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playtowin
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Registered: Apr 2006
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NBA Game 7 Info**6-20-13

After Game 6: The Miami Heat hosted and defeated the San Antonio Spurs 103-pts-100 in the first overtime period to tie MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1217 at 3-games-all. The best-of-7 NBA playoffs Game 7 record (all rounds) for the Miami Heat is 4-3 overall and 4-2 at home, while that for the San Antonio Spurs is 3-4 overall and 1-2 on the road. Irrespective of win/site order, home teams in best-of-7 NBA playoff series have a Game 7 record of 90-23 (.797) overall and 14-3 (.824) in the Finals (with an active five-Game 7 winning streak in the Finals). Of the 90 home-court Game 7 NBA wins, the last two were recorded by the Miami Heat, in the 2013 Semifinals and in the 2012 Semifinals. The three home-court NBA Finals Game 7 losses were sustained by the 1969 Los Angeles Lakers, the 1974 Milwaukee Bucks, and the 1978 Seattle Supersonics. The host Miami Heat trailed San Antonio by ten points after three quarters of series 1217 Game 6. In the history of best-of-7 NBA playoff games, home teams down ten points after three quarters had only a 1-36 (.027) game record, with the Atlanta Hawks in series 1038 achieving the only previous win (in Game 4 of the 2008 NBA Preliminary round, over the Boston Celtics in Atlanta). With the series 1217 Game 6 win, the 2013 Miami Heat tie the 2004 NHL Tampa Bay Lightning for the most consecutive best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff games without a repeated outcome 12 consecutive games. Tampa Bay broke its streak by winning Game 7 of the 2004 NHL Finals; nine years later, their fellow Floridians hope to do likewise in Game 7 of the 2013 NBA Finals.

Old Post 06-20-13 06:43 PM
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playtowin
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ADDING

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied 3-games-all @ HHVVVH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team tied 3-games-all with site order HHVVVH (Miami) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 35-21 (.625)
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 24-15 (.615)
Game 7 record, NBA only, all rounds: 6-0 (1.000)
Game 7 record, NBA only, Finals round: 6-0 (1.000)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LWLWLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team tied LWLWLW irrespective of site order (Miami) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 19-23 (.452)
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 6-8 (.429)
Game 7 record, NBA only, all rounds: 4-14 (.222)
Game 7 record, NBA only, Finals round: 1-5 (.167)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

Old Post 06-20-13 06:44 PM
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playtowin
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HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Tied LWLWLW @ HHVVVH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team tied LWLWLW with site order HHVVVH (Miami) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 4-1 (.800)
Game 7 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 3-1 (.750)
Game 7 record, NBA only, all rounds: 0-0 (---)
Game 7 record, NBA only, Finals round: 0-0 (---)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

Old Post 06-20-13 06:46 PM
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playtowin
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2nd Round & onwards of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 43-26-2

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 11-15-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 32-11-1

Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7, especially one taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a .250 losing %), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.

Records do not include this seasons playoff results.

Old Post 06-20-13 06:51 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10890

2nd Round & onwards of playoffs 2013

All Elimination Games: U/O 6-3

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 3-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 3-2*

*Game 6 finished Under in regulation but the result was an Over in OT.

Old Post 06-21-13 12:53 AM
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