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brian_n_bama
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Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

Straight up winner 8-2
ATS winner 6-4

Nevada +8.5 vs Arizona (14-6) -- WINNER
Utah State -10.5 vs Toledo (12-8) -- WINNER
BYU -3 vs San Diego State (12-8) -- WINNER
UCF -7 vs Ball State (11-8-1) -- WINNER
East Carolina +6 vs La-Lafayette (11-8-1) -- LOSER
Boise State -5.5 vs Washington (14-6) -- LOSER
Fresno State -13 vs SMU (11-9) -- LOSER
Central Michigan +6 vs Western Kentucky (11-8-1) -- WINNER
Bowling Green +7 vs San Jose State (12-8) -- LOSER
Cincinnati -9.5 vs Duke (11-9) -- WINNER
Baylor +3 vs UCLA (13-5-2)
La-Monroe -7 vs Ohio (13-6-1)
Virginia Tech -2 vs Rutgers (15-3-2)
Texas Tech -13 vs Minnesota (13-7)
Rice +3 vs Air Force (9-8-3)
Navy +14.5 vs Arizona State (13-7)
West Virginia -3.5 vs Syracuse (11-9)
Texas +3 vs Oregon State (15-5)
TCU -2.5 vs Michigan State (11-9)
Vanderbilt -7 vs NC State (15-5)
Georgia Tech +9 vs USC (14-6)
Tulsa +1 vs Iowa State (14-6)
LSU -5 vs Clemson (10-9-1)
Purdue +16.5 vs Oklahoma State (13-7)
Northwestern +1.5 vs Mississippi State (15-5)
Nebraska +10 vs Georgia (16-4)
South Carolina -6 vs Michigan (10-10)
Oklahoma +4.5 vs Texas A&M (11-9)
Pittsburgh +3.5 vs Mississippi (17-3)
Arkansas State -4 vs Kent State (11-9)
Wisconsin +6.5 vs Stanford (10-10)
Florida State -13 vs Northern Illinois (10-10)
Florida -13.5 vs Louisville (11-9)
Kansas State +9.5 vs Oregon (17-3)
Alabama -10 vs Notre Dame (10-6-4)

Old Post 12-28-12 04:24 AM
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Primetime21


Registered: Nov 2011
Posts: 368

let me help a bit

Straight up winner 9-2
ATS winner 7-4

Nevada +8.5 vs Arizona (14-6) -- WINNER
Utah State -10.5 vs Toledo (12-8) -- WINNER
BYU -3 vs San Diego State (12-8) -- WINNER
UCF -7 vs Ball State (11-8-1) -- WINNER
East Carolina +6 vs La-Lafayette (11-8-1) -- LOSER
Boise State -5.5 vs Washington (14-6) -- LOSER
Fresno State -13 vs SMU (11-9) -- LOSER
Central Michigan +6 vs Western Kentucky (11-8-1) -- WINNER
Bowling Green +7 vs San Jose State (12-8) -- LOSER
Cincinnati -9.5 vs Duke (11-9) -- WINNER
Baylor +3 vs UCLA (13-5-2) -- WINNER
La-Monroe -7 vs Ohio (13-6-1)
Virginia Tech -2 vs Rutgers (15-3-2)
Texas Tech -13 vs Minnesota (13-7)
Rice +3 vs Air Force (9-8-3)
Navy +14.5 vs Arizona State (13-7)
West Virginia -3.5 vs Syracuse (11-9)
Texas +3 vs Oregon State (15-5)
TCU -2.5 vs Michigan State (11-9)
Vanderbilt -7 vs NC State (15-5)
Georgia Tech +9 vs USC (14-6)
Tulsa +1 vs Iowa State (14-6)
LSU -5 vs Clemson (10-9-1)
Purdue +16.5 vs Oklahoma State (13-7)
Northwestern +1.5 vs Mississippi State (15-5)
Nebraska +10 vs Georgia (16-4)
South Carolina -6 vs Michigan (10-10)
Oklahoma +4.5 vs Texas A&M (11-9)
Pittsburgh +3.5 vs Mississippi (17-3)
Arkansas State -4 vs Kent State (11-9)
Wisconsin +6.5 vs Stanford (10-10)
Florida State -13 vs Northern Illinois (10-10)
Florida -13.5 vs Louisville (11-9)
Kansas State +9.5 vs Oregon (17-3)
Alabama -10 vs Notre Dame (10-6-4)

Old Post 12-28-12 08:43 AM
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brian_n_bama
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Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

Thanks, PT. Strange day as Bowling Green should have been a winner, but there's no way Cincy should have covered. I could use more winners like Baylor...never any doubt about that one.

Old Post 12-28-12 03:16 PM
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kctatum
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 2436

Hey Brian, does your sim calculate players out? with Matt Barkley out for USC just wondering if it goes up at all? i show it still at 9-10 at books.

also nice day 2-1 yesterday..

Old Post 12-28-12 03:40 PM
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wildcat76
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 6147

I like this system here

Old Post 12-29-12 08:01 PM
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kcgreene06
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Registered: Dec 2008
Posts: 6186

Nice Job Brian! Good luck the rest of the way!!

Old Post 12-29-12 09:08 PM
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brian_n_bama
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

Straight up winner 13-5
ATS winner 10-8
15-5 or better 2-0
13-7 or better 4-4

Nevada +8.5 vs Arizona (14-6) -- WINNER
Utah State -10.5 vs Toledo (12-8) -- WINNER
BYU -3 vs San Diego State (12-8) -- WINNER
UCF -7 vs Ball State (11-8-1) -- WINNER
East Carolina +6 vs La-Lafayette (11-8-1) -- LOSER
Boise State -5.5 vs Washington (14-6) -- LOSER
Fresno State -13 vs SMU (11-9) -- LOSER
Central Michigan +6 vs Western Kentucky (11-8-1) -- WINNER
Bowling Green +7 vs San Jose State (12-8) -- LOSER
Cincinnati -9.5 vs Duke (11-9) -- WINNER
Baylor +3 vs UCLA (13-5-2) -- WINNER
La-Monroe -7 vs Ohio (13-6-1) -- LOSER
Virginia Tech Pk vs Rutgers (18-2) -- WINNER
Texas Tech -13 vs Minnesota (13-7) -- LOSER
Rice +3 vs Air Force (9-8-3) -- WINNER
Navy +14.5 vs Arizona State (13-7) -- LOSER
West Virginia -3.5 vs Syracuse (11-9) -- LOSER
Texas +3 vs Oregon State (15-5) -- WINNER
TCU -2.5 vs Michigan State (11-9)
Vanderbilt -7 vs NC State (15-5)
Georgia Tech +9 vs USC (14-6)
Tulsa +1 vs Iowa State (14-6)
LSU -5 vs Clemson (10-9-1)
Purdue +16.5 vs Oklahoma State (13-7)
Northwestern +1.5 vs Mississippi State (15-5)
Nebraska +10 vs Georgia (16-4)
South Carolina -6 vs Michigan (10-10)
Oklahoma +4.5 vs Texas A&M (11-9)
Pittsburgh +3.5 vs Mississippi (17-3)
Arkansas State -4 vs Kent State (11-9)
Wisconsin +6.5 vs Stanford (10-10)
Florida State -13 vs Northern Illinois (10-10)
Florida -13.5 vs Louisville (11-9)
Kansas State +9.5 vs Oregon (17-3)
Alabama -10 vs Notre Dame (10-6-4)

Old Post 12-30-12 07:03 AM
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brian_n_bama
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

Straight up winner 13-6
ATS winner 10-9
15-5 or better 2-0
13-7 or better 4-4

Nevada +8.5 vs Arizona (14-6) -- WINNER
Utah State -10.5 vs Toledo (12-8) -- WINNER
BYU -3 vs San Diego State (12-8) -- WINNER
UCF -7 vs Ball State (11-8-1) -- WINNER
East Carolina +6 vs La-Lafayette (11-8-1) -- LOSER
Boise State -5.5 vs Washington (14-6) -- LOSER
Fresno State -13 vs SMU (11-9) -- LOSER
Central Michigan +6 vs Western Kentucky (11-8-1) -- WINNER
Bowling Green +7 vs San Jose State (12-8) -- LOSER
Cincinnati -9.5 vs Duke (11-9) -- WINNER
Baylor +3 vs UCLA (13-5-2) -- WINNER
La-Monroe -7 vs Ohio (13-6-1) -- LOSER
Virginia Tech Pk vs Rutgers (18-2) -- WINNER
Texas Tech -13 vs Minnesota (13-7) -- LOSER
Rice +3 vs Air Force (9-8-3) -- WINNER
Navy +14.5 vs Arizona State (13-7) -- LOSER
West Virginia -3.5 vs Syracuse (11-9) -- LOSER
Texas +3 vs Oregon State (15-5) -- WINNER
TCU -2.5 vs Michigan State (11-9) -- LOSER
Vanderbilt -7 vs NC State (15-5)
Georgia Tech +9 vs USC (14-6)
Tulsa +1 vs Iowa State (14-6)
LSU -5 vs Clemson (10-9-1)
Purdue +16.5 vs Oklahoma State (13-7)
Northwestern +1.5 vs Mississippi State (15-5)
Nebraska +10 vs Georgia (16-4)
South Carolina -6 vs Michigan (10-10)
Oklahoma +4.5 vs Texas A&M (11-9)
Pittsburgh +3.5 vs Mississippi (17-3)
Arkansas State -4 vs Kent State (11-9)
Wisconsin +6.5 vs Stanford (10-10)
Florida State -13 vs Northern Illinois (10-10)
Florida -13.5 vs Louisville (11-9)
Kansas State +9.5 vs Oregon (17-3)
Alabama -10 vs Notre Dame (10-6-4)

Old Post 12-30-12 08:00 AM
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Micaiah2004
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2004
Posts: 2474

Brian

Intriguing simulations.
I'll try them. Thanks.




"It's not the thinking that makes the money; its the waiting"--J.Livermore
"Being wrong isn't a choice, but staying wrong is"--S.Stewart
"What everybody else knows, is not
worth knowing"--G.M.Loeb

"...mastery is something a man never stops seeking to attain." M. Musashi

http://adserv.honoluluadvertiser.com/multimedia/UntilThen.swf
http://00f2630.netsolhost.com/farewellmarine.html

Old Post 12-31-12 05:49 AM
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Micaiah2004
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2004
Posts: 2474

Brian

The one factor that the simulation may omit or maybe it does measure it by some proxy is "team/coach motivations".

That factor is most important in these bowl game matchups.




"It's not the thinking that makes the money; its the waiting"--J.Livermore
"Being wrong isn't a choice, but staying wrong is"--S.Stewart
"What everybody else knows, is not
worth knowing"--G.M.Loeb

"...mastery is something a man never stops seeking to attain." M. Musashi

http://adserv.honoluluadvertiser.com/multimedia/UntilThen.swf
http://00f2630.netsolhost.com/farewellmarine.html

Old Post 12-31-12 05:51 AM
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brian_n_bama
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

Team motivation

I completely agree and that is why I would never suggest following these without handicapping the game. These simulations are entirely stats based and doesn't factor in anything else.

Old Post 12-31-12 06:34 AM
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brian_n_bama
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

Straight up winner 14-6
ATS winner 11-9
15-5 or better 3-0
13-7 or better 5-4

Nevada +8.5 vs Arizona (14-6) -- WINNER
Utah State -10.5 vs Toledo (12-8) -- WINNER
BYU -3 vs San Diego State (12-8) -- WINNER
UCF -7 vs Ball State (11-8-1) -- WINNER
East Carolina +6 vs La-Lafayette (11-8-1) -- LOSER
Boise State -5.5 vs Washington (14-6) -- LOSER
Fresno State -13 vs SMU (11-9) -- LOSER
Central Michigan +6 vs Western Kentucky (11-8-1) -- WINNER
Bowling Green +7 vs San Jose State (12-8) -- LOSER
Cincinnati -9.5 vs Duke (11-9) -- WINNER
Baylor +3 vs UCLA (13-5-2) -- WINNER
La-Monroe -7 vs Ohio (13-6-1) -- LOSER
Virginia Tech Pk vs Rutgers (18-2) -- WINNER
Texas Tech -13 vs Minnesota (13-7) -- LOSER
Rice +3 vs Air Force (9-8-3) -- WINNER
Navy +14.5 vs Arizona State (13-7) -- LOSER
West Virginia -3.5 vs Syracuse (11-9) -- LOSER
Texas +3 vs Oregon State (15-5) -- WINNER
TCU -2.5 vs Michigan State (11-9) -- LOSER
Vanderbilt -7 vs NC State (15-5) -- WINNER
Georgia Tech +9 vs USC (14-6)
Tulsa +1 vs Iowa State (14-6)
LSU -5 vs Clemson (10-9-1)
Purdue +16.5 vs Oklahoma State (13-7)
Northwestern +1.5 vs Mississippi State (15-5)
Nebraska +10 vs Georgia (16-4)
South Carolina -6 vs Michigan (10-10)
Oklahoma +4.5 vs Texas A&M (11-9)
Pittsburgh +3.5 vs Mississippi (17-3)
Arkansas State -4 vs Kent State (11-9)
Wisconsin +6.5 vs Stanford (10-10)
Florida State -13 vs Northern Illinois (10-10)
Florida -13.5 vs Louisville (11-9)
Kansas State +9.5 vs Oregon (17-3)
Alabama -10 vs Notre Dame (10-6-4)

Old Post 12-31-12 09:22 PM
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CUBANO
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Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 21143

Looks like we are right back on track.




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Old Post 01-01-13 01:44 AM
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Traderpro
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Registered: Mar 2009
Posts: 4375

Nice

I like these. I play something called Action PC Baseball by DK Sports, but they only put out like 10 teams in Bowl season for Bowl simulations for their Football game.This has all the teams.DK is really a nice baseball sim however for anyone that likes those.

Old Post 01-01-13 02:04 AM
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brian_n_bama
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Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

Traderpro

I have heard of those....the games you speak of are the best simulations around now (from what I have heard). Haffner's were the best years ago.

Old Post 01-01-13 02:29 AM
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Micaiah2004
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2004
Posts: 2474

New Years Eve and you are 3-0 ATS so far

and the last New Years Eve bowl game LSU-Clemson is at HT.

Played 2 of the first 3 bowl games for 12/31/12 and both WINNERS!!!!!

Brian, your simulations make it little easier to "invest" with confidence.

Hope the simulations work for the remaining big bowl games.

Happy New Year, bro!!!!




"It's not the thinking that makes the money; its the waiting"--J.Livermore
"Being wrong isn't a choice, but staying wrong is"--S.Stewart
"What everybody else knows, is not
worth knowing"--G.M.Loeb

"...mastery is something a man never stops seeking to attain." M. Musashi

http://adserv.honoluluadvertiser.com/multimedia/UntilThen.swf
http://00f2630.netsolhost.com/farewellmarine.html

Old Post 01-01-13 03:24 AM
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brian_n_bama
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: May 2005
Posts: 20449

Straight up winner 15-8
ATS winner 13-10
15-5 or better 3-0
13-7 or better 7-4

Nevada +8.5 vs Arizona (14-6) -- WINNER
Utah State -10.5 vs Toledo (12-8) -- WINNER
BYU -3 vs San Diego State (12-8) -- WINNER
UCF -7 vs Ball State (11-8-1) -- WINNER
East Carolina +6 vs La-Lafayette (11-8-1) -- LOSER
Boise State -5.5 vs Washington (14-6) -- LOSER
Fresno State -13 vs SMU (11-9) -- LOSER
Central Michigan +6 vs Western Kentucky (11-8-1) -- WINNER
Bowling Green +7 vs San Jose State (12-8) -- LOSER
Cincinnati -9.5 vs Duke (11-9) -- WINNER
Baylor +3 vs UCLA (13-5-2) -- WINNER
La-Monroe -7 vs Ohio (13-6-1) -- LOSER
Virginia Tech Pk vs Rutgers (18-2) -- WINNER
Texas Tech -13 vs Minnesota (13-7) -- LOSER
Rice +3 vs Air Force (9-8-3) -- WINNER
Navy +14.5 vs Arizona State (13-7) -- LOSER
West Virginia -3.5 vs Syracuse (11-9) -- LOSER
Texas +3 vs Oregon State (15-5) -- WINNER
TCU -2.5 vs Michigan State (11-9) -- LOSER
Vanderbilt -7 vs NC State (15-5) -- WINNER
Georgia Tech +9 vs USC (14-6) -- WINNER
Tulsa +1 vs Iowa State (14-6) -- WINNER
LSU -5 vs Clemson (10-9-1) -- LOSER
Purdue +16.5 vs Oklahoma State (13-7)
Northwestern +1.5 vs Mississippi State (15-5)
Nebraska +10 vs Georgia (16-4)
South Carolina -6 vs Michigan (10-10)
Oklahoma +4.5 vs Texas A&M (11-9)
Pittsburgh +3.5 vs Mississippi (17-3)
Arkansas State -4 vs Kent State (11-9)
Wisconsin +6.5 vs Stanford (10-10)
Florida State -13 vs Northern Illinois (10-10)
Florida -13.5 vs Louisville (11-9)
Kansas State +9.5 vs Oregon (17-3)
Alabama -10 vs Notre Dame (10-6-4)

Old Post 01-01-13 06:47 AM
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CUBANO
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Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 21143

Brian

Am I just not seeing Stanford/Wisconsin?




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Old Post 01-01-13 05:53 PM
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kctatum
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 2436

the Wisk/Stan game is there out of order. the line has dropped to -3.5 does that change the SIM at all? i had liked Wisc when it got close to 7 but now at 3 i am liking Stanford

Old Post 01-01-13 06:26 PM
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CUBANO
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Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 21143

Saw it. Thanks




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Old Post 01-01-13 06:35 PM
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