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bbaffert
StatFox Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 7067

Seattle/Washington - Bet The Shed!

Seattle -3

They have a good shot at making it to the superbowl. Washington has a really bad pass D and it will get exploited. I could go on and on but Seattle by far is the easiest and most likely winner this weekend. Seattle has already been playing very good D and they get their other CB back at the perfect time. Passing and Running will be options for Seattle. Lynch will have no problems running up the gut and wrecking havoc on the Skins. Seattle may be the most complete team in the playoffs. They really have no glaring weaknesses. Washington does, their pass D has not been good but their run D is going to be the big problem here. Old man Fletcher is playing really bad this year. I will add some info but this one is a slam dunk.

Old Post 01-05-13 04:55 PM
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bbaffert
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Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 7067

BIG PROBLEM

Marshawn Lynch vs. Redskins Inside Linebackers

The last time the Seahawks won a playoff game it was because running back Marshawn Lynch went into full beast mode over the Saints. They might need another big performance from him to win in Washington, and the opportunity will be there. The onus to stop Lynch will be on Washingtonís two inside linebackers, London Fletcher and Perry Riley. Fletcher has suffered a dip in his play this year and the veteranís best days are clearly behind him. On 334 runs plays Fletcher has made just 44 tackles, while missing 10. His 5.1 Run Stop Percentage is last among qualifying inside linebackers. Riley hasnít fared much better against the run, and his run stop percentage of 7.4 is 26th in the league. Fletcher and Riley will need to be much better this week against a Seahawks team that likes to run up the middle. Seattle wisely ran 169 times between either of the center/guard gaps and behind PFF second team All-Pro center, Max Unger. Unger finished the year with the third-highest run block grade among centers (+18.1) and he will be trying to create large running lanes for Lynch this week.

With Russell Wilson getting most of the attention, Lynch (almost quietly) had a very good season. He finished fourth in our Elusive Rating and caused the second-most missed tackles on running plays, behind only Adrian Peterson. Lynch might be the catalyst to a big running attack against an apparently inferior run defense.

Old Post 01-05-13 04:56 PM
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bbaffert
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ADVANTAGE SEATTLE

Seahawks Cornerbacks vs. Redskins Wide Receivers

A month ago it seemed very unlikely that both Seattle starting cornerbacks would be available for the playoffs. However, with Richard Sherman avoiding suspension by winning his appeal, and Brandon Browner completing his suspension for PEDís last week, they are both ready to go. They have the task of stopping a Redskinsí passing game that features Pierre Garcon and Joshua Morgan. With Griffin still not appearing all the way back from his knee injury, the Redskins might be inclined to have him rely on his passing more than running. Garcon has been busy since missing most of the season with an injury. He is already second on the team in targets and had more yards than any other Redskins receiver. Griffin has a comfort with Garcon, and he should as his QB rating when throwing to him is 116.7. That rating will get a huge test this week though. Sherman finished second in the entire NFL in QB rating on passes into his coverage. Quarterbacks targeted Sherman 86 times, completing 40 passes with two touchdowns and eight interceptions on the 591 snaps, equating to a QB rating of 40.5. He was so stellar in coverage that we voted him our first team All-Pro. His counterpart, Browner, was almost as good and had even fewer yards per coverage snap, allowing just 34 receptions in 447 coverage snaps. They are without doubt one of the best cornerback duos in the league. Last time these teams met, in week 12 of last season, both players had an interception, but it wonít be Rex Grossman playing quarterback this time.

A matchup that the Redskins might have the opportunity to feature would be in the slot. Veteran Santana Moss has been a weapon from the slot all year and has made numerous big plays. Moss lines up in the slot 82.1% of the time, and has 32 receptions including seven touchdowns on 47 targets from that position. Griffin has a QB rating of 131.5 when throwing to Moss and the rookie might lean heavily on him to avoid throwing at Seattleís two elite corners. Seattle will count on Marcus Trufant to handle most of the slot duties, and he is no slouch. Trufant has been in coverage from the slot on 179 plays and allowed only 21 receptions and one touchdown. Trufant against Moss could dictate how successful the Redskins are in moving the chains.

Old Post 01-05-13 04:57 PM
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Tots_McGee
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Registered: Feb 2010
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Not sure where you get your "info", but as far as London Fletcher "playing really bad this year"


Of all linebackers in the NFL this year, the Old Man Ranks

8th in Tackles with 139 and 1st in interceptions with 5.



Perhaps a down year, but Really bad? come on man




http://mainememorial.org/

Old Post 01-05-13 05:17 PM
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bbaffert
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Registered: Mar 2003
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Fletcher information, bad? YES!

Fletcher has suffered a dip in his play this year and the veteranís best days are clearly behind him. On 334 runs plays Fletcher has made just 44 tackles, while missing 10. His 5.1 Run Stop Percentage is last among qualifying inside linebackers.


LAST vs RUN and missed 10 tackles while making just 44.

I call that BAD. Your talking about passing, I am talking about trying to stop the beast that is Lynch. Also, number of tackles really does not say much as a stat. I mean if another team throws to their TE all day long and Fletcher is trying to cover him, does not and has to tackle him that is really not positive. AND, Washington is really bad at guarding TE's.

Old Post 01-05-13 05:19 PM
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Tots_McGee
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thanks for clearing that up....

I appreciate the C/P info here, GL on the plays this weekend




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Old Post 01-05-13 05:24 PM
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jbr_njc
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Registered: Jan 2006
Posts: 1290

I would not bet the shed on this game... just my opion

Old Post 01-05-13 06:13 PM
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bbaffert
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we can agree to disagree then, tomorrow will tell the story.

Old Post 01-06-13 12:48 AM
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bbaffert
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Registered: Mar 2003
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tick tock tick tock, long day

i kinda feel bad we have a lot of skins fans here but they just need a better pass d and overall they just are not on the level of seattle yet.

Old Post 01-06-13 07:07 PM
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diamondjim
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6868

Only prob with this

Is the unpredictable athleticism of RG3

Best wishes with this play




@1diamondjim (twitter)
Location : Boston, Mass

Old Post 01-06-13 09:42 PM
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wildjayson


Registered: Sep 2009
Posts: 223

**** looks like im getting behind the wood shed

Old Post 01-06-13 10:17 PM
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bbaffert
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Registered: Mar 2003
Posts: 7067

Sea -3.5 2H is not a bad wager as well. They are gonna win. Washington is like hell WTF, we had this. DEMORALIZED. Now Seattle can get back with the play, Lynch, Lynch, Lynch.

GL GUYS! Dinner Break, good game so far.

No offense to Skins fans, I know how you guys felt with that lead, imagine how the Skins players feel in the locker room.

Old Post 01-06-13 11:05 PM
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wildjayson


Registered: Sep 2009
Posts: 223

lets go

Old Post 01-06-13 11:06 PM
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ANI-MAL
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Registered: Sep 2007
Posts: 779

Job well done.




"When you lose, don't lose the lesson"
"Who feels it, knows it"

Hamma Plays:

Old Post 01-07-13 12:41 AM
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timande
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 1235

nice one(s), grats on all your plays today

Old Post 01-07-13 12:42 AM
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diamondjim
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 6868

washington shlt the bed

lol

very nice call




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Location : Boston, Mass

Old Post 01-07-13 12:42 AM
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kanapad


Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 340

congrats on the play!!!!! thanks for your input




"Rome was not built in one day"

Old Post 01-07-13 01:49 AM
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DRB
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Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 1535

Hell of a call....think the books got their asses kicked this weekend. Lets run the table again next weekend!

Old Post 01-07-13 02:13 AM
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wildjayson


Registered: Sep 2009
Posts: 223

well done

Old Post 01-07-13 02:53 AM
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2381Mike
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Registered: Aug 2005
Posts: 2304

nice call

thanks for the winner

Old Post 01-07-13 02:07 PM
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