Umpires
National League
Cin-Phil: Under is 5-3 in last eight Danley games.
NY-Pitt: Underdogs are 4-4 (+$180) in Blaser games.
SD-Wsh: Underdogs won three of last five Estabrook games.
Az-Mil: Last three Gibson games stayed under the total.
StL-Col: Under is 3-1-1 in last five Tumpane games.
Chi-LA: Home team won four of last five HGibson games.
Atl-SF: Home team won four of last five Hoberg games.
American League
Tex-Tor: Underdogs won six of last eight West games.
A’s-NY: Four of last six Little games stayed under.
KC-Clev: Last eight BWelke games went over the total.
Sea-Bos: Over is 5-3 in last eight Dreckman games.
Det-Chi: Three of last four Lentz games went over.
TB-Minn: Favorites won last four Torres games.
Balt-Hst: Over is 7-2 in Muchlinski games this season.
Interleague
LAA-Mia: Four of last six Conroy games stayed under.
One of the most profitable strategies in sports betting is to fade the public. Betting against the public works for full MLB games as well as for 1st 5 Innings bets.
To build our contrarian 1st 5 Innings system we will begin by looking at just the favorites. Blindly betting favorites or underdogs has been a losing proposition but moneyline favorites have performed better.
MLB 1st 5 Innings moneyline favorites receiving 40% or less of the bets that have seen negative line movement have gone 849-510 (62.5%) ML, +35.6 units since 2009.
Nats 89% w/92% of $'s
Astros 84% w/71% of $'s
Tigers G1 82% w/99% of $'s
Padres +105
Orioles -130
W Sox -130
Favoring: BALTIMORE against the spread.
WADE MILEY is 25-6 (+16 Units) against the run line as an underdog when the run line price is -190 to +165 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILEY 5.6, OPPONENT 4.6
Saturday, 05/27/2017 (961) ST LOUIS vs. (962) COLORADO
Favoring: ST LOUIS on the run line.
Play Against - All favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (COLORADO) - after allowing 2 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games
(66-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +44.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0 +6 units).