Sunday, 07/21/2019 (975) TEXAS vs. (976) HOUSTON
Favoring: TEXAS on the money line.
Play Against - Any team (HOUSTON) - average hitting team (AVG = .265 to .279) against a good starting pitcher (ERA <=4.20) -AL, with an on base percentage of .360 or better over their last 15 games
(45-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.8%, +35.7 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-5 +2.8 units).
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (969) CHI WHITE SOX vs. (970) TAMPA BAY
Favoring: TAMPA BAY on the money line.
Play On - All favorites with a money line of -150 or more (TAMPA BAY) - cold hitting team - batting .190 or worse over their last 3 games, starting a pitcher who gave up <=1 earned runs in his last 2 outings
(50-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.7%, +38 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3 units).
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (973) OAKLAND vs. (974) MINNESOTA
Favoring: MINNESOTA on the run line.
Play On - All favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 to +160) (MINNESOTA) - good offensive team (>=5.1 runs/game) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA<=3.50) (AL), with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
(49-20 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.0%, +39.3 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (12-3 +12 units).
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (965) BOSTON vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the run line.
Play Against - Road favorites against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+115 or higher) (BOSTON) - after having won 3 of their last 4 games, in July games
(56-25 since 1997.) (69.1%, +43.8 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-3 +1.8 units).
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (965) BOSTON vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 11 or higher (BALTIMORE) - with a team on base percentage .320 or worse on the season (AL), after allowing 10 runs or more
(37-12 since 1997.) (75.5%, +24.2 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 +1.9 units).
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (965) BOSTON vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 11 or higher (BALTIMORE) - allowing 5.4 or more runs/game on the season (AL), after a combined score of 17 runs or more
(122-65 since 1997.) (65.2%, +50.8 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (3-0 +3 units).
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (959) NY METS vs. (960) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 7.1, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 4*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (959) NY METS vs. (960) SAN FRANCISCO
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO on the money line.
SAN FRANCISCO is 13-3 (+14.6 Units) against the money line in July games this season.
The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 7.1, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 4*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (967) TORONTO vs. (968) DETROIT
Favoring: TORONTO against the spread.
DETROIT is 1-14 (-14.8 Units) against the run line as a home underdog when the run line price is -130 to +110 this season.
The average score was DETROIT 2, OPPONENT 8 - (Rating = 5*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (979) COLORADO vs. (980) NY YANKEES
Favoring: NY YANKEES against the spread.
COLORADO is 0-14 (-15.8 Units) against the run line in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was COLORADO 4.2, OPPONENT 8.4 - (Rating = 5*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (979) COLORADO vs. (980) NY YANKEES
Favoring: NY YANKEES against the spread.
COLORADO is 0-14 (-15.8 Units) against the run line in July games this season.
The average score was COLORADO 4.2, OPPONENT 8.4 - (Rating = 5*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (979) COLORADO vs. (980) NY YANKEES
Favoring: NY YANKEES against the spread.
NY YANKEES are 27-9 (+21 Units) against the run line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.
The average score was NY YANKEES 5.7, OPPONENT 3.8 - (Rating = 4*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (965) BOSTON vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: Over on the total.
BOSTON is 42-21 OVER (+18.9 Units) vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
The average score was BOSTON 6.4, OPPONENT 4.9 - (Rating = 3*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (965) BOSTON vs. (966) BALTIMORE
Favoring: Over on the total.
BALTIMORE is 16-4 OVER (+11.6 Units) as a home underdog of +150 to +200 this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.2, OPPONENT 7.6 - (Rating = 3*)
Padres (46-52) @ Cubs (54-44)
Morejon is making his MLB debut; he was 0-4, 4.25 in 16 AA starts (only 36 IP) so he is likely an opener here. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0
Hendricks is 0-3, 5.71 in his last four starts; he is 5-1, 3.04 in eight starts vs SD. Team in his starts: 8-9
5-inning record: 10-7 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-17 Over/under: under 6-0-1 last seven
Padres lost seven of their last eight games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-5 last 12 games.
Chicago won seven of its last eight games; under is 6-4 in their last ten games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 12-4-1 last 17 games.
Phillies (51-48) @ Pirates (46-51)
Velasquez is 0-1, 5.68 in his last four starts; he is 0-1, 7.15 in two starts vs Pittsburgh. Team in his starts: 5-6
5-inning record: 3-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-11 Over/under: over 3-1-1 last five
Williams is 1-2, 8.34 in his last four starts; he is 0-2, 6.43 in three starts vs Philly. Team in his starts: 8-5
5-inning record: 3-7-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 3-13 Over/under: over 3-1 last four
Phillies won three of last five games; under is 3-1 in their last four games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-3 last ten games.
Pirates lost six of last eight games; over is 7-3 in their last ten home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 4-3 last seven games.
Nationals (52-45) @ Braves (59-41)
Voth is 1-0, 4.35 in four starts. Team in his starts: 1-3
5-inning record: 1-2-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-4 Over/under: 2-2
Gausman is making his first start since June 10; he is 0-2, 10.62 in his last five starts, is 4-2, 6.31 in seven starts vs Washington. Team in his starts: 7-6
5-inning record: 5-7-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-13 Over/under: 10-3
Nationals are 15-5 in last 20 games; eight of their last ten games stayed under. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 14-1 last 15 games.
Braves won eight of their last 13 home games; under is 8-3-1 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-2 last ten games.
Mets (45-53) @ Giants (49-50)
Matz is 0-2, 9.60 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 1.50 in three starts vs SF. Team in his starts: 9-8
5-inning record: 6-7-4 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-17 Over/under: under 3-1 last four
Pomeranz is 0-3, 5.40 in his last five starts; he is 1-0, 2.25 in four games (2 starts) vs NY. Team in his starts: 7-10
5-inning record: 3-11-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 7-17 Over/under: under 5-2 last seven
New York won five of its last seven games; seven of their last 11 games went over. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 10-6 last 16 road games.
Giants won 14 of their last 17 games; over is 12-5 in their last 17 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-3 last 11 games.
Red Sox (54-45) @ Orioles (30-67)
Cashner pitches against his old team here; he is 3-1, 3.24 in his last four starts; he is 1-1, 2.14 in three starts vs Baltimore. Team in his starts: 0-1 with Boston
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-18 Over/under: 11-6-1
Wojociechowski is 0-3, 6.00 in three starts. Team in his starts: 0-3
5-inning record: 0-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-3 Over/under: 0-2-1
Red Sox won four of last six games; over is 9-1-1 in their last 11 road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 8-3 last 11 road games.
Baltimore lost six of last nine games; over is 14-4 in their last 18 home games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 6-2 last eight games.
Blue Jays (38-62) @ Tigers (29-65)
Waguespack is 1-0, 6.52 in two games. Team in his starts: 1-0
5-inning record: 0-0-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0
Alexander allowed two runs in five IP in his first ’19 start. Team in his starts: 0-1
5-inning record: 1-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 1-1 Over/under: 1-0
Blue Jays are 5-8 in last 13 games; under is 8-4 in their last 12 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 8-3-1 last 12 games.
Detroit lost 11 of last 12 games; over is 11-3-1 in their last 15 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 6-2-1 last nine games.
Royals (37-63) @ Indians (56-41)
Sparkman is 2-2, 5.28 in his last five starts. Team in his starts: 4-6
5-inning record: 4-5-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-10 Over/under: 6-4
Plesac is 0-1, 9.64 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 6-3
5-inning record: 3-4-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-3 Over/under: over 4-1 last five
Royals won seven of last nine games; over is 6-3 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-4 last 14 games.
Cleveland won 12 of its last 15 games; under is 6-3-2 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-5-1 last 15 games.
A’s (56-42) @ Twins (59-37)
Mengden is 4-0, 3.38 in his last four starts; he is 1-0, 7.94 in one start vs Minnesota. Team in his starts: 6-1
5-inning record: 5-1-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 2-7 Over/under: over last three
Pineda is 2-1, 2.50 in his last three starts; he is 4-1, 2.75 in six starts vs Oakland. Team in his starts: 10-8
5-inning record: 8-9-1 Allowed run in 1st inning: 5-18 Over/under: 10-7-1
Oakland won 10 of last 12 games; under is 9-4 in their last 13 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 7-1 last eight games.
Minnesota lost five of its last six games; under is 8-1 in their last nine games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 10-0 last ten games
Angels (51-49) @ Mariners (40-61)
Bullpen game. Team in his starts: 0-0
5-inning record: 0-0 Allowed run in 1st inning: 0-0 Over/under: 0-0
Kikuchi is 0-1, 6.19 in his last three starts; he is 1-2, 11.49 in four starts vs LAA this season. Team in his starts: 8-11
5-inning record: 9-8-3 Allowed run in 1st inning: 8-19 Over/under: 14-5
Angels lost three of their last four games; over is 5-3-1 in their last nine road games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: over 9-1 last ten games.
Seattle lost seven of its last eight games; over is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 4-1 last five games.
Rockies (46-52) @ New York (64-33)
Marquez is 0-2, 12.89 in his last three starts. Team in his starts: 13-8
5-inning record: 8-8-5 Allowed run in 1st inning: 6-21 Over/under: over 7-2-1 last ten
Paxton is 0-1, 4.43 in his last four starts. Team in his starts: 9-7
5-inning record: 9-5-2 Allowed run in 1st inning: 9-16 Over/under: under 3-1-1 last five
Rockies lost 13 of last 15 games; under is 6-2 in their last eight games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 9-5 last 14 road games.
New York won seven of last nine games; under is 8-2-1 in their last 11 games. Over/under 1st 5 innings: under 13-2-1 last 16 games.
SD-Chi: Three of last four Whitson games stayed under.
NY-SF: Over is 8-3 in last 11 Ripperger games.
Phil-Pitt: Over is 3-1-1 in last five May games.
StL-Cin: Over is 6-0-1 in last seven Hickox games.
Wsh-Atl: Under is 11-7 in Drake games.
Mil-Az: Under is 6-2 in first 5 innings of last eight Wolf games.
Mia-LA: Four of last five Wegner games stayed under.
Chi-TB: Five of last seven Reyburn games stayed under.
Tor-Det: Over is 4-1 in first 5 innings in Brandon Miller games.
Bos-Balt: Over is 4-1-1 in last six Libka games.
A’s-Min: Four of last six Addison games went over.
KC-Clev: Last five Fairchild games stayed under.
Tex-Hst: Six of last seven Guccione games stayed under.
LAA-Sea: Over is 7-2-1 in last ten Hudson games.
Col-NYY: Four of last five Visconti gams stayed under.
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (963) MILWAUKEE vs. (964) ARIZONA
Favoring: MILWAUKEE against the spread.
BRANDON WOODRUFF is 15-4 (+14 Units) against the run line in all games this season.
The average score was WOODRUFF 6.3, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 3*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (963) MILWAUKEE vs. (964) ARIZONA
Favoring: MILWAUKEE against the spread.
BRANDON WOODRUFF is 11-2 (+12 Units) against the run line when the total is 8.5 to 10 this season.
The average score was WOODRUFF 7.1, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 3*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (957) SAN DIEGO vs. (958) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: Under on the total.
KYLE HENDRICKS is 21-5 UNDER (+15.9 Units) as a favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HENDRICKS 4.2, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 3*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (975) TEXAS vs. (976) HOUSTON
Favoring: Under on the total.
LANCE LYNN is 27-7 UNDER (+19.6 Units) in July games since 1997.
The average score was LYNN 3.9, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 3*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (977) LA ANGELS vs. (978) SEATTLE
Favoring: Over on the total.
YUSEI KIKUCHI is 9-0 OVER (+9 Units) when the money line is +125 to -125 this season.
The average score was KIKUCHI 5.2, OPPONENT 7 - (Rating = 3*)
Sunday, 07/21/2019 (957) SAN DIEGO vs. (958) CHICAGO CUBS
Favoring: Under on the total.
KYLE HENDRICKS is 16-4 UNDER (+11.9 Units) as a home favorite of -150 or more over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HENDRICKS 4.3, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 2*)