Wow Bear.. your site is way better then mine with golf. I had the field at 4-1 but R. Henley wasn't even part of it. I think he went off at 60-1 pre t-ment. Good Luck this week.
I took a shot with Elkington this week at 22-1. First event and I know he's pumped for it.
george, the field odds in my opinion were excellent. they only offered odds on 33 players which left 111 possibilities to hit the field bet at 8-1. Sometimes odds are posted for overall winners after 1st and 2nd round, but not always. For what its worth, I use heritage. I even called them last year to get odds on a particular player that didn't have odds and they obliged and put odds up an hour later.
Coetzee has 5 top tens in his last 9 tourneys dating back to October. He also was 6th in this tourney last year, but more importantly for these tournaments outside of Europe, I look for someone who has done well in the region.
Here is Coetzee in the UAE: 22nd, 6th, 5th, 25th all since December 2011. Inconsistent? Sure, but this is someone that has played here multiple times.
Grace missed the cut here last year which will knock him down somewhat for me as well. Although he does have a 6th place finish in the UAE in November.
Of course, Coetzee will probably crap the bed now, but that is my reasoning.
Just something to note on the matchups for the PGA Humana tournament this week that can provide an edge in daily matchups on day 2 and 3. Most often the daily matchups have players in the same group or at least going off near the same time therefore they play in simlar conditions - which seems fair.
However this week is a big pro am event and they are spread over three courses, La Quinta (LQ), Palmer Private (PP) and Nicklaus Private (NP). At my book (heritage) they did not take into account that these guys were playing different course and therefore provided some matchups where player A was player the PP and player B playing the NP. I didn't check this before my plays today and I certainly will before tomorrow to see if I can find an edge. It appears the scoring is far better on the NP course than the PP course. You might take note if you are making any plays for tomorrow. This info should provide us with a small edge. If I have time, I will try to check back later with more definitive stats, but now you have the knowledge to check it out for yourself.
To continue.from.my earlier post about the difficulty of the corses:
11 of the top 16 scores came on the NP course today, while only 3 of the top 16 came from.the PP course.
11 of the worst 22 scores came on the PP couse versus only 3 of the bottom 22 coming on the NP couse.
To avoid confusion the other.scores came from Laquinta which did not offer any players matchups - on heritage at least.
Therefore, I am going to tailor my round 2 and round 3 matchups to players on NP tomorrow and.Sat versus players on PP. I will make an effort to post my round 2 matchups before they go off the board starting at 10 am EST.