what a save !

there is some nice reverse going on here & it should continue to move, getting it now

SOC [225233] SERBIA -102

WC
0-0-1

Draw closed +444 and received just 8% of tickets.

The 22% of Under (2.5) bettors are also thankful for Messi's saved PK.

Iceland definitely left it all out there and deserved that point

BetShare
World Cup PER/DEN

Spread
PER (-1.5) 61%
DEN (+1.5) 39%

ML
Peru 27%
Denmark 33%
Draw 40%

Tot (2 & 2.5)
Ov 55%
Un 45%

Great effort from Iceland and definetely wasent my top draw prospect for today.

3* Peru vs Denmark Draw +200

Denmark and Peru both with 3 draws in last 10 friendlys respectively.Peru has had cleansheets in 7 of last 10 with Denmark having 6! This looks like a tight tight game and excellent 0-0 or 1-1 prospect. GL

let's get the DRAW
GL

Nigeria +0.5
Nigeria BTS

Serbia ML
Serbia o2

Mex +1

Brazil -1.5

MEX+1
MEX UNDER 2.5+110
SERB UNDER 2

Serbia vs. Costa Rica (8 a.m. ET), Group E
Sharp money has come in on Serbia in this match, as they’ve moved from +102 to -116 despite receiving just 40% of tickets. Their opponents, Costa Rica (39% of bets), had success in the most recent World Cup, and public bettors feel comfortable betting them as big underdogs. Their odds just keep on rising, though, now up to +420 to pull off the upset.

Over/under bets are split 50/50 on a low total of 2 goals. There have been plenty of quality scoring chances so far during this World Cup, but teams just aren’t converting them.

Germany vs. Mexico (11 a.m. ET), Group F
Defending champions Germany (-203) will begin their quest for another trophy as big favorites against Mexico. Seventy-five percent of tickets have come in on the Germans to open with a victory, but there hasn’t been much line movement so far.

This is another popular over bet by the public, with nearly 85% of wagers. The juice has increased accordingly from -120 to -130.

Brazil vs. Switzerland (2 p.m. ET), Group E
Brazil opened -275 but has fallen to -230 around the market. It must be due to some respected money on Switzerland (+800) and the draw (+375), since 88% of the tickets have come in on Brazil to win. Here’s a look at the Switzerland moneyline and ticket percentage over the past month.

The juice on the over 2.5 has fluctuated a bit since opening but is now right around -120. Public bettors are having a hard time believing there won’t be goals, and more than 75% of tickets are on the over. Everyone knows about Brazil’s offensive weapons and don’t think the Swiss defense will be able to handle them.

Bet To Watch:
Serbia -116

Serbia and Costa Rica are two teams that have been a bit overlooked heading into this World Cup, but both have a chance to make some noise.

Costa Rica found incredible success in 2014, winning their group which consisted of Uruguay, England, and Italy and are poised to surprise people once again. They were decent in qualifying to get here but did finish second to Mexico in CONCACAF.

Serbia, on the other hand, did not qualify for the World Cup in 2014 and also failed to reach Euro 2016, but have a talented roster hungry to make a statement. Their strength is goal scoring although the total for this matchup is just two goals.
Despite the low total, 56% of public bets have actually taken the under. The juice on under two goals has moved from +101 to -106.

As for the moneyline, bettors believe Costa Rica will pull off the upset at +422 odds, so they’re certainly a trendy underdog. It’s hard to blame bettors, especially after seeing teams like Australia and Iceland play top teams close.

It appears the sharper and bigger money is on Serbia, though, as their odds to win have moved from +102 to -116. The draw is a tempting bet to make at +244, especially with such a low total involved. Still, Serbia should have enough firepower to get all three points.

Ticket Breakdown

52% on SER (-120)
32% on CRC (+440)
16% on Draw (+240)

Bet to Watch:
Under 2.75* goals -112 (Bookmaker)

The German national team is a well-oiled machine at this point. Die Mannschaft have reached the semifinals in every tournament since 2002, culminating with a title in 2014.

Mexico is also a model of consistency, but in a different way. El Tri have progressed from the group stage in every World Cup since 1986 but have been eliminated in the round of 16 in the past six tournaments (1994-2014). However, this isn’t your father’s Mexican team. In fact, this team is different from any squad at the World Cup.

Manager Juan Carlos Osorio has turned them into a chameleon squad, able to adapt to any opponent. I’d expect Osorio to set up a compact midfield and try to make life difficult on Toni Kroos, Sami Khedira and Mesut Ozil (who may not start due to an injury).

Interestingly, this adapt-to-your-opponents tactic is one that Germany has perfected under manager Joachim Low. If Mexico shut down the center of the pitch, the Germans will adjust and start using the flanks to spread El Tri thin. Germany have talent all over the place, so it’s not like shutting down Kroos and Khedira would stop them from going forward.

Mexico will fancy their chances against Sweden and South Korea, so a loss to Germany isn’t a deal-breaker, but they’ll want to hang in the game to avoid a blowout and maybe, just maybe, squeak out a draw. And while that’s a tall task, it’s not out of the question, especially since Germany haven’t looked all that sharp in their pre-tournament friendlies.

Additionally, if there’s a time you want to play Germany, it’s in Game 1. Even though the Germans are well-drilled, they will likely get better as the tournament progresses.

I’m expecting this game to be pretty tight and believe Mexico will ugly it up to — at the very least — keep their goal differential in order. Germany should figure out El Tri eventually, but I don’t think they’ll find this one easy, and I think there’s value on the under.

Live Odds:
SRB +120
CRC +490
Draw +152

75% on GER (-228)
16% on MEX (+758)
9% on Draw (+380)

dodged a bullet in ET

SOC [225233] SERBIA -102........W

WC
1-0-1 +1.00

big movement in the GER/MEX total