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Bear
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Registered: Aug 2007
Posts: 737

PGA Tour - The Players Championship

The tours "5th major" according to many. This is billed as the best field in Golf.

Tiger Woods is going of at +720 He hasn't seen odds this high when he has been playing this well in as long as I can remember. It is certainly due to the stout field and the fact he hasn't fared well here since his win in 2001 (which includes a withdrawal due to injured pride in 2010 - note that wasn't the official reason.) Any of you that follow my golf plays know that I do not often pick the chalk or anywhere near it for the most part. This week is different. I am placing a fairly large (for me) wager of $100 on Tiger to win. Here is why.

Leads the tour in par 3 scoring, strokes gained putting and par 5 scoring. He hasn't fared well here in recent years, but here is what has changed. He is hitting a cut and when the tee shot calls for a cut, he is hitting the driver great and in the fairway. There are only 4 holes out of 14 (excluding par 3's here) where a draw is required. 10, 14, 16 and 18. He can and likely will hit less than driver on 1 or 2 of those holes and he can confidently play the draw with anything less than Driver. With the rest of his game in the shape it is and Tiger playing from the fairways for the most part, I love his chances this week at those lofty odds. I also have one longshot because I like to follow him.

Tiger Woods +720
Brian Harman +50,000 - that is not a typo...very small here

GL Den

Old Post 05-07-13 03:23 PM
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ICT Picker


Registered: Jan 2013
Posts: 324

I agree with almost everything xcept

Most of Tigs success this year is cuz he has been putting out his ass from 15' and in. Putting is like gambling , its streaky. He started to lose the stroke at Augusta. Not saying he wont win but you will know by Friday nite if his stroke is back.

Old Post 05-07-13 04:10 PM
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Bear
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Posts: 737

ICT, I agree that the putter is always key. With his improved short wedge play and it being a friendly driving course for those that like to fade it, he should have many quality looks at birdies. Even though his putter failed him, he finished top 5 at Augusta...a course that favors a draw off the tee. If he putts well, I think he wins by a decent margin. If not, I think he is still right there in the mix on Sunday afternoon.

Old Post 05-07-13 09:52 PM
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Badger24
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Registered: Jul 2006
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The tourneys Tiger has won have been the ones he's won multiple times in the past

Old Post 05-07-13 10:08 PM
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Badger24
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Torrey Pines 8 times
Doral 7 times
Bay Hill 8 times

Think he won the Players in 2001

Old Post 05-07-13 10:11 PM
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Bear
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Badger, I am aware of his last victory was in 2001 here. I pointed that out in my original post. When you win almost 80 times, you are going to have some you dominate. His lack of dominance here and strength of field is why he is @+720. I like his current form and I see value in the number.

Old Post 05-08-13 12:28 AM
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BIV2


Registered: Mar 2007
Posts: 477

Tiger

Hi Bear and all.
I agree Bear// 2 days ago My first look... I took Tiger +650 And Zach Johnson +5500. will add one or 2 tommorrow /
good luck all.

peace

Biv2

Old Post 05-08-13 05:04 AM
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ICT Picker


Registered: Jan 2013
Posts: 324

Hey Bear

My book has a top 5 finish and a top 10 finish line. Tiger is +110 to finish in top 10. Might be a hedge play for you. If he wins you get 870 or 10 if he finishes 2nd.....11th well that would suk

Old Post 05-08-13 01:51 PM
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Bear
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ICT,what book?

Old Post 05-08-13 02:16 PM
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ICT Picker


Registered: Jan 2013
Posts: 324

Its thru a local who has an offshore:

lucktrain.com.....not sure if you can deposit or not, but the line is avail. odds for a top 5 finish by TW is +160. Top 10 has dropped a nickle as you can see. I just put up a few but odds are there for every player.



07:00a ET The Players Championship -Top 10 finishers


Tiger Woods +105
Adam Scott +175
Luke Donald +175
Phil Mickelson +210
Rory McIlroy +230
Lee Westwood +240
Justin Rose +260
Matt Kuchar +260

Old Post 05-08-13 02:26 PM
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eels
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 2297

Bear

Heritage has Tiger top 5 +200 and top 10 +120

Old Post 05-08-13 07:28 PM
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threegs


Registered: Sep 2009
Posts: 257

Tournament Matchups

Tourney Matchups:
J. Day -135 over R. Fowler
D. Toms -125 over B. Weekley
E. Els -110 over K. Stanley
L. Donald +100 over A. Scott
L. Donald -125 over S. Garcia

Bets to Win:

T. Woods +600
J. Rose +2500
M. Kuchar +3000

Good Luck everyone!

Results to Date:
Tourney Matchups: 23-23-4 -2.55 units

Old Post 05-08-13 11:55 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 47334

thanks for all the golf insights, very helpful
GL

Old Post 05-09-13 01:06 PM
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BIV2


Registered: Mar 2007
Posts: 477

I added Steve Stricker & Bubba watson

G Luck

Old Post 05-09-13 02:27 PM
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Bear
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Registered: Aug 2007
Posts: 737

Tiger +720. Winner


It was closer than the two shot margin would suggest. Tiger made it interesting with the 20 handicapper t shot on 14 which led to a double, but he moved on and converted the W, with a little help from his good buddy Sergio.

Old Post 05-13-13 12:39 AM
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eels
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Registered: Dec 2005
Posts: 2297

Thank you!

I played Tiger only because of your post...thank you for this winner!

Old Post 05-13-13 01:03 AM
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pshinnamon
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Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 5773

Thanks for the winner. I had $500.00 on the tiger at +705. Good call.
Pete




Terpman

Old Post 05-13-13 11:59 AM
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