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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10857

Super Bowl

NFL Playoffs 6-6 +6.65 units

It all began in 1997 when Denver came-out of the wild card round and went to the SB.

Since then, 15 years later the trend continues with 10 teams from the wild card round - non bye teams - making the SB.

Those 10 teams from the wild card round in the SB................................10-0 ATS and 7-3 SU.

Since free agency began in 1993, there's evidence that it _seems to have weakened the better teams.

Just 2 short years later in 1995 _and the higher seeds could no longer cover the spread in the SB.

4 years later is when teams from the wild card round began their assult on the SB, as posted above.

In the 17 SB's since 1995 just 2 higher seeded teams have covered the spread and one of those was 2004 no.1 seed Eagles who happen to be a 7 pt dog to the no.2 seeded Pats.

That leaves just 1 higher seeded team (the 98 Broncos covering_as a no.1 seed against no.2 seeded Falcons)__to cover the line as a Fav. I don't like those odds so my final play of the year is:

Balt +3' for 3 units. If the line creeps up between now and game time I will add to my wager.

Happy wagering to all!

P.S. Smoked Brisket, Ribs and Links for SB Sunday. There's no place like Texas!

Old Post 02-02-13 06:41 PM
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Tex
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 3985

Dont forget he beer....Shiner Bock? Miller Lite? Falstaff ? Lone Star?




give a man a fish, you feed him for a day, teach a man to fish, he'll sit in a boat and drink beer all day"

Old Post 02-02-13 06:56 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10857

St. Arnold's




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 02-02-13 07:47 PM
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msudogs
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 46614

baby back or st louis ?

Old Post 02-02-13 07:51 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10857

Adding ...

Balt +4 -105 for 1 unit
Flacco MVP +200 for 1 unit
Parlay Balt +4 -105 & Over 47' 1 unit to win 2.7


-> Dog is 8-3 ats in last 11 SB's.
-> Teams off B2B road games are 5-2 SU and 6-0-1 ATS s/99.
-> In last 11 SB's, the team with the better regular season record went 1-10 ATS and 0-9 ATS in L9.
-> Any team including SB teams off B2B games totalling 70+pts are 3-8 SU and ATS s/83.




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 02-03-13 11:27 AM
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cuse227


Registered: Dec 2012
Posts: 210

Good stuff

Nice work, good luck today

Old Post 02-03-13 01:41 PM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10857

FYI

Dunkel 2-7-1 ATS NFL playoff sides

Dunkel SB Pick: SF -3'

Adding:
6 1/2 pt teaser
Balt +10' & Over 41 risk 1.8 units to win 1.5

Old Post 02-03-13 07:40 PM
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TheFixIsIn
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 3971

not trying to agrue but maybe I remember it wrong, wasnt the NE/PHI spread 7? i thought it busted but I could be wrong, may also depend on the line from any given book




I know all the rules but the rules do not know me, Guaranteed- Eddie Vedder

Old Post 02-03-13 09:08 PM
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RDTrains
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Posts: 10857

Adding ...

Balt +7 2nd H for 1 unit




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 02-04-13 01:31 AM
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RDTrains
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Registered: Sep 2003
Posts: 10857

5-1 +9.1 units

Balt +3' => Winner
Balt +4 => Winner
Flacco MVP +200 => Winner
Parlay Balt +4 -105 & Over 47' => Winner
Balt +10' & Over 41 => Winner
Balt +7 2nd H => Lost


NFL Playoffs 11-7 +15.75 units




Conroe, TX. Wishing I was retired.

Old Post 02-04-13 05:43 AM
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diamondjim
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6868

Wouldn't expect anything less

Thanks




@1diamondjim (twitter)
Location : Boston, Mass

Old Post 02-04-13 02:59 PM
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pshinnamon
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Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 5633

Way to kick some butt.

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 02-04-13 03:04 PM
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cuse227


Registered: Dec 2012
Posts: 210

quite the exciting finish

nice job and great work.

Old Post 02-04-13 05:02 PM
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pointmagic
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Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 5644

Nice calls.

Old Post 02-04-13 11:12 PM
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