Saturday, 07/20/2019 (923) KANSAS CITY vs. (924) CLEVELAND
Favoring: CLEVELAND on the money line.
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -175 to -250 (CLEVELAND) - average offensive team (4.4 to 4.9 runs/game) against an average starter (ERA=4.70 to 5.70)-AL, with a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities
(72-14 since 1997.) (83.7%, +45.3 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2 units).

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (919) BOSTON vs. (920) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (BALTIMORE) - allowing 5.9 or more runs/game on the season (AL) against opponent starting a pitcher who did not walk a hitter last outing
(34-22 since 1997.) (60.7%, +31.3 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-4 +1.3 units).

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (915) CHI WHITE SOX vs. (916) TAMPA BAY
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the run line.
Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a starting pitcher whose winning percentage is better than 70%, with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (AL)
(33-10 since 1997.) (76.7%, +28 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (1-0 +1 units).

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (917) TORONTO vs. (918) DETROIT
Favoring: DETROIT on the run line.
Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (DETROIT) - terrible team, winning 38% or less of their games on the season, in July games
(49-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.1%, +33.4 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (8-1 +7.2 units).

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (919) BOSTON vs. (920) BALTIMORE
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Home teams (BALTIMORE) - revenging 5 or more straight losses vs opponent in last 2 years, starting a pitcher who walked <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings
(51-19 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.9%, +30.9 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-3 -0.4 units).

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (919) BOSTON vs. (920) BALTIMORE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 11 or higher (BOSTON) - very good AL offensive team (>=5.4 runs/game) against a team with a below avg. bullpen (ERA>=4.50), with a cold starting pitcher- ERA >= 7.00 over his last 5 starts
(47-19 since 1997.) (71.2%, +27.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Padres (46-51) @ Cubs (53-44)
Lucchesi is 1-0, 4.57 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 9-9
5-inning record: 11-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-18 Over/under: 8-8-2

Quintana is 3-0, 2.84 in his last three starts; he is 1-0, 2.77 in two starts vs SD. Team in his starts: 10-8
5-inning record: 9-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-18 Over/under: 10-8

Padres lost six of their last seven games; under is 8-3 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-4 last 11 games.

Chicago won six of its last seven games; under is 6-3 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 11-4-1 last 16 games.

Phillies (51-47) @ Pirates (45-51)
Eflin is 0-2, 10.20 in his last three starts; he threw a shutout in his only start vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 7-11
5-inning record: 7-10-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-18 Over/under: over 4-0 last four

Williams is 1-2, 8.34 in his last four starts; he is 0-2, 6.43 in three starts vs Philly. Team in his starts: 8-5
5-inning record: 3-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-13 Over/under: over 3-1 last four

Phillies won three of last four games; over is 3-2 in their last five games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 3-2 last five games.

Pirates lost six of last seven games; over is 7-2 in their last nine home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 last six games.

Cardinals (50-46) @ Reds (43-52)
Mikolas is 2-2, 2.70 in his last five starts; he is 0-1, 7.20 in two starts vs Cincy this year. Team in his starts: 10-9
5-inning record: 5-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-19 Over/under: 8-10-1

Castillo is 2-0, 1.98 in his last two starts; he is 2-3, 3.35 in seven starts vs StL. Team in his starts: 10-9
5-inning record: 12-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 4-19 Over/under: under 6-1 last seven

Cardinals won six of last seven games; over is 10-3 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 5-2 last seven games.

Reds lost eight of last ten games; under is 4-3 in their last seven home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-3-2 last 15 games.

Red Sox (53-45) @ Orioles (30-66)
Porcello is 2-1, 10.50 in his last four starts; he is 3-5, 4.38 in 10 starts in Baltimore. Team in his starts: 11-8
5-inning record: 11-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-19 Over/under: 12-7

Eshelman is 0-1, 5.06 in two starts. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 0-1-1

Red Sox won three of last five games; over is 8-1-1 in their last ten road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 7-3 last nine road games.

Baltimore lost five of last eight games; over is 13-4 in their last 17 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1 last seven games.

Rockies (46-51) @ New York (63-33)
Senzatela is 2-1, 9.43 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 10-7
5-inning record: 8-7-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-17 Over/under: over 3-1 last four

Tanaka is 2-0, 4.50 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: won last six
5-inning record: 11-5-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-19 Over/under: 8-8-3

Rockies lost 12 of last 14 games; under is 6-1 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-4 last 13 road games.

New York won six of last eight games; under is 8-1-1 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 13-1-1 last 15 games.

SD-Chi: Last five Rackley games went over.
NY-SF: Under is 9-4 in last 13 O’Nora games.
Phil-Pitt: Five of last seven Randazzo games stayed under.
StL-Cin: Four of last five Hernandez games went over.
Wsh-Atl: Over is 4-1-1 in last six Winters games.
Mil-Az: Under is 8-4-1 in first 5 innings of last 13 Gonzalez games.
Mia-LA: Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Scheurwater games.

Chi-TB: Seven of last eight Culbreth games went over.
Tor-Det: Under is 6-1 in first 5 innings of last seven Cuzzi games.
Bos-Balt: Under is 7-1 in first 5 innings of last eight Hallion games.
A’s-Min: Underdogs are 5-3 in last eight Johnson games.
KC-Clev: Seven of last pine Blakney games stayed under.
Tex-Hst: Five of last six LBarrett games stayed under.
LAA-Sea: Four of last five Baker games went over.

Col-NYY: Over is 7-2 in first 5 innings in last nine Conroy games.

Mets (44-53) @ Giants (49-49)
Lockett is 0-1, 12.28 in two starts. Team in his starts: 0-2
5-inning record: 1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0

Samardzija is 3-0, 1.66 in his last three starts; he is 0-5, 7.32 in 11 games (5 starts) vs NY. Team in his starts: 10-9
5-inning record: 6-7-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-19 Over/under: 12-7

New York won four of its last six games, but lost last two nights in extra innings; six of their last ten games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-6 last 15 road games.

Giants won 14 of their last 16 games; over is 11-5 in their last 16 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-2 last ten games.

White Sox (43-51) @ Rays (56-44)
Giolito is 1-3, 6.48 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 1.29 in two starts vs TB. Team in his starts: 12-6
5-inning record: 6-10-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-18 Over/under: 7-11-1

Snell is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts; he is 3-0, 1.07 in five starts vs Chicago. Team in his starts: 10-9
5-inning record: 7-9-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-19 Over/under: over 4-1-1 last six

White Sox are 1-7 since All-Star Game; over is 5-2 in their last seven games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-3 last nine games.

Tampa Bay lost last four games; under is 3-2-1 in their last six games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight games.

A’s (56-42) @ Twins (59-37)
BAnderson is 2-0, 1.74 in his last three starts; he is 3-3, 3.83 in nine games (7 starts) vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 14-5
5-inning record: 11-6-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-19 Over/under: under 7-2 last nine

Berrios is 0-3, 4.18 in his last five starts; he is 0-2, 6.32 in three starts vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 12-7
5-inning record: 9-5-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-19 Over/under: under 4-0-1 last five.

Oakland won nine of last 11 games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-1 last seven games.

Minnesota lost four of its last five games; under is 7-1 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-0 last nine games.

Rangers (50-47) @ Astros (62-37)
Jurado is 1-3, 7.62 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 4-6
5-inning record: 4-6 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-10 Over/under: 4-6

Urquidy is 0-0, 10.50 in two starts. Team in his starts: 2-0, scored 9-11 runs
5-inning record: 0-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-2 Over/under: 2-0

Rangers are 3-11 in their last 14 games; over is 8-2 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-2 last six games.

Houston won seven of last ten games; six of their last ten games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-1 last nine games.

Best F5 OVER Bets
Team Profit Record
Pirates +$1822.6 58-35-2 (62.4%)
Mariners +$1606.32 59-38-2 (60.8%)
Rangers +$987.76 54-39-3 (58.1%)
Giants +$782.75 50-39-8 (56.2%)
Blue Jays +$629.52 53-42-3 (55.8%)
Mets +$540.44 51-42-3 (54.8%)
Twins +$298.9 49-43-3 (53.3%)
Rockies +$153.16 50-44-2 (53.2%)
Angels +$147.26 49-43-6 (53.3%)

Best F5 UNDER Bets
Team Profit Record
Reds +$1330.84 33-52-9 (61.2%)
Rays +$794.09 39-53-7 (57.6%)
Athletics +$499.77 41-50-6 (54.9%)
Nationals +$443.95 41-51-3 (55.4%)
Indians +$366.83 39-49-7 (55.7%)
Tigers +$354.85 40-47-5 (54.0%)
Marlins +$269.9 40-49-5 (55.1%)

Most Profitable F5 Pitchers
Pitcher Profit Five Inning Record
Andrew Cashner +$954.09 10-5-3 (66.7%)
Ryne Stanek +$625.09 18-6-3 (75.0%)
Jake Odorizzi +$614.96 12-4-2 (75.0%)
Mike Minor +$571.12 11-4-4 (73.3%)
Hyun-Jin Ryu +$545.28 14-3-1 (82.4%)
Masahiro Tanaka +$519.48 12-4-3 (75.0%)
Lucas Giolito +$506.05 11-5-2 (68.8%)
Eduardo Rodriguez +$490.49 14-5-1 (73.7%)
Aaron Nola +$490.29 12-3-6 (80.0%)
Brett Anderson +$450.43 11-6-2 (64.7%)

Least Profitable F5 Pitchers
Pitcher Profit Five Inning Record
Aaron Sanchez -$1107.92 5-16 (23.8%)
David Hess -$970.0 1-11-1 (8.3%)
Tyler Mahle -$786.26 4-13-1 (23.5%)
Drew Pomeranz -$779.0 3-11-3 (21.4%)
Jose Urena -$776.0 2-11 (15.4%)
Jhoulys Chacin -$761.71 3-10-4 (23.1%)
Chris Sale -$761.52 6-10-4 (37.5%)
Miles Mikolas -$711.87 5-11-3 (31.3%)
Yonny Chirinos -$511.39 5-9 (35.7%)
Matt Strahm -$477.95 4-9-2 (30.8%)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (903) NY METS vs. (904) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-2 (+16.1 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 7.3, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 6*)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (903) NY METS vs. (904) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 (+15.2 Units) against the money line vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 7.2, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (903) NY METS vs. (904) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 15-3 (+17.3 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams scoring 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 6.9, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (903) NY METS vs. (904) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 (+15.2 Units) against the money line vs. NL teams allowing 4.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 7.2, OPPONENT 3.7 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (929) COLORADO vs. (930) NY YANKEES
Favoring: NY YANKEES against the spread.
COLORADO is 0-13 (-14.8 Units) against the run line in July games this season.
The average score was COLORADO 4.2, OPPONENT 8.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (929) COLORADO vs. (930) NY YANKEES
Favoring: NY YANKEES against the spread.
COLORADO is 0-13 (-14.8 Units) against the run line in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was COLORADO 4.2, OPPONENT 8.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (911) MILWAUKEE vs. (912) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA against the spread.
ARIZONA is 32-13 (+19.7 Units) against the run line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 5.5, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (919) BOSTON vs. (920) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BOSTON against the spread.
BOSTON is 12-1 (+11.5 Units) against the run line on the road when the total is 10 or higher this season.
The average score was BOSTON 8.1, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (929) COLORADO vs. (930) NY YANKEES
Favoring: Under on the total.
COLORADO is 10-0 UNDER (+10 Units) after 4 or more consecutive losses this season.
The average score was COLORADO 2.3, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 07/20/2019 (927) LA ANGELS vs. (928) SEATTLE
Favoring: Over on the total.
SEATTLE is 27-8 OVER (+18.5 Units) after a win this season.
The average score was SEATTLE 5.6, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 4*)