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playtowin
Restricted User
Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 8329
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ADDING
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied 1-game-all @ HH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team tied 1-game-all with site order HH (Chicago) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 289-231 (.556)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 63-40 (.612)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 146-123 (.543)
series record, NHL only, Finals round: 16-7 (.696)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 253-267 (.487)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 53-50 (.515)
Game 3 record, NHL only, all rounds: 136-133 (.506)
Game 3 record, NHL only, Finals round: 12-11 (.522)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WL:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied WL irrespective of site order (Chicago) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 278-277 (.501)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 57-56 (.504)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 129-145 (.471)
series record, NHL only, Finals round: 13-12 (.520)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 301-254 (.542)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 69-44 (.611)
Game 3 record, NHL only, all rounds: 137-137 (.500)
Game 3 record, NHL only, Finals round: 13-12 (.520)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
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06-17-13 08:39 PM |
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playtowin
Restricted User
Registered: Apr 2006
Posts: 8329
|
ADDING
HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied WL @ HH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied WL with site order HH (Chicago) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 146-122 (.545)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 34-24 (.586)
series record, NHL only, all rounds: 70-68 (.507)
series record, NHL only, Finals round: 9-5 (.643)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 140-128 (.522)
Game 3 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 34-24 (.586)
Game 3 record, NHL only, all rounds: 70-68 (.507)
Game 3 record, NHL only, Finals round: 7-7 (.500)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.
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06-17-13 08:40 PM |
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