NBA Finals Betting Trend: The Heat are 1-6 straight up and 1-5-1 against the spread in their last seven games as a road dog with a spread between 0 and 3.5 points and a total between 185 and 190 points.
The Spurs are 7-1 SU and 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a HF with a spread between 0-3.5 (Under was (6-2).
Life may be cozy at home, but the money can be found on the road.
Our database finds visiting teams are moneymakers in the championship round, cashing 55% of the time, going 65-54-3 ATS.
Better yet, put them in a game with the Over/Under total is 181 or higher and they improve to a 61% winning proposition, going 54-34-1 ATS.
Put these same teams on the road in games with a total of 181 or more off a SU and ATS loss and they ratchet all the way up to 22-8 ATS, or a 73% ATS spread beater.
RD always great to see you as i always learn something brother! That first stat is unsettling but I'm leaning heavy toward Heat 1Q & under, Heat 1stH & under, and ...... obviously Heat fg & under. GL with your investments brother, haven't locked mine in so I will be awaiting your move lol
MIA being -1 right now is because of LeBron James and the Heat have gone a 'SPOT-LESS' 5-0 ATS after a loss in the playoffs, winning by an average of 21.6 PPG. Not because of Parker's status... even if Parker is limited, Pop should have a game plan in order but Parker should play even at limited minutes and gets 2 days rest til next game... if he is hurt more than expected, we will not know until during the game and tracking his minutes. Pop would not give that info out at anytime...
Return To Earth
Defense rules in the NBA Finals. That's confirmed by the fact that teams who score less than 90 points in a game in this round are just 31-74 SU and 33-70-2 ATS. When teams manage to score an inordinate amount of points in any one game, they return to the earth faster than a free-falling spaceship.
That's validated by the fact that teams who score 110 or more points in the finals are just 6-9 SU and 5-10 ATS in their next contest.
--Dress these same teams up as favorites after igniting the scoreboard and they've gone 1-8 ATS.
knowing MIA's awesome bounce back record and questions as to Parker's status... plus with these few stats above, I will take a solid D and a Home crowd anytime, SA +1.5... guess who Mayweather is on... yup MIA