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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

NBA Lagniappe 2/04

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (561) PORTLAND vs. (562) CHICAGO
Favoring: CHICAGO against the spread.
Play On - Favorites (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team
(77-32 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.6%, +41.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-7 -1.7 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (561) PORTLAND vs. (562) CHICAGO
Favoring: CHICAGO against the spread.
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
(68-27 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.6%, +38.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-4 +2.6 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (561) PORTLAND vs. (562) CHICAGO
Favoring: CHICAGO against the spread.
Play On - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team
(55-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.3%, +33 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (5-4 +0.6 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (561) PORTLAND vs. (562) CHICAGO
Favoring: CHICAGO against the spread.
Play On - Home favorites (CHICAGO) - after going under the total by 30 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 40-49% on the season
(66-28 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.2%, +35.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-4 +3.6 units).

Old Post 02-04-23 09:32 AM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (549) WASHINGTON vs. (550) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a blowout win by 20 points or more
(30-6 since 1996.) (83.3%, +23.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (549) WASHINGTON vs. (550) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - after 3 or more consecutive wins, well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days
(61-23 since 1996.) (72.6%, +35.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (10-4 +5.6 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (549) WASHINGTON vs. (550) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 230 (WASHINGTON) - after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
(38-11 since 1996.) (77.6%, +25.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (555) HOUSTON vs. (556) OKLAHOMA CITY
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is greater than or equal to 220 (OKLAHOMA CITY) - a good offensive team (114-118 PPG) against an avg. offensive team (108-114 PPG) after 42+ games, after a loss by 6 points or less
(59-23 since 1996.) (72.0%, +33.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-4 +2.6 units).

Old Post 02-04-23 09:32 AM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (559) LA LAKERS vs. (560) NEW ORLEANS
Favoring: NEW ORLEANS on the first half line.
Play On - Home underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (NEW ORLEANS) - off 3 or more consecutive road losses, on Saturday games
(40-12 since 1996.) (76.9%, +26.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1 -0.1 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (559) LA LAKERS vs. (560) NEW ORLEANS
Favoring: LA LAKERS on the first half line.
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (NEW ORLEANS) - after 4 or more consecutive losses, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a losing team
(28-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (82.4%, +21.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (549) WASHINGTON vs. (550) BROOKLYN
Favoring: BROOKLYN on the first half line.
Play On - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (BROOKLYN) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game, second half of the season
(75-33 since 1996.) (69.4%, +38.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (551) PHOENIX vs. (552) DETROIT
Favoring: PHOENIX on the first half line.
Play On - Favorites vs. the 1rst half line (PHOENIX) - after being beaten by the spread by more than 30 points in their previous game, second half of the season
(75-33 since 1996.) (69.4%, +38.7 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Old Post 02-04-23 09:48 AM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (555) HOUSTON vs. (556) OKLAHOMA CITY
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 116 (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 36 or more points total in their last five games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season
(36-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.8%, +27.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-1 +2.9 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (555) HOUSTON vs. (556) OKLAHOMA CITY
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 116 (HOUSTON) - after going under the total by 42 or more points total in their last five games, a bad team, winning 25% to 40% of their games on the season
(25-4 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.2%, +20.6 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (549) WASHINGTON vs. (550) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 100 (WASHINGTON) - revenging 2 straight losses where opp scored 100 or more points, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days
(38-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.6%, +25.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (549) WASHINGTON vs. (550) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (WASHINGTON) - double revenge - 2 straight losses vs. opponent, extremely well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 7 days
(38-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.6%, +25.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Old Post 02-04-23 09:50 AM
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msudogs
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Posts: 65535

Dogs went 6-2 Friday and 7-1 ATS as Rockets (+7.5) covered in 117-111 loss vs. Raptors. The upsets were by the Suns (+10 at Celtics), Magic (+5 at Timberwolves), Blazers (+4.5 at Wizards), Pacers (+1.5 vs. Kings), Pistons (+1 vs. Hornets) and Hawks (+1 at Jazz). The 76ers (-10.5) were the only chalk to cover in a 137-125 win at Spurs. Road teams 6-2 SU and 5-3 ATS. Over/Unders split 4-4.

More NBA: On the season, faves still lead 502-278 SU with 11 games closing pick-'em, but dogs improved 397-363-20 ATS (52.2%). Home teams lead 472-319 SU and 404-369-19 ATS (52.3%). In totals wagering, Overs still lead 398-379-14 (51.2%).

Old Post 02-04-23 11:10 AM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (551) PHOENIX vs. (552) DETROIT
Favoring: PHOENIX against the spread.
DETROIT is 1-15 ATS (-15.5 Units) revenging a same season loss vs opponent this season.
The average score was DETROIT 111.4, OPPONENT 125.8 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (549) WASHINGTON vs. (550) BROOKLYN
Favoring: WASHINGTON against the spread.
BROOKLYN is 14-39 ATS (-28.9 Units) as a home favorite over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BROOKLYN 113.1, OPPONENT 111.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 02-04-23 03:36 PM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (565) ATLANTA vs. (566) DENVER
Favoring: Under on the total.
ATLANTA is 11-0 UNDER (+11 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive upset wins as a road underdog since 1996.
The average score was ATLANTA 88.4, OPPONENT 100.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (551) PHOENIX vs. (552) DETROIT
Favoring: Under on the total.
PHOENIX is 16-4 UNDER (+11.6 Units) in non-conference games this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 105.4, OPPONENT 108.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 02-04-23 03:36 PM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (557) MIAMI vs. (558) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: MILWAUKEE on the first half line.
MILWAUKEE is 15-3 (+11.7 Units) against the 1rst half line after playing 3 consecutive home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 60.8, OPPONENT 50.9 - (Rating = 2*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (557) MIAMI vs. (558) MILWAUKEE
Favoring: MIAMI on the first half line.
MIAMI is 25-10 (+14 Units) against the 1rst half line off a road loss over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 56.3, OPPONENT 51.7 - (Rating = 2*)

Old Post 02-04-23 03:38 PM
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Saturday, 02/04/2023 (551) PHOENIX vs. (552) DETROIT
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
PHOENIX is 24-6 UNDER (+17.4 Units) the 1rst half total after 1 or more consecutive unders this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 53.2, OPPONENT 52.6 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (549) WASHINGTON vs. (550) BROOKLYN
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
WASHINGTON is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total in road games after a non-conference game this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 55.5, OPPONENT 53 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (551) PHOENIX vs. (552) DETROIT
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
PHOENIX is 34-13 UNDER (+19.7 Units) the 1rst half total as a road favorite vs. the 1rst half line over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHOENIX 54.6, OPPONENT 52 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 02/04/2023 (551) PHOENIX vs. (552) DETROIT
Favoring: Under on the first half line.
PHOENIX is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) the 1rst half total as a favorite of 3.5 to 9.5 points vs. the first half line this season.
The average score was PHOENIX 53.5, OPPONENT 51.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 02-04-23 03:38 PM
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