 innings pitched against Orioles hitters, who have a combined .312 batting average against him this year. Hiroki Kuroda, Andy Pettitte and Phil Hughes will round out the rotation. Pettitte owns a major-league record 19 postseason wins, but the Yankees will surely miss the experience of all-time saves leader Mariano Rivera (ACL). Righties David Robertson and Joba Chamberlain will be the go-to guys in the seventh and eighth innings before handing things over to Rafael Soriano, who saved 42 games and boasts a 2.26 ERA this season.

Baltimore has the most feared bullpen in the AL. Closer Jim Johnson led the majors with a team-record 51 saves, a major reason why the Orioles are 75-0 this season when leading after seven innings. Sidewinder Darren O’Day has thrived in the setup role and Brian Matusz has made a successful transition from a starter to a lefty specialist. Baltimore’s young starters (except for Joe Saunders) will get a taste of playoff pressure for the first time. It will be interesting to see how they respond.

Edge: Tie. The Yankees have the better starting pitching, but the Orioles boast a superior bullpen.


HITTING

They aren’t called the Bronx Bombers for nothing. The Yankees belted out a league-best 245 home runs this season. Robinson Cano enters the series on a torrid pace. The second baseman is hitting .615 with three HRs and 14 RBIs over his last nine games. Captain Derek Jeter hit .403 in 18 games against the Orioles this season, and OF Ichiro Suzuki batted .361 in 10 contests against the O's.

Orioles 1B Mark Reynolds has feasted on Yankees pitching this season, belting seven HRs and 14 RBIs in 15 games. Catcher Matt Wieters and OF Adam Jones also have averages above .300 against New York this campaign. The O’s have received unexpected offensive contributions down the stretch from OF Nate McLouth, who joined the team in August, and 3B Manny Machado, the 20-year-old prospect recalled in July.

Edge: Yankees


INTANGIBLES

The New York Yankees begin their quest for a 28th World Series title on Sunday at Camden Yards. Their roster is loaded with talented veterans that are proven playoff performers.

The Orioles are back in the postseason for the first time since 1997, mostly because of their uncanny ability to win close games this year. The O's outscored the opposition only 712-705 en route to their 93-69 record.

Edge: Yankees


PREDICTION: Yankees in five games.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 04:43 PM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

MLB
Dunkel

NY Yankees at Baltimore
The Orioles look to build on their 6-0 record in their last 6 games as a home underdog. Baltimore is the pick (+140) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 7

Game 909-910: Washington at St. Louis (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Gonzalez) 16.882; St. Louis (Wainwright) 15.266
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-110); Over

Game 911-912: Cincinnati at San Francisco (9:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Arroyo) 14.759; San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.320
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-140); Under

Game 913-914: Oakland at Detroit (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Milone) 16.537; Detroit (Fister) 15.656
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+140); Under

Game 915-916: NY Yankees at Baltimore (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 15.385; Baltimore (Hammel) 17.050
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-160); 8
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Over




MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 7

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON (98 - 64) at ST LOUIS (89 - 74) - 3:05 PM
GIO GONZALEZ (L) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 17-8 (+12.2 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 49-36 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 98-64 (+22.9 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 48-33 (+14.4 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
WASHINGTON is 95-64 (+19.0 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
WASHINGTON is 69-45 (+16.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
WASHINGTON is 59-38 (+13.5 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
WASHINGTON is 47-35 (+10.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WASHINGTON is 39-30 (+13.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
GONZALEZ is 24-8 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 14-4 (+9.7 Units) against the money line in road games this season. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 25-10 (+13.6 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 24-8 (+14.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
GONZALEZ is 16-5 (+9.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 89-74 (-3.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 8-15 (-9.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 89-74 (-3.7 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 26-35 (-16.8 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WAINWRIGHT is 10-16 (-13.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 4-3 (+1.0 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+5.0 Units)

GIO GONZALEZ vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
GONZALEZ is 1-0 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 0.00 and a WHIP of 0.889.
His team's record is 1-0 (+1.0 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-0. (+1.1 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. WASHINGTON since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 4-3 when starting against WASHINGTON with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.447.
His team's record is 4-4 (-1.7 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-3. (+0.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

CINCINNATI (98 - 65) at SAN FRANCISCO (94 - 69) - 9:35 PM
BRONSON ARROYO (R) vs. MADISON BUMGARNER (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 5-3 (+2.5 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season . (Under=+0.6 Units)

BRONSON ARROYO vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
ARROYO is 3-5 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.93 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 4-7 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 9-1. (+7.8 units)

MADISON BUMGARNER vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
BUMGARNER is 1-2 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.16 and a WHIP of 1.279.
His team's record is 1-3 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OAKLAND (94 - 69) at DETROIT (89 - 74) - 12:05 PM
TOM MILONE (L) vs. DOUG FISTER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
DETROIT is 37-17 (+16.3 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 31-14 (+13.5 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
OAKLAND is 94-69 (+36.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
OAKLAND is 44-38 (+16.9 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
OAKLAND is 96-79 (+19.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 3 seasons.
OAKLAND is 88-66 (+31.2 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
OAKLAND is 62-40 (+31.0 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
OAKLAND is 36-32 (+11.2 Units) against the money line after a loss this season.
OAKLAND is 49-39 (+20.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
OAKLAND is 27-20 (+12.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
MILONE is 20-11 (+10.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
MILONE is 19-10 (+10.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
DETROIT is 89-74 (-10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 85-71 (-11.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 46-43 (-12.8 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 5-3 (+1.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+2.1 Units)

TOM MILONE vs. DETROIT since 1997
MILONE is 1-0 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.08 and a WHIP of 1.542.
His team's record is 2-0 (+2.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-0. (+2.2 units)

DOUG FISTER vs. OAKLAND since 1997
FISTER is 5-4 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 2.45 and a WHIP of 1.212.
His team's record is 5-6 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 6-4. (+1.5 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (95 - 67) at BALTIMORE (94 - 69) - 6:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. JASON HAMMEL (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 27-31 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in road games in night games this season.
NY YANKEES are 67-74 (-23.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
SABATHIA is 4-8 (-8.2 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season. (Team's Record)
BALTIMORE is 94-69 (+38.7 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
BALTIMORE is 36-22 (+17.9 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 47-34 (+10.4 Units) against the money line in home games this season.
BALTIMORE is 23-13 (+10.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season.
BALTIMORE is 15-4 (+14.3 Units) against the money line when playing with a day off this season.
BALTIMORE is 43-29 (+21.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents this season.
BALTIMORE is 86-59 (+37.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 62-54 (+17.1 Units) against the money line in night games this season.
BALTIMORE is 27-18 (+11.9 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
BALTIMORE is 54-39 (+20.9 Units) against the money line after a win this season.
BALTIMORE is 54-41 (+28.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
BALTIMORE is 26-22 (+13.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
HAMMEL is 13-7 (+8.0 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 7-1 (+7.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 8 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 12-6 (+7.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
HAMMEL is 27-17 (+12.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
NY YANKEES are 89-55 (+11.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
BALTIMORE is 167-246 (-76.0 Units) against the money line when playing on Sunday since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALTIMORE is 9-9 (+4.1 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
9 of 18 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.7 Units, Under=-1.1 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. BALTIMORE since 1997
SABATHIA is 16-4 when starting against BALTIMORE with an ERA of 3.12 and a WHIP of 1.136.
His team's record is 19-6 (+8.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 14-9. (+4.4 units)

JASON HAMMEL vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
HAMMEL is 1-3 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 5.53 and a WHIP of 1.574.
His team's record is 3-5 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 7

Detroit is 5-3 vs Oakland this year, but Verlander is three of the five wins; A's have won eight of last ten games, Tigers nine of last 11. Winning team scored 10+ runs in four of eight series games. Milone is 2-0, 3.58 in last five starts; he was 1-0, 3.86 in two starts vs Detroit this year-- he started only game the A's won here, back on Sept 20. Fister is 1-2, 3.96 in his last four starts-- Detroit won his last four home starts. Fister lost 3-1 in Oakland May 12, allowing one run in six IP. A's are only road team to lose in first four playoff games.

Washington is 4-3 vs World Champ Cardinals this year, with home side 5-2 in those games; six of the seven games went over total. Not sure if Strasburg not pitching matters here, but he is Washington's best pitcher and he is inactive. Gonzalez won 21 games, is 5-1, 1.80 in his last six starts; om August 31, he threw 5-hit shutout vs St Louis (won 10-0). Just for the record, Strasburg blanked the Cards on two hits over six innings on Sept 2nd. Wainwright is 1-3, 6.34 in his last six starts, but the win was Sept 28 against Washington- they KO'd him in 3rd inning of that August 31 game.

Bronx-Baltimore split 18 games this year, with road team winning 12 of the 18 games (6-3 in each park). Last five series games all went over total. Hammel (knee) hasn't pitched since Sept 11; he had a 3.09 RA in his last three starts, and was 0-1, 4.50 in three starts vs Bronx this season. Sabathia is 2-0, 1.50 in his last three starts, going 8 innings in all three; he is 0-2, 6.38 in three starts against Baltimore this year. Keep in mind this is first time in years Bombers don't have Rivera to lean on to close out a playoff game.

Arroyo is 0-3, 4.32 in his last four starts; he allowed four runs in 11 IP in his two no-decisions against Giants this year. Bumgarner was 2-2, 6.15 in his five September starts; he threw one-hitter vs Cincinnati here June 28. Reds/Giants are both 11-6 in last 17 games- Reds are 5-3 against SF this year, with 5-2 win last night first of the five games here to go over total. Cueto got back spasms after eight pitches last night, had to leave, which fouled up rotation but Latos bailed them out with stellar effort in long relief.




MLB

Sunday, October 7

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

12:07 PM
OAKLAND vs. DETROIT
Oakland is 4-8 SU in its last 12 games on the road
Oakland is 16-8 SU in its last 24 games on the road
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 15 of Detroit's last 23 games at home

3:07 PM
WASHINGTON vs. ST. LOUIS
Washington is 3-6 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Washington's last 5 games on the road
St. Louis is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games when playing Washington
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games when playing at home against Washington

6:07 PM
NY YANKEES vs. BALTIMORE
NY Yankees are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games when playing on the road against Baltimore
Baltimore is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Baltimore is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games

9:37 PM
CINCINNATI vs. SAN FRANCISCO
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games when playing San Francisco
Cincinnati is 8-3 SU in its last 11 games on the road
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing at home against Cincinnati




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 04:45 PM
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Sunday, October 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

Oakland - 12:00 PM ET Detroit -149 500
Detroit - Under 7.5 500

Washington - 3:00 PM ET Washington -107 500
St. Louis - Over 7 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 04:51 PM
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Sunday, October 7

Game Score Status Pick Amount

NY Yankees - 6:00 PM ET Baltimore +146 500
Baltimore - Over 7.5 500

Cincinnati - 9:30 PM ET Cincinnati +141 500
San Francisco - Under 7 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-07-12 08:55 PM
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Howzit going gang....Am a work and won't be able to post my normal stuff....Hell i shouldn't even be on this at work doing this...These ****ers are strict.....They are NOOOOOOOOOOO Fun.....but this is what i have for this evening.....

Monday, October 8

Game Score Status Pick Amount

NY Yankees - 8:00 PM ET Baltimore +122 500

Baltimore - Under 8 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-09-12 12:28 AM
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Amazing Athletics Look To Tame Tigers In ALDS

The reward for the Oakland Athletics’ extended and very stirring run to the American League West crown might not be as pleasant as Oakland fans envisioned.

Then again, we’ve learned to never underestimate this battling bunch of A’s.

Awaiting Oakland in the playoffs are the Detroit Tigers, who enter the postseason very hot themselves after putting away the White Sox in the last two weeks to draw clear in the AL Central. The A’s also get the chance to face the first Triple Crown winner in 45 years, Miguel Cabrera, and the pleasure of dealing with Detroit ace Justin Verlander in Game 1 and perhaps once again later in this series.

Action commences on Saturday at Comerica Park in Detroit as the Tigers host Game 1 of the ALDS. The Tigers will also host Game 2 before the remainder of the best-of-five series moves west to the Bay Area and the O.co Coliseum.

The aforementioned Verlander goes for Jim Leyland’s Detroit bunch in the Saturday opener, with Oakland manager Bob Melvin still deciding upon his starter as we go the press late in the week. Verlander will be a sizable favorite whichever pitcher Melvin decides to use, and a check with the Don Best MLB odds screen notes Detroit priced at -185/-190 on the win with Verlander, with the ‘under’ at 7½ and shaded to the ‘under’ at most Nevada wagering outlets.

First pitch on Saturday is slated for 6:05 p.m. (ET) with TBS providing the TV coverage.

Verlander presents quite a hurdle for the A’s, especially considering his recent form chart which includes not only four straight wins but an ERA of 0.64 in the process, allowing just two runs in his last 28 IP. Included in that recent stretch of success was a solid six innings of work vs. Oakland on September 19 at Comerica Park, allowing just five hits and no runs in the process as the Tigers went on to a 6-2 win.

Verlander also handcuffed the A’s on May 13 at Oakland, allowing just one run and two hits over seven innings of work in a 3-1 Tigers win. Over his career, Verlander is 7-5 with a 2.38 ERA in 13 starts against the A’s.

Leyland will pitch Doug Fister in Game 2 on Sunday. Max Scherzer, who got a four-inning tuneup Wednesday to see if his right deltoid and right ankle were OK, will probably start Tuesday's game in Oakland. Anibal Sanchez will likely go if a Game 4 is necessary, with Verlander, if needed, either going in Game 5 or starting the opener of the ALCS if Detroit advances beyond this round.

Rick Porcello has not been included in Leyland’s four-man rotation, and whether he gets included on the divisional round roster could depend on whether manager Jim Leyland wants to carry two left-handed relievers or three. Leyland is scaling back from 12 pitchers to 11, opting for an extra position player because days off mean he can get by with four starters.

Leyland was looking ahead with his rotation more that a week ago, setting it up so Verlander could start either a 163rd game against the White Sox to determine the Central champ or the first game of the divisional playoff round. It also lets him pitch a fifth game, if one is necessary.

The combination of Cabrera’s Triple Crown numbers, and slugging 1B Prince Fielder batting behind him, creates a menacing look for the Tigers in the 3-4 spots in the batting order.

But the concerns for Detroit continue to involve defense, especially some shaky work around the infield, which proved costly on occasion, including the last time these teams faced on September 20 at Comerica. The Tigers were denied a three-game sweep due in part to shoddy defense, including 2B Omar Infante’s throwing error that gifted the A’s a run in the third inning, and a misplayed fly ball by CF Austin Jackson in the sixth inning that resulted in a two-run triple for George Kottaras. Oakland salvaged the final game of that series with a 12-4 win after being outscored 18-4 in the first two games of the set.

The A’s, however, are red-hot, having swept Seattle and Texas at home to conclude the regular season to dramatically collarthe Rangers at the wire to steal the AL West title and avoid the wild card play-in game. Oakland is an astounding 72-38 since June 1, when the A’s began their unlikely turnaround after entering that month with a 22-30 record...the same as the Houston Astros.

Manager Melvin, however, might be a bit reluctant to go with with starter Tommy Milone, who would figure to be up in the rotation but was ineffective in his last start on Sunday vs. the Mariners, allowing nine hits in 4 2/3 IP, after also allowing the same number of hits in the same number of innings in that recent September 20 game at Comerica Park vs. the Tigers.

Melvin’s other likely option appears to be Jarrod Parker, who last pitched on Monday in the 4-3 win over Texas that at the time clinched a wild card berth for the A’s. Parker lost his only start vs. the Tigers back on May 13 (vs. Verlander) but was not terribly ineffective, allowing two runs and six hits in 5 2/3 IP of an eventual 3-1 loss.

But May was a long time ago for the A’s, who became a different team once the calendar turned to June. They enter the postseason with an underrated bullpen having spun 22 1/3 consecutive scoreless innings. Meanwhile, Oakland’s jerry-rigged lineup featuring career spare parts such as Brandon Moss, Seth Smith, Josh Reddick plus electric Cuban defector Yoenis Cespedes, cracked 114 homers after the All-Star break, the best such mark in the majors as the A’s became known for their big-inning outbursts.

Indeed, the current Oakland edition might be the greatest masterpiece of GM Billy Beane’s well-documented career.

These sides have met in the postseason before, most recently in 2006, when Detroit swept the A’s in four straight to advance to the World Series. That was also Oakland’s last playoff appearance until this season.

There was also a memorable ALCS back in 1972, when Oakland’s Campy Campaneris was suspended after throwing his bat at Tiger pitcher Lerrin LaGrow in Game 2 at the Coliseum. The series went the full five games before the A’s pulled it out despite also losing Reggie Jackson at the end of the series due to a torn hamstring on a bang-bang play at the plate against Tiger C Bill Freehan as Reggie dramatically stole home base in a daring double steal ordered by manager Dick Williams. Oakland went on to its first of three straight World Series wins by beating the Reds in the World Series.

The teams met seven times this season, with the Tigers winning four of those, including two of three in the mid-September series at Comerica Park. The sides split a four-game set at Oakland between May 10-13.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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Reds And Tigers Look To Complete LDS Sweeps

Don Best's Pat Williams and Kenny White look ahead to Tuesday's ALDS Game 3 in Oakland where the Athletics are on the brink of elimination against the Detroit Tigers.

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds
MLB Betting Preview
Date: 10/09/2012, 5:37 p.m. (ET) TBS
Opening Lines: Reds -140, O/U 8
(click here for latest odds)

Series So Far: The Giants have been no match for the Reds who come home to Cincinnati with a 2-0 lead. Cincinnati overcame the injury to Johnny Cueto one batter into Saturday's series opener to post a 5-2 triumph as a +115 underdog, then routed San Francisco 9-0 in Game 2 behind Bronson Arroyo who was getting +135 from the oddsmakers. Brandon Phillips and Jay Bruce have provided a big chunk of Cincy's offense with six extra base hits between them, and Dusty Baker's relievers have come through with 10-2/3 innings while allowing only two runs. The Reds won two of three against San Fran when the clubs met at Cincinnati's Great American Ball Park in late-April, the 'over' also going 2-1.

Pitching Matchup: Both managers used their potential Game 3 starters out of the bullpen during the first two games, forcing them to reshuffle their rotations as the series shifts to Cincinnati. Bruce Bochy will give the ball to Ryan Vogelsong in hopes of staving off elimination for the Giants. Vogelsong closed strong in his final three starts of the regular season (17 IP, 1 ER), and helped pitch San Fran to two wins over the Reds this year, including the Giants' only win in the series at GABP. Baker turns to Homer Bailey to deliver the club's first postseason series win since the 1995 NLDS. Bailey posted a 1.84 ERA over his final seven assignments, but Cincinnati was only able to win three of the games. His only appearance of 2012 vs. the Giants was against Vogelsong, a 6-5 San Francisco victory with the Reds laying $1.15 in the contest.


Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics MLB Betting Preview
Date: 10/09/2012, 9:07 p.m. (ET) TBS
Opening Lines: A's -135, O/U 7
(click here for latest odds)

Series So Far: The Athletics return home pushed to the brink after losing both games in Detroit. Oakland was never able to solve Tigers ace Justin Verlander in Saturday's 3-1 setback with Detroit decided -185 chalk. The A's were unable to hold three different 1-run leads on Sunday as the Tigers rallied to post a 5-4 dubya of the walk-off variety, this time as $1.60 favorites. Four games between the clubs at the Coliseum in May resulted in a split (Detroit favored in all four) while totals wagers also were halved 2-2.

Pitching Matchup: Anibal Sanchez makes his postseason debut in a contest that could send the Tigers to their third ALCS in seven years. Detroit was 5-7 in his starts after the trade from Miami, with Sanchez posting a 3.74 ERA. Oakland roughed him up at Comerica Park on Sept. 20, plating six runs (5 earned) and chasing the right-hander in the sixth inning of an eventual 12-4 triumph. Lefty Brett Anderson is charged with sending this ALDS to a fourth game, and will be making his first start in nearly three weeks after being sidelined at the end of the regular season with an oblique strain. Anderson began the season on the DL rehabbing from Tommy John surgery and didn't make his debut until late-August. His most recent start came Sept. 19 in Detroit where he allowed three runs before leaving the game in the third with the oblique issue. The Tigers won that contest as $1.75 favorites behind Verlander.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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Yankees And Nationals Favored To Win LDS Game 3's

Brian Blessing and Todd Fuhrman preview a couple of Game 3's on Wednesday when the Cardinals and Nationals move to Washington while the Orioles and Yankees shift to the Bronx.

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals MLB Betting Preview
Date: 10/10/2012, 1:07 p.m. (ET) TBS
Opening Lines: Nationals -110, O/U 7½
(click here for latest odds)

Series So Far: The series goes to Washington even at one win apiece after St. Louis exploded for a 12-4 decision on Monday. The Cardinals slugged four homers in the rout, two by Carlos Beltran to increase his career postseason count to 13 long balls. The game closed as a pick 'em, and St. Louis' victory might have come at the expense of losing starting pitcher Jaime Garcia for the rest of the postseason with a shoulder injury. Washington took Game 1 of the set on Sunday, 3-2, as a +105 underdog, and the totals split the first two games. The clubs played a 4-game series in DC about six weeks ago, the Nats winning three and the 'over' also going 3-1.

Pitching Matchup: Game 3 will find a couple of veteran right-handers on the hill as Chris Carpenter gets the call for the visiting Redbirds against Edwin Jackson, a teammate of Carpenter's last October during St. Louis' run to the World Series Championship. Carpenter missed almost all of 2012 with a shoulder injury, coming back to make three starts at the end of the regular season, each going into the loss column for the Cards. Jackson faced his former teammates two times this year, tossing eight strong innings for a win at home in late-August and then getting blasted by the Cardinals in St. Louis during the final weekend of the schedule when he couldn't make it through the second inning and allowing eight earned runs. He was 1-1 with a 5.60 ERA in four postseason starts for the Cards last year.


Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees MLB Betting Preview
Date: 10/10/2012, 7:37 p.m. (ET) TBS
Opening Lines: Yankees -180, O/U 8½
(click here for latest odds)

Series So Far: Baltimore evened the ALDS with a 3-2 triumph on Monday. Wei-Yin Chen pitched into the seventh before turning it over to the Orioles bullpen who completed the win by holding the Yankees to one hit and no runs over the final eight outs. The O's were +120 underdogs in Game 2 after dropping Game 1 on Sunday, 7-2, as +150 'dogs. In the opener, New York broke open a 2-2 game with a 5-run outburst in the ninth, all of the runs charged to Baltimore closer Jim Johnson who led the majors with 51 saves during the regular season. The teams split their regular season battles 9-9, with each squad winning six of nine on the road. Baltimore won all three series in the Bronx where six of the nine games stayed 'under' the total.

Pitching Matchup: The Orioles turn to a second-straight rookie to start Game 3 as Miguel Gonzalez has been tabbed by manager Buck Showalter. Gonzalez saw the Yanks twice in the regular season, both games taking place in New York and both going into the win column for the O's. Gonzalez allowed four earned runs in a combined 13-2/3 innings. Joe Girardi hands the ball to another veteran in Hiroki Kuroda whose previous MLB postseason experience came in 2008-09 with the Dodgers. Kuroda split his two starts vs. the Orioles this year (15-1/3 IP, 5 ER), the loss coming at home on Aug. 31 when Gonzalez was the winning hurler for Baltimore.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

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Tuesday LDS Tips

October 8, 2012

A pair of divisional series shift venues as the action heads to Cincinnati and Oakland on Tuesday night. The underdogs won six of the first nine games in the postseason (including Wild Card play-in games), but the A's failed to cash as a 'dog against the Tigers. We'll begin in southern Ohio with the Reds looking to eliminate the 2010 World Series champions.

Giants at Reds - 5:35 PM EST

Cincinnati basically punched San Francisco in the mouth twice at AT&T Park, outscoring the Giants by a combined 14-2 in the first two victories of this series. The Reds followed up a 5-2 triumph in the series opener with a 9-0 rout of the NL West champions, as the Giants try to pick themselves off the mat heading back to the Great American Ballpark.

San Francisco has the inevitable task of winning three straight road games to advance to the NLCS for the second time in three years. Bruce Bochy's team pulled off just three road sweeps all season, while losing two of three meetings in Cincinnati back in late April. However, the Giants avoided the sweep with a 6-5 comeback victory in a contest started by Ryan Vogelsong and Homer Bailey, both who will take the mound in Game 3.

Bailey (13-10, 3.68 ERA) received plenty of accolades recently by tossing a no-hitter against the Pirates on September 28, while striking out 10 for his career-best 13th win on the season. The 26-year old's home-road splits are a concern for potential Cincinnati backers on Tuesday, as Bailey finished just 4-8 in 17 starts at the Great American Ballpark, including losses in five of his final six starts. Bailey allowed three runs (two earned) in 6.1 innings of that one-run loss to the Giants in April, as San Francisco scored three runs in the ninth to strip the right-hander of a possible victory.

Vogelsong (14-9, 3.37 ERA) limped down the stretch following a 7-3 start, delivering quality starts in only three of his final nine outings. The Giants put together a 1-3 record in his last four road starts (all against NL West opponents), but San Francisco managed to beat Cincinnati in both of his outings. In Vogelsong's most recent start against the Reds at AT&T Park in early July, the righty scattered three hits and two earned runs in seven innings of a 4-3 victory. This will be Vogelsong's first career playoff start, as he joined the Giants several months following their championship in 2010.

Tigers at Athletics - 9:05 PM EST

Oakland hopes its magical season won't come to an end on its home field as the A's trail the Tigers, 2-0. The A's have been known for not going away, while erasing a 13-game deficit inside the AL West in late June en route to knocking off the Rangers for the division title. However, Oakland fell short in each of the first two games at Comerica Park, including a 5-4 defeat on Sunday as the Tigers scored a pair of runs in the final two innings to take the commanding series lead.

Mid-season acquisition Anibal Sanchez (9-13, 3.86 ERA) toes the rubber in the potential close-out game for the Tigers, going for just his fifth win in 13 starts with Detroit. Following two shaky outings at Toronto and Minnesota as a favorite, Sanchez has put together four straight quality starts on the highway, but the Marlins and Tigers are just 2-5 in his seven outings as a road underdog. Sanchez was knocked around by Oakland last month at home, allowing six runs in 5.2 innings as the A's pounded by the Tigers, 12-4.

Brett Anderson counters for the Athletics (4-2, 2.57 ERA), making his first start since straining his oblique in a 6-2 loss at Detroit on September 19. The Oakland southpaw dropped a pair of decisions to the Tigers and Angels following a tremendous run of allowing just two earned runs in 26 innings of action. In two of those starts at home, Anderson shut down the Red Sox and Twins as a favorite of at least -160, while the A's own a 6-1 record dating back to last May in the 'chalk' role.

Oakland won eight of its final nine home games of the regular season, including the crucial three-game sweep of Texas to claim the AL West crown. The A's and Tigers split four contests at O.Co Coliseum in mid-May, but Oakland was listed as an underdog each time.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-10-12 01:28 AM
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2012 MLB Playoff Results

October 8, 2012

American League Divisional Series

New York Yankees vs. Baltimore
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 New York Yankees (-170) at Baltimore 7-2 FAVORITE OVER
2 New York Yankees at Baltimore (+117) 3-2 UNDERDOG UNDER
3 Baltimore at New York Yankees Wed Oct. 10 - -
4* Baltimore at New York Yankees Thu Oct. 11 - -
5* Baltimore at New York Yankees Fri Oct. 12 - -

Detroit vs. Oakland
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 Oakland at Detroit (-185) 4-1 FAVORITE UNDER
2 Oakland at Detroit (-155) 5-4 FAVORITE OVER
3 Detroit at Oakland Tue Oct. 9 - -
4* Detroit at Oakland Wed Oct. 10 - -
5* Detroit at Oakland Thu Oct. 11 - -

National League Divisional Series San Francisco vs. Cincinnati
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 Cincinnati (+120) at San Francisco 5-2 UNDERDOG OVER
2 Cincinnati (+138) at San Francisco 9-0 UNDERDOG OVER
3 San Francisco at Cincinnati Tue Oct. 9 - -
4* San Francisco at Cincinnati Wed Oct. 10 - -
5* San Francisco at Cincinnati Thu Oct. 11 - -

Washington vs. St. Louis
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 Washington (+105) at St. Louis 3-2 UNDERDOG UNDER
2 Washington at St. Louis (-105) 12-4 FAVORITE OVER
3 St. Louis at Washington Wed Oct. 10 - -
4 St. Louis at Washington Thu Oct. 11 - -
5* St. Louis at Washington Fri Oct. 12 - -




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-10-12 01:30 AM
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Playoff Betting Notes

October 9, 2012

Entering Monday's action, it appears that home-field advantage doesn't count for much in the 2012 Major League Baseball playoffs. That's because six of the first eight postseason games were won by the road team, and that has been a boon for the book in MLB betting.

It started with Friday's one-game wild-card playoffs. Baltimore, in the postseason for the first time in 15 years, was a +195 dog at Texas (-225) and took barely 37 percent of the action in the 5-1 upset. The Rangers, who were World Series favorites at the book most of the season, took more than 75 percent of the run-line action (minus-1.5 at -120). Rangers star Josh Hamilton was a non-factor in the game by going 0-for-4 and it was a big win for the book on Hamilton under 2.5 combined hits, runs and RBIs.

Entering that game, the Orioles were 7/1 long shots to win the AL pennant and the book is exposed at that number. Texas was 9/4, tied with the Yankees as the favorites.

The National League wild-card playoff featured St. Louis at Atlanta, a game the Braves lost 6-3 possibly due to a completely blown infield-fly rule call as the Braves were attempting to rally in the eighth inning. It turned out to be the final game for retiring Braves third baseman Chipper Jones, a lock first-ballot Hall of Famer. Because Kris Medlen was on the mound and the Braves had won an MLB-record 23 straight of his starts, Atlanta was a -167 favorite and took more than 61 percent of the lean. At minus-1.5 runs (+125), the Braves took more than 67 percent of the betting. The over seven runs also was a win for the book with less than 40 percent of the action there.

One of the book's top player props wins of the week was on Chipper in that game. He was paired against the Cardinals' Matt Holliday for most combined hits, runs and RBIs. Holliday hit a solo homer off Medlen in the sixth inning to give St. Louis a 4-2 lead and finished with two hits, two runs and that lone RBI. Jones was 1-for-5 with no runs or RBIs, and he took the majority lean on this prop.

The only team to hold serve at home in the first two games of the Division Series was the Detroit Tigers against Oakland. And bettors' top game result of last week was the Tigers' 3-1 victory over the A's in Game 1 on Saturday. As usual when ace Justin Verlander is on the mound, the Tigers were big favorites, this time at -187. And Detroit took more than 70 percent of the action there. At minus-1.5 runs (+110), the Tigers took almost 77 percent. Bettors also hit on the under 7.5 runs with more than 57 percent of the lean. Verlander going over seven strikeouts (had 11) was one of bettors' top player prop wins of the week.

The Tigers' strong start has moved them to the AL pennant favorites at 6/5 and co-World Series favorites with Cincinnati at 11/4. Detroit entered the playoffs at 13/2 to win the Fall Classic and the book is exposed there. The National League team the book was most exposed on for the pennant entering the postseason was San Francisco at 13/4 (now 16/1).

The Giants' season could end as soon as Tuesday in Cincinnati, as could Oakland's as they host the Tigers trying to avoid elimination. There will be live play-by-play betting on both games, as there will on every postseason game. The Reds are -140 opening favorites as they start Homer Bailey, who had the final no-hitter in MLB this season, against Ryan Vogelsong. Oakland is a -135 favorite to extend its season behind Brett Anderson, who hasn't pitched since leaving a Sept. 19 loss to Detroit early with a strained oblique. He's opposed by Anibal Sanchez.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-10-12 01:33 AM
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MLB
Dunkel

San Francisco at Cincinnati
The Giants look to stay alive in the series and take advantage of a Cincinnati team that is 1-5 in Homer Bailey's last 6 home starts. San Francisco is the pick (+125) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, OCTOBER 9

Game 921-922: San Francisco at Cincinnati (5:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Vogelsong) 15.813; Cincinnati (Bailey) 15.266
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+125); Under

Game 923-924: Detroit at Oakland (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 15.907; Oakland (Anderson) 16.286
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-135); Over




MLB
Long Sheet

Tuesday, October 9

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (94 - 70) at CINCINNATI (99 - 65) - 5:35 PM
RYAN VOGELSONG (R) vs. HOMER BAILEY (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 6-3 (+3.9 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
4 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=-0.2 Units, Under=-0.6 Units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. CINCINNATI since 1997
VOGELSONG is 1-3 when starting against CINCINNATI with an ERA of 5.84 and a WHIP of 1.703.
His team's record is 4-4 (-0.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.9 units)

HOMER BAILEY vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
BAILEY is 1-0 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 5.59 and a WHIP of 1.517.
His team's record is 3-2 (+3.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-1. (+3.0 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

DETROIT (90 - 74) at OAKLAND (94 - 70) - 9:05 PM
ANIBAL SANCHEZ (R) vs. BRETT ANDERSON (L)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-3 (+2.1 Units) against OAKLAND this season
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+3.1 Units)

ANIBAL SANCHEZ vs. OAKLAND since 1997
SANCHEZ is 0-1 when starting against OAKLAND with an ERA of 7.94 and a WHIP of 1.411.
His team's record is 0-1 (-1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 0-1. (-1.2 units)

BRETT ANDERSON vs. DETROIT since 1997
ANDERSON is 2-2 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.501.
His team's record is 2-2 (+0.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-2. (-0.1 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Tuesday, October 9

Vogelsong is 2-0, 1.59 in his last three starts; he allowed six runs in his 13 IP in two no-decisions vs Cincinnati this season. Bailey is 3-1, 1.85 in last five starts; he allowed three runs (two earned) in 6.1 IP against Giants April 26th. Reds are 12-6 in last 18 games, Giants are 11-7- Reds are 6-3 against SF this year after winning twice out west. Under is 9-2 in Cincinnati's last 11 home games, despite it being a hitter's park; six of last nine Giant road games also stayed under. Reds sweep series with win here.

Detroit is 6-3 vs Oakland this year, won 10 of last 12 games overall. A's got here because of solid defense/timely hitting, but haven't done much of either in first two series games, failing badly on defense in late innings of game Sunday. Anderson return from oblique injury to start here-- he hurt it in Detroit, as he allowed three runs in 2.2 IP while trying to fight thru it. Overall, Anderson is 4-2, 2.83 in six starts this year, after he returned from arm injury. Sanchez is 2-0, 0.59 in his last two starts, since A's got six runs off him in 5.2 IP in 12-4 win Sept 20. Detroit sweeps series with win here.




MLB

Tuesday, October 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

5:37 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. CINCINNATI
San Francisco is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
San Francisco is 15-8 SU in its last 23 games
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Cincinnati's last 11 games at home
Cincinnati is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games at home

9:07 PM
DETROIT vs. OAKLAND
Detroit is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Detroit's last 6 games on the road
Oakland is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Oakland's last 5 games when playing Detroit


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB

Tuesday, October 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLDS betting preview: Giants at Reds
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Francisco Giants at Cincinnati Reds (-138, 8)

Cincinnati leads series 2-0

The Cincinnati Reds look for a three-game sweep of the San Francisco Giants when the National League Division Series heads to Great American Ball Park for Game 3.

The Giants have been outscored 14-2 in the first two games of the series, and they’re facing an uphill battle after leaving home without a victory. None of the other 21 teams that have started the NLDS down 0-2 have come back to win the series. The Reds were 50-31 during the regular season at home, where they didn’t lose three consecutive home games all year. With Johnny Cueto (back spasms) questionable for the rest of the series, the Reds will start Homer Bailey in Game 3.

San Francisco is in danger of an early postseason exit, and there’s plenty of blame to go around. The first two batters in the Giants lineup - Angel Pagan and Marco Scutaro - are 1-for-17 in the series, and the heart of their order has done little aside from Buster Posey’s solo home run in Game 1. After starters Matt Cain and Madison Bumgarner failed to work past the fifth inning in the first two games, the Giants are hoping for a solid outing in Game 3 from Ryan Vogelsong, who got the nod over Tim Lincecum and Barry Zito.

The Reds hit an NL-worst .230 as a team in September, but they scored nine runs in Game 2 and outhit the Giants 13-2. Brandon Phillips is 5-for-10 with a home run and four RBI for Cincinnati, which is seeking its first postseason sweep since beating the Los Angeles Dodgers in the first round in 1995.

TV: 5:30 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for clear skies and temperatures in the low 60s. Winds are expected to blow SSW at 7 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Reds RH Homer Bailey (13-10, 3.68 ERA) vs. Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (14-9, 3.37)

Bailey is set to make his second career postseason pitching appearance and his first career playoff start. He’s 1-0 with a 5.59 ERA in five career starts against the Giants, including one outing this year when he gave up three runs (two earned) over 6 1/3 frames on April 26. Bailey finished the season on a strong note, allowing just 10 runs in his last seven starts covering 48 2/3 innings.

Vogelsong has gone 2-3 with a 5.08 ERA in 15 career appearances against Cincinnati, and he had a 4.15 ERA in two starts this season. After struggling for much of the second half, he finished the season with a 0.53 ERA over his final three starts. Phillips is 7-for-14 lifetime against Vogelsong, who allowed three runs or fewer in 24 of his 31 starts this season.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in Baileys last four starts vs. Giants.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Cincinnati.
* Giants are 1-4 in the last five meetings.
* Giants are 1-7 in the last eight meetings in Cincinnati.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Giants haven’t swept three games in Cincinnati since April 5-7, 1999, when the Reds played at Riverfront Stadium.

2. Reds 3B Scott Rolen is 1-for-7 in the first two games of the series and 28-for-136 (.206) in his career in the postseason.

3. San Francisco lost just one series on the road after the All-Star break, going 10-1-1.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB

Tuesday, October 9

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ALDS betting preview: Tigers at Athletics
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Detroit Tigers at Oakland Athletics (-132, 7)

Detroit leads series 2-0

The Oakland Athletics trailed the Texas Rangers by 13 games on June 30 and still found a way to win the American League West, so they’re used to seemingly insurmountable challenges. Down 0-2 in the AL Division Series, the Athletics return home to face a Detroit Tigers squad that’s riding a wave of momentum after two close wins.

The Tigers are getting timely hitting, but they’re still waiting for Prince Fielder to heat up. The power-hitting first baseman is 1-for-8 with no RBI in the series, and he’s batting .183 over 17 career playoff games. Oakland is hoping right fielder Josh Reddick’s eighth-inning homer on Sunday is a sign of things to come. Reddick, who led the Athletics with 32 regular-season homers, opened the series with six straight strikeouts.

Detroit’s bullpen was a key part of Sunday’s 4-3 win, but Joaquin Benoit allowed his 15th home run in 73 innings this season. Reliever Al Alburquerque drew the ire of some Oakland players when he kissed the ball and looked at the Athletics dugout before getting the final out in the ninth. The Athletics have fanned 23 times in the first two games, and that number figures to climb dramatically if the series goes five games. Games 4 and 5 starters Max Scherzer and Justin Verlander each had more than 200 strikeouts this season, and Verlander fanned 11 in the series opener.

TV: 9:00 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: There is a 16 percent chance of rain for the Bay Area with temperatures dipping into the mid 50s. Winds are expected to blow west at 11 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Athletics LH Brett Anderson (4-2, 2.57 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Anibal Sanchez (4-6, 3.74)

Anderson is set to make his first start since Sept. 19, when he left his start against Detroit in the third inning with a right oblique strain. He missed most of the season while recovering from Tommy John surgery, but he posted a WHIP of 1.03 in six starts down the stretch. In two home starts covering 13 innings, he allowed two earned runs while striking out 10. Anderson is 2-2 with a 3.66 ERA in four career starts against the Tigers.

Sanchez was a solid midseason addition, making 12 starts after being acquired from the Marlins in late July. He finished the season on a high note, allowing one run in his last two starts covering 15 1/3 innings. Sanchez struggled in his lone start against Oakland this season on Sept. 20, giving up six runs (five earned) over 5 2/3 frames. He’ll be pitching on eight days' rest on Tuesday, which could bode well for Sanchez. He’s posted a 3.07 ERA in 23 career starts on six or more days of rest.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 5-1 in the last six meetings.
* Over is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Under is 13-6-1 in the last 20 meetings in Oakland.

UMP TRENDS - Dana DeMuth:

* Under is 5-1 in DeMuths last six Tuesday games behind home plate vs. Oakland.
* Home team is 5-1 in DeMuths last six games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
* Under is 3-1-1 in DeMuths last five Tuesday games behind home plate.
* Under is 7-3-2 in DeMuths last 12 games behind home plate.
* Athletics are 2-5 in their last seven games with DeMuth behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Athletics have lost each of their last six postseason games, all against Detroit. Oakland was swept by the Tigers in the 2006 ALCS.

2. 3B Miguel Cabrera has reached base safely in all 13 of his post-season games with the Tigers, trailing only Charlie Gehringer (16) and Hank Greenberg (18).

3. Oakland has started a series 0-2 eight times and never come back to win.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-10-12 01:38 AM
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MLB
Short Sheet

Tuesday, October 9

National League

NL Division Series, Game Three (Cincinnati Leads, 2-0)
San Francisco at Cincinnati, 5:35 ET TBS
Vogelsong: San Francisco 7-0 SU away revenging a loss as a home favorite
Bailey: Cincinnati 5-15 SU at home off 4+ games allowing 4 runs or less


American League

NL Division Series, Game Three (Detroit Leads, 2-0)
Detroit at Oakland, 9:05 ET TBS
Sanchez: 1-8 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 ER's last start
Anderson: Oakland 31-13 SU as a home favorite of -125 to -150




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-10-12 01:40 AM
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Couldn't post first game but this is what i went with.

Tuesday, October 9

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 5:30 PM ET Cincinnati -138 500
Cincinnati - Over 8 500

Detroit - 9:00 PM ET Oakland -128 500
Oakland - Under 7 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-10-12 01:43 AM
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