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Wolfpack66
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Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 422

*Wolpack’s Sunday Selection(s) 9-1 *

Straight Wager:
San Diego Padres / Los Angeles Dodgers UNDER 7 (-109)
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
The Dodgers are pretty close to Unstoppable when Zack Greinke is on the hill. I’m sure one of my fellow cappers’ will post his ATS numbers going back 20 some odd starts. Just Sick, really. Something like 10 ER allowed over his last 10 starts, and 80+ innings. It simply doesn’t get better than this guy. He’s locked in! The line as of 6:30 am pst is circa -230. Pricey yet not 3 bills. Yeah I'm actually bitching because it seems too good to be true. Hmmm.. Why? Vegas doesn’t make mistakes like this, so I look at the other side. SD Padres Pitcher Tyson Ross is Good. Better than average and I like what I’ve seen so far. If the youngster can learn anything from his opposition it's that composure counts, and if ‘you Ain’t got it’ that start – fake like you do.. One sided on the surface, yet I think the total is the Play here.. Strange things do happen in this game all the time..


Laying $330.00
Projected Score:

Padres 3
Dodgers 2 F

=======================================
YTD ATS CFB: 3-0 + $600
TYD ATS MLB: 1-0 +$100
--------------------------------------------------------------------
YTD ATS TOTAL: 4-0 +$700

Current bankroll: $5,700
-Woof!

Old Post 09-01-13 02:29 PM
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Wolfpack66
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Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 422

adding...

Straight Wager: Cleveland Indians Runline +1.5 (-135)
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I've yet to bet a single dollar on the Tigers &Verlander this entire
season, and I don't plan on starting to any time soon. Fact is
Detroit rode their workhorse hard. I think the lack of consistency
between starts for this guy would reflect something's not quite
right. Take a step back and look. Verlander @ home -170.
Hard to find a game with this guy tossing in 2012 sub 2 dollars.
Proceed with caution, or should I direct a very late HANDLE
WITH CARE to Jim Leyland.. What I love is not a peep from the
Detroit right hander.. He's got a Great make-up for a tough city...


Projected Score

Indians 5
Tigers 6 F

Laying $270 to make $200.

-Woof! Woof!
(That Dog' will Hunt.. For Real..?)

Old Post 09-01-13 02:53 PM
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Wolfpack66
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Posts: 422

Tigers -160.. @ 7:25 am pst

72% of action on Home team, yet line has regressed.
RLM by definition.. Lock and load here..
If it drops to -155 or less, I'll double the Wager.
Danny Salazar is an Unknown commodity w/ a big arm!
Hate the word, but he's all Potential.

Stay tuned..
PLEASE NOTE - I FLOPPED the PROJECTION based on Line Movement
!
Indians 6
Tigers 5 F


-Woofy!

Old Post 09-01-13 03:27 PM
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drtony
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Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 4662

Love both picks

Quick question
If u do project the padres to win
Why not throw a Benjamin on them at plus 210?
Best of luck today

Old Post 09-01-13 03:29 PM
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Wolfpack66
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Posts: 422

Good ?

I always try and anticipate the certain "rhythm" of a particular
game. We've all made bone head plays only to turn the game
on 5 minutes late and either be trailing by 2, or 5 runs have
been scored and you hammered the Under.. That Said Dr. T,
they are mere projections and I'll always fall on the side of
caution and conservatism re: my wagers. I respect the game,
but respect money more so. You simply never know how it will
turn out. My whole thing much like any investor is to minimize risk
and try and cash out as much as possible. Hell- losses are coming,
it's all about the distance between them and your W's that will
hurt your book. I mean in reality, LA is the better squad with
their Ace on the Hill.. They should Win!! BUT, I also should have been a Doctor...

Lord knows they have the cake..
Who doesn't like frosting?

Hope that helps brah.
All the best,

-Woofster

Old Post 09-01-13 03:34 PM
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CUBANO
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Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 13761

Woof!

Lets have a great day. About damn time you came back!




EL CUBANO

Old Post 09-01-13 03:37 PM
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drtony
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Registered: Jan 2010
Posts: 4662

Oh I hear u

And thanx for the response to my question
Fwiw
Ross has been dealing
And at some point I can see the dodgers getting somewhat complacent
It is la after all
So this actually seems like a nice spot
I was looking at the fathers today
And I generally break even on my total plays
So the balance to me seemed well worth the risk
I am going to try my hand at both today
Lets both win!
Thanx

Old Post 09-01-13 03:40 PM
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Wolfpack66
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Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 422

added...

Straight Wager : Miami Marlins Runline + 1.5 ( -108) Pinnacle
-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I usually take a glance at the RL prices before I even check the
Game Line's or totals. Why? I feel like it can tell you a little bit
about what Vegas wants Joe Pub to bet. Ok, at least lean..
Any time a home Fave is sub -200 and that same teams RL, or
laying the -1.5 is EVEN/+ $, my brain's internal siren goes off..
Braves @ home today are a steep -220 chalk fave. Peeking just
left of this line, is -1.5 (EVEN). I can hear at least a couple
hundred 'virtual' tickets in my head being called out..

"Braves Runline with this ..., Braves Runline with that..."

The Books know how the avg. bettor thinks and processes info.
TRUST.. So I look to see if the opposing Starter is at least
serviceable.. Nathan Eovaldi would apply. Especially on the road
where he's tossed 5/6 Quality Starts and has limited damage
in a couple of big spots. Well, at least for the ALSO-RAN Marlins.
Fact is the Braves are only averaging 3 Runs a game over their
last 7 contests.. Teams going in oppositte directions quick. ATL
won 6 straight. Marlins lost the same #. Parlay spoiler here -
People don't like to lay chalk. Period.


Laying $200 to make 2.

Projected Score

Marlins 4
Braves 3 F


-Woof!

Old Post 09-01-13 03:57 PM
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Wolfpack66
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Posts: 422

BEST BET DOUBLED..

I let it marinate a bit..
The Detroit Tigers Game / Line doesn't look right. (IMO)
I wouldn't be @ all suprised if Detroit soon falls to -152 ish..
Great spot for Indians to get ahead of this guy and stay ahead.

-----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
$270 added to the og $270, so I'll gloss this my BEST BET of the
card. GL to all and lets hope things go as planned here..
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Total Wager : $540.00 Indians RL

I feel like I should say some rally point here, but F*CK it.
Let's make Money.

-Woof!

Old Post 09-01-13 05:08 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10779

Hoping onboard

Got Mia/LAD U/7 +105, couldn't pass that favorable line move up.

Old Post 09-01-13 07:32 PM
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Wolfpack66
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Posts: 422

adding..

4th play for the day..

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Straight Wager : Colorado / Colorado St. UNDER 48.5 *
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

After further review... Not much going on here.. LoL.
I mean, Both teams are evenly matched and they usually
play close games. Early Season nerves will definitely be in
play. More like, dont screw up instead of knock someones
head off. May be boring, but if we can make $ on these type
of games - where parody and being familiar with each other
can only help the defense.. Should be a Solid Year.
Like I say, 1st team to 21 has an ad and should prevail here.
Trying to take advanage of the fact - it's game 1. The play
calling can't get fancy. Most kids are on page 4-5 of a 30-40
page playbook. Student body L, C, and R..

Projected Score


Colorado 28
Colorado St 17 F


Laying $240 to make 2
* Buy the {all mighty} Hook here if/where applicable -120
-Wooof!

Old Post 09-01-13 08:00 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 46013

good luck today on the card, i'll take a shot at over 3' in the short game, hopefully we can both hit
GL

Old Post 09-01-13 08:05 PM
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Wolfpack66
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Posts: 422

Update I for Sunday

Best Best : Cleveland Indians +1.5 (-135) = Winner!
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

+$400.00

Indians 4
Tigers 0 F

Although Verlander tossed really well, Indians hung around
all game behind comparable pitching and defense.
Pretty much stole this W outright - but more importantly,
Cashed Best Bet 2 of 2 and for double action. Big Top of the
9th inning for Wahoo's.. Clutch. Realize it's early in the season but it's good to know what works has always worked, and continues to work. You'll notice I never allow the line to dictate my play. If anything it's my best tool.. I regress for a later
thread..

----------------------------------------------------------------------------------
YTD ATS CFB : 4-0 + $1,00.00 (1 Pending)
YTD ATS MLB : 1-0 +$100.00 (Several Pending)
YTD Best Bets : 2-0

-Woof!

Old Post 09-01-13 09:29 PM
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YO 11
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Registered: Mar 2010
Posts: 1106

Nice call and had to sprinkle some on Indians ML too.

Thanks and gl with the rest

Old Post 09-01-13 09:41 PM
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jtsachs
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Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 1445

very nice day wolf! do you have a lean on tonight's game? mets +130 seems tasty...

Old Post 09-02-13 12:08 AM
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Wolfpack66
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 422

adding..

Straight Wager : Florida State -9.5 *
------------------------------------------------------------------------------

I see the Noles scoring 14+ points here on either special teams
or defense. Alot of athletes on Florida State squad and it's not
often I'll lay DD so early in the College Season. This program
just reloads. The parts, pieces and system has been there
and working for decades. Not by accident. Panther's again
not what we're use to seeing in 2013. That uncertainty should
be exploited by the better Squad.

Projected Score
Florida State 28
Pittsburgh 14F


Laying $240 to make 2.

*Buy down off 10 if possible @ -120.

- Woof
Looking @ late MLB game for those interested.

Old Post 09-02-13 12:12 AM
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Wolfpack66
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Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 422

Update II for Sunday

Padres / Dodgers UNDER 7 = Winner!
-----------------------------------------------------------------------

San Diego 1
LA Dodgers 2 F

+ $295.00



Updated YTD Record
------------------------------------------------------------------------
YTD ATS CFB : 4-0 + $1,00.00 (1 Pending)
YTD ATS MLB : 2-0 +$400.00 (Several Pending)
YTD Best Bets : 2-0
Overal YTD : 6-0 +$1,400.00

BR $ 6,400.00

-Woof!

Old Post 09-02-13 12:19 AM
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Wolfpack66
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Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 422

Update III

Straight Wager : Miami Marlins +1.5 ( -108 ) = Winner!
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Got ahead early, never looked back. Braves really struggling of late. Eovaldi tossed a gem that, quite frankly me and a handful of people / bettors will remember tomorrow. Steak Dinner.

Marlins 7
Braves 0 F

Passing on the MLB game. Watching Football Game.

-Woof!Updated YTD Record
------------------------------------------------------------------------
YTD ATS CFB : 4-0 + $1,00.00 (1 Pending)
YTD ATS MLB : 3-0 +$$596.00
YTD Best Bets : 2-0
Overal YTD : 7-0 +$1,696.00

BR $ 6,696.00

Old Post 09-02-13 12:59 AM
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Wolfpack66
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Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 422

Update III

Straight Wager : Miami Marlins +1.5 ( -108 ) = Winner!
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Got ahead early, never looked back. Braves really struggling of late. Eovaldi tossed a gem that, quite frankly me and a handful of people / bettors will remember tomorrow. Steak Dinner.

Marlins 7
Braves 0 F

Passing on the MLB game. Watching Football Game.

-Woof!Updated YTD Record
------------------------------------------------------------------------
YTD ATS CFB : 4-0 + $1,00.00 (1 Pending)
YTD ATS MLB : 3-0 +$$596.00
YTD Best Bets : 2-0
Overal YTD : 7-0 +$1,696.00

BR $ 6,696.00

Old Post 09-02-13 12:59 AM
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