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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAB
Dunkel
Santa Clara at George Mason
The Broncos look to take advantage of a George Mason team that is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 home games. Santa Clara is the pick (+1) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+1). Here are all of today's games.
WEDNESDAY, APRIL 3
Game 525-526: Santa Clara at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 62.403; George Mason 59.913
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 2 1/2; 155
Vegas Line: George Mason by 1; 148
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+1); Over
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Wednesday, April 3
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SANTA CLARA (25 - 11) at GEORGE MASON (21 - 15) - 4/3/2013, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
SANTA CLARA is 1-0 against the spread versus GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
SANTA CLARA is 1-0 straight up against GEORGE MASON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Wednesday, April 3
Santa Clara (-7.5) beat George Mason 81-73 at home Monday, in first of best-of-3 series; Broncos forced 19 turnovers (+2), were 10-24 from arc, 25-30 on foul line- they're 22-4 this season vs teams ranked outside top 100 (George Mason is #134), and won three of last four true road tilts. Patriots are 2-5 this season vs teams in top 100; Santa Clara is first top 100 team they've played since beating Richmond 67-64 Dec 22 (Santa Clara is #79). George Mason won three of last four home games, after it lost three in row before that. Over is 12-3 in last 15 Mason games, 5-1 last six Bronco games. Patriots need to get Wright (0-6 from floor) some better looks at basket than he got in Game 1.
NCAAB
Wednesday, April 3
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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SANTA CLARA vs. GEORGE MASON
Santa Clara is 6-3 SU in its last 9 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Santa Clara's last 6 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of George Mason's last 5 games
George Mason is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-04-13 12:14 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Baylor vs. Iowa
April 3, 2013
Baylor and Iowa prevailed in the NIT semifinals Tuesday night to advance to Thursday’s finals at Madison Square Garden in New York City.
As of early Wednesday night, most betting shops had Iowa (25-12 straight up, 24-9 against the spread) installed as a one-point favorite after the game opened as a pick ‘em. The total was at 141 or 141 ½.
Baylor (22-14 SU, 16-15 ATS) captured a 76-70 win over BYU in the semifinals as a three-point favorite. The 146 combined points dipped ‘under’ the 155-point total.
Senior point guard Pierre Jackson was the catalyst for the Bears, torching the Cougars for 24 points, 10 assists and five rebounds. Cory Jefferson added 21 points, while Isaiah Austin produced a double-double with 14 points and 10 boards.
A tight game that had nine ties and six lead changes in the first half shifted Baylor’s way when Jackson scored seven straight points to ignite a 12-2 run. The scoring spree led the Bears to a 64-54 advantage with 3:24 remaining.
Gamblers backing Baylor started to feel comfortable, but that relaxation quickly turned to angst when BYU’s Matt Carlino drained three 3-pointers in a 49-second span to pull his team to within four with 19 ticks remaining. However, Jackson sealed the victory with a pair of free throws.
Iowa took the cash for the 10th straight time and advanced to the finals by beating Maryland 71-60 as a 3.5-point ‘chalk.’ Roy-Devyn Marble was the catalyst with 21 points and nine rebounds. Eric May finished with 12 points, five assists, four rebounds and three steals without committing a turnover, while Aaron White added 10 points, eight boards and a pair of blocked shots.
Fran McCaffery’s team has been dynamite as a single-digit favorite this season, compiling a 9-2 spread record. Meanwhile, Baylor has a 5-4 ATS mark in nine games as an underdog.
Iowa has won 11 of its last 14 games with two of those losses coming at Indiana and vs. Michigan St. in the Big Ten Tournament. The Hawkeyes probably would’ve been invite to the NCAA Tournament if they could’ve pulled out victories in overtime losses on the road at Wisconsin and at Purdue.
Iowa also had narrow defeats at home vs. Indiana and Michigan St., in addition to a 62-59 loss at Minnesota.
Scott Drew’s squad certainly has the talent of an NCAA Tournament team but this team pulled too many no-shows. For instance, the Bears lost at home to Charleston and Northwestern and got spanked at Texas on March 4.
The ‘under’ is 19-13-1 overall for Iowa.
The ‘over’ is 16-14 overall for Baylor despite seeing back-to-back ‘unders.’
Tip-off is slated for 9:00 p.m. Eastern on ESPN.
**B.E.’s Bonus Nuggets**
--Iowa is in the NIT finals for the first time in school history. Baylor was in the 2009 finals but lost a 69-63 decision to Penn St.
--East Carolina won the College Insider Tournament by winning 77-74 at Weber St. in Tuesday’s finals. The Pirates won in Ogden as 9.5-point underdogs, hooking up money-line backers with a +400 payout. Miguel Paul scored a game-high 23 points for ECU.
--Rutgers pulled the plug on Mike Rice’s tenure early Wednesday morning. Look for Danny Hurley, a Seton Hall alum who played for his father at St. Anthony’s High School, to emerge as a top candidate.
--Minnesota has hired Richard Pitino to replace Tubby Smith as its next head coach. Pitino led Florida International to 18 wins this year in his first season as a head coach.
--The old Big East will now be called the American Athletic Conference.
--Florida signee Chris Walker won the McDonald’s All-American dunk contest on Tuesday in Chicago. Walker and Kasey Hill, both of whom are five-star recruits, will join the Gators next season.
--UF junior power forward Patric Young indicated that he’s undecided about returning to school or turning pro following his team’s loss to Michigan this past Sunday at Cowboys Stadium. Young is projected as a mid-to-late second-round pick in most mock drafts.
--Next time you’re in Dallas and in the mood for barbeque, I recommend Sammy’s. I had pulled pork, potato casserole, cole slaw and sweet tea. It was outstanding!
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-04-13 11:53 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAB
Dunkel
Iowa vs. Baylor
The Hawkeyes look to build on their 9-0 ATS record in their last 9 non-conference games. Iowa is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Hawkeyes favored by 3 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games and Saturday's Final Four picks.
THURSDAY, APRIL 4
Game 707-708: Iowa vs. Baylor (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa 73.663; Baylor 70.049
Dunkel Line: Iowa by 3 1/2; 136
Vegas Line: Iowa by 1 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: Iowa (-1 1/2); Under
SATURDAY, APRIL 6
Game 815-816: Michigan vs. Syracuse (8:49 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 76.680; Syracuse 71.864
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 5; 127
Vegas Line: Michigan by 2; 131 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Michigan (-2); Under
Game 817-818: Wichita State vs. Louisville (6:09 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wichita State 69.176; Louisville 81.395
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 12; 129
Vegas Line: Louisville by 10 1/2; 132
Dunkel Pick: Louisville (-10 1/2); Under
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Thursday, April 4
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IOWA (25 - 12) vs. BAYLOR (22 - 14) - 4/4/2013, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
IOWA is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all games this season.
IOWA is 24-9 ATS (+14.1 Units) in all lined games this season.
IOWA is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) as a favorite this season.
IOWA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
IOWA is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
IOWA is 11-4 ATS (+6.6 Units) after allowing 60 points or less this season.
IOWA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
IOWA is 18-5 ATS (+12.5 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
IOWA is 14-2 ATS (+11.8 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games this season.
BAYLOR is 11-23 ATS (-14.3 Units) when the total is 140 to 149.5 over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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Saturday, April 6
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MICHIGAN (30 - 7) vs. SYRACUSE (30 - 9) - 4/6/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 58-38 ATS (+16.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in all neutral court games this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
MICHIGAN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) when playing on a neutral court this season.
MICHIGAN is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MICHIGAN is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in all tournament games this season.
MICHIGAN is 49-30 ATS (+16.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in road games after scoring 60 points or less over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN is 1-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
SYRACUSE is 1-0 straight up against MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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WICHITA ST (30 - 8) vs. LOUISVILLE (33 - 5) - 4/6/2013, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOUISVILLE is 23-15 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 23-15 ATS (+6.5 Units) in all lined games this season.
LOUISVILLE is 36-25 ATS (+8.5 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) in all neutral court games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in road games on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) in road games after a non-conference game over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 16-3 ATS (+12.7 Units) when playing on a neutral court over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in all tournament games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 14-6 ATS (+7.4 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
LOUISVILLE is 25-14 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISVILLE is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) versus good defensive teams - allowing <=64 points/game over the last 2 seasons.
WICHITA ST is 50-31 ATS (+15.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game since 1997.
WICHITA ST is 10-3 ATS (+6.7 Units) in non-conference games this season.
WICHITA ST is 17-8 ATS (+8.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
WICHITA ST is 19-10 ATS (+8.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.
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NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, April 4
Iowa won seven of its last eight games; they're 10-0 vs spread since loss at Nebraska Feb. 23. Hawkeyes (-3) beat Iowa State 80-71 Dec 7, their only game vs Big X opponent this season. Baylor won its last four tilts, scoring 89 ppg; Bears lost to Northwestern by 4 at home Dec 4 in only game vs Big Dozen foe. Baylor played only two starters more than 31 minutes Tuesday, turned ball over only seven times (+4). Iowa played three subs 11+ minutes Tuesday; they were +9 in turnovers (17-8); they are #294 in experience, #35 in bench minutes. Under is 8-4 in last dozen Iowa games. Baylor is #182 in experience, #229 in bench minutes but has best player on court in senior guard Jackson.
NCAAB
Thursday, April 4
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Trend Report
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9:00 PM
IOWA vs. BAYLOR
No trends available
Baylor is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
Saturday, April 6
6:05 PM
WICHITA STATE vs. LOUISVILLE
No trends available
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisville's last 5 games
Louisville is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
8:49 PM
MICHIGAN vs. SYRACUSE
No trends available
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Syracuse's last 6 games
Syracuse is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-04-13 11:56 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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NCAAB
Thursday, April 4
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NIT championship game: What bettors need to know
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Iowa vs. Baylor (+1, 141)
One team will leave Madison Square Garden with its first National Invitation Tournament championship Thursday, and Baylor senior guard Pierre Jackson and Iowa junior guard Roy Devyn Marble will do their best to make sure it's their team holding the trophy. Jackson has recorded three straight double-doubles and is averaging 20.3 points and 11.3 assists at the tournament. Marble has led his team in scoring in all four NIT wins and is averaging 24.3 points, 4.8 assists, 4.8 rebounds and 2.5 steals.
Third-seeded Iowa, which has won 11 of its last 14 games, is playing in its first NIT championship. The second-seeded Bears are in the NIT title game for the second time in five years, losing to Penn State in 2009. "I think there's only two happy teams at the end of the year," Baylor coach Scott Drew said after his team beat Brigham Young in the semifinals. "The team that wins the NCAA and the team that wins the NIT. We want to be one of those happy teams."
TV: 9 p.m. ET, ESPN
ODDS: Iowa opened -1 with a total of 141
BETTING TRENDS:
-Iowa has covered in 10 straight games
-Iowa is 9-0 ATS in its last 9 nonconference games
-Iowa is the No. 1 ATS team in the country at 24-9 ATS
-Baylor is 5-1 ATS in its last 6
-Over is 5-0 in Iowa's last 5 vs. the Big 12
ABOUT IOWA (25-12): Marble is averaging 22.9 points in six NIT games over the past two seasons. "It's postseason play," Marble told the Des Moines Register. "It's a fun time to be playing. Everybody is watching you. When you get opportunities to play in the Garden, and on national television, you just want to play your best and continue to win." Sophomore forward Aaron White adds 12.9 points and 6.2 rebounds but eyes were on 7-1 freshman center Adam Woodbury (5.1 points on 50 percent shooting) after the Maryland win. Woodbury finished with nine points and two blocks and frustrated Maryland's Alex Len with tight man-to-man defense.
ABOUT BAYLOR (22-14): Jackson is set to become the first player to lead a major conference in both scoring (19.9) and assists (7.0) since Arizona's Jason Terry in 1998-99. "Pierre is like a time bomb," Drew told the media Tuesday."You just wait for him to go off." Cory Jefferson, a 6-9 junior forward, and 7-1 freshman center Isaiah Austin each add 13 points and power the Bears' inside game. Senior guard A.J. Walton owns the school record for games played at 140 and is tied with Quincy Acy with 97 career victories.
TIP-INS
1. Iowa won its only meeting with Baylor, beating the Bears 67-44 on Dec. 2, 1983, in the first round of the Hawkeye Invitational in Iowa City.
2. Iowa is 19-2 when scoring at least 70 points.
3. Baylor tied a school record with four postseason wins, including a 2009 NIT runner-up finish to Penn State and a 1948 NCAA runner-up finish to Kentucky.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-04-13 11:59 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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CAAB
Dunkel
Santa Clara at George Mason
The Broncos look to bounce back from their 73-66 loss on Wednesday and take advantage of a George Mason team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games following a SU victory. Santa Clara is the pick (+2) according to Dunkel, which has the Broncos favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+2). Here are all of today's games and Saturday's Final Four picks.
FRIDAY, APRIL 5
Game 525-526: Santa Clara at George Mason (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Santa Clara 61.903; George Mason 60.913
Dunkel Line: Santa Clara by 1; 151
Vegas Line: George Mason by 2; 146 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Santa Clara (+2); Over
NCAAB
Long Sheet
Friday, April 5
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SANTA CLARA (25 - 12) at GEORGE MASON (22 - 15) - 4/5/2013, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SANTA CLARA is 24-35 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SANTA CLARA is 24-35 ATS (-14.5 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
GEORGE MASON is 32-15 ATS (+15.5 Units) in home games when playing with one or less days rest since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 55-36 ATS (+15.4 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1997.
GEORGE MASON is 36-18 ATS (+16.2 Units) in home games when playing against a team with a winning record after 15 or more games since 1997.
SANTA CLARA is 7-1 ATS (+5.9 Units) in road games after a non-conference game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
GEORGE MASON is 1-1 against the spread versus SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
GEORGE MASON is 1-1 straight up against SANTA CLARA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
NCAAB
Top 25 Short Sheet
Friday, April 5
CBI Tournament, Championship Series (Game 3)
Santa Clara at George Mason, 7:00 ET
Santa Clara: 9-1 ATS in postseason tournament games
George Mason: 1-6 ATS after winning 5 or 6 of their last 7 games
NCAAB
Armadillo's Write-Up
Friday, April 5
George Mason was 30-43 from foul line in Game 2's 73-66 win, after its 81-73 road loss in Game 1; Santa Clara was 13-22 from line, 5-22 on arc, as star Foster was just 2-10 from arc, after being 5-11 in Game 1. GMU played only two starters 30+ minutes in Game 2; Broncos played three starters 33+ minutes. Santa Clara is playing fourth road game in last 12 nights- they scored 75+ points in each of last six wins, 67 or less in last five setbacks. Four of last five Santa Clara games, 12 of last 16 Mason games went over total, but teams playing third time in five nights- they all know each others' plays, shouldn't be many easy baskets. Patriots won four of last five home games, with only loss in OT to Towson.
NCAAB
Friday, April 5
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Trend Report
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7:00 PM
SANTA CLARA vs. GEORGE MASON
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Santa Clara's last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 12 of George Mason's last 16 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of George Mason's last 6 games at home
NCAAB
Friday, April 5
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CBI final: GMU soaring over totals
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Before the Final Four starts on Saturday, the CBI tournament reaches its climax on Friday.
George Mason and Santa Clara clash in the third and final game of the College Basketball Invitational final and one of the most significant trends in college basketball will be front and center.
The over is 12-4 in George Mason's last 16 games.
GMU is scoring 72.3 points a game and allowing 69.6 points a game during the run. The Patriots put up an average of 64.4 points and yielded 62.4 in their 21 contests prior to the outburst.
George Mason hosts Santa Clara, which has played over in four of its last five contests, in Fairfax, VA in Game Three. The over is 1-1 in the final. The Mirage is the only Vegas book with a line. George Mason opened as a 1-point favorite. The total is set at 148.5.
The Patriots are coming off a 73-66 victory in the second game, while the Broncos took the opener 81-73.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-06-13 12:49 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Joke's on sports bettors when it comes to NCAA hypocrisy
Back in early March, the major pro sports leagues and the NCAA had scored the first touchdown in the battle to stop New Jersey’s bid to legalize and tax sports betting.
The court ruled to uphold 1992’s Professional and Amateur Sports Protection Act of 1992, which bans sports betting in all but four states.
“The NCAA maintains that the spread of legalized sports wagering is a threat to the integrity of athletic competition and student-athlete well-being,” wrote Donald Remy in an email to the media after the decision, the NCAA’s head legal officer. “We hope the decision in this case is a step in the direction of preventing that from happening.”
It was a typical message throughout the proceedings: sports bettors are a dodgy breed who would trade integrity just to make a few bucks.
The nice thing about the NCAA is you never have to wait long for its preaching rhetoric to blow back in its face in a heap of hypocrisy.
In this case it only took a couple weeks. It was then during the Pac-12 basketball tournament that Ed Rush, head supervisor of basketball officials, offered $5,000 or a trip to Cancun to give Arizona coach Sean Miller a technical foul.
Miller was in fact teed up with less than five minutes to play in Zona’s next game against UCLA. The call turned the game around while Arizona spread and moneyline bettors watched their money disappear in a 66-64 Bruins upset as 4-point underdogs.
This wasn’t a sports betting syndicate out of Singapore that affected the outcome of this game with promises of cash and rewards before tip-off. It was the Pac-12, one of the six biggest leagues in the NCAA.
Pac-12 commissioner Larry Scott said afterward the league investigated the incident and brushed the comments off as being made “in jest”.
“As part of that banter and discussion (about calling more T’s on coaches) this discussion was had about ‘What do I gotta do to get you guys to enforce the rules? Do I have to give you guys rewards? Do I have to give you a trip? Do I have to give you money?"
That’s a softened version of the unnamed official’s take, who blew the whistle on this incident to CBSSports.com, and even what Rush admitted he said on Thursday after he resigned amid the controversy.
"Ed Rush doesn't joke," one official told ESPN.com. "To say it was a joke is absolutely not true. If he meant it in jest, then he had time to correct it the second day and he didn't. And the only coach he mentioned was Sean Miller."
Friday’s ESPN story said “officials confirmed that Rush made the ‘joke’ twice in a meeting during the Pac-12 tournament and then again that Friday after Arizona played UCLA.”
“In an effort just to lighten the mood,” Rush said Friday, “ I said to them, 'Hey, guys. What's it going to take? Do you think we could give you a trip to Cancun or maybe $5,000? Or who wants what? And now they're all laughing, which is basically what I wanted to do. So I said, 'I know you guys, you probably want $5,000, you want the money, you won't take the trip to Cancun.' So I'm going around, 'What would you take?' At that point, I said, 'By the way, you know my wife's not going to go for this. I'm going to have to pull this off the table.'”
I don’t know exactly what Rush said or how many times he said it. And I do believe he made the comments in jest and there are probably some disgruntled officials who wanted him out of there.
That doesn’t change the fact that his comments impacted the outcome of the game and both Arizona and bettors got hosed because the game’s integrity was compromised.
And when the Pac-12 had a chance to correct it, they didn’t. Despite the fact they love pointing fingers at everyone else when it comes to integrity. It’s a disturbing level of hypocrisy that we see far too often from the NCAA.
Sports bettors want betting legalized because we want betting to be above board, not the opposite. And eventually, it will happen.
Unfortunately, it’s the integrity of the game on the court that we’ll likely always have to worry about when we're walking up to the betting counter – and the NCAA is doing a fine job of keeping things that way on its own.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-06-13 04:58 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Where the action is: Saturday's Final Four line moves
Bettors have been patiently waiting for Saturday’s next chapter in the NCAA tournament and Final Four action is starting to heat up at sportsbooks.
We check in with Terry Cox, director of race and sportsbook at the Peppermill Resort Spa Casino in Reno, and online sportsbook BetDSI on the action for the much-anticipated showdowns in Atlanta.
Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals – Open: -10, Move: -10.5
Bettors aren’t surprised the top-ranked Cardinals have cruised into the Final Four, but nobody predicted the Shockers would fight their way to Atlanta. Heavy action is coming in Louisville at a rate of 2-to-1 at the Peppermill with the public backing the Cardinals.
“Our clients love the favorites,” Cox told Covers. “Even the double-digit dogs don’t scare them away.”
Although money continues to pour in on Louisville, Cox likes Wichita State’s chances of a back door cover.
“Louisville has added incentive with what happened to the Ware kid, but I would give the motivational edge to Wichita,” Cox notes. “They have nothing to lose and Louisville can only fail. They are expected to win it all.”
Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange – Open: +2.5, Move: +2
This game was a suggested pick ‘em by the Nevada-based oddsmaking service The Sports Club. But many Vegas books opened tTrey Burke and the
Wolverines as 2.5-point favorites. That line has since moved to Michigan -2 where it has leveled out. The Wolverines are a perfect 4-0 ATS in the tourney to this point.
“It’s scary how evenly bet this one is,” says Cox. “It’s pretty well right down the middle on the moneyline.”
Online books are reporting the same betting trends.
"Out of the thousands of tickets bet there is a difference of eight tickets on the Michigan-Syracuse game and a difference of less than 50K," says an oddsmaker from BetDSI. "Sharps haven't touched this game at all, sides or totals."
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-06-13 05:04 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Scouting the Opponent: Final Four betting storylines
We're less than 24 hours until the Final Four begins in Atlanta, so we've scanned the Internet to shed some light on storylines that will impact how the games are played, and possibly how you place your wagers.
Wichita State vs. Louisville (-10.5, 133) 6:09 p.m. ET
Louisville: Eamonn Brennan of ESPN.com has an in-depth story on what makes the Cardinals good offensively and defensively with the help of a coach's eye.
Villanova assistant coach Billy Lange described what he thought was the best approach to playing Louisville:
We were talking about one specific aspect of Louisville's style -- in this case its amorphous matchup-zone defense -- and Lange was explaining that the Cardinals are so good on that end of the floor, and so able to switch defense on a whim, that you can't really devise a game plan with sets and quick-hitters the way you can most normal defenses. You have to settle for giving your players broad concepts -- protect the ball, make the extra pass, penetrate and kick -- and hope they can get it from Point A to Point B without being micromanaged.
Lange said that a team's instincts are going to be important to beat Louisville down the court. He says clearly:
"If you get robotic against them, they're going to eat you alive," Lange said. "They're going to kick your [butt]. I mean they'll just straight-up kick your [butt]."
Wichita State: "They're Marquette on steroids," Louisville coach Rick Pitino said to describe Wichita State's defense at the Final Four media interviews.
"If you grab an offensive rebound, they slap it away," he said. "They don't let you go into the paint without four guys attacking you. They are the toughest team to score against."
Pitino's sentiments were justified by C.L. Brown of The Courier-Journal:
The Shockers (30-8) held West Regional top seed Gonzaga -- a team that shot 50.1 percent for the season -- to just 35.6 percent. They frustrated the Bulldogs' top two scorers, making Kelly Olynyk take 22 shots to net 26 points and holding Elias Harris to 2-of-8 shooting.
After dispatching Gonzaga 76-70, the Shockers dismantled No. 2 Ohio State in the regional final in a similar fashion. They held the Buckeyes to a season-low 22 points in the first half.
Wichita State is holding opponents to 34 percent field goal shooting and 25 percent 3-point shooting in the tournament. Which led Pitino to say this:
"I'll say this without any exaggeration," he said. "They're the best team we will have faced this year at the defensive end."
Michigan vs. Syracuse (2, 131) 8:49 p.m. ET
Syracuse: There are only a few guarantees in life: death, taxes, Christmas falls on December 25, and Syracuse will play a 2-3 zone defense. The Orange's defense has been out of this world in the tournament, holding teams to 45.8 points a game, on 29 percent shooting from the field and 15 percent from beyond the arc.
But the question posed by Bud Poliquin of Syracuse.com, why doesn't everyone follow head coach Jim Boeheim's lead and play the 2-3 exclusively?
"I don't know," answered [assistant coach Mike] Hopkins. "Maybe coaches are on Page 172 of 'The Coaching Handbook' and it says, 'Thou shalt not play zone.' It's amazing, really, because the zone wins. I mean, just look around."
"Coach has revolutionized it," Hopkins declared. "It's not normal. He sees it differently. He's changed everything. It's not like, 'Hey, let's stand around and wave our arms and call it a zone.' There are reads and rotations and reactions. You need IQ guys to play it. It's like the batter who can hit a 100-miles-per-hour fastball. Not everybody can do it."
Why are the pieces at Syracuse's disposal suited for playing the zone at a high level?
"You've got a fifth-year senior (James Southerland) and a junior (C.J. Fair) at the forward spot," explained Mike Hopkins, Boeheim's chief aide. "You've got a guy like Baye (Moussa Keita) who's played a lot of minutes in the middle with Rakeem (Christmas). We go 6-foot-6 and 6-foot-5 in the backcourt where Brandon (Triche) is a senior and Michael (Carter-Williams) is a gargantuan. And Jerami Grant has picked it up better than any freshman I've ever seen."
Michigan: Knowing what he is going against on Saturday, Michigan head coach John Beilein is preparing his team accordingly for the zone.
He was using his reserves, including 6-foot-10 forward Blake McLimans, to play at the top of the zone to simulate the length that they will see with Orange 6-foot-6 point guard Michael Carter-Williams.
Writes Everett Cook of Michigandaily.com:
On top of that, Michigan coach John Beilein implemented a new drill for his perimeter players. A whistle sounded during offensive run throughs, and whichever Wolverine had the ball had to jack up a shot, even if they were three to four fee behind the 3-point line.
Michigan freshman guard Nik Stauskas drained all six 3-point shots against Florida in the Elite Eight and if they shoot at their tournament average of 40.2 percent from behind the arc, they have a good chance of busting the zone. Stauskas also believed its a positive to have a week to prepare for the new defense.
"Before, we got like 36 hours to cram in all this information," Stauskas said. "Sometimes, when you're sitting in film for a couple hours, all the information doesn't really sink in just because it's so much at once. Dividing it up over five or six days makes it a lot easier to take in.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-06-13 05:06 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
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Wichita State vs. Louisville: What bettors need to know
Wichita State Shockers vs. Louisville Cardinals (-10, 133)
Louisville overcame a gruesome injury to one of its best players and ended up dominating Duke to reach the Final Four. To earn a spot in the championship game, the top-seeded Cardinals will have to get by Cinderella Wichita State on Saturday in the NCAA Tournament in Atlanta. The Shockers had a surprisingly easy run to the Final Four, knocking off top-seeded Gonzaga in the third round and running out to a big lead before holding off second-seeded Ohio State in the Elite 8.
The Cardinals will bring Kevin Ware with them to Atlanta and will draw inspiration from their fallen teammate, who encouraged his teammates to win even as his tibia was coming through the skin in the first half of the Elite 8 win over the Blue Devils. Ware is out of the hospital and is making his way around on crutches. Wichita doesn’t have that type of story to capture the media’s attention, but it does have a solid defensive team that will try to throttle the Cardinals’ high-octane offense. The Shockers have a balanced offense and is a strong rebounding team that will try to keep Louisville from getting out on the break.
TV: 6:09 p.m. ET, CBS
ABOUT WICHITA STATE (30-8): The Shockers are the first Missouri Valley Conference team to reach the Final Four since Larry Bird’s Indiana State team in 1979 and will be trying to become the first ninth seed to reach the National Championship game. Wichita State has played two Big East teams this season and easily handled them both, knocking off DePaul 75-62 on Nov. 20 and coasting by Pittsburgh 73-55 in the NCAA Tournament opener. Shockers guard Tekele Cotton shut down Panthers point guard Tray Woodall in that matchup and will be trying to do the same against Peyton Siva and Russ Smith on Saturday. Wichita led by as many as 20 points in the second half against Ohio State before holding on down the stretch. Cotton hit a key 3-pointer in the final minutes and Malcolm Armstead led the way with 14 points in the 70-66 triumph. The Shockers limited the Buckeyes to 31.1 percent from the field and will need a similar defensive effort to stick with the Cardinals.
ABOUT LOUISVILLE (33-5): The Cardinals, who are the overall No. 1 seed in the NCAA Tournament, have done nothing to suggest that the lofty ranking is anything but accurate. With Ware out, the main issue will be keeping starting point guard Siva out of foul trouble Saturday. Siva runs the break and leads a team with more speed than any other remaining squad. Smith has used his speed to evade defenders and score 20 or more points in each of the four NCAA Tournament games. The Ware injury robs Louisville of some of its depth, but the Cardinals will still go eight or nine players deep to keep the full-court press and transition offense fresh. Louisville center Gorgui Dieng has added a different element to his offensive game with a 15-foot jump shot and has gone 20-for-24 from the field in the Tournament to go along with 30 rebounds and 10 blocked shots. Coach Rick Pitino is making his seventh Final Four appearance - second straight - and will be trying to win the National Championship for the first time since guiding Kentucky in 1996.
TRENDS:
* Shockers are 4-0 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games.
* Cardinals are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games overall.
* Over is 4-1 in Shockers’ last five overall.
* Over is 8-0 in Cardinals’ last eight overall.
TIP-INS
1. Louisville has won 14 straight games and needs one more to set a school record for wins in a season.
2. Wichita State is in the Final Four for the first time since 1965.
3. The Cardinals have shot at least 50 percent from the field in each of their four NCAA Tournament games.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-06-13 05:07 AM |
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CNOTES
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Registered: Feb 2006
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Michigan vs. Syracuse: What bettors need to know
Michigan Wolverines vs. Syracuse Orange (1.5, 131)
Syracuse’s zone defense has caused plenty of problems for opposing offenses during the NCAA Tournament. Trey Burke and Michigan will try to solve that zone when the schools meet in the Final Four in Atlanta on Saturday. Burke against Orange point guard Michael Carter-Williams is a matchup that should have NBA scouts salivating, and the two have put together some of their best performances while guiding their teams in the NCAA Tournament.
Burke carried his team back from a 14-point deficit in the second half and hit an NBA-range 3-pointer to send the game to overtime against Kansas in the Sweet 16 before settling for 15 points, eight rebounds and seven assists in a surprisingly easy victory over Florida in the Elite 8. The Orange will put Carter-Williams and Brandon Triche at the top of its zone and try to force Burke and the rest of the Wolverines to settle for jump shots. Syracuse held a team that was familiar with that zone - Big East foe Marquette - to 22.6 percent shooting in the Elite Eight victory and has limited three of its four NCAA Tournament opponents to 50 or fewer points, including two to fewer than 40.
TV: 8:49 p.m. ET, CBS
ABOUT SYRACUSE (30-9): The Orange got run off the floor by Louisville in the Big East tournament but have successfully controlled the pace during each of their four NCAA Tournament games. Carter-Williams and Triche have formed a wall at the top of the zone that has allowed James Southerland and C.J. Fair to close out on shooters while big men Rakeem Christmas and Baye Keita stay home in the middle. Syracuse allowed the Golden Eagles to make 12 field goals in the Elite Eight and Carter-Williams has racked up nine steals in the last two games. Offensively, Carter-Williams has picked his spots to shoot or distribute. The sophomore went 3-of-6 from 3-point range en route to 24 points against Indiana in the Sweet 16 but focused more on his distribution responsibilities in the 55-39 Elite 8 win over Marquette, handing out six assists while scoring 12 points. Fair was Syracuse’s leading scorer in the regular season and has averaged 13.8 points in the Tournament.
ABOUT MICHIGAN (30-7): The Wolverines are making their first trip to the Final Four since the Fab Five took the college basketball world by storm with back-to-back championship game appearances in 1992 and 1993. The 2012-13 edition of the team bears a small resemblance to the Fab Five, with athletic wing players, strong outside shooting and a big man in Mitch McGary that is willing to do the little things. McGary’s hard screens won’t be as effective against a zone defense that will likely avoid chasing Burke and company off screens, but the Wolverines will still count on McGary’s rebounding to start the break or clean up the misses on the offensive end. Should the game turn into a jump-shooting contest, Michigan guard Nik Stauskas went 6-for-6 from 3-point range against Florida and has connected on 44.9 percent from beyond the arc in a strong freshman campaign. The Wolverines have averaged 78.8 points in the Tournament and can turn to Tim Hardaway Jr. or Glenn Robinson III if Stauskas struggles from the perimeter or Burke can’t get into the lane against the zone.
TRENDS:
* Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last four NCAA Tournament games.
* Orange are 1-5 ATS in their last six Saturday games.
* Over is 5-1 in Wolverines’ last six games following an ATS win.
* Wolverines are 4-0 ATS in their last four games vs. a team with a winning percentage above .600.
TIP-INS
1. Syracuse is in the Final Four for the first time since the Carmelo Anthony-led 2003 team won the National Championship.
2. Michigan is 17-0 against non-conference opponents but coach John Beilein, who spent five years as a coach in the Big East with West Virginia, is 0-9 all-time against Syracuse.
3. The winner will face Louisville or Wichita State in the National Championship game Monday.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-06-13 05:10 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Michigan vs. Syracuse
April 5, 2013
Editor's note: Since March 28, Brian Edwards is on an 11-3 run in college hoops for 8.92 units of profit. Going back further, Brian owns a 57-35 record (62%, +1972) since Feb. 21. Don't miss out on tonight's pick package.
Thirty minutes after the conclusion of Louisville-Wichita St. in Saturday’s lid-lifter at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta, Michigan and Syracuse will meet in the other national-semifinals matchup.
As of early Friday evening, most books had Michigan (30-7 SU, 18-16-1 ATS) favored by two with a total of 131. The Wolverines are one-point ‘chalk’ for first-half wagers.
For bettors extremely bullish on Michigan, Bovada has a proposition wager in which you can lay 8 ½ points on the Wolverines for a +250 payout (risk $100 to win $250). On the flip side, gamblers can back Syracuse as a 4.5-point favorite for a +225 return.
Bovada also has alternate totals. Bettors can take ‘over’ 137.5 for a +175 payday or they can go ‘under’ 124.5 (+175).
John Beilein’s team has dominated three of its four NCAA Tournament foes. Michigan has dealt out ruthless beatings to VCU and Florida and it also bested South Dakota St. in the opening round.
In the South Region semifinals at Cowboys Stadium last Friday night, Trey Burke led a furious rally to force overtime against Kansas. Michigan eventually captured an 87-85 victory as a 1.5-point underdog.
Burke scored all 23 of his points in the second half and overtime, including an audacious 30-footer from beyond the time line to tie the game with five seconds left in regulation. Burke also dished out 10 assists, while freshman center Mitch McGary exploded for a career-high 25 points and 14 rebounds.
The Wolverines raced out to leads of 13-0, 23-5 and 41-17 en route to a 79-59 win over Florida as 2.5-point underdogs on Sunday. Nik Stauskas snapped out of a shooting slump to bury all six of his attempts from 3-point land on his way to a 22-point effort.
Syracuse (30-9 SU, 20-15 ATS) advanced to the Final Four for the fourth time on Jim Boeheim’s watch thanks to last Saturday’s 55-39 win over Marquette as a 4.5-point favorite. The 94 combined points stayed way ‘under’ the 126.5-point total.
James Southerland paced the ‘Cuse with a game-high 16 points. C.J. Fair added 13 points, six rebounds, three steals and a pair of blocked shots, while Michael Carter-Williams finished with 12 points, eight boards and six assists.
The Orange’s other NCAA wins came over Montana (81-34), California (66-60) and Indiana (61-50). But this team’s surge started in the Big East Tournament with three wins before a loss to Louisville in the finals. The ‘Cuse led the Cardinals by 17 late in the first half but went cold offensively in the second half of the defeat.
Michigan owns a 6-7 spread record in 13 games as a single-digit favorite this year. Meanwhile, Syracuse has been an underdog seven times, compiling a 4-3 record both SU and ATS.
The ‘over’ is 21-14 overall for Michigan, 12-8 in its 20 games with a total in the 130s.
The ‘under’ is 18-15 overall for the Orange, going 3-1 in its last four games. The ‘over’ is 7-6 in Syracuse’s 13 games with totals in the 130s.
These schools last met at Boardwalk Hall in Atlantic City two seasons ago with the ‘Cuse winning a 53-50 decision. However, the Wolverines took the cash as 6.5-point underdogs.
Although we should note that Boeheim had superior talent in nearly every instance, it’s impossible to ignore the fact that Boeheim is unbeaten in nine head-to-head meetings against Beilein.
Boeheim has a 52-28 career record (65%) in the NCAA Tournament compared to Beilein’s 12-7 ledger (63%).
Sportsbook.ag has prop wagers galore for both semifinal matchups. The website has Burke with an ‘over/under’ of 18.5 points that’s shaded to the ‘under’ at a -130 price (even-money for ‘over’ bets). Burke’s total for assists is seven (-115 either way) and rebounds is 3.5 (‘over’ -130).
Tim Hardaway Jr.’s total for points is 13.5 (‘over’ -120), rebounds is 4.5 (-115 either way) and assists is three (-115 either way). I like the ‘over’ for Hardaway as I anticipate him scoring at least 14 points.
Also, I like ‘over’ 11.5 points (-130 price) for Michigan's McGary, who has averaged 17.5 points per game during the NCAA Tournament. McGary scored 21 against VCU and dropped 25 on Kansas.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-06-13 11:28 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Louisville vs. Michigan
April 7, 2013
The 2013 NCAA Tournament will culminate Monday night at the Georgia Dome in Atlanta where Louisville (34-5 straight up, 23-16 against the spread) and Michigan will collide for the national championship.
Just before midnight Eastern late Saturday night, most books opened the Cardinals as either four or 4.5-point favorites. After the first hour of betting, most betting shops had settled at four while the Mirage, Stations and several offshores adjusted to 3.5.
By lunch on Sunday, nearly all books had U of L favored by four with a total of 137.5 or 138. Gamblers can take the Wolverines on the money line for a +160 return (risk $100 to win $160).
For first-half wagers, Rick Pitino’s team is a two-point ‘chalk’ with a total of 63.5.
Speaking of Pitino, what a week this dude has had! (Good thing he decided not to retire after losing to Morhead St. two years ago, right?)
In the span of a week, Pitino’s 30-year old son, Richard, was hired as the new head coach at Minnesota. Also, the elder Pitino was selected to the Hall of Fame and his team rallied from a 12-point second-half deficit to beat Wichita St. for the right to cut the nets down Monday night.
But wait, that’s not all! You see, Pitino owns horses and one of his ponies (Goldencents) won the Santa Anita Derby on Saturday at 6/1 odds to qualify for the Kentucky Derby.
In 2013, we call that #winning with a hashtag.
But for most of Saturday’s first national-semifinals matchup, it appeared as if Wichita St. was going to advance to the finals. Behind the brilliant play of Cleanthony Early, who finished with 24 points and 10 rebounds, the Shockers led by 12 with 13:35 remaining.
Pitino’s vaunted defense wasn’t forcing any turnovers and U of L couldn’t produce buckets in order to set up its full-court press. It wasn’t looking good – at all.
Pitino was desperate and turned to walk-on Tim Henderson, who didn’t score a point in February and had only played more than eight minutes in a game once this season. Nevertheless, Henderson buried a pair of crucial 3-pointers to give the Cardinals some life.
Luke Hancock began to assert himself on both ends. Hancock would score 20 points to go with four rebounds, two assists and a pair of steals.
He saved his most important play for last and, fittingly, it wasn’t one that would show up in the box score. Leading by three with 8.8 ticks left, Louisville’s Russ Smith missed yet another free throw. (Smith, who finished with a team-high 21 points, made only 5-of-12 at the charity stripe.)
When Wichita St.’s Ron Baker elevated to grab the rebounds, he lost his balance somewhat. Hancock noticed as much and instantly tied up Baker just long enough to prompt the official to blow the whistle and look to the possession arrow.
It was pointing Pitino’s way, just like everything else this week.
The Cardinals won a 72-68 decision but failed to cover the number as 9.5-point favorites. After only 51 points were scored in the first half, ‘under’ backers were feeling good. However, 89 second-half points allowed the 140 combined points to jump ‘over’ the 133-point total.
In the nightcap game, Michigan (31-7 SU, 19-16-1 ATS) got sloppy down the stretch but was nonetheless able to capture a 61-56 win as a 1.5-point favorite. The 117 combined points stayed ‘under’ the 128.5-point tally.
John Beilein’s team raced out to a 36-25 lead at intermission thanks to the passing of freshman center Mitch McGary and shooting of reserves Caris LeVert and Spike Albrecht. The Wolverines remained in control throughout the second half until crunch time when they started missing free throws and committing careless turnovers.
Syracuse’s James Southerland, who missed his first seven shots and was missing in action nearly the entire game, finally drained a trey to slice the deficit to 57-56 with 41 seconds remaining. Moments later, Michigan Trey Burke made one of two free throws for a two-point advantage.
At this point, Beilein was making offense-defense substitutions. Jordan Morgan, the junior center who had recently lost his starting slot and seen his minutes dwindle due to the emergence of McGary, was subbing in for defense.
With his team trailing by two, ‘Cuse senior guard Brandon Triche saw an opening and attacked the basket off the dribble. As Triche elevated to the rim, Morgan stepped in to take the charge.
It was very close, could’ve gone either way. Some pundits suggested that Morgan was still moving and had slid under Triche after he left the floor. Again, it was very close.
But the official whistled Triche for a charge. Morgan had taken another charge minutes before when the Orange were mounting its furious rally.
When Jon Horford made one of two at the stripe for a three-point lead, Syracuse had one last chance. However, Trevor Cooney took an ill-advised shot in traffic that was inside the arc. He missed and Tim Hardaway Jr. pulled down the rebound.
Morgan sprinted out while the ‘Cuse desperately tried to foul. The two-year starter, who has maintained a great attitude and hasn’t once complained about his diminished role, was hit in stride as he got behind the defense. Morgan, who only played five minutes, put an exclamation point on the victory with a slam with one second left.
You could make the argument that Morgan made the three most important plays of the game. And that, youngsters at home, is why you always remain a team player and keep a positive attitude even in the face of adversity.
Hardaway finished with 13 points, six rebounds and five assists, but he disappointed his prop-bet backers who had taken ‘over’ 13.5 points. McGary produced 10 points, 12 boards, six dimes and a pair of blocked shots.
Michigan will be an underdog Monday night for only the sixth time this season. Beilein’s bunch has compiled a 3-2 spread record in the five previous ‘dog spots.
The Wolverines will need a much better effort from their star point guard Trey Burke, who made only 1-of-8 shots versus the ‘Cuse and missed two free throws at winning time.
The ‘over’ is 21-15 overall for Michigan, 19-14 overall for Louisville. The ‘over’ has hit in nine consecutive games for the Cardinals.
Tip-off on CBS is scheduled for 9:23 p.m. Eastern.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-08-13 05:37 AM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543
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Final Four Betting Angles
April 7, 2013
NCAA FINAL FOUR OUT
It’s onward to Atlanta for the Final Four games. To put the wraps on the 2013 NCAA Tournament, listed below are some interesting trends and angles to as our Fab Four heads off to the Hotlanta this weekend.
All results listed below are ATS (Against the Spread) and most recent since 1991 unless noted otherwise. Enjoy…
NCAA FINAL 4 ROUND NOTES
-- #1 Seed favorites 4 > pts are 6-1 ATS (Louisville)
-- #8 or lower Seeds are 1-4 ATS (Wichita State)
-- Favorites who won by 20 > pts are 0-4 ATS (Louisville)
-- Favorites 4 > pts who scored 80 > pts in Elite 8 round are 1-7 ATS (Louisville)
-- Teams who are 4-0 ATS last 4 games are 8-15 ATS (Michigan, Wichita State)
-- Teams with Revenge are 3-9 ATS (Michigan)
-- Big East teams are 0-3 ATS since 2004 (Louisville, Syracuse)
NCAA CHAMPIONSHIP GAME NOTES
-- #1 Seed favorites are 7-2 ATS
-- #4 Seeds are 2-0 ATS
-- #5 or worse Seeds are 0-5 SU & 1-4 ATS
-- Favorites of 5 < pts are 11-1 ATS
-- Favorites who scored 80 > pts in the Final 4 round are 5-1 ATS
-- Teams with a win percentage of .810 < are 1-5 ATS
-- Dogs > 2 pts who allowed 60 > pts in the Final 4 round are 0-5 ATS
-- Dogs of 3 > pts off a SU dog win are 0-4 ATS
-- Big East teams are 4-0 ATS
-- Big 10 teams are 0-4 ATS
COACH ME UP
Louisville’s Rick Pitino is:
47-13 SU and 36-22-3 ATS in NCAA tournament
119-52 SU and 100-66-5 ATS vs Big East
16-11 SU and 11-16 ATS vs Big 10
4-0 SU and 2-2 ATS vs MVC
8-8 SU and 4-12 ATS vs Beilein
12-5 SU and 10-6-1 ATS vs Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs Marshall
Michigan’s John Beilein is:
12-6 SU and 14-3-1 ATS in NCAA tournament
47-53 SU and 50-48-2 ATS vs Big East
6-0 SU and 4-2 ATS vs MVC
0-9 SU and 3-6 ATS vs Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs Marshall
2-2 SU AND 1-2-1 ATS vs Pitino
Syracuse’s Jim Boeheim is:
34-18 SU and 27-21-2 ATS in NCAA tournament
13-4 SU and 11-6 ATS vs Big 10
292-160 SU and 219-227-5 ATS vs Big East
4-1 SU and 3-2 ATS vs MVC
9-0 SU and 6-3 ATS vs Beilein
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs Marshall
1-0 5-12 SU and 6-10-1 ATS vs Pitino
Wichita State’s Greg Marshall is:
4-1 SU and ATS in NCAA tournament
2-3 SU and 3-2 ATS vs Big East
3-1 SU and 4-0 ATS vs Big 10
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs Belein
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs Boeheim
0-0 SU and 0-0 ATS vs Pitino
There you have it, trends and notes of teams and coaches for the NCAA Final Four and out games played the last 24 years.
I hope you’ve enjoyed the tournament as much as I have. I’ll return during the NBA playoffs with an overview of some Good, Bad, and downright Ugly stats and trends. Until then, enjoy the rest of the ‘Dance’.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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04-08-13 05:40 AM |
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