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CNOTES
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Playoff Record:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/15/12 2-_0-_0 100.00% +_1000 Detail
10/14/12 4-_0-_0 100.00% +_2225 Detail
10/13/12 0-_2-_0 0.00% -_1225 Detail
10/12/12 2-_0-_0 100.00% +_1110 Detail
10/11/12 5-_3-_0 62.50% +_1220 Detail
10/10/12 5-_0-_1 100.00% +_2520 Detail
10/09/12 2-_2-_0 50.00% -_240 Detail
10/08/12 2-_0-_0 100.00% +_1110 Detail
10/07/12 4-_4-_0 50.00% +_55 Detail
10/06/12 1-_3-_0 25.00% -_1150 Detail
10/05/12 3-_1-_0 75.00% +_1610 Detail

Total: 30-15-0 66.66% +8265


Tuesday, October 16

Game Score Status Pick Amount

NY Yankees - 8:00 PM ET NY Yankees +169 500

Detroit - Under 7 500


Good Luck All !!




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-17-12 01:28 AM
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NLCS betting preview: Giants at Cardinals

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals (-122, 7)

Series tied 1-1.

The San Francisco Giants evened the National League Championship Series against the St. Louis Cardinals at one game apiece Monday, with the tone of the series changing dramatically after Matt Holliday’s hard slide into second baseman Marco Scutaro in the first inning. Scutaro stayed in the game and hit a bases-clearing single in the fourth inning before leaving in the fifth for X-rays on his left hip, which were negative. The aggressive slide appeared to ignite the Giants, who went on to snap a three-game postseason home losing streak with the 7-1 victory. If Scutaro is forced to miss any time, former Cardinals infielder Ryan Theriot would start at second base. Theriot is 12-for-22 lifetime against Kyle Lohse, St. Louis’ Game 3 starter.

The Cardinals are looking for more consistency as they head back to St. Louis. They’ve had only 11 hits in three playoff losses while scoring 41 runs in their five wins. Right fielder Carlos Beltran hit two doubles in three at-bats Monday for his 13th career multihit postseason game, and he is 12-for-29 (.414) this postseason. Holliday appeared rattled after his slide in the first inning, going hitless in his next three at-bats and committing a critical error in the fourth. The Cardinals’ bullpen has been outstanding during the playoffs, but has worked 34 innings in eight games. Ryan Vogelsong gave the Giants’ bullpen some much-needed rest when he tossed seven strong innings in Game 2.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, Fox

WEATHER: Thunderstorms are in the forecast with a 78 percent chance of rain. Winds are expected to blow SW at 13 mph and temperatures will fall into the low 60s.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants RH Matt Cain (1-1, 5.06 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Kyle Lohse (1-0, 2.13)

Cain is seeking his first quality outing of the postseason after failing to escape the sixth inning in his previous two starts. He is 2-3 with a 4.94 ERA in eight career starts against the Cardinals, including 1-1 with a 6.94 ERA in two outings this season. Holliday is 8-for-40 with 10 strikeouts against Cain, who will be pitching on five days’ rest. When starting on five days' rest this season, Cain lost only once in 12 outings while posting a 2.42 ERA.

Lohse has allowed two runs on eight hits over 12 2/3 innings in two starts this postseason, including Game 4 of the NL Division Series against Washington when he yielded one run over seven frames. Lohse led the Cardinals in starts and innings during the regular season, and he was 8-1 in 16 home starts with a 2.33 ERA. He’s 3-2 with a 3.78 ERA in five career starts against the Giants, who are set to face him for the first time this season.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Giants are 10-1 in Cain's last 11 starts as road underdogs.
* Cardinals are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.

UMP TRENDS - Bill Miller:

* Over is 7-3 in Millers last 10 games behind home plate.
* Giants are 5-1 in their last six games with Miller behind home plate.
* Home team is 10-3 in Millers last 13 games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. In the last five postseason games, the Giants' bullpen has allowed two earned runs on 13 hits, with 19 strikeouts in 22 innings, for a 0.82 ERA.

2. National League teams are 3-10 at home during this postseason.

3. Giants RHP Tim Lincecum is expected to make his first start of the postseason in Game 4 after allowing one run on three hits with nine strikeouts in three relief appearances.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-17-12 05:57 AM
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Books cheer against Giants, Tigers as World Series draws closer

Earlier this summer, we polled sportsbooks in Las Vegas and online about which baseball teams had the potential to do the most damage if they won the World Series.

Of the six teams featured, the St. Louis Cardinals are the only ones remaining in the postseason mix, tied 1-1 with the San Francisco Giants in the National League Championship Series.

As all MLB bettors know, it was the Cardinals who cashed in big for backers last October, handing books a big loss with World Series odds as high as 500-1 en route to an improbable championship.

Oddsmakers played it careful with St. Louis this summer, keeping its World Series futures between 12-1 and 20-1 for most of the season. However, the Cardinals were as high as 35-1 after posting a 13-16 record in May.

“They’re a quality team and have kind of underachieved as well,” Jay Kornegay, executive director of the LVH Superbook, told Covers back in July. “They have a loyal following no matter where you go and have a history of support in the futures book.”

But it’s St. Louis’ NLCS opponent that has some Nevada books sweating out the cold October nights. The Giants were as big as 50-1 to win the World Series this season and brought in a lot of futures bets when they got hot at the end of the summer, going 37-19 through August and September.

“With the Giants, we’re a small loser,” Jimmy Vaccaro, veteran oddsmaker for William Hill in Las Vegas, told Covers. “We got most of the bad ones out of the way. The Giants would be a small nick.”

It’s a different story online, where UK-based sportsbook bet365.com took very little action on San Francisco’s futures.

“No one has really touched them,” Aron Black, of bet365.com, told Covers. “We taken a few plays at bigger prices, but they are the best runner we have by a wide margin.”

According to Black, he’s cheering just a touch louder for the New York Yankees to comeback from a 0-2 hole against the Detroit Tigers in the ALCS. Detroit winning the World Series would be their worst result, offering odds on the Tigers as high as 18-1.

The Yankees would be the second worst outcome due to their public following that has taken New York’s World Series odds all season. St. Louis would be the third least-profitable finish, even though they offered the Cardinals as high as +2,500 to win the World Series.

“Of all the teams, no one is a real bad result,” says Black. “Detroit and New York are both losing positions, but not for any great deal. It’s been a great season for trading the MLB outright book. We have had money on numerous runners who did not make the playoffs or went out early.”

bet365.com currently has Detroit priced as a +110 favorite to win the World Series, followed by St. Louis (+225), San Francisco (+350), and New York (+1,100).




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-17-12 06:05 AM
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Wednesday, October 17

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 4:00 PM ET San Francisco +115 500

St. Louis - Over 7 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-17-12 06:12 AM
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Preview: Yankees (95-67) at Tigers (88-74)

Game: 4
Venue: Yankee Stadium
Date: October 17, 2012 8:07 PM EDT

This time, ending the New York Yankees' season means the Detroit Tigers will return to the World Series for the first time in six years.

CC Sabathia will try to prevent a celebration, but the Yankees' bats may be more important to keeping the champagne corked.

Max Scherzer looks to help the Tigers complete the first postseason sweep of the Yankees in 32 years Wednesday night at Comerica Park.

Detroit eliminated the Yankees in five games of last year's division series, but the postseason run fell short of the World Series.

The Tigers have a chance to keep that from happening this year after putting themselves on the brink of a sweep in this ALCS by winning 2-1 in Game 3. Justin Verlander limited the Yankees to three hits in 8 1-3 innings, making his only mistake on Eduardo Nunez's homer in the ninth.

That performance came after Anibal Sanchez and Phil Coke combined to fan 10 Yankees and hold them to four hits in Monday's 3-0 victory.

"We put ourselves in a decent position, but that's all we have done," manager Jim Leyland said.

It's been 36 postseason series since New York has been swept, dating to the 1980 ALCS against Kansas City.

The offense isn't providing much hope of avoiding a similar fate this time. The Yankees are hitting .200 in the playoffs and .158 in the ALCS, on track to be a record low for New York in a postseason series, eclipsing a .171 average against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the 1963 World Series.

"There were some good at_bats (Tuesday). The ball was not carrying tremendously well, we know that," manager Joe Girardi said. "But I think (Verlander) ended up with three strikeouts. So our guys put the ball in play and tried to get on base, but, you know, when you face Verlander, you know what you're up against.

"The thing that you do is you keep encouraging the guys and you keep telling them, 'Hey, find a way, find a way to get it done.'"

New York's offensive shortcomings likely means Sabathia (2-0, 1.53 ERA) needs to toss another gem to keep the Yankees' season alive.

The left-hander is one out shy of tossing complete games in both of his postseason starts.

"I always want to go out and try to shut the other team down and give us as many opportunities to score," Sabathia said. "As cold as we are, we can get just as hot, especially with our lineup and the veterans we have and great players we have."

Success in the playoffs certainly isn't new for Sabathia. He's 7-1 with a 3.09 ERA in 13 games - 12 starts - since moving to New York in 2009. However, he wasn't very effective in three meetings - two starts - against the Tigers in last year's division series, surrendering six runs and eight walks in 8 2-3 innings.

The 2009 ALCS MVP was much better against them this year, winning all three starts behind a 3.32 ERA. However, he was helped by an offense that averaged 8.7 runs.

One of those victories came opposite Scherzer in a 6-2 win in the Bronx. Sabathia allowed two runs with eight strikeouts in eight innings, while Scherzer had a career-high seven walks and allowed three runs in 4 2-3.

The Tigers' right-hander was 4-0 with a 2.39 ERA in his previous five games - four starts - against New York, including two in the 2011 division series.

Despite the Yankees' offensive struggles, Scherzer isn't taking the AL East champions lightly.

"You know, anytime you catch a team that's hot or a team that's struggling, to me, it doesn't really matter," Scherzer said. "They're going to come at you with a game plan to try to knock you out of the game. That's simply as it is. And they are going to come ready to attack me, so I have to be ready to attack them."

Scherzer's only appearance in this postseason was wasted in last Wednesday's 4-3 loss at Oakland in Game 4 of the division series. He allowed one unearned run with eight strikeouts in 5 1-3 innings before closer Jose Valverde surrendered three runs in the ninth.

Delmon Young is looking to continue his postseason success after hitting a solo homer Tuesday. He's 4 for 13 with two home runs and five RBIs in this series.

Young's seven career playoff homers is a Tigers record, and he's hit five of them - one off Sabathia - in eight games against New York while batting .313 with eight RBIs.

"He had a great postseason last year and he picked up right where he left off," Leyland said.

Miguel Cabrera's success isn't quite as surprising. The Triple Crown winner is 4 for 11 in this series and is batting .361 with six homers and 15 RBIs during his record 16-game hitting streak in LCS play.

It will be interesting to see if Girardi benches struggling third baseman Alex Rodriguez for the second straight game.

Rodriguez was left on the bench Tuesday after going 5 for 41 in 11 playoff games over the last two postseasons, including 3 for 23 with 12 strikeouts in six contests this year.

Rodriguez is 1 for 12 in his career versus Scherzer.

Only the 2004 Boston Red Sox - against the Yankees - have overcome a 3-0 deficit in a postseason series.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-18-12 01:25 AM
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CNOTES
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MLB
Dunkel

San Francisco at St. Louis
The Giants look to build on their 10-1 record in Matt Cain's last 11 starts as a road underdog. San Francisco is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

WEDNESDAY, OCTOBER 17

Game 911-912: San Francisco at St. Louis (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 16.685; St. Louis (Lohse) 16.275
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (+105); Over

Game 913-914: NY Yankees at Detroit (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.007; Detroit (Scherzer) 17.047
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-110); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Under




MLB
Long Sheet

Wednesday, October 17

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
SAN FRANCISCO (98 - 71) at ST LOUIS (93 - 77) - 4:05 PM
MATT CAIN (R) vs. KYLE LOHSE (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 21-11 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 53-39 (+14.6 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 98-71 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 49-35 (+17.6 Units) against the money line in road games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 98-71 (+20.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 483-473 (+49.0 Units) against the money line in road games against right-handed starters since 1997.
SAN FRANCISCO is 9-2 (+10.2 Units) against the money line in road games in playoff games over the last 3 seasons.
SAN FRANCISCO is 37-30 (+16.5 Units) against the money line in road games when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 93-77 (-2.6 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 10-17 (-9.2 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season.
ST LOUIS is 93-77 (-2.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 60-58 (-12.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 30-38 (-15.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 4-4 (+0.7 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

MATT CAIN vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
CAIN is 2-3 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.94 and a WHIP of 1.415.
His team's record is 3-5 (-2.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-4. (-0.3 units)

KYLE LOHSE vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LOHSE is 3-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.78 and a WHIP of 1.290.
His team's record is 3-2 (+0.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 2-3. (-1.2 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (98 - 71) at DETROIT (93 - 76) - 8:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-6 (-0.5 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 12 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.8 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SABATHIA is 18-12 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.299.
His team's record is 22-15 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 21-16. (+3.6 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SCHERZER is 4-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.382.
His team's record is 4-1 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Wednesday, October 17

Lohse is 3-0, 2.84 in his last five starts; he didn't pitch against the Giants this year. Cardinals won seven of his last ten home starts, are 6-3 in last nine home games overall. Giants won four of last five road games; visitors are 6-1 in their playoff games this fall. Cain inferred that he might throw at Holliday after his slide into second base hurt Scutaro's leg in Game 2. Cain is 1-1, 4.60 in his last three starts; he didn't finish 6th inning in any of them; he is 1-1, 6.94 in two starts vs St Louis this season.

Scherzer is 5-1, 1.52 in his last 10 outings, but has been hampered by injuries; would expect quick hook on him once he gets past 5th inning; he allowed three runs in 4.2 IP in his only start vs Bronx this year. Sabathia is 4-0, 1.52 in his last five starts; he is 3-0, 4.15 in three starts vs Detroit this season. Bombers scored in only two of 30 series innings. Visiting teams are 16-11 in playoffs so far this month. Aside from Valverde, Tiger pitchers have allowed one run in their last 48.2 innings. Detroit won its last seven home games.




MLB

Wednesday, October 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4:07 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 6 games
St. Louis is 17-7 SU in its last 24 games

8:07 PM
NY YANKEES vs. DETROIT
NY Yankees are 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing Detroit
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of NY Yankees's last 7 games
Detroit is 5-2 SU in their last 7 games when playing NY Yankees
Detroit is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB

Wednesday, October 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLCS betting preview: Giants at Cardinals
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals (-122, 7)

Series tied 1-1.

The San Francisco Giants evened the National League Championship Series against the St. Louis Cardinals at one game apiece Monday, with the tone of the series changing dramatically after Matt Holliday’s hard slide into second baseman Marco Scutaro in the first inning. Scutaro stayed in the game and hit a bases-clearing single in the fourth inning before leaving in the fifth for X-rays on his left hip, which were negative. The aggressive slide appeared to ignite the Giants, who went on to snap a three-game postseason home losing streak with the 7-1 victory. If Scutaro is forced to miss any time, former Cardinals infielder Ryan Theriot would start at second base. Theriot is 12-for-22 lifetime against Kyle Lohse, St. Louis’ Game 3 starter.

The Cardinals are looking for more consistency as they head back to St. Louis. They’ve had only 11 hits in three playoff losses while scoring 41 runs in their five wins. Right fielder Carlos Beltran hit two doubles in three at-bats Monday for his 13th career multihit postseason game, and he is 12-for-29 (.414) this postseason. Holliday appeared rattled after his slide in the first inning, going hitless in his next three at-bats and committing a critical error in the fourth. The Cardinals’ bullpen has been outstanding during the playoffs, but has worked 34 innings in eight games. Ryan Vogelsong gave the Giants’ bullpen some much-needed rest when he tossed seven strong innings in Game 2.

TV: 4 p.m. ET, Fox

WEATHER: Thunderstorms are in the forecast with a 78 percent chance of rain. Winds are expected to blow SW at 13 mph and temperatures will fall into the low 60s.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants RH Matt Cain (1-1, 5.06 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Kyle Lohse (1-0, 2.13)

Cain is seeking his first quality outing of the postseason after failing to escape the sixth inning in his previous two starts. He is 2-3 with a 4.94 ERA in eight career starts against the Cardinals, including 1-1 with a 6.94 ERA in two outings this season. Holliday is 8-for-40 with 10 strikeouts against Cain, who will be pitching on five days’ rest. When starting on five days' rest this season, Cain lost only once in 12 outings while posting a 2.42 ERA.

Lohse has allowed two runs on eight hits over 12 2/3 innings in two starts this postseason, including Game 4 of the NL Division Series against Washington when he yielded one run over seven frames. Lohse led the Cardinals in starts and innings during the regular season, and he was 8-1 in 16 home starts with a 2.33 ERA. He’s 3-2 with a 3.78 ERA in five career starts against the Giants, who are set to face him for the first time this season.

TRENDS:

* Over is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.
* Giants are 10-1 in Cain's last 11 starts as road underdogs.
* Cardinals are 7-0 in their last seven games following a loss.

UMP TRENDS - Bill Miller:

* Over is 7-3 in Millers last 10 games behind home plate.
* Giants are 5-1 in their last six games with Miller behind home plate.
* Home team is 10-3 in Millers last 13 games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. In the last five postseason games, the Giants' bullpen has allowed two earned runs on 13 hits, with 19 strikeouts in 22 innings, for a 0.82 ERA.

2. National League teams are 3-10 at home during this postseason.

3. Giants RHP Tim Lincecum is expected to make his first start of the postseason in Game 4 after allowing one run on three hits with nine strikeouts in three relief appearances.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-18-12 01:29 AM
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CNOTES
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MLB

Wednesday, October 17

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ALCS betting preview: Yankees at Tigers
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

New York Yankees at Detroit Tigers (-105, 7)

Detroit leads series 3-0

The New York Yankees turn to their ace as they attempt to stave off elimination and extend the American League Championship Series when they take on the Detroit Tigers in Game 4 at Comerica Park on Wednesday.

New York dropped a 2-1 decision Tuesday as ace Justin Verlander tossed 8 1/3 superb innings to give Detroit a 3-0 series lead. Delmon Young belted a solo home run and Miguel Cabrera extended his LCS hitting streak to a major league-record 16 games with an RBI double for the Tigers, who are one victory away from their 11th World Series appearance.

Young's blast was his franchise-record seventh postseason homer and fifth in eight games against New York, which calls upon CC Sabathia to help avoid a sweep. The Yankees have been let down by their offense during the playoffs. Robinson Cano is hitting .083 (3-for-36) as he ended an 0-for-29 drought - the longest in one postseason in major league history - in the ninth inning Tuesday and Curtis Granderson has gone 3-for-29 (.103) with 15 strikeouts. Alex Rodriguez, who has been benched in two of the last five playoff games and been removed for a pinch hitter in the other three, is batting .130 (3-for-23) with 12 strikeouts while Nick Swisher is 4-for-26 (.154).

The Tigers, who have not won a world championship since 1984, are seeking their first World Series berth since 2006, when they lost in five games to the St. Louis Cardinals.

TV: 8:07 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for a 72 percent chance of rain later in the evening while temperatures will fall into the high 50s. Winds are expected to blow south at 11 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Yankees LH CC Sabathia (2-0, 1.53 ERA) vs. Tigers RH Max Scherzer (0-0, 0.00)

Sabathia registered two of New York's three victories over Baltimore in the AL Division Series, including a four-hitter in the decisive Game 5 on Friday. The 32-year-old, who is 3-2 with a 5.20 ERA in six career ALCS starts, went 3-0 with a 3.32 ERA against the Tigers this season and 2-0 at Comerica Park. But Sabathia struggled versus Detroit in last year's ALDS, allowing six runs over 8 2/3 innings in two starts and a relief appearance.

Scherzer pitched well in Game 4 of the ALDS against Oakland, allowing an unearned run and three hits over 5 1/3 innings while walking one and striking out eight. The 28-year-old, who finished second to Verlander for the major-league lead in strikeouts with 231, took the loss in his only start of the season against New York on April 29 after yielding three runs on seven hits and seven walks in 4 2/3 innings. Scherzer tossed six scoreless innings in a victory over the Yankees in Game 2 of last year's ALDS.

TRENDS:

* Tigers are 4-1 in Scherzers last five starts vs. Yankees.
* Under is 4-1 in Scherzers last five starts vs. Yankees.
* Yankees are 4-1 in Sabathias last five starts vs. Tigers.
* Over is 4-1 in Sabathias last five starts vs. Tigers.
* Yankees are 2-5 in the last seven meetings.

UMP TRENDS - Jeff Nelson:

* Over is 3-1-1 in Nelsons last five games behind home plate.
* Yankees are 4-1 in their last five games with Nelson behind home plate.
* Tigers are 2-5 in their last seven games with Nelson behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. New York has scored all five of its runs in this series and 11 of its 21 in the postseason in the ninth inning.

2. Detroit's starting pitchers had tossed 37 2/3 straight innings in the series without allowing an earned run before Eduardo Nunez's homer off Verlander in the ninth Tuesday. It is the longest streak since the 44-inning run by the starters for the 1905 New York Giants.

3. Verlander came within three outs of becoming the first pitcher to throw consecutive playoff shutouts since Orel Hershiser accomplished the feat in 1988 with the Los Angeles Dodgers.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-18-12 01:31 AM
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CNOTES
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MLB
Short Sheet

Wednesday, October 17

National League

NL Championship Series, Game Three (Series Tied, 1-1)
San Francisco at St. Louis, 4:05 ET FOX
Cain: San Francisco 9-2 SU in road games in playoff games
Lohse: St Louis 10-17 SU when the total is 7 or less

American League

AL Championship Series, Game Four (Detroit Leads, 3-0)
NY Yankees at Detroit, 8:05 ET TBS
Sabathia: NY Yankees 9-17 SU on road after game with a combined score of 4 or less
Scherzer: Detroit 26-8 SU in home games after allowing 2 runs or less




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-18-12 01:33 AM
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Evening MLB Best Bets :


NY Yankees - 8:00 PM ET Detroit +102 500

Detroit - Under 7 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-18-12 01:37 AM
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Giants And Cardinals In Pivotal NLCS Game 4

San Francisco has won 12 straight starts with Barry Zito on the mound.

UPDATE (Oct. 18): San Francisco has made a pitching change for NLCS Game 4 with Tim Lincecum taking the mound in St. Louis. Giants manager Bruce Bochy will reportedly follow Lincecum with Barry Zito in Game 5.

Thus far in the postseason, one of San Francisco manager Bruce Bochy’s biggest gambles has paid off.

But it’s time for the Giants to roll the dice one more time against St. Louis.

The pivotal Game 4 of the NLCS takes place on Thursday night at Busch Stadium, with the Cardinals playing host to San Francisco. First pitch will be at 8:05 p.m. (ET).

The gamble for Bochy? Starting lefty Barry Zito (15-8, 4.15 ERA) once again, with Tim Lincecum at the ready out of the bullpen. Meanwhile, Redbird skipper Mike Matheny will go with Adam Wainwright (14-13, 3.94 ERA), himself a bit shaky in last Friday’s deciding Game 5 of the NLDS vs. the Nationals.

It’s the Zito factor, however, that continues to intrigue on so many levels for the Giants. Remember, San Francisco has won an astounding 12 straight games started by the vet lefty, who, nonetheless, has rarely been dominant in that stretch. Instead, the Giants offense has been perking up considerably in games started by Zito, who has been aided by almost six runs per game of support over that stretch of wins.

Zito’s success over the past two months, however, prompted Bochy into including him on the postseason roster after the southpaw was left off of the active playoff list two years ago, when the Giants won the World Series. But Zito has only been part of the San Francisco postseason equation. Another intriguing element has been former two-time Cy Young winner Tim Lincecum, whose inconsistent efforts over the course of the regular season prompted Bochy to exclude him from the playoff rotation, relegated to the bullpen instead.

So far, at least, that has worked like a charm for Bochy, as Lincecum has seemed relaxed and focused in his new role, and absent many of the control problems that recurred – especially in the early innings – throughout the regular season. In eight innings of postseason work, Lincecum has issued just one walk, as well as a mere two hits and one run, along with nine strikeouts. Moreover, he proved a lifesaver in Game 4 of the NLDS at Cincinnati, when a shaky Zito was pulled by Bochy after just 2 2/3 IP. Enter Lincecum, who kept the Reds in check over the next 4 1/3 innings while the Giants rolled to an 8-3 win.

As for Zito, he might nonetheless feel confident heading into Game 4 after beginning the 12-game win streak in his starts with a 4-2 success at Busch Stadium back on August 7, scattering eight hits and two runs over 6 2/3 IP. His career numbers at Busch Stadium include a 1-3 record with an 8.20 ERA in four starts. Overall vs. St. Louis, he’s 2-6 in nine starts, with a 4.89 ERA.

Bochy, who reportedly toyed with the idea of putting Lincecum back into the rotation for Game 4, eventually decided against it, instead playing the same postseason hand with Lincecum out of the bullpen, even if means risking Zito against a Cardinal lineup that can be tough on lefties at Busch. But with Lincecum at the ready, Bochy won’t leave Zito in the game for too long if he’s getting cuffed around, as was the case last week at Cincinanti.

Speaking of getting cuffed around, that’s exactly what happened to Cards starter Wainwright last Friday at Washington, when he helped dig the Redbirds a huge hole when allowing six runs and seven hits over just 2 1/3 IP, although his teammates would eventually stage a remarkable rally that turned that 6-0 deficit into a 9-7 win.

That shaky effort has been part of a disturbing St. Louis narrative in recent games, as none of Matheny’s starters had recorded as much as an out in the fifth inning before getting pulled in the three outings prior to Tuesday’s Game 3.

Wainwright, however, was on the mark against the Giants at Busch back on August 9, allowing one run and five hits, with nine Ks through a solid seven innings of work in a 3-1 St. Louis win. He’s only 2-4 in six career starts vs. the Giants, although he has fashioned a solid 3.04 ERA in those outings.

Another important angle to consider has been San Francisco’s ongoing success on the road, where, with its backs against the wall, swept the Reds last week and improved to 49-35 this season on the road (including 20-7 the last 27) entering Tuesday’s Game 3. As for the Cards, they’re 51-32 at home.

Also note that over the course of the season, Zito has been the most-profitable pitcher in the NL, with the Giants 22-11 in his starts and +1525 units. Meanwhile, the Cardinals are -567 units in games started by Wainwright.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-19-12 12:14 AM
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2012 MLB Playoff Results

October 18, 2012

Overall Results:
-- Road teams are 14-12
-- Favorites and Underdogs are 13-13
-- Favorites that won are 8-5 on the Run-Line (-1.5)
-- The 'under' is 14-12

American League Championship Series N.Y. Yankees vs. Detroit
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 Detroit (+122) at N.Y. Yankees 6-4 UNDERDOG OVER (7.5)
2 Detroit (+125) at N.Y. Yankees 3-0 UNDERDOG UNDER (8)
3 N.Y. Yankees at Detroit (-175) 2-1 FAVORITE UNDER (7)
4 N.Y. Yankees at Detroit Thu Oct. 18 - -
5* N.Y. Yankees at Detroit Fri Oct. 19 - -
6* Detroit at N.Y. Yankees Sat Oct. 20 - -
7* Detroit at N.Y. Yankees Sun Oct. 21 - -

National League Championship Series St. Louis vs. San Francisco
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 St. Louis (+115) at San Francisco 6-4 UNDERDOG OVER (7)
2 St. Louis at San Francisco (-113) 7-1 FAVORITE OVER (6.5)
3 San Francisco at St. Louis (-120) 3-1 FAVORITE UNDER (7)
4 San Francisco at St. Louis Thu Oct 18 - -
5* San Francisco at St. Louis Fri Oct 19 - -
6* St. Louis at San Francisco Sun Oct 21 - -
7* St. Louis at San Francisco Mon Oct 22 - -

American League Divisional Series

N.Y. Yankees vs. Baltimore
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 N.Y. Yankees (-170) at Baltimore 7-2 FAVORITE OVER (7.5)
2 N.Y. Yankees at Baltimore (+117) 3-2 UNDERDOG UNDER (8)
3 Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees (-175) 3-2 FAVORITE UNDER (8.5)
4 Baltimore (+150) at N.Y. Yankees 2-1 UNDERDOG UNDER (8.5)
5 Baltimore at N.Y. Yankees (-200) 3-1 FAVORITE UNDER (7.5)

Detroit vs. Oakland
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 Oakland at Detroit (-185) 4-1 FAVORITE UNDER (7.5)
2 Oakland at Detroit (-155) 5-4 FAVORITE OVER (7.5)
3 Detroit at Oakland (-135) 2-0 FAVORITE UNDER (7)
4 Detroit at Oakland (-105) 4-3 FAVORITE PUSH (7)
5 Detroit (-130) at Oakland 6-0 FAVORITE UNDER (6.5)

National League Divisional Series San Francisco vs. Cincinnati
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 Cincinnati (+120) at San Francisco 5-2 UNDERDOG OVER (6.5)
2 Cincinnati (+140) at San Francisco 9-0 UNDERDOG OVER (7)
3 San Francisco (+130) at Cincinnati 2-1 UNDERDOG UNDER (7.5)
4 San Francisco (+135) at Cincinnati 8-3 UNDERDOG OVER (8)
5 San Francisco (+115) at Cincinnati 6-4 UNDERDOG OVER (7)

Washington vs. St. Louis
Game Matchup Date/Score Favorite-Underdog Over-Under
1 Washington (+105) at St. Louis 3-2 UNDERDOG UNDER (7)
2 Washington at St. Louis (-105) 12-4 FAVORITE OVER (7.5)
3 St. Louis (+100) at Washington 8-0 UNDERDOG OVER (7.5)
4 St. Louis at Washington (-110) 2-1 FAVORITE UNDER (8)
5 St. Louis (+118) at Washington 9-7 UNDERDOG OVER (6.5)




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-19-12 12:19 AM
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Lincecum tries to even up NLCS on Thursday

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS

at ST. LOUIS CARDINALS


NL Championship Series Game 4 – St. Louis leads series 2-1
First pitch: Thursday, 8:05 p.m. EDT
Line: St. Louis -130, San Francisco +120, Total: 7

Adam Wainwright will look to pitch his Cardinals to a 3-1 NLCS lead as he takes on Tim Lincecum and the Giants in Game 4 on Thursday night.

Lincecum may have run into a bit of luck, with Carlos Beltran’s status for the game (knee) uncertain. Beltran is among the best postseason hitters in baseball with a .375 average, 14 HR and 25 RBI in 31 career playoff games. Furthermore, he owns Lincecum with seven hits in 14 career at-bats. Lincecum struggled this season with a 5.18 ERA, 1.47 WHIP and 10-15 record, but he has looked phenomenal out of the bullpen with a 1.08 ERA and 0.48 WHIP in 8.1 innings of relief in this postseason, earning him the start on Thursday. In his career, he has dominated October baseball with a 2.18 ERA, 0.84 WHIP and 4-1 record in nine outings (five starts). Wainwright, on the other hand, enters this game coming off one of his worst starts of the season. He lasted just 2.1 innings against the Nationals, allowing three home runs and six earned runs before being pulled. Dating back to August 31, he is 1-4. Given the recent performances of these two pitches and Beltran’s absence, take SAN FRANCISCO as road underdogs to tie up this series at two games apiece.

This three-star FoxSheets trend also sides with the Giants:

SAN FRANCISCO is 35-15 (70.0%, +20.9 Units) against the money line after scoring 2 runs or less this season. The average score was SAN FRANCISCO 4.0, OPPONENT 3.1 - (Rating = 3*).

Lincecum’s struggles were worse on the road in 2012 with a 6.43 ERA and 1.56 WHIP away from San Francisco. But there are few teams he likes pitching against as much as St. Louis, against whom he has a 5-1 career record (team is 6-1) with a 2.89 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. The Giants will certainly need to score more than the one run they put on the board in the last game, but if they can hand the bullpen a lead, manager Bruce Bochy should be pretty confident. San Francisco relievers have a 2.25 ERA and 0.91 WHIP in the playoffs, compiling a 2-0 record. Take these road underdogs to even up the NLCS.

Filling in for Beltran if he is unable to go will be rookie Matt Carpenter, who has never faced Lincecum in his career, but has owned the Giants. He is 8-for-14 against the Redbirds with four RBI, including a huge two-run homer in Game 3. And even though Wainwright has a 7.88 ERA and 2.00 WHIP in this postseason, he has shown the form to be a great late season pitcher. In his career, largely as a reliever in the 2006 postseason, he has a 2.81 ERA and 1.13 WHIP over 12 playoff games, three of which have been starts. He is 2-4 with a 3.04 ERA in his career versus the Giants, going 1-4 with 2.89 ERA in his six starts against them. The last time he faced San Francisco on Aug. 9, he allowed one earned run in seven innings, piling up seven strikeouts. If he struggles on Thursday though, at least he is supported by an awesome bullpen that has a 1.93 ERA and 1.10 WHIP so far this postseason. And even without Beltran, Wainwright has the potential for run support pitching behind a St. Louis lineup that is hitting .283 at home this season with 5.0 runs per game.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-19-12 12:21 AM
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MLB
Dunkel

NY Yankees at Detroit
The Tigers look to build on their 9-3 record in Max Scherzer's last 12 starts. Detroit is the pick (-105) according to Dunkel, which has the Tigers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 18

Game 917-918: NY Yankees at Detroit (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.007; Detroit (Scherzer) 17.047
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 7
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-105); Under

Game 919-920: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 17.364; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.596
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A




MLB
Long Sheet

Thursday, October 18

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NY YANKEES (98 - 72) at DETROIT (94 - 76) - 4:05 PM
C.C. SABATHIA (L) vs. MAX SCHERZER (R)
Top Trends for this game.
NY YANKEES are 23-27 (-10.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season this season.
DETROIT is 80-51 (+16.2 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 59-34 (+17.0 Units) against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 55-34 (+18.3 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NY YANKEES are 17-6 (+9.8 Units) against the money line in road games in day games this season.
NY YANKEES are 184-117 (+20.6 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 94-76 (-7.4 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
DETROIT is 90-73 (-7.9 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
DETROIT is 50-44 (-9.3 Units) against the money line after a win this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 7-6 (+0.6 Units) against NY YANKEES this season
7 of 13 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.8 Units)

C.C. SABATHIA vs. DETROIT since 1997
SABATHIA is 18-12 when starting against DETROIT with an ERA of 4.48 and a WHIP of 1.299.
His team's record is 22-15 (+0.6 units) in these starts. The OVER is 21-16. (+3.6 units)

MAX SCHERZER vs. NY YANKEES since 1997
SCHERZER is 4-1 when starting against NY YANKEES with an ERA of 2.73 and a WHIP of 1.382.
His team's record is 4-1 (+4.5 units) in these starts. The OVER is 1-4. (-3.3 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (98 - 72) at ST LOUIS (94 - 77) - 8:05 PM
TIM LINCECUM (R) vs. ADAM WAINWRIGHT (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 5-4 (-0.1 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

TIM LINCECUM vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
LINCECUM is 5-1 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.157.
His team's record is 6-1 (+5.1 units) in these starts. The OVER is 4-3. (+1.0 units)

ADAM WAINWRIGHT vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
WAINWRIGHT is 1-4 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 2.89 and a WHIP of 1.259.
His team's record is 2-4 (-3.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-2. (+1.7 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Thursday, October 18

Wainwright is 1-2, 5.68 in seven starts since Sept 1; he is 1-1, 4.26 against the Giants this year. Cardinals won seven of their last ten home games. Lincecum hasn't started a game in 19 days; he has a 1.08 RA in three relief stints so far in playoffs, but allowed 12 runs in 10 IP in his last two starts. He didn't made a start vs St Louis this year, but pitched two hitless innings in Sunday's game at home. Giants won four of last six road games; visitors are 6-2 in their playoff games this fall. Beltran left early yesterday with a knee injury.

Scherzer is 5-1, 1.52 in his last 10 outings, but has been hampered by injuries; would expect quick hook on him once he gets past 5th inning; he allowed three runs in 4.2 IP in his only start vs Bronx this year. Sabathia is 4-0, 1.52 in his last five starts; he is 3-0, 4.15 in three starts vs Detroit this season. Bombers scored in only two of 30 series innings. Visiting teams are 16-11 in playoffs so far this month. Aside from Valverde, Tiger pitchers have allowed one run in their last 48.2 innings. Detroit won its last seven home games.




MLB

Thursday, October 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

4:07 PM
NY YANKEES vs. DETROIT
NY Yankees are 1-3-1 SU in their last 5 games ,when playing Detroit
NY Yankees are 2-3-1 SU in their last 6 games ,on the road
Detroit4-0-1 SU in its last 5 games
Detroit7-0-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:07 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games
St. Louis is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-19-12 12:42 AM
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MLB

Thursday, October 18

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLCS betting preview: Giants at Cardinals
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals (Odds N/A)

Cardinals lead series 2-1

The St. Louis Cardinals hold a 2-1 lead in the National League Championship Series, but they could be without hot-hitting Carlos Beltran in Game 4. Beltran, who is batting .414 this postseason with three homers, is listed as day-to-day after exiting Wednesday’s game in the second inning with a strained left knee. Matt Carpenter replaced Beltran and promptly hit a two-run homer to help the Cardinals win 3-1 in a game that was delayed three hours and 28 minutes because of rain. After the loss, Giants manager Bruce Bochy announced that Tim Lincecum and Barry Zito will start the team’s next two games, with struggling Madison Bumgarner moving to the bullpen. Bumgarner is 0-2 with an 11.25 ERA in two postseason starts after ending the regular season with a 5.89 ERA in his last seven outings.

Giants right fielder Hunter Pence will likely keep his starting job, but he might be moved down in the batting order after going hitless in four at-bats in Game 3. Pence is 5-for-31 (.161) with four strikeouts and no RBI this postseason. First baseman Brandon Belt, who is 3-for-11 with no extra base hits in the NLCS, might be rested Thursday so Buster Posey can play first and Hector Sanchez can catch Lincecum. The Cardinals are hoping for a long outing from Adam Wainwright in Game 4 after using four relievers on Wednesday. The Cardinals’ bullpen has worked 37 1/3 innings in nine postseason games, and closer Jason Motte recorded the first two-inning save of his career in Game 3. He threw just 19 pitches, however, so he could be available in a save situation Thursday.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the low-50s with a 30 percent chance of showers at Busch Stadium. Winds will blow out to center field at 14 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants RH Tim Lincecum (1-0, 1.08 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (0-0, 7.88)

Lincecum is set to make his first start of the postseason after allowing one run on three hits with nine strikeouts in three relief appearances. Beltran is 7-for-14 with a homer against Lincecum, who is 5-1 with a 2.89 ERA in seven career starts against St. Louis. The two-time Cy Young award winner had an uncharacteristically poor regular season, especially on the road, where he went 6-6 with a 6.43 ERA in 16 outings.

Wainwright looks to rebound from the shortest start of his career after allowing six runs over 2 1/3 innings against Washington last Friday in Game 5 of the Division Series. He’s 2-4 with a 3.04 ERA is six career starts against the Giants, including 1-1 with a 2.13 ERA in two outings this season. Pence is 11-for-38 (.289) with a homer against Wainwright, who is making the first LCS start of his seven-year major league career.

TRENDS:

* Giants are 6-0 in Lincecum’s last six road starts.
* Cardinals are 8-2 in their last 10 home games vs. a right-handed starter.
* Under is 5-1 in Cardinals’ last six home games.
* Over is 4-0-1 in Lincecum’s last five starts overall.

UMP TRENDS:- Greg Gibson

* Under is 7-1 in Gibson’s last eight games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
* Under is 9-2 in Gibson’s last 11 Thursday games behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 1-4 in their last five games with Gibson behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Since 1985, 17 of the 21 teams to take a 2-1 lead in the NLCS have gone on to advance to the World Series.

2. Giants 2B Marco Scutaro started Wednesday after leaving Game 2 with a strained left hip and had two hits. He’s 6-for-13 with two RBI in the series.

3. Wednesday’s win gave the Cardinals 40 postseason victories in the last 10 seasons, tied with the Yankees for most in the majors during that stretch.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-19-12 12:43 AM
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Playoff Record:

Date WLT Pct Net Units Record

10/17/12 0-_2-_0 0.00% -_1050 Detail
10/16/12 1-_1-_0 50.00% 0 Detail
10/15/12 2-_0-_0 100.00% +_1000 Detail
10/14/12 4-_0-_0 100.00% +_2225 Detail
10/13/12 0-_2-_0 0.00% -_1225 Detail
10/12/12 2-_0-_0 100.00% +_1110 Detail
10/11/12 5-_3-_0 62.50% +_1220 Detail
10/10/12 5-_0-_1 100.00% +_2520 Detail
10/09/12 2-_2-_0 50.00% -_240 Detail
10/08/12 2-_0-_0 100.00% +_1110 Detail
10/07/12 4-_4-_0 50.00% +_55 Detail
10/06/12 1-_3-_0 25.00% -_1150 Detail
10/05/12 3-_1-_0 75.00% +_1610 Detail

Total: 32-18-1 64.00% +7185

Thursday, October 18

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 8:00 PM ET San Francisco +125 500

St. Louis - Over 7 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-19-12 12:53 AM
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Cardinals Push Giants To Brink Of NLCS Elimination

San Francisco manager Bruce Bochy’s big gamble didn’t pay off in Thursday’s Game 4 of the NLCS. Now Bochy’s Giants are looking at match point for the Cardinals unless the Bay Bombers can survive tonight at Busch Stadium and get the series back to AT&T Park.

What could be the finale of the NLCS takes place Friday night in St. Louis, with the Redbirds one win away form their second World Series appearance in a row and third since 2006 – not to mention another rematch in the Fall Classic vs. the Tigers, who could be meeting the Cards for the fourth time since 1934 in the World Series...but let’s not get too far ahead of ourselves.

The Friday pitching matchup features the bottom end of both rotations, with Barry Zito (15-8, 4.15 ERA in regular) on the mound for the Giants and Ole Miss Rebel alum Lance Lynn (18-7, 3.56 ERA in regular season) taking the ball for the Cardinals.

A check with the Don Best MLB odds screen notes host St. Louis anywhere form -155 to -160 on the win, with the total at 7½ shaded to the over, or 8 shaded to the under, at most Nevada wagering establishments. On the Run Line, laying the extra run with the Redbirds can fetch a price in the +135 range, while getting the extra run with San Francisco costs -155 at most Las Vegas outlets.

First pitch at Busch Stadium will be at 8:05 p.m. (ET), with big FOX providing the coverage. The trying-not-to-be-partial broadcast crew of Joe Buck and Tim McCarver will be on hand to describe the action.

Bochy’s gamble didn’t pay off in Game 4, when he altered his postseason rotation pattern and instead decided to roll the dice with Tim Lincecum, and not Zito, as his starter. Lincecum had pitched well out of the bullpen in the playoffs – prior to last night, in eight innings of postseason work, Lincecum had issued just one walk, as well as a mere two hits and one run, along with nine strikeouts – and was expected to be at the ready should expected starter Zito falter as he did in Game 4 at Cincinnati in the NLDS.

But the two-time Cy Young winner Lincecum resembled his erratic regular-season self on Thursday and was promptly shelled, putting Bochy and pitching coach Dave Righetti in a touch spot tonight with Zito, who probably won’t have Lincecum ready for a long stint in relief should Zito falter as he did at Cincy last week when lasting just 2 2/3 innings against the Reds.

Please note that over the course of the season, Zito has been the most-profitable pitcher in the NL, with the Giants 22-11 in his starts and +1525 units. The Giants have also won an astounding 12 straight games started by the vet lefty who, despite rarely being dominant in that stretch, has nonetheless seen the offense perk up considerably in his starts. The Giants have scored almost six runs per game for Zito in the 12 winning starts.

Therein, however, lies another dilemma for Bochy, as his offense has bogged down at Busch, scoring a combined four runs in Games 3 and 4 in St. Louis. The only bright spot in Game 4 was a homer hit by previously-slumping OF Hunter Pence.

Meanwhile, Mike Matheny counters with Lynn who had been demoted out of the rotation late in the summer before briefly resurfacing late in the regular season, only to be put back in the relief corps for the playoffs. A shoulder injury to Jaime Garcia in the NLDS vs. the Nats forced Matheny to put Lynn back into the NLCS rotation.

Lynn was not sharp in Game 1, allowing four runs and five hits while walking a pair in just 3 2/3 IP, although the Redbirds provided run support in an eventual 6-4 win. But Lynn’s numbers tailed off dramatically as the season progressed, and enters Game 5 with a 9.00 ERA in four postseason appearances. Lynn was also hit hard on August 7 at Candlestick, allowing four runs and eight hits over six innings in an eventual 4-2 loss, and has a 7.15 career ERA vs. San Francisco.

Before burying the Giants, remember how they fought with their backs against the wall against the Reds in the NLDS, sweeping three straight on the road to steal that series. Over the course of the season, San Francisco is also a solid 49-37 this season on the road, and 20-9 in its last 29 despite losses the past two nights.

The Giants, however, have only won one of four this season at Busch. Unless they can make it two out of five, their campaign ends tonight in St. Louis.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-20-12 01:24 AM
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MLB

Dunkel

San Francisco at St. Louis
The Cardinals look to build on their 5-0 record in Lance Lynn's last 5 home starts against a team with a winning record. St. Louis is the pick, according to Dunkel, which has the Cardinals favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: St. Louis. Here are all of today's picks.

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 19

Game 919-920: San Francisco at St. Louis (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 15.887; St. Louis (Lynn) 17.073
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 7
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A




MLB
Long Sheet

Friday, October 19

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN FRANCISCO (98 - 73) at ST LOUIS (95 - 77) - 8:05 PM
BARRY ZITO (L) vs. LANCE LYNN (R)
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
ST LOUIS is 6-4 (+0.9 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season
6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+1.7 Units)

BARRY ZITO vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
ZITO is 2-6 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 4.89 and a WHIP of 1.731.
His team's record is 2-7 (-4.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 5-4. (+0.9 units)

LANCE LYNN vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
LYNN is 0-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 7.80 and a WHIP of 1.467.
His team's record is 1-2 (-2.2 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 1-2. (-1.4 units)

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Friday, October 19

Giants are going home after this game; question is, will they make St Louis go with them? Zito is 5-0, 2.70 in his last six starts; SF won his last 12 starts, first of which was 5-2 over Cardinals August 7 (allowed two runs in 6.2 IP)- last time they lost one of his starts was August 2 vs Mets, but he lasted only 2.2 IP in last start, giving up two runs at Cincinnati. Lynn has a 7.20 RA in his last two starts; he allowed eight runs in 9.2 IP vs Giants this year. Cardinals won eight of their last 11 home games. Over is 11-4 in NL playoffs this fall.




MLB

Friday, October 19

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Trend Report
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8:07 PM
SAN FRANCISCO vs. ST. LOUIS
San Francisco is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against St. Louis
The total has gone OVER in 4 of San Francisco's last 6 games when playing St. Louis
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of St. Louis's last 7 games at home
St. Louis is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games at home


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MLB

Friday, October 19

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NLCS betting preview: Giants at Cardinals
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San Francisco Giants at St. Louis Cardinals (-145, 7.5)

St. Louis leads series 3-1

Just a week ago, the San Francisco Giants were on the brink of elimination before advancing to the National League Championship Series by winning three straight games against Cincinnati. Now they need to do it again.

The Giants are down 3-1 in the best-of-seven NLCS after the St. Louis Cardinals rolled to an 8-3 win in Game 3 on Thursday. The win moved St. Louis one victory away from a matchup with the Detroit Tigers in the World Series, with the Cardinals’ Lance Lynn slated to face Barry Zito in Game 5. Since the League Championship Series adopted the best-of-seven format in 1985, only four of the 33 teams that fell behind 3-1 have come back to win.

Cardinals right fielder Carlos Beltran sat out Game 4 with a strained left knee, but he’s hopeful that he’ll be able to return to the starting lineup on Friday. Despite Beltran’s absence, the Cardinals outhit the Giants 12-6 with Jon Jay, Yadier Molina and Matt Holliday driving in two runs apiece. Holliday and Molina stepped up after going a combined 6-for-40 in their previous five games, while the Giants’ Buster Posey remains mired in a 6-for-33 postseason slump. Posey, who led the NL with a .336 average this season, went hitless in four at-bats on Thursday and is 2-for-14 with three walks in the NLCS. If the Giants extend the series and send it back to San Francisco, Ryan Vogelsong would start Game 6 and Matt Cain would get the ball for Game 7.

TV: 8 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for a 63 percent chance of rain early in the evening, giving way to cloudy skies and temperatures in the high 40s. Winds are expected to blow west at 9 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Giants LH Barry Zito (0-0, 6.75 ERA) vs. Cardinals RH Lance Lynn (1-1, 8.59)

Zito looks to rebound from his shaky outing in Game 4 of the NLDS against the Reds, when he allowed four hits and four walks over 2 2/3 innings. He’s 2-6 with a 4.89 ERA in nine career starts against St. Louis, including 1-0 with a 2.70 ERA in his one outing this season. Allen Craig is 4-for-10 with three home runs against Zito, who has an 8.20 ERA in four career starts at Busch Stadium.

Lynn finished 18-7 in the regular season and made the National League All-Star team, but he struggled in August and worked out of the bullpen in the NLDS against Washington. He started Game 1 of the NLCS against the Giants and cruised through the first three innings before allowing four runs in the fourth and leaving after 3 2/3 frames.

TRENDS:

* Under is 4-1 in Zitos last five starts vs. Cardinals.
* Giants are 2-6 in Zitos last eight starts vs. Cardinals.
* Giants are 1-4 in the last five meetings.

UMP TRENDS - Ted Barrett:

* Home team is 7-1 in Barretts last 8 games behind home plate.
* Under is 10-4-1 in Barretts last 15 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
* Cardinals are 1-4 in their last five games with Barrett behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Cardinals have blown a 3-1 lead in a postseason series three times in their history (1968 World Series, 1985 World Series, and 1996 NLCS).

2. San Francisco has won each of Zito’s last 12 starts.

3. If St. Louis closes out the NLCS, the Cardinals will face the Tigers in a rematch of the 2006, 1968 and 1934 World Series.


MLB
Short Sheet

Friday, October 19

National League

NL Championship Series, Game Five (St. Louis Leads, 3-1)
San Francisco at St. Louis, 8:05 ET FOX
Zito: 2-7 career TSR vs. St. Louis Cardinals
Lynn: 20-4 TSR with a total of 7 to 8.5 runs




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-20-12 01:30 AM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Friday, October 19

Game Score Status Pick Amount

San Francisco - 8:00 PM ET San Francisco +145 500

St. Louis - Over 7.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-20-12 01:32 AM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

MLB
Dunkel

St. Louis at San Francisco
The Giants are coming off a 5-0 win on Friday and look to build on their 10-2 record in Ryan Vogelsong's last 12 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. San Francisco is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Giants favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, OCTOBER 21

Game 923-924: St. Louis at San Francisco (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.225; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 16.735
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under




MLB
Long Sheet

Sunday, October 21

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (95 - 78) at SAN FRANCISCO (99 - 73) - 7:35 PM
CHRIS CARPENTER (R) vs. RYAN VOGELSONG (R)
Top Trends for this game.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
ST LOUIS is 95-78 (-2.1 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
ST LOUIS is 62-58 (-10.2 Units) against the money line against right-handed starters this season.
ST LOUIS is 32-39 (-15.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
CARPENTER is 2-9 (-13.1 Units) against the money line in day games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in all games this season.
SAN FRANCISCO is 99-73 (+19.5 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season.
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
VOGELSONG is 21-12 (+9.3 Units) against the money line in games played on a grass field this season. (Team's Record)
ST LOUIS is 23-12 (+13.8 Units) against the money line in October games over the last 3 seasons.
ST LOUIS is 81-61 (+26.2 Units) against the money line in road games when playing with a day off since 1997.
ST LOUIS is 55-40 (+15.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CARPENTER is 12-4 (+9.2 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a winning record in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN FRANCISCO is 5-6 (+0.1 Units) against ST LOUIS this season
6 of 11 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season . (Over=+0.7 Units)

CHRIS CARPENTER vs. SAN FRANCISCO since 1997
CARPENTER is 4-2 when starting against SAN FRANCISCO with an ERA of 3.63 and a WHIP of 1.368.
His team's record is 6-3 (+1.4 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 4-5. (-1.6 units)

RYAN VOGELSONG vs. ST LOUIS since 1997
VOGELSONG is 2-4 when starting against ST LOUIS with an ERA of 5.75 and a WHIP of 1.417.
His team's record is 2-5 (-3.0 units) in these starts. The UNDER is 3-4. (-1.3 units)

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MLB
Short Sheet

Sunday, October 21

National League

NL Championship Series, Game Six (St. Louis Leads, 3-2)
St. Louis at San Francisco, 7:35 ET FOX
Carpenter: St. Louis 15-6 Over playing with rest
Vogelsong: 12-3 TSR after allowing 1 or 0 ER's last start




MLB
Armadillo's Write-Up

Sunday, October 21

Carpenter is 1-3, 4.05 in five starts this year, giving up five runs (two earned) in four IP vs San Francisco in Monday's Game 2. He allowed two runs in five IP in only start against the Giants LY. He was 4-0, 3.25 in his six postseason starts LY. Vogelsong is 3-0, 1.86 in his last five starts, allowing one run in his seven IP in Game 2- he's allowed one run in 14 IP vs St Louis this year. San Francisco lost three of its last four home games; seven of their last ten games overall went over the total. Cardinals won seven of last ten road games; six of their last nine games overall went over the total.




MLB

Sunday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

7:37 PM
ST. LOUIS vs. SAN FRANCISCO
St. Louis is 15-7 SU in its last 22 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of St. Louis's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of San Francisco's last 7 games
San Francisco is 10-5 SU in its last 15 games at home


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MLB

Sunday, October 21

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
NLCS betting preview: Cardinals at Giants
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St. Louis Cardinals at San Francisco Giants (-115, 6.5)

St. Louis leads series 3-2.

The St. Louis Cardinals have blown a 3-1 lead in a postseason series three times in their history, but they’re not thinking about that as they head west for the rest of the National League Championship Series. Instead, St. Louis is looking to rebound from a 5-0 loss in Game 5 that trimmed their series lead to 3-2 with Game 6 looming on Sunday. The San Francisco Giants proved they can win the hard way after taking three straight against Cincinnati to capture the NL Division Series, and they have Ryan Vogelsong and Matt Cain lined up to start the final two games of the NLCS. Pablo Sandoval has homered in each of his last two games, and he’s hitting .310 (13-for-42) with three home runs in 10 postseason games.

The Cardinals are seeking more offensive consistency after batting .198 through the first three games of the series and going 0-for-7 with runners in scoring position in Game 5. While Matt Holliday went 0-for-4 with three strikeouts on Friday, Carlos Beltran had a double and a stolen base after missing Game 4 with a strained left knee. The Giants are also hoping to get more production from the heart of their order, starting with MVP candidate Buster Posey, who is 3-for-18 with three walks in the NLCS. Hunter Pence and Gregor Blanco have both struggled this postseason, but manager Bruce Bochy has been reluctant to replace either outfielder with Xavier Nady. Pence is one of the Giants' clubhouse leaders, but he's hitting just .154 (6-for-39) in the playoffs.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, FOX

WEATHER: Forecasts are calling for temperatures in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies. Winds will blow out to right field at 11 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (1-1, 1.86 ERA) vs. Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (1-0, 1.50)

Carpenter is looking to redeem himself after allowing five runs (two earned) over four innings against the Giants in Game 2. Pence is 5-for-28 with seven strikeouts against Carpenter, who is 4-1 with a 3.57 ERA in eight career starts against San Francisco. Carpenter, who is one win shy of tying Greg Maddux and Curt Schilling for the fifth-most playoff victories in history (11), missed the first 150 games of the season with a right shoulder injury.

Vogelsong has been a pleasant surprise this postseason, posting a 1.50 ERA and allowing only seven hits in 12 innings over two starts. He gave up one run over seven frames in Game 2, and he threw seven scoreless innings in a 15-0 win at Busch Stadium on Aug. 8. Yadier Molina is 3-for-14 and Beltran is 6-for-13 with a home run against Vogelsong, who finished the regular season with a 0.53 ERA over his final three starts.

TRENDS:

* Cardinals are 8-0 in their last eight games following a loss.
* Giants are 4-1 in Vogelsong’s last five starts.
* Over is 5-0 in Cardinals’ last five playoff games as an underdog.
* Over is 8-0 in Giants’ last eight playoff home games.

UMP TRENDS- Jerry Layne:

* Over is 10-2 in Layne’s last 12 games behind home plate.
* Cardinals are 9-1 in their last 10 games with Layne behind home plate.
* Road team is 15-6 in Layne’s last 21 games behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. The Giants are looking to become the seventh team to win a League Championship Series after trailing 3-1 since the best-of-seven format was adopted in 1985.

2. Carpenter has started with a chance for his team to clinch a playoff series four times in his career, with the Cardinals going 3-1. He has a 1.93 ERA in those starts over 28 innings.

3. The Giants are 4-1 when scoring four or more runs in the postseason and 1-4 when scoring three runs or fewer.


------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-22-12 01:20 AM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 10543

Sunday, October 21

Game Score Status Pick Amount

St. Louis - 7:30 PM ET San Francisco -114 500

San Francisco - Over 6.5 500




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-22-12 01:22 AM
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