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playtowin
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NBA Series GM 6 Info**6-18-13

After Game 5: The San Antonio Spurs hosted and defeated the Miami Heat 114-pts-104 to take a 3-games-2 lead in MLB/NBA/NHL best-of-7 playoff series 1217. When leading a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2, the San Antonio Spurs have a 12-1 series record (with an active 11-series winning streak) and a 10-3 Game 6 record (with an active four-Game 6 winning streak). When trailing a best-of-7 NBA playoff series 3-games-2, the Miami Heat have a 2-3 series record and a 3-2 Game 6 record. The sole San Antonio series loss in the wake of a 3-games-2 lead in a best-of-7 NBA playoff series occurred in series 363, to the old Washington Bullets in the 1979 NBA Semifinals. In the history of best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series, teams such as San Antonio which post a win/site order of WLWLW @ VVHHH through five games have a 2-4 series record. In only one of those six series the most recent did such a team win Game 6 to win the series: In series 746, the old Florida Marlins (now the Miami Marlins) did so against the Atlanta Braves in the 1997 MLB Semifinals. So it is that a Miami-area team sets a favorable precedent for the 2013 San Antonio Spurs against the 2013 Miami Heat. Since the start of the 2013 NBA Semifinals, the Miami Heat have posted a win order of WLWLWLWLWLWL eleven consecutive best-of-7 playoff games without a repeated outcome. In best-of-7 MLB/NBA/NHL playoff series history, the longest streak of consecutive best-of-7 playoff games without a repeated outcome is twelve, set by the NHL Tampa Bay Lighting in series 918 (the 2004 NHL Semifinals Games 2-7) and series 920 (the 2004 NHL Finals Games 1-6). Beginning with series 918 Game 1, Tampa posted a win order of WLWLWLWLWLWLW before breaking the streak with a 2004 NHL Finals Game 7 victory for the 2004 NHL championship. So it is that another Florida team sets a favorable precedent for the 2013 Miami Heat.

Old Post 06-18-13 06:56 PM
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ADDING

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2:
Ignoring win order; ignoring site order: The team leading 3-games-2 irrespective of site order (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 556-137 (.802)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 103-34 (.752)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 225-36 (.862)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 35-7 (.833)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 380-313 (.548)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 68-69 (.496)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 148-113 (.567)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Finals round: 25-17 (.595)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading 3-games-2 @ VVHHH:
Ignoring win order; considering site order: The team leading 3-games-2 with site order VVHHH (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 35-24 (.593)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 21-17 (.553)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 5-4 (.556)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 5-4 (.556)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 24-35 (.407)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 12-26 (.316)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 5-4 (.556)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Finals round: 5-4 (.556)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

Old Post 06-18-13 06:58 PM
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playtowin
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ADDING

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWLW:
Considering win order; ignoring site order: The team leading WLWLW irrespective of site order (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 63-19 (.768)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 17-6 (.739)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 37-4 (.902)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 11-1 (.917)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 40-42 (.488)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 9-14 (.391)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 23-18 (.561)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Finals round: 6-6 (.500)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

HISTORICAL VICTORY PROBABILITIES: Leading WLWLW @ VVHHH:
Considering win order; considering site order: The team leading WLWLW with site order VVHHH (San Antonio) has the following best-of-7 playoff series and games record through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals:
series record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 2-4 (.333)
series record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 1-3 (.250)
series record, NBA only, all rounds: 0-0 (---)
series record, NBA only, Finals round: 0-0 (---)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, all rounds: 1-5 (.167)
Game 6 record, all best-of-7 sports, Finals round: 0-4 (.000)
Game 6 record, NBA only, all rounds: 0-0 (---)
Game 6 record, NBA only, Finals round: 0-0 (---)
These records are drawn from the applicable 1215 best-of-7 NHL, NBA, and MLB series played through the 2013 NBA and NHL Semifinals. Note in general that the greater the number of games or series fitting a particular situation, the greater the significance of the corresponding winning fraction: For example, 0.800 is far more likely to come closer to the true winning fraction in a given situation when the corresponding win-loss record is 400-100 rather than 4-1.

Old Post 06-18-13 06:59 PM
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playtowin
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ADDING

2nd Round & onwards of playoffs

All Elimination Games: U/O 43-26-2

Elimination Games being game 4 or 5 of a Series: U/O 11-15-1
Elimination Games being game 6 or 7 of a Series: U/O 32-11-1

Clearly the prime spots to take Unders are in a game 6 or 7, especially one taking place during the 2nd round or beyond (a .250 losing %), when both teams have a series win under their belts and are both winners of at least 2 games in the current series.

These results are not counting this seasons playoffs.

Old Post 06-18-13 07:14 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
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Joey Crawford

is on the game tonight

San Antonio at Miami: (Mia -6.5 and 191) Home faves of between 5 and 10 points 13-9 ATS with Joe Crawford and a very strong 24-7 ATS wth Ken Mauer this season. San Antonio is 4-6 ATS with Crawford and 5-4 ATS with Mauer. Miami is 6-1 ATS with Crawford and 6-3 ATS with Mauer. Ref Mike Callahan is a little mixed, leaning to the road team generally this year, but to the home team in the team-specific trends. Conflicting o/u trends for this crew

Old Post 06-18-13 10:46 PM
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playtowin
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Thats a good thing!! heh,heh

Old Post 06-18-13 10:48 PM
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