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cisco
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8761

mlb trends for wednesday

St. Louis Cardinals at Washington Nationals (-107, 7.5)

Series tied at 1-1

The Washington Nationals are about to host the city’s first playoff game since 1933 when they host the St. Louis Cardinals on Wednesday. Once that novelty wears off, they will get back to the business of trying to win a series.

The Nationals squandered a chance to take a commanding 2-0 lead in the best-of-five National League Division Series when Jordan Zimmermann struggled in Game 2. Now it is the Cardinals with some momentum and a red-hot Carlos Beltran.

Beltran homered twice in Game 2, boosting his career postseason slugging percentage to higher than .800 and setting the Cardinals on a familiar path. St. Louis dropped the opener of both the NLDS and the NL Championship Series last year before recovering to advance and eventually win the World Series. Washington is full of players making their first postseason appearance but one of the few veterans - Edwin Jackson - gets the start in Game 3.

Jackson was with the Cardinals last October and made four postseason starts. This time, he will be going up against a lineup that pounded out four home runs in Game 2 and led the majors in on-base percentage during the regular season. Allen Craig, Daniel Descalso and Jon Jay all had success in Game 2 and Matt Holliday has yet to break out.

TV: 1:07 p.m. ET, MLBN

WEATHER: The forecast is calling for partialy cloudly skies and temperatures in the mid 60s. Winds are expected to blow SW at 8 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Cardinals RH Chris Carpenter (0-2, 3.71 ERA) vs. Nationals RH Edwin Jackson (10-11, 4.03)

Last year’s playoff hero, Carpenter missed the majority of the season after undergoing surgery and has made only three starts in 2012. The veteran right-hander, who accelerated his rehab in order to come back and help the team in the playoffs, did not allow more than three earned runs in any of those three turns and has recorded 12 strikeouts against three walks in 17 total innings. Carpenter is 9-2 with a 3.05 ERA in 15 career postseason starts and has been strong in the past against Washington, posting a 6-1 record with a 3.27 ERA in 12 turns.

Jackson struggled with his consistency down the stretch, allowing one run in three of his final seven starts and a total of 23 (21 earned) in the other four. That inconsistency was at its most apparent against St. Louis. The right-hander struck out eight and did not allow and earned run over eight innings in a win over the Cardinals on Aug. 30 but was pounded for nine runs (eight earned) in only 1 1/3 innings at St. Louis on Sept. 28. Jackson has been better at Nationals Park this season, going 6-6 with a 3.35 ERA in 15 starts.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings in Washington.
* Over is 10-2 in the last 12 meetings.
* Under is 5-2 in Carpenters last seven starts vs. Nationals.
* Cardinals are 1-8 in the last nine meetings in Washington.

UMP TRENDS - Joe West:

* Road team is 10-1 in Wests last 11 Wednesday games behind home plate.
* Road team is 4-1 in Wests last five games behind home plate.
* Over is 3-1-1 in Wests last five games behind home plate vs. Washington.
* Over is 19-7 in Wests last 26 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
* Home team is 15-7 in Wests last 22 games behind home plate vs. Washington.
* Nationals are 5-14 in their last 19 games with West behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Nationals rookie CF Bryce Harper is 1-for-10 with a double and six strikeouts through the first two games.

2. After failing to record an extra-base hit in Sunday’s opener, the teams combined for 11 in Game 2. St. Louis accounted for eight, including four homers and a triple.

3. Washington has committed four errors in the series while St. Louis has only been charged with one. Of course, the Cardinals’ error led to the deciding runs in the Nationals’ 3-2 victory in Game 1.

Old Post 10-10-12 03:24 PM
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cisco
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Posts: 8761

Baltimore Orioles at New York Yankees (-170, 8.5)

Series tied 1-1

After earning a split of the first two games in Baltimore, the New York Yankees attempt to cash in on their home-field advantage when they host Game Three of their American League Division Series against the Orioles on Wednesday.

New York broke open a tight series opener in the ninth inning Sunday but dropped a 3-2 nail-biter at Camden Yards on Monday as Baltimore closer Jim Johnson bounced back from a disastrous outing to set down the Yankees in order and notch his first career postseason save.

Game 2 followed the same pattern as the opener, with New York scoring a run in the first inning and Baltimore plating two in the third. The difference may have been the fourth inning as the Orioles allowed the tying run to score on Monday but escaped a bases-loaded, one-out jam Tuesday to preserve their lead. Wei-Yin Chen notched the win in his postseason debut while 40-year-old Andy Pettitte took the loss, failing to add to his all-time playoff victory total of 19.

The Orioles improved to 76-0 when leading after seven innings and 30-9 in one-run games this year. They posted a 6-3 record at Yankee Stadium during the regular season.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, TBS

WEATHER: The forecast in the Bronx is calling for a 20 percent chance of showers earlier in the evening, eventually clear off with temperatures falling into the high 50s. Winds are expected to blow WSW at 13 mph.

PITCHING MATCHUP: Orioles RH Miguel Gonzalez (9-4, 3.25 ERA) vs. Yankees RH Hiroki Kuroda (16-11, 3.32)

Gonzalez won his final three starts of the regular season and allowed two runs or less in five of his last six outings. The 28-year-old Mexican was impressive on the road in his first major league campaign, going 6-2 with a 2.74 ERA in 11 games - including two relief appearances. Gonzalez was 2-0 against the Yankees, with both victories coming in New York. He yielded four runs while striking out eight over 6 2/3 innings July 30 and fanned nine in seven scoreless frames Aug. 31.

Kuroda also finished the regular season strong, winning four of his final five decisions. The 37-year-old native of Japan had the majority of his success this year at home, where he went 11-6 with a 2.72 ERA in 19 outings. Kuroda split his two starts against the Orioles, both of which were at Yankee Stadium. He allowed one run over seven innings in a win April 30 while yielding four runs over 8 1/3 frames in a loss to Gonzalez on Aug. 31.

TRENDS:

* Over is 6-1 in the last seven meetings.
* Under is 7-3-1 in the last 11 meetings in New York.
* Orioles are 29-59 in the last 88 meetings in New York.
* Orioles are 25-56 in the last 81 meetings.

UMP TRENDS - Brian Gorman:

* Over is 4-0-1 in Gormans last five Wednesday games behind home plate.
* Road team is 4-0 in Gormans last four Wednesday games behind home plate vs. New York.
* Over is 5-2 in Gormans last seven games behind home plate vs. New York.
* Orioles are 0-4 in their last four Wednesday games with Gorman behind home plate.

WALK-OFFS:

1. Yankees LF Ichiro Suzuki went 1-for-5 on Monday to extend his hitting streak at Camden Yards to 21 games.

2. New York (245) and Baltimore (214) were the top two teams in the major leagues in home runs during the regular season, but have combined for one over the first two games of the series.

3. Yankees RF Nick Swisher has one hit in his last 33 postseason at-bats with runners in scoring position.

Old Post 10-10-12 03:26 PM
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cisco
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Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8761

Did you know?

San Francisco has won Zito's last 11 starts?

Old Post 10-10-12 03:39 PM
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Wolfpack66
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Registered: Apr 2011
Posts: 422

Gracias Cisc

You read my mind..
I Like to read the prior days trends with the scores in the book
as a learning tool. See possibly what I missed for next time.
Thanks for getting this Up early.
Needless to say, loved seeing this :

Road team is 10-1 in Wests last 11 Wednesday games behind home plate.

Nationals are 5-14 in their last 19 games with West behind home plate


Leaning Giants as well..

GL today.
-Woof!

Old Post 10-10-12 03:41 PM
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cisco
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Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8761

MLB(929) BALTIMORE @ (930) NY YANKEES | 10/10/2012 - 7:35 PM
Play ONBALTIMORE using the money line in Road games in games played on a grass field

The record is 39 Wins and 25 Losses this season (+27.20 units)





MLB(929) BALTIMORE @ (930) NY YANKEES | 10/10/2012 - 7:35 PM
Play ONBALTIMORE using the money line in Road games against right-handed starters

The record is 37 Wins and 25 Losses this season (+24.95 units)





MLB(927) SAN FRANCISCO @ (928) CINCINNATI | 10/10/2012 - 4:05 PM
Play OVERSAN FRANCISCO on the total in Road games after a win

The record is 31 Overs and 12 Unders this season (+18.75 units)





MLB(931) DETROIT @ (932) OAKLAND | 10/10/2012 - 9:35 PM
Play ONOAKLAND using the money line in All games in night games

The record is 65 Wins and 42 Losses this season (+31.77 units)





MLB(931) DETROIT @ (932) OAKLAND | 10/10/2012 - 9:35 PM
Play ONOAKLAND using the money line in All games against right-handed starters

The record is 63 Wins and 41 Losses this season (+31.02 units)





MLB(931) DETROIT @ (932) OAKLAND | 10/10/2012 - 9:35 PM
Play ONOAKLAND using the run line in Home games vs. right-handed starters

The record is 34 Wins and 17 Losses this season (+20.25 units)





MLB(931) DETROIT @ (932) OAKLAND | 10/10/2012 - 9:35 PM
Play ONOAKLAND using the run line in All games after a win

The record is 60 Wins and 34 Losses this season (+27.05 units)





MLB(925) ST LOUIS @ (926) WASHINGTON | 10/10/2012 - 1:05 PM
Play UNDERST LOUIS on the total in Road games when playing on Wednesday

The record is 2 Overs and 12 Unders this season (+9.75 units)





MLB(927) SAN FRANCISCO @ (928) CINCINNATI | 10/10/2012 - 4:05 PM
Play OVERSAN FRANCISCO on the total in Road games after a win

The record is 55 Overs and 29 Unders for the last two seasons (+24.30 units)





MLB(931) DETROIT @ (932) OAKLAND | 10/10/2012 - 9:35 PM
Play UNDEROAKLAND on the total in All games against right-handed starters

The record is 38 Overs and 64 Unders this season (+21.10 units)

Old Post 10-10-12 03:42 PM
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cisco
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Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8761

Washington:
1. They are 70-45 against right handing pitching this year
2. They are 20-6 when playing on Wednesdays
3. They are 50-31 at home this season
4. They are 39-26 after a loss
5. They are 15-8 as a home favorite of -100 to -125
6. When playing against a team with a winning record they are 48-36

St Louis:
1. They are 59-57 against right handed pitching this year. STL hits lefties much better
2. They are 8-11 as a road underdog of +100 to +125
3. They are 39-43 on the road
4. When playing against a team with a winning record they are 27-36


1. Saint Louis is 13-5 to the over when playing with a day off
2. Wash is 10-3 to the over when playing with a day off

Old Post 10-10-12 03:53 PM
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cisco
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Registered: Jul 2004
Posts: 8761

StatFox Super Situations™ - FoxSheets

MLB ST LOUIS at WASHINGTON

Play On - Road teams (ST LOUIS) after allowing 4 runs or less 4 straight games against opponent after a combined score of 15 runs or more.
47-25 over the last 5 seasons. ( 65.3% 26.7 units )
6-5 this year. ( 54.5% 1.8 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends™ - FoxSheets

MLB BALTIMORE at NY YANKEES

BALTIMORE is 29-23 (+19.6 Units) against the money line in Road games when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (3.8) , OPPONENT (3.8)

Old Post 10-10-12 05:42 PM
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Black&Gold


Registered: Sep 2010
Posts: 155

thanks a lot

for the trends...good info as always

Old Post 10-10-12 05:49 PM
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tennistudly


Registered: Jul 2007
Posts: 96

good job cisco

thanks for this info

I gleened both day games over

Oak and under also for me

Old Post 10-10-12 06:00 PM
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