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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10857

1st NFL Play 9/7

For NFL opening week -> Play against Dogs that were Round 1 playoff losers in the previous season:

Since 2004
SU: 2-22-0 (-11.29, 8.3%)
ATS: 3-20-1 (-7.17, 13.0%) avg line: 4.1
O/U: 15-8-1 (2.46, 65.2%) avg total: 42.8

My play: BALT -1' risk 3 units




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 08-31-14 04:49 PM
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CUBANO
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Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 14307

And we're off!!!




EL CUBANO

Old Post 08-31-14 05:04 PM
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BIG BAD BILL
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Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 7443

I am in!!!




2008-2013
1726-1510
53.34%

Old Post 08-31-14 05:13 PM
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doubled1511
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Registered: Sep 2011
Posts: 3205

Dont forget sea

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RDTrains
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Posts: 10857

Doubled

Passing on Seattle -5 because the avg line is -4.1. If it goes down I will revisit.




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 08-31-14 09:40 PM
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jbrent95
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Registered: Feb 2009
Posts: 1021

A case for Seattle... perhaps...

From Killersports NFL Bible (free post):

The league is 0-20-1 ATS (-8.8 ppg) as a dog
in week one when they were eliminated from the playoffs in the first round last season, as long as the total is higher than 37.

SU: 0-21-0 (-13.43, 0.0%)
ATS: 0-20-1 (-9.21, 0.0%) avg line: 4.2
O/U: 14-6-1 (3.64, 70.0%) avg total: 43.8

Old Post 09-01-14 07:11 PM
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RDTrains
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Posts: 10857

jbrent95

Again, with the line now SEA -6 I would tred lightly ATS but would consider the ML.




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 09-02-14 05:15 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10857

Bump

Adding an extra unit, really liking this play and grabbed a little more at -1. Currently 47% of ATS wagers are on Balt.

My play: BALT -1' risk 4 units




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 09-02-14 06:16 PM
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jbrent95
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I'm still liking this play too.

Old Post 09-07-14 04:14 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10857

Adding ...

All for 2.5 units:


Cleve +6
Wash +3' -115
NO -3
ST L -3
Minn/ST L O/43




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 09-07-14 04:47 PM
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IrishMule
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Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 6412

Thx RD

BOL!!




Let us be thankful for the fools. But for them, the rest of us could not succeed.
Mark Twain

''Life's tough ........it's even tougher if you're stupid...''
-- John Wayne

"Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
Benjamin Franklin

'Life isn't about
how to survive the storm.....But how to dance in the
rain.'
TheMule

Old Post 09-07-14 04:53 PM
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wildcat76
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 3788

i have Baltimore at a pick now, do you still like it at that , thank you for the heads up

Old Post 09-07-14 04:57 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10857

Final add

Hedging my Balt pick. I also have them in a 3 team parlay with the first 2 winners in.

Cincy +1 for 2 units




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 09-07-14 05:02 PM
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Toby13
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Registered: Sep 2010
Posts: 9161

RDT gl today & the season.




TOBY

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JimmyJames
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Registered: Sep 2006
Posts: 1102

NFL

Have a great season.

Old Post 09-07-14 05:53 PM
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drtony
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Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 4824

love the ravens today
huge on rams and ram over also

best of luck rd

Old Post 09-07-14 06:09 PM
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