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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

NCAAB Lagniappe 2/04

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (715) IDAHO vs. (716) SACRAMENTO ST
Favoring: IDAHO against the spread.
Play Against - A favorite (SACRAMENTO ST) - in a game involving two average three point shooting teams (32%-36.5%) after 15+ games, after a game - shooting 38% or lower, allowing 60% or higher
(27-5 since 1997.) (84.4%, +21.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (703) SIU EDWARDSVL vs. (704) ARK-LITTLE ROCK
Favoring: SIU EDWARDSVL against the spread.
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (ARK-LITTLE ROCK) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 90 points or more
(31-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +0.9 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (1667) NICHOLLS ST vs. (1668) HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Favoring: NICHOLLS ST against the spread.
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON CHRISTIAN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 90 points or more
(31-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-1 +0.9 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (1667) NICHOLLS ST vs. (1668) HOUSTON CHRISTIAN
Favoring: NICHOLLS ST against the spread.
Play Against - Underdogs of 3.5 to 9.5 points (HOUSTON CHRISTIAN) - an good offensive team (74-78 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG) after 15+ games, after allowing 45 points or more in the first half last game
(39-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.0%, +26.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-0 +5 units).

Old Post 02-04-23 09:52 AM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (1651) SOUTHERN U vs. (1652) ALABAMA A&M
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALABAMA A&M) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's)
(32-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.9%, +27.6 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2 -2.2 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (1651) SOUTHERN U vs. (1652) ALABAMA A&M
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALABAMA A&M) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) after 15+ games
(32-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.9%, +27.6 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2 -2.2 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (1651) SOUTHERN U vs. (1652) ALABAMA A&M
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (ALABAMA A&M) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%), in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) after 15+ games
(32-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.9%, +27.6 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2 -2.2 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (1651) SOUTHERN U vs. (1652) ALABAMA A&M
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is between 140 and 149.5 points (SOUTHERN U) - in a game involving two average shooting teams (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, in a game involving two average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's)
(32-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (88.9%, +27.6 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2 -2.2 units).

Old Post 02-04-23 09:54 AM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (629) EVANSVILLE vs. (630) IL-CHICAGO
Favoring: IL-CHICAGO on the first half line.
Play Against - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points vs. the first half line (EVANSVILLE) - a terrible offensive team (<=63 PPG) against an average defensive team (67-74 PPG), after allowing 75 points or more 2 straight games
(34-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.9%, +26.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-3 +1.7 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (801) OREGON ST vs. (802) ARIZONA
Favoring: OREGON ST on the first half line.
Play Against - Home favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (ARIZONA) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
(31-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.8%, +24.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +4 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (809) OREGON vs. (810) ARIZONA ST
Favoring: OREGON on the first half line.
Play On - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (OREGON) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 90 points or more
(31-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.8%, +24.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +1.9 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (763) VILLANOVA vs. (764) CREIGHTON
Favoring: VILLANOVA on the first half line.
Play Against - Home favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (CREIGHTON) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
(31-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.8%, +24.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +4 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (777) WEBER ST vs. (778) IDAHO ST
Favoring: IDAHO ST on the first half line.
Play On - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (IDAHO ST) - an average offensive team (67-74 PPG) against a good defensive team (63-67 PPG), after allowing 90 points or more
(31-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.8%, +24.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1 +1.9 units)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (685) FLA INTERNATIONAL vs. (686) UAB
Favoring: FLA INTERNATIONAL on the first half line.
Play Against - Home favorites of 6 to 11 points vs. the first half line (UAB) - after beating the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games against opponent after going under the total by 48 or more points total in their last ten games
(31-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.8%, +24.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0 +4 units).

Old Post 02-04-23 09:54 AM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (735) MISSOURI vs. (736) MISSISSIPPI ST
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams against the total (MISSISSIPPI ST) - poor shooting team (40-42.5%) against an average defensive team (42.5-45%) after 15+ games, after 3 straight games - allowing a shooting pct. of 40% or less
(47-13 since 1997.) (78.3%, +32.7 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (605) MICHIGAN ST vs. (606) RUTGERS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 or less (RUTGERS) - a top caliber team (>=+11 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential), after a blowout win by 20 points or more
(33-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.5%, +25.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-2 +5.8 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (723) UTRGV vs. (724) TARLETON ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 65.5 to 70.5 (UTRGV) - in a game involving two good shooting teams (45-47.5%), average ball handling team (14.5-17.5 TO's) against an average pressure defense (14.5-17.5 TO's)
(50-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.8%, +32.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-3 -0.3 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (657) TCU vs. (658) OKLAHOMA ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 60.5 to 65.5 (OKLAHOMA ST) - average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a good 3PT defense (<=32%) after 15+ games, after a game - attempting 20+ less free throws than opponent
(63-23 since 1997.) (73.3%, +37.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (605) MICHIGAN ST vs. (606) RUTGERS
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 (RUTGERS) - a top caliber team (>=+11 PPG differential) against an average team (+/- 3.5 PPG differential), after allowing 55 points or less
(45-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.3%, +29.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-2 +7.8 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (807) CS-BAKERSFIELD vs. (808) CAL SAN DIEGO
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the first half total is 55.5 to 60.5 (CS-BAKERSFIELD) - cold team - having lost 12 or more of their last 15 games against opponent cold team - having lost 8 or more of their last 10 games
(35-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +25.1 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2 units).

Old Post 02-04-23 09:56 AM
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Kansas @ Iowa State
— Kansas (18-4, 6-3) ranked #9 by KenPom
— Tempo: #97
— Experience: #235
— Continuity: #224
— Kansas won its last two games, scoring 77-90 points.
— Kansas split its four Big X road games SU.
— Jayhawks are shooting 47.5% inside arc in Big X play (#8 of 10)
— Jayhawks have #36 eFG% defense in country.
— Kansas is 11-4 vs top 50 teams.
— Kansas’ schedule, to this point: #1
— bench minutes: #343
— Kansas’ best win: 62-60 over #18 Iowa State

— Iowa State (15-6, 6-3) ranked #18 by KenPom
— Tempo: #315
— Experience: #6
— Continuity: #199
— Iowa State lost 4 of last 6 games, after a 13-2 start.
— Cyclones lost last game by 3 at Texas Tech, after leading by 23 points.
— Iowa State won all four of its Big X home games (3-1 ATS)
— Cyclones are forcing turnovers 26.8% of time (#1)
— Iowa State is #23 team in country on offensive boards.
— Iowa State’s schedule, to this point: #13
— bench minutes: #207
— Iowa State’s best win: 77-62 over #14 Baylor

— Kansas beat Iowa State 62-60 at home January 14.
— Jayhawks won last seven series games.
— Kansas won last three visits to Ames, by 26-14-9 points.
— Big X home teams are 11-8 ATS, in games with spread of 3 or less.

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Michigan State @ Rutgers
— Michigan State (14-8, 6-5) ranked #41 by KenPom
— Tempo: #297
— Experience: #150
— Continuity: #126
— MSU lost four of its last six games, after a 12-4 start.
— MSU is 2-3 SU/ATS as a Big 14 road underdog.
— Spartans are #39 team in country on defensive boards.
— Spartans are shooting 47.7% inside arc (#280), 37.9% on arc (#27).
— MSU is 7-3 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— MSU’s schedule, to this point: #3
— bench minutes: #233
— MSU’s best win: 70-57 over #16 Rutgers.

— Rutgers (15-7, 7-4) ranked #16 by KenPom
— Tempo: #240
— Experience: #111
— Continuity: #57
— Rutgers won 9 of its last 12 games, after a 6-4 start. .
— Rutgers is 5-1 SU in Big 14 home games, 4-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Knights are forcing turnovers 22.7% of time (#22)
— Knights have #7 eFG% defense in country.
— Rutgers has #252 eFG% offense in country.
— Rutgers’ schedule, to this point: #64
— bench minutes: #182
— Rutgers’ best win: 65-64 at #3 Purdue

— Rutgers lost 70-57 at Michigan State January 19.
— Spartans won 12 of last 14 series games.
— MSU lost 67-37/84-63 in last two visits to the Garden State
— Big 14 home favorites of 5 or less points are 24-6 ATS.

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Auburn @ Tennessee
— Auburn (17-5, 7-2) ranked #26 by KenPom
— Tempo: #146
— Experience: #88
— Continuity: #53
— Auburn won six of its last eight games.
— Auburn won three of its four SEC road games SU.
— Tigers are shooting 53.2% inside arc (#64), 29.9% on arc (#335)
— Auburn is #17 team in country on offensive boards.
— Tigers are underdog for 2nd time this year (lost 80-77 at WV, +4)
— Auburn’s schedule, to this point: #46
— bench minutes: #30
— Auburn’s best win: 72-59 over #20 Arkansas

— Tennessee (18-4, 7-2) ranked #2 by KenPom
— Tempo: #206
— Experience: #132
— Continuity: #128
— Tennessee won nine of its last eleven games.
— Tennessee is 4-0 SU/3-1 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Vols are #1 team in country on offensive boards.
— Vols have #1 eFG% defense in country.
— Tennessee is forcing turnovers 24.2% of time (#10)
— Tennessee’s schedule, to this point: #48
— bench minutes: #121
— Tennessee’s best win: 64-50 over #9 Kansas.

— Bruce Pearl coached Tennessee from 2006-11 (145-61)
— Auburn won six of last seven series games.
— Teams split last four meetings in Knoxville.
— SEC home favorites of 9 or less points are 9-10 ATS.

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Illinois @ Iowa
— Illinois (16-6, 7-4) ranked #22 by KenPom
— Tempo: #65
— Experience: #296
— Continuity: #345
— Illinois won seven of its last eight games.
— Illinois won/covered three of its five Big 14 road games.
— Illini is 2-0 ATS as an underdog this season.
— Illini is shooting 55.6% inside arc (#21), 31.7% on arc (#286)
— Illinois is #283 team on defensive boards.
— Illinois’ schedule, to this point: #53
— bench minutes: #159
— Illinois’ best win: 79-70 over #5 UCLA

— Iowa (14-8, 6-5) ranked #33 by KenPom
— Tempo: #45
— Experience: #131
— Continuity: #47
— Iowa won six of its last eight games.
— Hawkeyes are 5-1 SU/ATS as a Big 14 home favorite.
— Iowa covered seven of their last eight games overall.
— Hawkeyes scored 81+ points in their last four wins.
— Iowa is 6-5 against top 50 teams.
— Iowa’s schedule, to this point: #19
— bench minutes: #216
— Iowa’s best wins: 76-65/93-82 over #16 Rutgers

— Illinois won last five series games.
— Teams split last four meetings played here.
— Big 14 home favorites of 4 or less points are

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Miami @ Clemson
— Miami (17-5, 8-4) ranked #37 by KenPom
— Tempo: #126
— Experience: #28
— Continuity: #143
— Miami split its last eight games, after a 13-1 start.
— Hurricanes are 3-4 SU in ACC road games, 2-1 ATS as a road dog.
— Miami is shooting 35.9% on arc (#76), 55.3% inside arc (#25)
— Miami is #305 team in country on defensive boards.
— Hurricanes are 5-4 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Miami’s schedule, to this point: #71
— bench minutes: #321
— Miami’s best win: 66-64 over #14 Virginia

— Clemson (18-5, 10-2) ranked #70 by KenPom
— Tempo: #129
— Experience: #186
— Continuity: #145
— Clemson wont 10 of its last 12 games.
— Tigers are 6-0 SU in ACC home tilts, 3-1-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Tigers are shooting 52.4% inside arc (#86), 36.2% on arc (#82)
— Clemson is #36 team in country on defensive boards.
— Clemson is 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Clemson’s schedule, to this point: #120
— bench minutes: #79
— Clemson’s best win: 71-64 over #29 Duke

— Teams split their last ten meetings.
— Miami lost three of last four visits to Littlejohn.
— ACC home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-3 ATS.

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Purdue @ Indiana
— Purdue (22-1, 11-1) ranked #3 by KenPom
— Tempo: #330
— Experience: #286
— Continuity: #226
— Purdue won its last nine games.
— Purdue is 6-0 SU on Big 14 road, 2-0 ATS as an underdog.
— in their last eight games, Boilers allowed 56 ppg.
— Purdue is #3 team on offensive boards, #14 on defensive end.
— Boilers have #25 eFG% defense in country.
— Purdue’s schedule, to this point: #40
— bench minutes: #129
— Purdue’s best win: 75-70 over #8 Marquette

— Indiana (15-7, 6-5) ranked #21 by KenPom
— Tempo: #117
— Experience: #66
— Continuity: #40
— Indiana won five of its last six games.
— Indiana won four of its five Big 14 home games.
— Hoosiers are shooting 54.5% inside arc (#36), 38% on arc (#20)
— Opponents are shooting 45.2% inside arc (#20)
— Hoosiers are 5-6 against top 50 teams.
— Indiana’s schedule, to this point: #41
— bench minutes: #108
— Indiana’s best win: 80-65 at #22 Illinois

— Purdue won 10 of last 11 series games.
— Boilermakers won five of last six visits to Assembly Hall.
— Big 14 home teams are 18-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less points.

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Texas @ Kansas State
— Texas (18-4, 7-2) ranked #10 by KenPom
— Tempo: #82
— Experience: #7
— Continuity: #151
— Texas won six of its last eight games.
— Longhorns won three of their four Big X road games.
— Texas is shooting 56.1% inside arc (#15), 33.3% on arc (#205)
— Texas is forcing turnovers 22.4% of time (#25)
— Longhorns are 6-1 in games decided by 7 or less points,
— Texas’ schedule, to this point: #22
— bench minutes: #136
— Texas’ best win: 72-67 over #12 Creighton

— Kansas State (18-4, 6-3) ranked #23 by KenPom
— Tempo: #62
— Experience: #32
— Continuity: #317
— K-State split its last six games, after a 15-1 start.
— K-State won/covered all four of its Big X home games.
— Wildcats are forcing turnovers 21% of time (#56)
— Wildcats are #253 team on defensive boards.
— Three of K-State’s six conference wins came in overtime.
— K-State’s schedule, to this point: #26
— bench minutes: #327
— K-State’s best win: 83-82 in OT over #9 Kansas

— K-State won 116-103 at Texas January 3rd.
— Wildcats scored 1.41 points/possession that day, very high.
— Texas won five of last seven series games.
— Longhorns won their last four visits to the Little Apple.
— Big X home teams are 11-8 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

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North Carolina @ Duke
— North Carolina (15-7, 7-4) ranked #35 by KenPom
— Tempo: #104
— Experience: #25
— Continuity: #14
— Carolina won 10 of its last 13 games.
— Carolina is 2-3 SU/1-3-1 ATS on ACC road, 0-2 as a road dog.
— Tar Heels are shooting 52.5% inside arc (#83), 31.1% on arc (#304).
— Carolina is #18 team in country on defensive boards.
— Tar Heels are getting 23.1% of its points on foul line (#9)
— Carolina’s schedule, to this point: #36
— bench minutes: #358
— Carolina’s best win: 89-84 in OT over #32 Ohio State

— Duke (16-6, 7-4) ranked #28 by KenPom
— Tempo: #269
— Experience: #290
— Continuity: #341
— Duke won five of its last seven games.
— Blue Devils won all five ACC home games (1-3-1 ATS).
— Duke is #2 team on offensive boards, #58 on defensive end.
— Blue Devils have #35 eFG% defense in country.
— Duke is 4-3 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Duke’s schedule, to this point: #44
— bench minutes: #133
— Duke’s best win: 71-64 over #25 Xavier.

— North Carolina won four of last five meetings.
— Tar Heels beat Duke 81-77 in Final Four last year.
— UNC won 95-87/94-81 in its last two visits to Duke
— ACC home favorites of 3 or less points are 7-3 ATS.

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Cal-Irvine @ Long Beach State
— Cal-Irvine (15-7, 8-2) ranked #92 by KenPom
— Tempo: #71
— Experience: #224
— Continuity: #129
— Irvine won eight of their last ten games
— Anteaters won four of their five Big West road games.
— Irvine is shooting 37.8% on arc (#29).
— Irvine has #40 eFG% defense.
— Anteaters are #45 team on defensive boards.
— Irvine’s schedule, to this point: #166
— bench minutes: #13
— Irvine’s best win: 69-56 at #55 Oregon.

— Long Beach State (13-10, 7-4) ranked #151 by KenPom
— Tempo: #3
— Experience: #310
— Continuity: #223
— Long Beach games, giving up 57-62 points.
— Long Beach is 3-2 SU/1-1-1 ATS as a home favorite.
— Long Beach
— Beach is #213 team in country on defensive boards.
— Beach is 7-4 vs teams ranked outside top 200.
— Long Beach’s schedule, to this point: #133
— bench minutes: #33
— Long Beach’s best win: 78-58 over #136 Vermont

— Irvine beat Long Beach 87-70 at home January 7.
— Anteaters were 13-28 on arc, Long Beach 2-16.
— Irvine won five of last six series games.
— Anteaters won four of last six visits to Long Beach.
— Big West teams are 4-10 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

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Marshall @ Louisiana
— Marshall (19-5, 8-3) ranked #76 by KenPom
— Tempo: #25
— Experience: #8
— Continuity: #86
— Marshall won seven of its last eight games.
— Marshall won three of its four Sun Belt road games.
— Thundering Herd is forcing turnovers 20.8% of time (#59)
— Marshall is #34 team on offensive boards, #330 on defensive end.
— Thundering Herd is 4-5 in games decided by 8 or less points.
— Marshall’s schedule, to this point: #297
— bench minutes: #362
— Marshall’s best win: 89-67 over #89 Southern Miss.

— Louisiana (19-4, 9-2) ranked #98 by KenPom
— Tempo: #103
— Experience: #170
— Continuity: #75
— Louisiana won its last nine games.
— Cajuns are 5-0 SU/3-2 ATS in its Sun Belt home games.
— Louisiana is shooting 38.7% on arc (#11), 52.1% inside arc (#97).
— Cajuns are #54 team in country on offensive boards.
— Louisiana is 6-2 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Louisiana’s schedule, to this point: #218
— bench minutes: #287
— Louisiana’s best win: 75-61 over #89 Southern Miss.

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Florida @ Kentucky
— Florida (13-9, 6-3) ranked #38 by KenPom
— Tempo: #78
— Experience: #45
— Continuity: #222
— Florida won six of its last eight games.
— Gators are 2-2 SU/3-1 ATS on SEC road, 2-1 as road dog.
— Florida is 3-9 against top 50 teams.
— Bulldogs have #5 eFG% defense in country.
— Florida is 2-5 in games decided by 7 or less points.
— Florida’s schedule, to this point: #20
— bench minutes: #72
— Florida’s best win: 67-54 over #2 Tennessee

— Kentucky (15-7, 6-3) ranked #34 by KenPom
— Tempo: #267
— Experience: #98
— Continuity: #197
— Kentucky won five of its last six games.
— Wildcats are 3-1 SU/ 2-2 ATS as an SEC home favorite.
— Wildcats are shooting 35.8% on arc (#278)
— Kentucky is #5 team on offensive boards, #68 on defensive end.
— Kentucky is shooting 36.6% on arc (#45)
— Kentucky’s schedule, to this point: #69
— bench minutes: #178
— Kentucky’s best win: 63-56 at #2 Tennessee

— Kentucky won seven of last eight series games.
— Gators lost three of last four games in Rupp Arena.
— SEC home favorites of 5 or less points are 7-3 ATS.

Old Post 02-04-23 10:06 AM
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Oregon @ Arizona State
— Oregon (13-10, 7-5) ranked #55 by KenPom
— Tempo: #226
— Experience: #130
— Continuity: #132
— Oregon won four of its last six games.
— Ducks lost four of their six Pac-12 road games.
— Oregon is shooting 54.6% inside arc (#32), 30.8% on arc (#314)
— Ducks have #69 eFG% defense in country.
— Oregon is 7-10 against top 100 teams.
— Oregon’s schedule, to this point: #15
— bench minutes: #140
— Oregon’s best win: 87-68 over #11 Arizona.

— Arizona State (16-7, 7-5) ranked #67 by KenPom
— Tempo: #130
— Experience: #70
— Continuity: #243
— ASU lost four of its last five games
— Sun Devils are 4-3 SU/2-5 ATS in Pac-12 home games.
— ASU has #16 eFG% defense in country
— ASU is #284 team in country on defensive boards.
— Sun Devils are shooting 48.6% inside (#244), 32.1% on arc (#270)
— ASU’s schedule, to this point: #54
— bench minutes: #143
— ASU’s best win: 73-71 over #12 Creighton

— ASU (+4) won 90-73 in Eugene January 12.
— Sun Devils won four of last six series games.
— Oregon lost three of last four visits to Tempe.
— Pac-12 home teams are 7-5 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

Old Post 02-04-23 10:06 AM
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Gonzaga @ Saint Mary’s
— Gonzaga (19-4, 8-1) ranked #17 by KenPom
— Tempo: #41
— Experience: #43
— Continuity: #19
— Gonzaga won 13 of its last 14 D-I games.
— Zags won all five of their WCC road games.
— Gonzaga is 0-1 ATS as an underdog (lost 93-74 to Texas, +2).
— Zags have the #3 eFG% in country, #248 eFG% defense.
— Gonzaga is #56 team in country on defensive boards.
— Gonzaga’s schedule, to this point: #39
— bench minutes: #331
— Gonzaga’s best win: 100-90 over #4 Alabama

— Saint Mary’s (20-4, 9-0) ranked #7 by KenPom
— Tempo: #358
— Experience: #175
— Continuity: #62
— Saint Mary’s won its last ten D-I games.
— Saint Mary’s is 5-0 SU/4-1 ATS as a WCC home favorite.
— Gaels have #9 eFG% defense in country.
— Saint Mary’s is #3 team on defensive boards, #37 on offensive end.
— Gaels are shooting 37% on the arc (#35)
— Saint Mary’s schedule, to this point: #84
— bench minutes: #349
— Saint Mary’s best win: 68-61 over #21 San Diego State

— Gonzaga won 11 of last 13 series games.
— Zags won five of their last six visits to Moraga.
— WCC home teams are 7-5 ATS in games with spread of 3 or less.

Old Post 02-04-23 10:06 AM
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Virginia and Virginia Tech will renew their bitter rivalry in the Commonwealth on Saturday as the Cavs visit Cassell Coliseum to tip-off a loaded day of college basketball.

The Cavaliers sit a half-game behind Clemson atop the ACC standings at 9-2.

Meanwhile, the Hokies are languishing at 3-8 in the league and in desperate need of a repeat of last season’s red-hot end of the year run.

Just when it appeared the Hokies were turning the corner — with wins against Duke and Syracuse — Virginia Tech lost on Tuesday in Miami after a poor final five minutes.

Virginia won the first meeting between these two programs by 10 points on Jan. 18, setting up this potential revenge spot.

Matchups between these two programs tend to be extremely slow-paced and methodical, especially since Mike Young arrived at Virginia Tech. The first meeting was anything but, a sign of the weaknesses of both interior defenses this season.

It’s still a low total because of the lack of possessions, but I’m not targeting the total like last meeting.

Instead, this is a prime Hokies spot at home against a Virginia team at the top of its market rating.

The market knows that Virginia Tech is much better than its record and has had it priced accordingly in the last couple weeks.

Virginia could shoot 62% from 2 and get 10 more free throws once again like it did in the first meeting in Charlottesville, but more than likely, the Cavaliers’ offense will regress from its market-rated current highs.

Old Post 02-04-23 11:16 AM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (731) TX-SAN ANTONIO vs. (732) MIDDLE TENN ST
Favoring: MIDDLE TENN ST against the spread.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 14-0 ATS (+14 Units) after 2 straight games with 12 or less assists over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIDDLE TENN ST 77.9, OPPONENT 67.7 - (Rating = 7*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (719) N ILLINOIS vs. (720) BOWLING GREEN
Favoring: N ILLINOIS against the spread.
BOWLING GREEN is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after 2 straight games giving up 9 or less offensive rebounds this season.
The average score was BOWLING GREEN 69.3, OPPONENT 80.8 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (665) ILLINOIS vs. (666) IOWA
Favoring: IOWA against the spread.
IOWA is 9-0 ATS (+9 Units) in a home game where the total is 150 to 159.5 this season.
The average score was IOWA 93.2, OPPONENT 71.4 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (607) WI-GREEN BAY vs. (608) IUPUI
Favoring: WI-GREEN BAY against the spread.
IUPUI is 3-22 ATS (-21.2 Units) versus terrible teams - outscored by their opponents by 8+ points/game since 1997.
The average score was IUPUI 70.6, OPPONENT 67.1 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (695) ALABAMA vs. (696) LSU
Favoring: ALABAMA against the spread.
LSU is 0-9 ATS (-9.9 Units) after 1 or more consecutive losses this season.
The average score was LSU 60.7, OPPONENT 76 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (765) PORTLAND vs. (766) PEPPERDINE
Favoring: PORTLAND against the spread.
PEPPERDINE is 1-12 ATS (-12.2 Units) when playing only their 2nd game in a week this season.
The average score was PEPPERDINE 74.1, OPPONENT 85.7 - (Rating = 5*)

Old Post 02-04-23 03:48 PM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (703) SIU EDWARDSVL vs. (704) ARK-LITTLE ROCK
Favoring: Over on the total.
ARK-LITTLE ROCK is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was ARK-LITTLE ROCK 77.4, OPPONENT 84.5 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (1599) WAGNER vs. (1600) FARLEIGH DICKINSON
Favoring: Over on the total.
FARLEIGH DICKINSON is 12-0 OVER (+12 Units) on Saturday games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FARLEIGH DICKINSON 82.6, OPPONENT 82.3 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (781) SF AUSTIN ST vs. (782) GRAND CANYON
Favoring: Over on the total.
GRAND CANYON is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) after 3 or more consecutive overs this season.
The average score was GRAND CANYON 73.5, OPPONENT 70.8 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (781) SF AUSTIN ST vs. (782) GRAND CANYON
Favoring: Over on the total.
GRAND CANYON is 11-0 OVER (+11 Units) after 2 or more consecutive overs this season.
The average score was GRAND CANYON 74.4, OPPONENT 71 - (Rating = 6*

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (735) MISSOURI vs. (736) MISSISSIPPI ST
Favoring: Under on the total.
MISSISSIPPI ST is 15-1 UNDER (+13.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
The average score was MISSISSIPPI ST 66.1, OPPONENT 53.4 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (617) WAKE FOREST vs. (618) NOTRE DAME
Favoring: Over on the total.
WAKE FOREST is 10-0 OVER (+10 Units) after a conference game this season.
The average score was WAKE FOREST 78.5, OPPONENT 75.7 - (Rating = 6*)

Old Post 02-04-23 03:50 PM
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