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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

Umpires
National League
Cin-Phil: Under is 5-3 in last eight Danley games.
NY-Pitt: Underdogs are 4-4 (+$180) in Blaser games.
SD-Wsh: Underdogs won three of last five Estabrook games.
Az-Mil: Last three Gibson games stayed under the total.
StL-Col: Under is 3-1-1 in last five Tumpane games.
Chi-LA: Home team won four of last five HGibson games.
Atl-SF: Home team won four of last five Hoberg games.

American League
Tex-Tor: Underdogs won six of last eight West games.
A’s-NY: Four of last six Little games stayed under.
KC-Clev: Last eight BWelke games went over the total.
Sea-Bos: Over is 5-3 in last eight Dreckman games.
Det-Chi: Three of last four Lentz games went over.
TB-Minn: Favorites won last four Torres games.
Balt-Hst: Over is 7-2 in Muchlinski games this season.

Interleague
LAA-Mia: Four of last six Conroy games stayed under.

Old Post 05-27-17 07:14 PM
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msudogs
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One of the most profitable strategies in sports betting is to fade the public. Betting against the public works for full MLB games as well as for 1st 5 Innings bets.

To build our contrarian 1st 5 Innings system we will begin by looking at just the favorites. Blindly betting favorites or underdogs has been a losing proposition but moneyline favorites have performed better.

MLB 1st 5 Innings moneyline favorites receiving 40% or less of the bets that have seen negative line movement have gone 849-510 (62.5%) ML, +35.6 units since 2009.

Old Post 05-27-17 07:18 PM
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msudogs
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Top 3

MLB RL Public Plays

Nats 89% w/92% of $'s
Astros 84% w/71% of $'s
Tigers G1 82% w/99% of $'s

Padres +105
Orioles -130
W Sox -130

Favoring: BALTIMORE against the spread.
WADE MILEY is 25-6 (+16 Units) against the run line as an underdog when the run line price is -190 to +165 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILEY 5.6, OPPONENT 4.6

Old Post 05-27-17 07:40 PM
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msudogs
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anyone ?

looking at the Marlins ?

Old Post 05-27-17 07:45 PM
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msudogs
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wagers on the Angels, $'s on the Angels, yet a drop on the ML? what gives, anyone know ?

Old Post 05-27-17 07:48 PM
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Brutus5775
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Registered: Dec 2005
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Have no idea but played the Tribe and Milwaukee for dble units
Nbl




My Goal is to Make Money Not Gamble !!

Old Post 05-27-17 07:50 PM
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msudogs
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Brutus5775

of course i had to play the Tribe total today, let's enjoy
GL

Old Post 05-27-17 07:52 PM
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msudogs
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Despite Salazar owning a 5.55 ERA and giving up 10 HRs in his last 5 starts, the Indians are big faves today.

Old Post 05-27-17 08:10 PM
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msudogs
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Padres/Nats Total

we have 40/60 on the wagers, yet 16/84 of the $'s on the under , a good sign
GL

Old Post 05-27-17 08:16 PM
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msudogs
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with the Yankees F5 win with Little improving on a 7-1 run

Old Post 05-27-17 09:50 PM
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msudogs
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Padres/Nats Total update

we have 47/53 on the wagers, yet 21/79 of the $'s on the under

juice has increased

Old Post 05-27-17 09:56 PM
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msudogs
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Heavy

Mariners/Red Sox Splits on 10'

86/14 & a HUGE 98/2 $'s

Old Post 05-27-17 10:04 PM
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msudogs
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Zack Attack ?

Not only is Zack Greinke 16-2 at Miller Park, but he's won all four of his May starts for Arizona.

Old Post 05-27-17 10:16 PM
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msudogs
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let's see

the Marlins went to a fave, hmmmm
GL

Old Post 05-27-17 10:45 PM
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msudogs
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TraderPro

i posted a nice play for you tonight, still looks fairly well
GL

Old Post 05-27-17 10:48 PM
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msudogs
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$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$$

update

Favoring: Under on the total.
YU DARVISH is 19-3 UNDER (+15.6 Units) against AL East opponents

Old Post 05-27-17 10:54 PM
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msudogs
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Wow Kipnis just missed a Grand Slam, F5 OVER would have cashed but missed HR by an inch ...

Old Post 05-27-17 11:39 PM
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Zac

your favorite people are on the Dodgers tonight
GL

Old Post 05-27-17 11:45 PM
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Welke falls to 8-1 F5 over

Old Post 05-27-17 11:49 PM
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msudogs
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Saturday, 05/27/2017 (961) ST LOUIS vs. (962) COLORADO
Favoring: ST LOUIS on the run line.
Play Against - All favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (COLORADO) - after allowing 2 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games
(66-17 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +44.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (6-0 +6 units).

Old Post 05-28-17 12:06 AM
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