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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 12050

NFL 12/9

First posted Total play this season:

Dallas/CINCY Under 46 for 2 units

-> 0-8 O/U: All road teams (Dallas) off 3 straight ATS home losses when the OU line is < 47.

-> 1-10 O/U since 2001: All non-division HF (CINCY) of < 12 who have allowed 13 or < in EACH of their L4 games.

=> 1-15 O/U L5Y: All AFC HF > 3 off a SU win vs an NFC opp off a SU win with O/U line > 41.


YTD 2-3 -1.5 units

Old Post 12-09-12 08:52 AM
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RDTrains
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Posts: 12050

Adding MNF Special

DISCLAIMER: This isn't a homer pick because I can just as easily bet against the Texans if I fell the situation warrants.

Houston +4 for 3 units

I know Tom Teriffic & the Pats have a fantastic home record in December. But, their OL had issues allowing 4 sacks at Miami last week. Pats have run up some big points lately against teams with weak defenses and/or TO problems. Texans, with JJ sWatt (15 1/2 sacks) and only 12 giveaways all season, fit neither category. Houston has covered L6 as Dogs and M. Shaub is an unreal 18-4 ATS when he starts.

On the injury front, Pats J. Edelman joins Rob Gronkowski on the sidelines with season ending foot injury. Texas get back their best corner Joseph and also ILB Bradie James.

From the Texans Website:
“It’s really big,” Kubiak said. “The biggest thing is his (Joseph's) confidence coming back. He felt good on Thursday, he’s even better yesterday and today even better. We were fortunate to get him the rest last week, and I think not taking those guys on the trip, as hard as that is as a coach – you want all your guys there with their teammates – we just knew that it would do them a lot of good to stay home. We just put them through the ringer from a rehab standpoint. Kap (Texans head athletic trainer Geoff Kaplan) has done a good job of getting these guys back on the field.”

James, a 10th-year veteran, is tied for third on the team with 55 tackles. His return gives the Texans strong depth at inside linebacker with the recent strong play of Tim Dobbins, Darryl Sharpton and Barrett Ruud.

“He’s very important to the team,” Kubiak said. “He’s a leader on our football team. He’s kind of a rock. He’s a class act and very successful in this business. He’s helped Sharp, he’s helped Dobbins, and the fact that he gets back in the mix frees some guys up for special teams and makes us just more solid. We went to the game last week with seven linebackers, so you’re sitting there hanging on. We’ll be back to full strength from that standpoint.”

Old Post 12-09-12 09:33 AM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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heck i'll play it with you here, never seen an under i didn't like, let's do it
GL

Old Post 12-09-12 03:35 PM
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Tots_McGee
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Registered: Feb 2010
Posts: 3074

GL today RD. Like seeing that Texans selection




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Old Post 12-09-12 05:46 PM
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cisco
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I'll bite. :)

Old Post 12-09-12 06:02 PM
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RDTrains
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Posts: 12050

Adding ...

Dallas +3' -115 risk 3 units

Old Post 12-09-12 06:18 PM
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doubled1511
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Registered: Sep 2011
Posts: 3891

looks sloppy in cin
gl

Old Post 12-09-12 06:26 PM
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IrishMule
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7187

GL RD

Will play the under with ya.




Let us be thankful for the fools. But for them, the rest of us could not succeed.
Mark Twain

''Life's tough ........it's even tougher if you're stupid...''
-- John Wayne

"Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
Benjamin Franklin

'Life isn't about
how to survive the storm.....But how to dance in the
rain.'
TheMule

Old Post 12-09-12 06:27 PM
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RDTrains
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Posts: 12050

2 more early games...

Philly/TB Under 48 risk 2 units
BUFF -3 -120 for 2 units


Summary:
Dallas/CINCY Under 46 for 2 units
Houston +4 for 3 units (MNF)
Dallas +3' -115 risk 3 units
Philly/TB Under 48 risk 2 units
BUFF -3 -120 for 2 units

Old Post 12-09-12 06:57 PM
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RDTrains
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Posts: 12050

3-1 +4.6 units

Dallas/CINCY Under 46 => Winner
Houston +4 for 3 units (MNF)
Dallas +3' -115 => Winner
Philly/TB Under 48 => Winner
BUFF -3 -120 => Lost

YTD 5-4 +3.1 units

May have something for SNF.

Old Post 12-09-12 11:39 PM
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mikeb104
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Registered: Sep 2006
Posts: 7733

I tailed you on the cowgirls and the under.

Thanks, it helped my account out.

Looking forward to the Bowls coming up




"Not everything you read on the internet is accurate"- Abraham Lincoln

Old Post 12-10-12 01:13 AM
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RDTrains
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Posts: 12050

Nitecap

Detroit +6' risk 2 units

Old Post 12-10-12 02:20 AM
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RDTrains
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Adding ...

Hou/NE Under 51' for 2 units

O/U record for NFL Primetime night games this season: 14-28.

O/U record for games this season where the total closes at 50 or >: 10-16.

O/U record for NFL Primetime night games this season where the total closes at 50 or >: 1-7.

Old Post 12-10-12 10:37 PM
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RDTrains
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Posts: 12050

Update

Houston +4 => Lost
Detroit +6' => Lost
Hou/NE Under 51' => Lost

YTD 5-7 -4.6 units

Old Post 12-11-12 05:20 PM
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