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wildcat76
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VR Steam Read and Market Analysis

NFL Divisional Round Playoffs :

NOS at SEA...

Movers confirmed True Steam on SAINTS & UNDER immediately when line opened up..since then Public Money on UNDER has driven the TOTAL down to as low as 43.5 so we may see some OVER steam to attempt a nice middle,or even an outfit seeing value on OVER at that adjustment..

The Spread has gone back up to as high as -10 due to a ton of Public Money on Straights, Teasers, & Parlays..but also because of True Steam..Mover confirmed his group bought SEA down to -7 and fired so wiseguys disagree on the SIDE..

Bottom line..when this game kicks off books will need the OVER and the Saints, especially on Teasers.


IND at NE...

Wiseguys & Public AGREED on COLTS +7.5 and drove the line down to -7..but at that price, mover confirmed his outfit bought the 1/2 point and backed the PATS -6.5, so another disagreement between betting syndicates based on the price..

But with a TON of Public $$$ on COLTS Straight, Parlays, Teasers, and even MONEY-LINE..books will need a rare result, the FAV..

Wiseguys & Public DISAGREE on Total with movers steaming UNDER and casual bettors going OVER HEAVY on Straights, Parlays, & Teasers..and with this being the Late Game, more exposure's expected meaning books will be hoping the steam is on point.

Old Post 01-11-14 07:24 PM
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NFL Lean = PATRIOTS at -6.5 (-125)..Buy the Hook..
I know wiseguys, sharps, & public ALL disagree..but my True Line reflects value on FAV..

Old Post 01-11-14 07:26 PM
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thoughts on NO/Sea over/under with this line move and weather, but, Lean 1st HALF UNDER but at 43 I'd look to OVER for Gm

Old Post 01-11-14 07:30 PM
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Saints at Seahawks: What bettors need to know

New Orleans Saints at Seattle Seahawks (-8, 46)

The New Orleans Saints are coming off their first postseason road win in franchise history, but the degree of difficulty will rise dramatically when they visit the top-seeded Seattle Seahawks on Saturday. It will be a rematch of a Dec. 2 game in Seattle, when the Seahawks manhandled New Orleans 34-7 and held the Saints to their lowest point total since October 2008. "This is definitely going to be a personal game," New Orleans cornerback Keenan Lewis said. "They embarrassed us last time."

The Seahawks have embarrassed a number of opponents, particularly on their home field, where they are 15-1 over the past two seasons. Among the reasons for Seattle's dominance at CenturyLink Field is its rabid fan base known as the 12th Man, which set a Guiness Book World Record for crowd noise with a reading of 137.6 decibels in the thrashing of the Saints last month. The Seahawks are hoping to see the return of explosive wide receiver Percy Harvin, who has played in only one game since returning from offseason hip surgery.

TV: 4:35 p.m., Fox.

LINE: Seattle opened -8.5 and is now -8. The total is down two points from the opening 48.

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with a 98 percent chance of rain. Wind will blow toward the N endzone at 21 mph.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (12-5): New Orleans' high-powered offense struggles away from home, managing only 36 points in three December road losses before pulling out a last-second 26-24 win at Philadelphia last week. Drew Brees, the only QB with three 5,000-yard seasons, threw for 250 yards with one touchdown and two interceptions against the Eagles but now must contend with a defense that limited him to 147 yards and held the Saints to 188 total yards - the lowest total since Brees and head coach Sean Payton arrived in New Orleans in 2006. New Orleans overcame an injury to running back Pierre Thomas to churn out 185 rushing yards against Philadelphia - including 97 by former first-round pick Mark Ingram - while its defense held the NFL's leading rusher, LeSean McCoy, to 77 yards on 21 carries.

ABOUT THE SEAHAWKS (13-3): Seattle leveled off after steamrolling the Saints, losing at San Francisco and falling to Arizona for its first home defeat in two seasons before closing the campaign with a dominant defensive performance against St. Louis. Wilson was being mentioned for league MVP honors at one point in the season but he stumbled down the stretch, averaging 171.3 yards passing and throwing for four touchdowns and three interceptions in the four games following the beatdown of New Orleans. Marshawn Lynch rushed for 1,257 yards and 12 touchdowns but he cracked 100 yards only once in the last eight games. The Seahawks led the league in fewest points (14.4) and yards (273.3) allowed per game while registering an NFL-high 28 interceptions - eight by cornerback Richard Sherman.

TRENDS:

* Saints are 1-6 ATS in their last seven road games.
* Seahawks are 12-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record.
* Over is 3-0-1 in Saints last four Divisional Playoffs games.
* Under is 5-0 in Seahawks last five vs. NFC.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Brees owns the highest completion percentage (67.0) in postseason history and is the only QB with three 400-yard games in the playoffs.

2. Wilson has 24 overall wins and 15 at home in his first two seasons, the most by a quarterback in the Super Bowl era.

3. Saints TE Jimmy Graham had 16 TDs during the regular season but was limited to three catches for 42 yards and a score by Seattle.

Old Post 01-11-14 07:34 PM
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NFL Prop Shop: Divisional Weekend
By SEAN MURPHY

The postseason continues in the NFL with Divisional Weekend getting underway Saturday. Why not spice things up with some player prop bets? Covers Expert Sean Murphy opens the doors of the NFL Prop Shop and gives you his favorite player prop picks for this weekend's action:

Most passing yards

Andrew Luck (Indianapolis Colts) vs. Tom Brady (New England Patriots)

I'll take a shot with Andrew Luck at a healthy underdog price on Saturday.

Here's my thinking: I fully expect the Colts to be playing from behind for much of this game. That means we should see Luck airing it out early and often. I'm aware that the Colts want to be a run-first team, but this is an awfully tough spot to be hard-headed. Luck rallied the offense last Saturday, and I believe he'll be asked to do the same this week.

Take: Luck

Colin Kaepernick (San Francisco 49ers) vs. Cam Newton (Carolina Panthers)

I have the ultimate respect for the Panthers defense, however, we've seen Colin Kaepernick take his game to another level in the playoffs time and time again, and I expect that to be the case again on Sunday afternoon.

Cam Newton has played on the big stage before (in SEC and BCS Championship Games), but the NFL playoffs are another animal. He'll be up against a 49ers defense that is playing 'angry' right now (credit that quote to former 49er and NFL Network analyst Eric Davis) - a unit that should be able to control a good, but not great receiving corps.

Take: Kaepernick

Most rushing yards

Frank Gore (San Francisco 49ers) vs. DeAngelo Williams (Carolina Panthers)

I supported Frank Gore last Sunday against Green Bay, but I'm switching gears this week.

I believe we'll see the 49ers take a more pass-heavy approach against an aggressive Panthers defense on Sunday. Gore will get his share of carries, but I'm not sure he'll create a lot of 'splash' plays.

While DeAngelo Williams hasn't been all that consistent, he does boast big play potential and could rip off a couple of big runs if the 49ers come in a little too focused on Cam Newton.

Take: Williams

Most pass receptions

Keenan Allen (San Diego Chargers) vs. Julius Thomas (Denver Broncos)

If this were a play on which receiver would have a bigger impact on the final result, I might be inclined to back Julius Thomas, as he likely has greater touchdown potential. However, when it comes to receptions, I'll go with Keenan Allen.

Allen was a virtual non-factor in last week's win over the Bengals, but that only serves to give us better line value here. The Chargers know that he needs to play a bigger role in the offense this Sunday if they're going to pull off another shocker in Denver. If they're playing from behind and Philip Rivers is forced to sling it all over the field, that suits our purposes even better.

Take: Allen

Old Post 01-11-14 07:42 PM
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VEGAS SPORTS INFORMER
NFL WILDCARD PLAYOFFS
4 Unit Play. #102 Take Under 46 ˝ - New Orleans at Seattle (4:35p.m., Saturday, Jan 11 FOX)
Current weather forecast is calling for 100% rain and I'm also hearing wind could be a factor. What does that call for? Running the ball, conservative play calling and I see this game flying
under. The last time these two teams played in Seattle (Dec. 2) the Seahawks easily beat the
Saints and the game went under the total. I have no clue who will win this game but I do see the
scoring low. The Saints defense held the Eagles high flying offense last week to 24 points and the
Seahawks haven't given up more then 20 points in their last 5 games. Can't wait for this game
and again if the rain is falling down hard and the wind is blowing this game will stay under the
total. New Orleans is 0-5 O/U in their last 5 road games and the Saints are also 0-5 O/U following
a SU win

Old Post 01-11-14 07:47 PM
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NFL DUNKEL

Indianapolis at New England
The Colts head to New England after a 45-44 win over Kansas City in the Wild Card round and carrying a 9-0 ATS record in their last 9 games after allowing more than 30 points in their previous game. Indianapolis is the pick (+7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the game Even.
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+7 1/2)

SATURDAY, JANUARY 11

Game 111-112: New Orleans at Seattle (4:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 134.432; Seattle 146.570
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 12; 50
Vegas Line: Seattle by 8; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-8); Over

Game 113-114: Indianapolis at New England (8:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indianapolis 137.116; New England 137.129
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: New England by 7 1/2; 53
Dunkel Pick: Indianapolis (+7 1/2); Under

Old Post 01-11-14 07:48 PM
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LA Syndicate - CBB Cal Santa Barbara, Utah State, BYU, Sacramento State (ML)

Vegas Syndicate- Seahawks under, NJ Devils (ML)

Pinnacle Syndicate- Carolina Panthers

Chicago Syndicate - CBB Arkansas State, Eastern Kentucky, Georgetown, UCF, Michigan State

Old Post 01-11-14 07:56 PM
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MTI, Killer Sports

2013 NFL PLAYOFF TOTALS GAME OF THE YEAR

Indianapolis at New England OVER 51.5
The Colts never give up. They fight and fight and fight. They know that their defense is not going to hold down the Patriots' offense and Tom Brady. The Colts' know that they allowed 40-plus points in three of their last seven games.

We expect Indianapolis to feature a no-huddle and a fast, efficient attack. They cannot adopt a conservative attitude. They are on the road and a big dog and it is lose or go home.

Indianapolis qualifies for a playoff-only system that is 11-0 OU since the start of the 2010 NFL season. In the playoffs, when an underdog gets a team off a bye week, and they are off a regulation win, they are 11-0 OU, eclipsing the posted number by an average of more than 17 points per game, as long as the total is at least 36. The SDQL text is:

playoffs=1 and D and op:week + 2=week and total>36 and season>=2010 and p:OT=0

There was only one qualifying game in 2011, but last season there were five and all of them went over by DOUBLE-DIGITS.

Teams that come back from late deficits in the playoffs to win are often vulnerable on defense the following week. The coaches know this and try to compensate with offense. In fact, since the 2006 NFL season, teams are 6-0 OU in the playoffs as a road dog the week following a win over a non-divisional opponent in which they trailed at the end of the third quarter. The SDQL text is:

playoffs==1 and AD and p:W and p:NDIV and p:M3<0 and NB and season>=2006

Note that teams in this spot have gone over by an average of 13.6 ppg.

In the final week of the season, the Patriots rushed the ball 43 times for 267 yards. It was the most rushing yards they have had since the 2008 season. Neither Blount nor Ridley caught a pass out of the backfield. Many in the media are citing the Patriots' rejuvenated rushing game and expect them to feature the run here. Belichick is no dummy. He simply wanted to save Brady for the upcoming duel perhaps fool the Colts into preparing for a rushing attack.

We have hard numbers supporting this theory. New England is 10-0 OU at home after any game in which they rushed the ball 25-plus times and had at least one rushing TD. The SDQL is:

team=Patriots and H and 0=20121001 and p:rushes>=25

New England has ZOOMED over the posted total by an average of 16.4 ppg in this spot, scoring an average of 39.4 ppg. Note that four of the games are from THIS season.

It is also worth mentioning that the Patriots are 7-0 OU (13.21 ppg) after a game in which Stevan Ridley did not catch a pass.

Belichick is concerned about this one and he should be. He KNOWS that going up by 20 points in the first half does not mean that the game is won when Andrew Luck is the opposing QB. He will not pull the plug on his offense until they can take a knee. Neither team can possibly be thinking, "If we score 27 points we should win." Take the OVER.

MTi's FORECAST: NEW ENGLAND 37 Indianapolis 34

Old Post 01-11-14 08:00 PM
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Pointwise

POINTWISE

NBA BASKETBALL

(7:05) TORONTO RAPTORS 103 - Brooklyn Nets 93 _____ _____

(7:05) WASHINGTON 98 - Houston Rockets 94 _____ _____

(7:35) PHILADELPHIA 76ERS 113 - New York Knicks 110 _____ _____

(7:35) Phoenix Suns 101 - DETROIT PISTONS 98 _____ _____

(8:05) OKLAHOMA CITY 103 - Milwaukee Bucks 97 _____ _____

(8:05) Charlotte Bobcats 104 - CHICAGO BULLS 98 _____ _____

(8:35) DALLAS MAVERICKS 99 - New Orleans 94 _____ _____

(9:05) DENVER NUGGETS 119 - Orlando Magic 111 _____ _____

(10:05) PORTLAND BLAZERS 110 - Boston Celtics 90 _____ _____

BEST BETS
TORONTO (3)
CHARLOTTE
PORTLAND (1)

Old Post 01-11-14 08:15 PM
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RAS

Just FYI for those playing RAS, since nobody getting the plays is going to get the line posted I suggest waiting if you have the time. Many of the lines will 'come back' after the initial rush and that's happening again today


Rotation672 South Dakota (+5.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/11/14 02:00pm PST Released at: 01/11 8:12am PST

Rotation699 Montana (-3.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/11/14 07:00pm PST Released at: 01/11 8:09am PST

Rotation659 UC Irvine (-7.5) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/11/14 07:00pm PST Released at: 01/11 8:06am PST

Rotation647 Fresno State (+8) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/11/14 06:00pm PST Released at: 01/11 8:03am PST

Rotation656 Cal State Northridge (+3) 1.00 UNIT
Game start: 01/11/14 07:00pm PST Released at: 01/11 8:00am PST

Old Post 01-11-14 08:23 PM
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Today's NBA Picks
Brooklyn at Toronto

The Nets travel to Toronto to face a Raptors team that is coming off a 112-91 win over Detroit and is 4-0 ATS in its last 4 games following a victory be more than 10 points. Toronto is the pick (-9 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Raptors favored by 13. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-9 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, JANUARY 11
Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Brooklyn at Toronto (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 115.090; Toronto 127.866
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 13; 196
Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 9 1/2; 192 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-9 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Houston at Washington (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 117.580; Washington 119.136
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 198
Vegas Line & Total: Houston by 2 1/2; 202
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+2 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: New York at Philadelphia (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New York 118.398; Philadelphia 110.681
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 216
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 4 1/2; 209
Dunkel Pick: New York (-4 1/2); Over

Game 507-508: Phoenix at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 114.083; Detroit 117.530
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 201
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 205 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-1 1/2); Under

Game 509-510: Milwaukee at Oklahoma City (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee 109.379; Oklahoma City 129.727
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 20 1/2; 206
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 13 1/2; 196 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-13 1/2); Over

Game 511-512: Charlotte at Chicago (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Charlotte 113.901; Chicago 114.607
Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 1; 172
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 4 1/2; 177 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+4 1/2); Under

Game 513-514: New Orleans at Dallas (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 112.658; Dallas 124.453
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 12; 194
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 8; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-8); Under

Game 515-516: Orlando at Denver (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 114.706; Denver 120.224
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 5 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Denver by 12; 203
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (+12); Over

Game 517-518: Boston at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston 113.402; Portland 120.904
Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 7 1/2; 212
Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 12; 206 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+12); Over

Old Post 01-11-14 08:24 PM
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Wayne Root

MILLIONAIRES----NEW ENGLAND
The Indianapolis Colts will be invading Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots in the divisional round of the playoffs. The Colts are coming off of one of most exciting come from behind playoff wins in years. After falling behind early to the Kansas City Chiefs, the Colts simply refused to give up. They would rally from a 28 point third quarter deficit to win the game – making it the second-largest comeback in NFL playoff history. The Patriots will be well rested as they host the Colts. They had a first round bye last week. The question of will the week off hurt them, is simply no. They have been down this road too many times. They know exactly how to approach this challenge. If the New England offense is firing on all cylinders, Andrew Luck will need another big game if the Colts are to have a chance. Hall of Famers Brady and Bellichik will have New England ready and Luck on the road may be wearing a little thin. Look for New England to strut their stuff. TAKE NEW ENGLAND
________________________________________
___

NO LIMIT---SEATTLE
The New Orleans Saints will storm onto Century Link Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks. The Saints were 11-5 on the regular season and they are coming off of a tough win over the Philadelphia Eagles. The Saints started the season strong, but stumbled toward the end of the season – forfeiting the division title to the Carolina Panthers. Things will definitely not be getting any easier for the Saints and they must head to the Northwest to take on the league’s most dominant defense in the league. The Seahawks ended the season with a 13-3 record. They obtained that record by totally dominating their opponents from the defensive side of the ball. Their offense is not shabby either with Russell Wilson at the helm. Expect this line to go up to at least 8.5 but don't worry Seattle will win this game by double digits. First match-up was dominated by Seattle 34-7 just a month ago and don't see anything changing in this one. Soft New Orleans team will be hit in the mouth early and often as Seattle sends message to rest of NFC teams.
TAKE SEATTLE

Old Post 01-11-14 08:27 PM
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Wayne Root

SUNDAY NFL DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF GAMES
________________________________________
__

INNER CIRCLE---DENVER
On Sunday, the San Diego Chargers will invade Mile High Stadium to take on the Denver Broncos. The Chargers ended the season playing some great football. They ended the season beating the Broncos and the Chiefs. They are coming off of a game in which they dominated the Cincinnati Bengals. The Broncos will be well rested and sporting the league’s most potent offense. This year, Peyton Manning threw for 5,477 yard and 55 touchdowns. Running back, Knowshon Moreno, rushed for more than a thousand yards on the season, even being out several weeks an injury. The Denver defense will have to be able to stop the running game of the Chargers if they are to give the offense a chance to get going. After defeating the Bengals 27-10, the Chargers will be looking forward to upsetting the Broncos one more time. However, it is very difficult to beat the same team the same season especially when they last played about 3 weeks ago.Defense used to win in playoff games but not any more. With the rule changes made to the QB's, WR's and the restraints placed upon the defenses, it's all about scoring!! Peyton Manning knows after last season brutal loss against Baltimore that time may be running out. TAKE DENVER
________________________________________
____

PINNACLE---CAROLINA....DIVISIONAL PLAYOFF GAME OF THE YEAR
The San Francisco 49ers will invade Bank of America Stadium in order to take on the Carolina PanthersThey played their first playoff game against the Green Bay Packers, who were more than game for this one but did manage to move to round 2. The 49ers had a great season by most standards, but suffered the
consequences of being in the same division with the Seattle Seahawks. This meant that the Niners had to enter the playoffs by way of wildcard birth. Wild Card teams that win their first game and then hit the road for game 2 almost never cover the pointspread.The Panthers got off to slow start this season, but they picked up steam with an 8 game winning streak that placed them on top the NFC South. They have played great on the defensive end of the ball. Quarterback, Cam Newton, has had a solid season, throwing for 3,379 yards and 24 touchdowns. Smart money lit up the Sportsbooks after hearing that Steve Smith is ready to play. Public perception is the 49ers have advantage on defense and maybe even at the QB spot but if you watch the games this year or have looked at the numbers neither are true. Just as dominant will be the Carolina defense, since week 6 Panthers have only given up over 20 points once and they keep it going this week. TAKE CAROLINA

Old Post 01-11-14 08:32 PM
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Sports Network

OVERALL ANALYSIS
The Saints overcame the odds of playing outside in a polar climate to snap their road playoff drought and are feeling pretty good about themselves.
"Just knowing that we have to get better and the road to the playoffs and the Super Bowl looks like it's going to go through that place," Brees said of Seattle. "If we want to accomplish what we set out to accomplish, then we better find a way to go there and win. I was just hoping we have another opportunity and here we are with that opportunity."

Brees said scoring points and getting a large enough lead will quiet the Seattle fans known as the 12th man. He has to tame the Seahawks' defense first and that will be an arduous task. Besides, it's tough enough to keep Sherman quiet no matter what the outcome is.

Seattle is well-rested, well-prepared and ready to get back to the NFC Championship game. New Orleans had a great run at the end of the regular season and an impressive Wild Card victory in Philly, but the Saints will go marching back to the Crescent City with another road playoff loss.

Sports Network Predicted Outcome: Seahawks 27, Saints 17

Old Post 01-11-14 08:36 PM
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Marshawn Lynch (+450) is the favorite to score the first TD in today's divisional round playoff game.

Old Post 01-11-14 08:44 PM
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Who's On What: "Noteworthy" Cappers and Tally


Colts: 25
Prediction Machine, Football Crusher, Marco D'Angelo/Sports Unlimited, Int Picks, Kelso, Dunkel, Hondo
(Saw 2 separate services selling the Colts moneyline)

Patriots: 23
Root, Norm Hitzges, Allen Eastman GOW, OSKEIM, Ecks & Bacon, Executive, Northcoast, Raw, Cappers Access, Scott Sprietzer, Spartan, Bob Balfe

OVER: 10
Hondo, MTI GOY, King Creole GOY, some random had GOY also

UNDER: 14
Ben Burns, Wunderdog, Northcoast, Vegas Runner, Prediction Machine, Dunkel

Old Post 01-11-14 11:46 PM
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Toby13
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Posts: 8822

Wildcat great info & bol tonight.




TOBY

Old Post 01-12-14 01:02 AM
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