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lippsman
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 10835

4-25-15 Hockey thread, picks and a whole lot more

USC, you just keep being crazy !!

The Rangers close things out, look for a coaching change next season in Penland. Maybe pencil Babcock in there. The Sens have told the Habs they will not roll over. The Wild are taking the Blues to the brink, Dubnyk (Wild goaltender) is either off or on, there is no inbetween. Bounced back from a horrible game to just playing stellar last night.

If the Blues tank again this year there will probably be major changes there. This would be 3 years in a row they were knocked out in the first round and 1 out of the last 12 seasons they didn't make the playoffs or didn't get past the first round

Chicago and Calgary can both close things out tonight at home, being up 3-2. In this situation home teams get it done more often than not. When teams are at home with a chance to close out in this situation, win at around a 61% rate, although the preliminary round is a bit lower at 59%

What about the Isles trying to stave off elimination at home for game 6 ? Well historically it's a bit less less than 50%. They are -125 faves, so not really a good spot to take them.

How about TB being tied 2-2 with a chance to go up at home. Well that is a very nice 63% clip. And with TB coming back to stun the Wings like they did last game I really like this wager. Now also it's very telling that the books have TB at a huge -190 clip. If you are a value player TB should not be this big of a fave. If you are going by the 63% historical clip then its major value by taking the +170.

But remember you have to cap each game and just use this info as a tool.

But also remember, if you ignore history you will be defeated by it .

puckslug 1-0 (3-0 run)
usc1990 1-0 (81-50 run)


Brutus5775 2-1 (108-63 run)
Zac 0-1 (18-10 run +9.05)
fulkgl 0-1 (193-145 run, Up +28.69)

Did not make pick (Come on it's the playoffs !!)

Washington at N.Y. Islanders 3:00 pm NBC
Detroit at Tampa Bay 6:00 pm NBCS
Nashville at Chicago 8:00 pm NBC
Vancouver at Calgary 9:00 pm NBCS

Old Post 04-25-15 04:11 PM
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Brutus5775
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 5388

Tampa Bay
Calgary
Chic Over

Like Washington but staying away

NBL




My Goal is to Make Money Not Gamble !!

Old Post 04-25-15 06:24 PM
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fulkgl
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2005
Posts: 2093

nas chi ov5-130

Old Post 04-25-15 06:38 PM
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Brutus5775
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 5388

Forgot to put wash over...four plays total




My Goal is to Make Money Not Gamble !!

Old Post 04-25-15 06:43 PM
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usc1990
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6863

Washington +110

Caps taking over the series. I don't see the Islanders taking the next two.


YTD: 9-3 (+13.4)

Old Post 04-25-15 07:17 PM
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puckslug
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Registered: Nov 2013
Posts: 1660

Washington +105
Detroit +161
Vancouver +110

playoffs -5.3167




the first rule of making money is to not lose it.

Old Post 04-25-15 07:18 PM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 65535

0-0-2

will try a total again tonight, this one has been funky this afternoon, so i'll give it a try....

Canucks/Flames over 5

Old Post 04-25-15 11:20 PM
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bostonshamrock
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2636

bolts -1 -115
hawks -1 +120
flames -120

good luck

playoffs 3-4 -.45

Old Post 04-25-15 11:32 PM
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Zac
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 15654

Tampa Bay -1 (-108)
Chicago -1 (+113)
Vancouver +114

Good luck.

Playoffs: 11-7 + 3.2 units.

Old Post 04-25-15 11:46 PM
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fulkgl
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Registered: Mar 2005
Posts: 2093

it's nice when your over hits and your still in the first period.

Old Post 04-26-15 03:59 AM
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