The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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New York City FC at New England Revolution (1:30 p.m. ET)
Moneyline Odds: New England +155, NYC FC +190, Draw +255
NYC FC are the first club to three wins, sitting on a perfect record and currently at the top of the league with nine points. Two of their victories came at home, and they also earned a nice 2-0 shutout in Portland on opening weekend. The Revolution lost their season opener in Philadelphia but bounced back with a 2-1 stoppage time win over Colorado in their next match.
Recent comments from New England players suggest that the squad is happy to have moved on from head coach Jay Heaps to Brad Friedel. A coaching change may be just what they need, but they do have the longest odds to win the MLS Cup at 70-1. On the positive side, they still have talent on the roster and they’ve always been strong at home. NYC FC are missing some key players, like David Villa, due to injuries and international duty and will be shorthanded compared to the full-strength Revs. While I don’t trust New England on the road yet, I’m comfortable taking them to win at home while healthy, so +155 on the Revs is where I’m going.
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03-24-18 01:30 PM |
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msudogs
Moderator
Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535
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Minnesota United at New York Red Bulls (7 p.m. ET)
Moneyline Odds: NY Red Bulls -280, Minnesota United +790, Draw +475
Minnesota United are off to a hot 2-0-1 start to the season, which puts them tied atop the Western Conference. Despite their strong showing, their odds to win at the Red Bulls have increased from +590 to +790. What makes the movement even more curious is that nearly 40% of offshore tickets have taken Minnesota, yet the line is moving away from them. This is a great indication that sharper money has taken the Red Bulls to win at home, where they’re now up to -280.
Sharp bettors don’t seem to mind that NY will be missing a quartet of players due to national team duty (Tyler Adams, Kemar Lawrence, Michael Murillo and Fidel Escobar). And despite that, the Red Bulls should be able to score against Minnesota. The Loons have conceded in all three matches this season and allow a ton of shots, even against three weak opponents to start the year. At -280 most of the line value is gone, but I expect the Red Bulls to come away with an easy win, so the -1.5 goal line may be a better wager at even money.
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03-25-18 12:08 AM |
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Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375
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3* Colorado vs Kansas City Over 2.5 +121
These two teams have averaged just 2 GPG in last 5 meetings, but are improved with scoring this season,so +121 looks like a solid value to me.
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03-25-18 01:47 AM |
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Traderpro
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375
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MLS was interesting yesterday Gary, 4 Draws in 6 matches!
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03-25-18 02:20 PM |
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