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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

It's that time again.....NHL playoffs......The Lippsman split

Tried and true and very much copied on the net too.

Betcha' you didn't know I was a poet ?

I started this back in the days of Q-Link, before it was called AOL. Posted it back in 1986 when you accessed online with a dial up modem.

The whole goal is to win the first dog play in series. But if you don't get that first game then you play for the split on the 2nd one. I look for at least a +120 payback. There can be no injuries to any of your 1st liners. You win the first one you walk away. You lose the first then play the dog in the 2nd one. Don't chase....don't chase....don't chase.

This is for the first two games in the series only.

This reason it works well most seasons is that in the NHL as most playoffs, the teams play a much better D than usual. So a lower scoring game gives a boost to the dog. Also being just the first two games the teams don't usually take any chances and err on the side of caution.

Now there are variations that I do not reccomend but they are out there and well.....they have been know to turn a profit.

1. Chasing the first game on a loss.......I hate chasing and it's too much of a risk.

2. If the dog wins the first game you take the fave in the 2nd one. I will play this sometimes. But it's juiced more than -140. Which it usually is, then of couse I play the -1 line. You notice I didn't mention the regulation line. That's because there is just too much of a chance of OT in the playoffs. Don't play regulation lines. Play the -1.

You will notice this has a twinge of how I play the first few weeks of the season, by taking dogs of +120 or more. Don't forget that in pucks, home ice really doesn't mean squat. Use that to your advantage.

Old Post 04-15-14 01:49 PM
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Brutus5775
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 5365

Lippsman:..Any predictions from you ?…Detroit is playing well…Any chances that they come out in round one a winner…?

Also looking at Montreal in round one…I have them pretty even..Like the dog here…

I think Ana and Colo roll in the first round…Any thoughts




My Goal is to Make Money Not Gamble !!

Old Post 04-15-14 09:18 PM
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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
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A few I do like.

Pens -1.5 games -128
Hawks Pk
Rangers -152
Avs -128

You notice I didn't take the B's. I think the Wings are going to give them one hell of a run.

Old Post 04-16-14 01:31 AM
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lippsman
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

1st game picks

Jackets +168
Stars +154
Flyers +134
Hawks +120
Wild +124
Kings +123
Wings +181

If the Habs go up a bit more then they will be a play also.

Old Post 04-16-14 01:39 AM
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lemgreen
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Registered: Jun 2006
Posts: 2401

Here are my picks for the first

games:

Columbus +165
Philadelphia +133
Chicago -131
Colorado -141
Detroit +180
Habs +114
Anaheim -170
San Jose -140

Good luck

Lem

Old Post 04-16-14 04:43 AM
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usc1990
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6863

Here we go boys! Let the games begin! !

Anaheim (gm 1) -165 to win 2 units

Anaheim (series) -185 to win 4 units


I know the Ducks goalie situation is a little shaky, but these guys have been on a mission all year, and more importantly, the bitter taste of last year's playoff defeat to the Red Wings still lingers. The players still remember and want redemption, with Dallas their first victim.

Dallas has a lot of firepower, but they won't be able to hang with the Ducks for the whole series.

For those who like to chase, the over should hit a couple times.


Regular season record: 58-39 (+14.3)

Old Post 04-16-14 08:08 AM
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lemgreen
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Correction

I have St Louis -131, not Chicago

Regards,

Lem

Old Post 04-16-14 01:12 PM
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fulkgl
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Registered: Mar 2005
Posts: 2093

Dallas 154

Old Post 04-16-14 05:02 PM
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fulkgl
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Chi+100.

Old Post 04-17-14 04:54 PM
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lippsman
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Two teams leading in the 3rd and two teams losing in OT. That freaking stings.

Old Post 04-18-14 01:59 PM
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lippsman
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4-18-14

Wings +173
Stars ????

Old Post 04-18-14 02:00 PM
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lippsman
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Stars +151

Old Post 04-18-14 04:00 PM
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Bernie Lomaxxx


Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 648

Lippsman, what's the record for this the past few yrs?

Old Post 04-18-14 05:35 PM
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lippsman
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I don't have the exact record, but it has shown a profit. Although this year it started very badly.

Old Post 04-19-14 10:08 PM
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lippsman
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Hawks -115
Jackets +170
Wild +126

Old Post 04-19-14 10:09 PM
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fulkgl
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CMH PIT un5.5

Old Post 04-20-14 12:43 AM
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lippsman
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Well I thought the Jackets would be yet another OT loser but they come through. Two games left today and I will update the 1st round results. It has not been good.

Flyers +146
Kings +126

Old Post 04-20-14 04:01 PM
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lippsman
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Round 2

Habs +165

Old Post 05-01-14 02:52 PM
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lippsman
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Rangers +134
Wild +177

Old Post 05-01-14 11:36 PM
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lippsman
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Habs hit

Old Post 05-02-14 01:08 PM
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