As for the Twins and Yankees matchup, I’m going to give you two quick stat profiles, and you can decide which pitcher you’d want to support:

Pitcher A: 4.10 ERA, 3.80 FIP, 4.34 xFIP, 4.73 SIERA, .290 xwOBA
Pitcher B: 4.06 ERA, 5.29 FIP, 4.77 xFIP, 4.62 SIERA, .312 xwOBA
Pitcher A, pretty clearly, right? Well, Pitcher A is Martin Perez, and Pitcher B is C.C. Sabathia.

I should add the fact that Perez has a 10.5% swinging-strike rate, 3.2% above his career average while allowing an average exit velocity below 85 mph – in the top 3% amongst all pitchers.

Sabathia ranked in the top 1-2% in average exit velocity allowed from 2016-2018 (around 84.5 mph), but he’s allowing an exit velocity of 86.5 mph in 2019.

The Twins have smashed lefties all season long, ranking behind only the Astros with a 123 wRC+; while the Yankees have an 88 wRC+ against southpaws.

Tampa Bay is one of the most profitable home underdogs, generating a return on investment of 10.3% (180-186, 49.2%, +$3,784) going back to 2005.

thanks for the help

Thx man!

Kansas City Royals at Atlanta Braves
Danny Duffy (4-5, 4.52 ERA) vs. Dallas Keuchel (3-3, 3.58 ERA)

Royals Moneyline: +200
Braves Moneyline: -220
Over/Under: 9.5
First pitch: 7:20 p.m. ET
An interleague game in Atlanta will have the Kansas City Royals scrambling in the lineup. The combination of Jorge Soler, Hunter Dozier and Whit Merrifield has been the constant rotation at the DH spot. Without the designated hitter in play, Kansas City will be down a stick for the series against the Braves. The Royals have been a lifeless offense against lefties since May 1st, and with Dallas Keuchel on the mound, tonight should be no different.

Since May 1st, Kansas City is 27th in wRC+ and wOBA against southpaws. A top-10 BABIP illustrates regression is on the way for the Royals. Conversely, the Braves haven’t been that stellar against left-handers in the same time frame. Atlanta is 24th in wRC+ and 20th in wOBA against southpaws as Danny Duffy takes the hill tonight. Look for both offenses to struggle tonight.