Saturday, 05/18/2019 (955) NY METS vs. (956) MIAMI
Favoring: MIAMI on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (MIAMI) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest
(30-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.4%, +30.5 units. Rating=5*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1 -1 units).

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (955) NY METS vs. (956) MIAMI
Favoring: MIAMI on the money line.
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +125 or more (MIAMI) - poor power team - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game on the season against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest
(33-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +33.2 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-1 -1 units).

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (955) NY METS vs. (956) MIAMI
Favoring: MIAMI on the run line.
Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+215 to -130) (MIAMI) - poor NL hitting team (AVG <=.250) against a team with a below average bullpen (ERA >=4.50), playing on Saturday
(37-8 since 1997.) (82.2%, +28.5 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (2-0 +2.4 units).

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (955) NY METS vs. (956) MIAMI
Favoring: MIAMI on the run line.
Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+215 to -130) (MIAMI) - with a team slugging percentage .400 or worse on the season (NL) against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest
(38-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (77.6%, +27.1 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-0 0 units).

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (971) BALTIMORE vs. (972) CLEVELAND
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - Road teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (BALTIMORE) - cold hitting team - batting .230 or worse over their last 15 games, starting a pitcher who gave up 1 or less earned runs last outing
(79-32 over the last 5 seasons.) (71.2%, +44.6 units. Rating=4*)
The situation's record this season is: (4-2 +1.9 units).

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (969) OAKLAND vs. (970) DETROIT
Favoring: Over on the total.
Play Over - All teams where the total is 9 to 9.5 (DETROIT) - ice cold hitting team - batting .225 or worse over their last 15 games, in May games
(58-24 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.7%, +32.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (13-7 +5.5 units).

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (977) MINNESOTA vs. (978) SEATTLE
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - Road teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - good power team - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game on the season against opponent starting a over rested pitcher who is working on 7 or more days rest
(98-48 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.1%, +45.4 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (7-5 +1.4 units).

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (973) HOUSTON vs. (974) BOSTON
Favoring: Under on the total.
Play Under - All teams where the total is 10 or higher (BOSTON) - with a winning record on the season playing another winning team, playing on Saturday
(42-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (72.4%, +25.5 units. Rating=3*)
The situation's record this season is: (0-2 -2.2 units).

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (965) TAMPA BAY vs. (966) NY YANKEES
Favoring: NY YANKEES on the money line.
TAMPA BAY is 2-11 (-16.7 Units) against the money line after a game where the bullpen threw 6 or more innings this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 2.8, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (979) ST LOUIS vs. (980) TEXAS
Favoring: TEXAS on the money line.
TEXAS is 11-2 (+13.3 Units) against the money line in home games vs. a team with a very good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.250 or better this season.
The average score was TEXAS 6.7, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (953) LA DODGERS vs. (954) CINCINNATI
Favoring: CINCINNATI on the money line.
LA DODGERS are 16-29 (-25.3 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher who is winless after 5 or more starts since 1997.
The average score was LA DODGERS 4.1, OPPONENT 4.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (971) BALTIMORE vs. (972) CLEVELAND
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
CLEVELAND is 2-14 (-14.4 Units) against the money line vs. an AL starting pitcher whose ERA is 2.90 or better over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 3.1, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (971) BALTIMORE vs. (972) CLEVELAND
Favoring: CLEVELAND against the spread.
BALTIMORE is 4-15 (-17.5 Units) against the run line on the road when the run line is (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 2.9, OPPONENT 6.2 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (965) TAMPA BAY vs. (966) NY YANKEES
Favoring: TAMPA BAY against the spread.
TAMPA BAY is 30-11 (+19.4 Units) against the run line when playing against a top-level team (Win Pct. > 62%) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 3.6, OPPONENT 3.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (961) PITTSBURGH vs. (962) SAN DIEGO
Favoring: PITTSBURGH against the spread.
PITTSBURGH is 11-0 (+11.6 Units) against the run line after having lost 2 of their last 3 games this season.
The average score was PITTSBURGH 3.5, OPPONENT 2.5 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (957) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (958) WASHINGTON
Favoring: CHICAGO CUBS against the spread.
WASHINGTON is 1-10 (-11.6 Units) against the run line vs. a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 2.6, OPPONENT 6.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (953) LA DODGERS vs. (954) CINCINNATI
Favoring: Under on the total.
CINCINNATI is 17-3 UNDER (+13.8 Units) vs. good power teams - averaging 1.25 or more HR's/game this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 3.1, OPPONENT 3.2 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (953) LA DODGERS vs. (954) CINCINNATI
Favoring: Under on the total.
CINCINNATI is 14-3 UNDER (+10.9 Units) vs. a team with a poor bullpen whose ERA is 4.20 or worse this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 2.5, OPPONENT 2.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (969) OAKLAND vs. (970) DETROIT
Favoring: Over on the total.
OAKLAND is 13-2 OVER (+10.6 Units) after 2 or more consecutive road games this season.
The average score was OAKLAND 6.6, OPPONENT 5.4 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (951) COLORADO vs. (952) PHILADELPHIA
Favoring: Over on the total.
COLORADO is 11-1 OVER (+10 Units) in May games this season.
The average score was COLORADO 7.4, OPPONENT 6.8 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (957) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (958) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
STEPHEN STRASBURG is 11-0 OVER (+11.1 Units) in home games vs. poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STRASBURG 4.8, OPPONENT 6.5 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (957) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (958) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
STEPHEN STRASBURG is 14-2 OVER (+11.7 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STRASBURG 4.7, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (957) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (958) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
STEPHEN STRASBURG is 14-2 OVER (+11.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STRASBURG 4.7, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/18/2019 (957) CHICAGO CUBS vs. (958) WASHINGTON
Favoring: Over on the total.
STEPHEN STRASBURG is 14-2 OVER (+11.7 Units) as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was STRASBURG 4.7, OPPONENT 5.9 - (Rating = 3*)

Most Lopsided MLB Bets

85% on Dodgers (-150) at CIN
80% on Mets (-115) at MIA
78% on Twins (-130) at SEA

The Athletics and Rays have been the two most profitable teams against southpaws since the beginning of the 2018 season. A $100 bettor would show a 17.4% return on their investment.

New York Mets @ Miami Marlins
4:10 p.m. ET
Sharp angle: Marlins (moved from +121 to +107)

2019 hasn’t been the breakthrough year that many expected from the Mets (yet, at least), but it has been nowhere near the disaster that’s taking place at the bottom of the NL East standings. The Marlins’ 11-31 record puts them on pace for … 42 wins.

So it’s not too surprising to see 78% of bettors jumping at the chance to fade the Fish this afternoon, especially at a relatively short Mets price (opened -131). What is a bit surprising, though, is how this line has moved since it was released.

Despite their support, the Mets have fallen to -116 as sharp bettors on the Marlins have convinced oddsmakers to drop their line from +121 to +107

A's win vs a LH !

Tampa Bay Rays at New York Yankees
Umpire: Lance Barksdale

Home Record: 268-177, 60.2% (+46.17 units)
Under Record: 234-186, 55.7% (+33.93 units)
Odds: Rays -150
Total: 9
Time: 1:05 p.m. EST
Projected Wind: Right to Leftfield, 11 mph

With James Paxton on the shelf, the Yankees will go with a bullpen game on Sunday afternoon, using Chad Green as “the opener.” On the other side, Charlie Morton has collected three quality starts in his past four games and has made a habit out of making Yankees look silly at the plate.

This line opened with Tampa Bay listed as a -145 favorite. Despite receiving 60% of bets, the line has fallen to -110. Why would the books hand out a better number to Average Joes when they’re already on the Rays?

and just like that we have a line flip
GL

After opening at +130 odds, Yankees are now -110 favorites against the Rays.
GL

It’s a rare opportunity to get the Astros and Yankees as underdogs on the same day, but Chris Sale is coming off of a monstrous 17 strikeout performance where he looked unhittable in his last outing, the Astros and Reds both rank in the top 5 in wOBA against left-handed pitching

Rangers SP Drew Smyly
The Pick: Under 5.0 (-114)

Smyly has been awful this season, pitching to a 5.42 xFIP and 9.7% K-BB%. And through five starts this season, Smyly has averaged just 4.64 innings pitched and has only made it to five innings once.

With the Cardinals implied for 6.2 runs, and their projected lineup sporting a 21.2% strikeout rate and .347 wOBA over the past 12 months against lefties, it’s hard to imagine he lasts very long in this game.

got lucky with the Yankees
GL

U 5 K's cashes as well, as stated he didn't make it past the 4th
GL