StatFox.com - Sports Handicapping Community

The Leading Logic In Sports Handicapping

The FoxDen Forum : Powered by vBulletin version 2.3.0 The FoxDen Forum > Sports Handicapping, Trends, and Stats > Ncaa Bb 12/29/12
Search The Fox Den Forum:

Subscribe to this Thread
Pages (2): [1] 2 »

Last Message   Next Message
    
Author
Message    Post A Reply
pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 5717

Ncaa Bb 12/29/12

Here are a couple of games that I suggest that you get down early on. this is an old system of mine that I do a three game chase on. Over 7 years I have never lost a set. However keep in mind that you may have to chase them for the total of three games. So far this year they are 4/0 all won on the first game of the chase. I can tell you to get down as early as you can as there are others that play this system and the lines never get better. I jumped on these last night around midnight.

I would suggest that you take a certain % of your bankroll and bet that. I take 5% of my starting bankroll for the season. and bet that amount on the first play. If it loses I come back and bet to cover my losses on the first play and bet to win 5% on the second play and so on.

Example
tier 1 Bet 110 to win 100 Lose 110
Tier 2 bet to win 210 lose 231
Tier 3 bet to win 441 Win Thus you win $100

My bets are much larger then the example above but I've been doing this for a while and it is MONEY IN THE BANK!

I will post the games for you and tell you what tier they are on.
tier 1 Take Idaho State plus 18
tier 1 S.Dakota St +8-

NCAA BB
Sides 43/39/1
Totals 27/21
Small Plays 0/2
3 TIER PLAYS 4/0
Pete




Terpman

Old Post 12-29-12 01:33 PM
pshinnamon is offline Click Here to See the Profile for pshinnamon Click here to Send pshinnamon a Private Message Edit post   Report post
antrod333


Registered: Dec 2012
Posts: 58

Take both of those teir 1 bets or choose 1 or the other?

Old Post 12-29-12 01:39 PM
antrod333 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for antrod333 Click here to Send antrod333 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
mike dzn


Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 404

im in

Old Post 12-29-12 02:47 PM
mike dzn is offline Click Here to See the Profile for mike dzn Click here to Send mike dzn a Private Message Edit post   Report post
cwin32
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 1760

Hey Pete, approx how many of these beauties come up per year?

Old Post 12-29-12 03:02 PM
cwin32 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for cwin32 Click here to Send cwin32 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
bostonshamrock
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2071

going to tail - thanks pete

Old Post 12-29-12 03:05 PM
bostonshamrock is offline Click Here to See the Profile for bostonshamrock Click here to Send bostonshamrock a Private Message Edit post   Report post
mikemac243
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2008
Posts: 1313

Lines have already jumped...I see 17 and 7

Old Post 12-29-12 03:18 PM
mikemac243 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for mikemac243 Click here to Send mikemac243 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 5717

Re

Both games are plays.

Usually get on average 30 plays per year.
One other note. I misquoted the plays for this year so I want to get the record straight.

So far this year here is how the system has gone
Tier 1 3/2 losses
Tier 2 1/0
Tier 2 1 pending play. The tier 2 pending play will happen on January 8, 2013

I keep all of my records in the office. When I posted these this morning I was at home and used my memory, which before 5 cups of coffee usually is not good. I wanted to get these out to you guys before the lines changed too much. sorry for the inaccuracy but this system is great.

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 12-29-12 03:34 PM
pshinnamon is offline Click Here to See the Profile for pshinnamon Click here to Send pshinnamon a Private Message Edit post   Report post
cwin32
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 1760

Sounds good, thanks for sharing. I think everyone on here knows you are not a BS-er so no need for apology. Good luck today

Old Post 12-29-12 03:49 PM
cwin32 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for cwin32 Click here to Send cwin32 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
double11
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2006
Posts: 5953

Good luck Pete. Count me in as well




Life can only be understood backwords. But it must be lived forward.

Old Post 12-29-12 04:14 PM
double11 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for double11 Click here to Send double11 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 47020

come on, looking at 2 from your area today, W&M & the Spiders, hope we agree
GL

Old Post 12-29-12 04:21 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 5717

one more add

Duke -17. I have this game as Duke -23

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 12-29-12 04:53 PM
pshinnamon is offline Click Here to See the Profile for pshinnamon Click here to Send pshinnamon a Private Message Edit post   Report post
IrishMule
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 6494

BOL Pete

Have a good one, Bud!




Let us be thankful for the fools. But for them, the rest of us could not succeed.
Mark Twain

''Life's tough ........it's even tougher if you're stupid...''
-- John Wayne

"Beer is proof that God loves us and wants us to be happy."
Benjamin Franklin

'Life isn't about
how to survive the storm.....But how to dance in the
rain.'
TheMule

Old Post 12-29-12 05:10 PM
IrishMule is offline Click Here to See the Profile for IrishMule Click here to Send IrishMule a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 47020

Richmond tonight ?

Old Post 12-29-12 06:16 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
ballinhj12
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 1518

Man that IdahoSt line has sunk like a stone, does it still fit the chase system @+14? thanks for these plays, i'll definitely be following with you this season. Good luck and take care

Old Post 12-29-12 06:34 PM
ballinhj12 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for ballinhj12 Click here to Send ballinhj12 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 5717

Yes it does stilll follow the system. As I said before I bet these early because the line does come down or go up depending on the bet if it is a dog or favorie. Last week Arizon was a play vs. Miami. Ariz opened as a 3 point fav and went to 5.5 point favorite. Still one easily. another example Old Dominion was a play last saturday night. They were a 14 point dog to UVA. I was at the game and saw that ODU only had 8 in uniform and one was wearing a cats. they won outright.

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 12-29-12 08:11 PM
pshinnamon is offline Click Here to See the Profile for pshinnamon Click here to Send pshinnamon a Private Message Edit post   Report post
pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 5717

Adding one more

Cal Poly slo -3 I bought 1/2 point.

Pete




Terpman

Old Post 12-29-12 08:11 PM
pshinnamon is offline Click Here to See the Profile for pshinnamon Click here to Send pshinnamon a Private Message Edit post   Report post
BIG BAD BILL
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 7459

Pete

Looks good I am going to follow!!




2008-2013
1726-1510
53.34%

Old Post 12-29-12 10:00 PM
BIG BAD BILL is offline Click Here to See the Profile for BIG BAD BILL Click here to Send BIG BAD BILL a Private Message Edit post   Report post
ballinhj12
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 1518

So are they all 1st tier plays and then you chase the team next game if it loses? Just trying to make sure I fully understand. Thanks brother

Old Post 12-29-12 10:13 PM
ballinhj12 is offline Click Here to See the Profile for ballinhj12 Click here to Send ballinhj12 a Private Message Edit post   Report post
msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 47020

you got me on SLO, hope to matchup later today
GL

Old Post 12-30-12 01:26 PM
msudogs is offline Click Here to See the Profile for msudogs Click here to Send msudogs a Private Message Edit post   Report post
pshinnamon
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Apr 2005
Posts: 5717

Up Date

3 tier Plays
Tier 1 Idaho St +18 LOSE
Tier 1 S. dakota St +8- WIN
Duke -17 LOSE
Cal Poly Slo -3 WIN

Sides 45/41/1
Totals 27/21
Small Plays 0/2
Tier 1 4/3 losses
Tier 2 1/0
Tier 2 Two Pending.
Keep in mind I'll post the Tier all plays. The chase does not involve the teams that we bet it involves the teams we bet against.




Terpman

Old Post 12-30-12 01:37 PM
pshinnamon is offline Click Here to See the Profile for pshinnamon Click here to Send pshinnamon a Private Message Edit post   Report post
Post A Reply
  
Pages (2): [1] 2 »   Last Message   Next Message

Quick Links: