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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

super bowl

greetings my brothers in the den
it has been far to long that i have been away
ont eh one hand
u didnt miss much as i have had a rather pedestrian year
didnt lose
but didnt exactly stick it to the man as i have done so often in the past
for those of u that recall
i did have my single greatest wagering day ever last year as i invested most of my football winnings and it played out nicely
when the seahawks beat old man manning

this year
it does not appear on face valu to b quite so easy

the greatest coach ever going against the brash cheater from usc
one of the greatest qbs ever going against a 3rd round pick who tranferred from nc st to wisconsin
not exactly football powerhouses
a freak te who poses huge matchup mismatches....
wow
the patriots
the next thing to the steel curtain
making i believe their 6th super appearance

Old Post 01-31-15 11:03 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

ironically however
they r 2-3 in those appearances
and may have cheated in one of them
shocker
those upright boys from ne would never violate the ethics of the game would they ?

in any event
the patriots completely rolled the colts last time out
and the defending champs are lucky to b here as they just barely eked out an overtime win against a qb on one leg

this is what the public perceives
a seahawk team lucky to b here
barely beat a sub 500 carolina panther team
then
they got lucky to win vs the pack and are lucky to b here
meanwhile brady and the hoodie were demolishing the colts
to punch their ticket

Old Post 01-31-15 11:07 PM
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I take advise


Registered: Apr 2013
Posts: 148

Wow welcome back miss your picks all year

Old Post 01-31-15 11:10 PM
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pointmagic
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 6114

drtony,
Are you somehow related to the winged one? It takes me about the same amount of time trying to figure out what your saying as it takes with Bytore.

I think you like the Pats?

GL

Old Post 01-31-15 11:15 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

but

lets look a little closer

personally
i have no love for either of these teams
altho i must say i have softened on my pete carroll and seahawk hatred in general
BECAUSE THEY WON ME SO MUCH FREAKIN MONEY last year
but that was last year

let us look at this year
while some see the seahawks as lucky beating a one legged rogers
and a hapless sub 500 panther team
while the pats were demolishing the colts

i see
the best team in football right now winning despite committing
freakin 5 turnovers against arguably the second best team in football right now
WHO DOES THAT????

i mean 5 turnovers and they still win
while the patriots are a tough footabll team
they r afc tough
they are not nfc tough
and they r going to find that out tomorrow


heres more to help guide u to your wager

russell wilson is 10-0 against super bowl winning qbs in his career
tom brady has won a super bowl

sea is number 1 in total d
the patsies are 13

sea is number 3 in rush d
patsies 9 (i was surprised to see them this high truthfully)

offensively
sea is number 1 rushing the ball
patsies 24th

sea is nu8mber 6 passing the ball
patsies 16th (i didnt realize that either!)

so u get the better defense
and the better offense catching one point if u bet it early like me
or at a pick

personally i see it at seattle -1.5 closer to game

Old Post 01-31-15 11:16 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

want more??????

coutesy mark lawrence

teams in the playoffs after scorong 40 plus points
are 8-33 in the next round

the pats scored 45 last week


also
befroe the game
for u futures players
prior to last weeks games when there were still 4 teams alive
the nfc was favored by 3

so in other words
vegas anticcipating a seahawk -patriot matchup felt seattle should b -3
but after a patriot blowout in deflategate
and seahwaks narrow victorey over pack
now we get a free fg

THANK U VEGAS!!!!!!!!!
truthfully
it shouldnt matter

while this wont b as easy as last year
i dont expect it to b close
unless sherman and thomas are hurt far worse than it appeared despite the 2 week layoff

in case u need more
hank stram had a formula for picking winners in the big game that was quite accurate

basically the main frame

1)allow the fewest points
2)allow the fewest yards
3)allow the least average rushing yards against
4)and rush the highest average ypg

makes sense
dont let othet teams run on u or score
and once u r winning run out the clock and win the game

in the 48 previous super bowls
15 teams have held an advantage in all 4 of those parameters

those teams were 12-3 in the super bowl

seattle holds that advantage over new englan in all 4 categories


well my brtothers in the den

the time to invest is now
invest your seasons wiinnings
enjoy the game and just sit back and watch your money grow!!!!!


also
for those that care to debate
last year many told me i was crazy for betting a rookie qb against the great payton manning
and feel free to tell me where i am wrong
or why u think the pats will win
but
other than for the point of discourse
it will b futile since
my bets r in !!!!!!!!!

just here to share the wealth with my brothers in the den
my book caps things at 3 dimes on a single play so


seattle plus 1 30 units
seattle first half even 30 units
seattle ml even 30 units
seattle first q plus 0.5 5 units (they capped props at 5 units)

may all in the den b blessed!

Old Post 01-31-15 11:29 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

and for u props players

last yeart did rather well on these
it helps when u think u know how the game will b played out
so if u like seattle
u should like these

longest fg over 44.5 yards (2 god kickers /nice weather)

blunt under 62.5 rush yards
pats under 94.5 rush yards

amendola >2 rec
edelman >6.5 rec
luke willson >2.5 rec
lukw wilsson >30.5 yds

russ wilson >219.5 pass yds

lynch>92.5 rush yards

lynch-29.5 yds vs blount

russ wilson 1q td pass +210
3q td pass +200
these r freakin no brainer
went 5 units on
if he throws a td pass in either 1st or 3q u cant lose!!!!!!!!

wilson >2 pass tds +170

seahawks 1st to 25 points


may all in the den b blessed!

Old Post 01-31-15 11:37 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

i take advise

ty
much appreciated
wish i had more time
miss the old place
crazy busy in all phases of life right now
but wanted to share with my brothers in the den
cuz feel reall real good about outcome of this game

sorry i am against your patriots
nothing personal
i actually like the patriots
and dont like the seahawks
lived in boston for 3 years during my residency
but with cash on the line
got to go where the numbers lead me

enjoy the game as best as u can!

Old Post 01-31-15 11:40 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

point

miss u brother

i can assure u
no relation to my feathered friend
altho i do love him dearly !!

if i had more time i would post a link to the song finding my way
or working man!!!!
lol

and yes it was a bit wordy due tio the intentional irony
but seriously
there r peoiple drawing conclusions because the pats beatdown a dome team outdoors in a blustery nor'easter!!!!!!!


i'm thinking this one plays down somewhat similar to last year
when an older dunk and dink qb has no time against a fast and ferocious nfc defense

dont think it will b quite as lopsided
lets say 30-19 seahawks after a late score against the prevent
seahawks should lead by double digits throughout

enjoy the game!

Old Post 01-31-15 11:44 PM
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markinc7
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2008
Posts: 2877

YOUR CRAZY

With all due RESPECT

I'll be sitting with my wife and her Tom Brady jersey watching with no skin in the game !

I'll send you a picture

GLTA




"The democracy will cease to exist when you take away from those who are willing to work and give to those who would not."
Thomas Jefferson

"No problem can be solved from the same level of consciousness that created it."
Albert Einstein

Old Post 01-31-15 11:45 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

send me a picture with the jersey off!!!!!!
lol


just kidding briother
couldnt resist that

no emotional skin in the game
but heavily vested
and all bets r in!!!!!

enjoy the seahawks victory!!!!

or i might b calling u for a loan!!!!!

either way will text u!

Old Post 01-31-15 11:52 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

heading out with wife tonight


will try to pop in tomorrow


god bless!

Old Post 01-31-15 11:52 PM
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ronnie111
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 7085

gl doc....after reading this i don't see any reason to even play the game. put it this way, i couldn't bet against the hawks with that D. medium size play for me on the un. if billy belly takes the non talker out of the game sea will be in heap big trouble.

Old Post 02-01-15 12:14 AM
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I take advise


Registered: Apr 2013
Posts: 148

Might be a pats fan but never bet with heart i feel same as u seattle wins

Old Post 02-01-15 12:33 AM
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drtony
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Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

ronnie

thank u very much for that question........

i dont believe pats will b able to take marshawn out of the equation
also
i think seattle may even take what is given
wilson may just light em up passing

but
thats y they play the games
seattle offense very under rated
a lot of their negative stats came when center max unger was out
obviously i am banking that seahawks roll

feel real good about it
but no guarantees in life

best of luck brother!

Old Post 02-01-15 06:07 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

advise

glad to hear it
meant no disrespect to your team
as i said
if this game was just for fun and no $ on line
i would prob b rooting for the pats

just dont see it
glad we agree
enjoy the game and lets meet at the window to collect!!!!

Old Post 02-01-15 06:12 PM
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I take advise


Registered: Apr 2013
Posts: 148

A nd being here got a great line plus 3 old time guy .thinking if i should go for middle if later sea.is fav. Online

Old Post 02-01-15 06:23 PM
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drtony
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 5115

advise

wouldnt bother with middle attempt
dont see this being close

seattle has moved to -1
and ml has moved to -120

likely to keep rising
seattle likely to win by double digits

IMHO of course!
lol

Old Post 02-01-15 06:26 PM
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I take advise


Registered: Apr 2013
Posts: 148

Lets hope for repeat of last hears game. Amazing my local guy still has it at ne 3. Won't take more then 2500 i maxed it .
See u at the window

Old Post 02-01-15 06:31 PM
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ronnie111
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Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 7085

nice wager ITA, your man could be homeless after this game. gl.

Old Post 02-01-15 06:36 PM
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