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lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

1-24-13 Hockey thread, picks, info and a whole lot more

Couple of great OT games last night.

I am noticing some high juice plays, that will just kill ya. If you have a -140 or more pick then play a regulation or -1 line. I highly recommend playing a -1 line over regulation though.

kanapad 2-0 (How 'bout those Leafs...LOL..9-4 run)
Brutus5775 2-0 (Huge escape with that Nucks win)


Zac 2-1 (Nailed a huge dog, well done !!! 7-3 run)
SDRC 2-1 (Nice start, but you gotta stay away from those high juice lines)
Kostyan 1-2 (5-3 run)
lineshark 0-1 (3-1 run)

Didn't make a pick (gotta make a pick tonight)

lemgreen 3-2
Mosby 2-1 (5-2 run)

NY Islanders at Toronto 7:00 PM
NY Rangers at Philadelphia 7:00 PM
Montreal at Washington 7:00 PM
Buffalo at Carolina 7:00 PM
Ottawa at Florida 7:30 PM
Nashville at St. Louis 8:00 PM
Chicago at Dallas 8:30 PM
Columbus at Colorado 9:00 PM
Los Angeles at Edmonton 9:30 PM
Phoenix at San Jose 10:30 PM

Goaltender http://www.dailyfaceoff.com/starting-goalies
Goaltender http://goaliepost.com/?gclid=CJ_68Me-za0CFWgTNAodTnRFmA
Injury info http://www.sportsnetwork.com/merge/...ies/injury.aspx
Transacation info http://www.sportsnetwork.com/merge/...ions.aspx?sc=AD
Depth Charts http://www.rotoworld.com/content/De....aspx?sport=NHL
Trends http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pa...gue/season.html
Database, trends and other info http://www.oddsshark.com/nhl/database
Daily stats sheet http://www.sportsdirectinc.com/outp...ts/nhl_game.pdf
Previous day stats sheet http://www.sportsdirectinc.com/outp...l_game_prev.pdf
Ref Stats http://www.covers.com/pageLoader/pa...s/referees.html
Last nights game highlights http://video.nhl.com/videocenter/

Links for live streaming of games

Vip Box http://www.vipbox.tv/sports/ice-hockey.html
vurund http://vurund.net/
Fromsporthttp://www.fromsport.com/
First Row Sports http://www.firstrowsports.eu/sport/ice-hockey.html

Old Post 01-24-13 02:17 PM
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lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

I'll give you the holy grail of gambling 1.1 (But......)

No offense to anyone, but it takes patience and more patience. You can't get into the thrill of making big bucks on every play. I can honestly say that since I've used internet accounts, I've never tapped out. I've taken money out at the end of the season. But that was me just getting the cash. Not tapping out.

We had this discussion last year. Very good info. I will actually have people argue that this is not the way to go. Well, I have math on my side. Also I have the proof of not putting any money in my internet accounts by tapping since 1996.

First of all. Lay off the parlays. UNLESS........You are parlaying two big favs. That will make them into an even wager or a dog. I see so many people trying to score the huge hit by parlaying 4 or more teams.

Second. Just because it's a big fav, doesn't mean they are going to win. There are plenty of upsets in hockey.

Third. It kind of goes with the first two. Stay away from the juice. It will just kill ya. You will notice I will play -1 lines quite a bit. This gets the big juice plays down to low or no juice. Also it turns big favs to nice dogs. You can turn that -150 into a +137. That's a huge difference. Yes, you will get some ties. But that's part of the game.

Fourth......Don't chase.........just don't do it. Now I have some friends on other boards. Well, mainly one board that does this. Sometime down the road you are going to get hit. It may be awhile. But one day you will tap out.

Fifth.......Here is really the whole ball of wax here. This is the grail of it all.

Have your bankroll set. I mean your whole bankroll. Just wager a percentage of your bankroll for each game. Here is what I do.

I wager 2.5% of my bankroll on each game. I've actually lowered this again this year. It was 4%, before the lockout. Then, last year it was 3%.

Class...........pay attention.........

Say you start out with......OK.........I will use some real world numbers that most of you probably are using. You start out with $1000. Then you decide to take the Bruins and Canes at Even money.

You would wager $25 on both teams. Say you won both.

Then your bankroll is now $1050. Now your 2.5% wager would be $26.25 instead of $25. You win your wagers go up. That's where the snowball starts. Yeah, you're not going to break the bank at first. But if you keep winning your wagers will go up. That's when you should wager more. But that 99% of people will wager more when they lose. Exactly backwards.

Now how about if those two $25 wagers lose. Well your bankroll is down to $950. So your next wager would be $23.75. Now this is where the real power of this comes in. When you are losing, you dig your heels in and make it tough for the book to tap you out. You start to lose you cut your wagers down. Again, exactly opposite what most people do.

One of the complaints of this is most people say when I get on a winning streak I'm making less money because I'm down a few hundred. I should be winning $25 or $30 a game instead of $20 or so.

Well, if you start winning your wagers will start to creep up. I will bump my percentage up if I'm on a winning streak. Hell, after the Olympic break a couple of years ago, I I was up to 6% on my wagers in March and the first week of April

If you hit that streak push it a bit. But make sure your on a streak, not just winning a few games. If you play like this you will never go broke. If it's the action your looking for please stop now. You will be telling a sad story to people. That's the reason 99% of people can't do this. It's the action they need. They don't wager logically.

I know a handful of people in my network that do this. They are very astute. They don't play everyday. The don't force a play. But they do wager by a percentage of their actual bankroll.

Come on and join this handful. You won't be sorry.

Good skill to everyone this year. I will be watching.

Old Post 01-24-13 02:21 PM
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Primetime21


Registered: Nov 2011
Posts: 368

Yeah I got bit last night on those damn Pens, but the good news is I took em at -1.5 +133 I think. Either way, it was better than losing the -188 on the ML! Thanks for the great info

Old Post 01-24-13 06:45 PM
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lemgreen
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2006
Posts: 2401

Today's dogs

Here they are:

Habs +110
Buffalo +110
Avs +140
Oilers +115

Good luck

Lem

Season to date: 3-2, up a little

Old Post 01-24-13 06:59 PM
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bostonshamrock
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2636

1 for me so far tonight

caps -.5 +130 60mins

good luck

ytd
7-7 +.35

Old Post 01-24-13 07:46 PM
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ZB182


Registered: Oct 2009
Posts: 371

Going against basic betting and doing a big degen card tonight. Highly advise fading these as I can't hit the broad side of a barn.


Nashville ML +150
Blackhawks PL +230
LA Kings PL +205
NYR Regulation +140
Caps Regulation +125
Buffalo Regulation +155
Ottawa Regulation +135
Avs Regulation Even


BOL everyone!!!

Old Post 01-24-13 11:39 PM
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kanapad


Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 341

NYI -105. gl




"Rome was not built in one day"

Old Post 01-24-13 11:56 PM
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Brutus5775
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 5364

Lippsman- you are correct-- That Nucks game was close...

Thursday Night
Carolina
Ottawa
Ottawa Under
Colorado
Colorado Over
St. Louis Under
Edmonton Over

NBL as Always




My Goal is to Make Money Not Gamble !!

Old Post 01-25-13 12:27 AM
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lineshark
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2011
Posts: 2059

oilers +120
sabres +114

season: 4-1 +377

Old Post 01-25-13 12:43 AM
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Zac
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 15654

Washington - 135
Ottawa - 135
Phoenix + 1

Good luck.

Old Post 01-25-13 12:56 AM
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The In$ider


Registered: Feb 2012
Posts: 229

Lippsman

Where do you find out pregame referee assignments for the NHL....Is there such a place?...Anyone else in the know feel free to chime in. Thanks

Old Post 01-25-13 01:28 AM
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shakeNbake


Registered: Dec 2012
Posts: 62

Blackhawks -125
Season: 11-11

Old Post 01-25-13 01:56 AM
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Kostyan
Restricted User

Registered: Jun 2003
Posts: 3161

Kings

Old Post 01-25-13 02:30 AM
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kanapad


Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 341

adding DAL +105....sorry for late post..gl




"Rome was not built in one day"

Old Post 01-25-13 02:32 AM
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kanapad


Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 341

adding LA/EDM Over 5.5 @ 105




"Rome was not built in one day"

Old Post 01-25-13 03:14 AM
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Mosby


Registered: Feb 2011
Posts: 694

Sorry I'm Late

Stars +105
Sharks -170
Kings -125

GL everyone!

NHL season 5-2, +3.55 units

Old Post 01-25-13 03:28 AM
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kanapad


Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 341

ok...in the 2nd now.....it doesnt look like LA will start scoring anytime soon...I dont know what I was thinking here....EDM ???? hmmm




"Rome was not built in one day"

Old Post 01-25-13 04:58 AM
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lemgreen
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2006
Posts: 2401

Correction

in yesterday's post I picked:

Habs +110
Buffalo +110
Avs +140
Oilers +115

Well, Colorado was giving -140, not getting +140. I bet Columbus, not Colo, so, I can't count the win.

Regards,

Lem

Old Post 01-25-13 01:36 PM
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