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cuse227


Registered: Dec 2012
Posts: 210

1st post - den/oak 3rd quarter

hey guys, been reading this forum for a while and have found it pretty informative. Thanks to everyone who contributes. Figured I'd try to contribute as well.

My book has den/oak 3rd quarter at den -0.5 @ -115.

Just based on what I've seen this year, Denver is a 2nd half team.

Took a look at the box scores week 1 thru week 12 and Denver has "won" the 3rd quarter 7 times and lost it 5 times. However, 6 out of the 7 times Denver won the 3rd, they also won the game.

I'm expecting Denver to win this game tonight, and since i got a good line at -0.5, that's my pick.

Den 3rd Q -0.5, 288 to win 250.

Old Post 12-06-12 08:57 PM
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Duby99
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jun 2008
Posts: 2137

Welcome to the Den!

GL with your selection, it does look tempting

Old Post 12-06-12 09:05 PM
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cuse227


Registered: Dec 2012
Posts: 210

thanks Duby!

Here's a little more fuel for the fire, Denver is much more likely to defer to receive 2nd half if they win the coin toss....see below:


the Broncos won the toss in each of their first three games and took the ball all three times. They had two punts and an interception on those three game-opening possessions and surrendered just one field goal (against Pittsburgh), to go with two punts, on their opponents' opening possessions of the second half of those three games.

They also won the toss in New England and took the ball immediately, only to fumble on the drive.

They lost the toss in San Diego (Nov. 18), and the Chargers took the ball. The Broncos, trailing 24-0 at halftime, then took the opening possession of the second half 85 yards in eight plays for a touchdown.

Almost to a player, they said that drive to open the second half, and Manning's efficiency on it, was the key moment in the improbable comeback.

So, Fox a huge believer in the idea that you don't mess with a streak, has since deferred each time they have won the toss since against Cincinnati, Carolina and the Chargers in Denver to give his team the ball to open the second half.

The Broncos have kicked off, three times because they deferred and three times because they lost the toss, in each of the games during the current six-game winning streak. So, they'll likely keep doing it if the wins keep coming.

Old Post 12-06-12 09:12 PM
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geg1951
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 8067

greetings and good luck with your play




GARY / GARLAND TEXAS...... RETIRED

Old Post 12-06-12 10:48 PM
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msudogs
Moderator

Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 46189

welcome in, i also believe they are a 4th quarter play as well this year
GL

Old Post 12-06-12 11:20 PM
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Toby13
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Registered: Sep 2010
Posts: 8966

Good Luck Tonight welcome.




TOBY

Old Post 12-06-12 11:31 PM
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cuse227


Registered: Dec 2012
Posts: 210

Yeah I looked hard at the 4th q too, Denver has def done well in the 4th through 12 weeks. But Oakland seems to score garbage Tds every week in the 4th, so decided to just go with the 3rd q play

Old Post 12-07-12 12:05 AM
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cuse227


Registered: Dec 2012
Posts: 210

Didn't get the ball first 2nd half, but winner anyways

13-0

1-0 +250

Old Post 12-07-12 03:49 AM
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GMEN12


Registered: Nov 2012
Posts: 335

Nice hit and welcome

Old Post 12-07-12 04:15 AM
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