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CNOTES
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Cnotes October College Football Best Bets !

USC Trojans Hit Road For Pac-12 Date With Utah

Let’s hope we don’t have a repeat ending of last year’s Utah-Southern Cal game at the Los Angeles Coliseum.

Well, maybe we should be more specific: Las Vegas sports book operators sure don’t want a replay of the final moments from the last time the Trojans and Utes tangled on the gridiron.

For those who can’t remember, or simply chose to forget what happened last September in L.A., Utah was ready to try a last-second, 41-yard field goal to level the score at 17 apiece and force an overtime period against the Trojans. But Coleman Peterson’s field goal try was blocked and returned for a TD by Southern Cal’s Torin Harris...or was it a TD? Officials threw a flag on the USC bench for streaming onto the field in celebration, apparently nullifying the TD, but nonetheless keeping the final score at 17-14 in favor of the Trojans.

That is, until a couple of hours later, when the referees clarified their call and stated that the blocked FG return TD was always meant to count, thereby giving SC a 23-14 win. Of course, with the pointspread having floated between 8-9½ points the entire week, the decision caused apoplexy at many Las Vegas wagering outlets, many of which already having paid out on the original 17-14 scoreline. In the aftermath, some books honored the new 23-14 score, others continued to pay out on 17-14, and a handful decided to pay out on both sides.

No wonder the sports books are in no hurry to see Utah-USC history repeat itself anytime soon!

We doubt similar dynamics take place on Thursday night in Salt Lake City, where the Trojans and Utes will meet again at picturesque Rice-Eccles Stadium. A check of the early-week numbers on the Don Best college football odds screen notes USC as a 13-13½ point favorite at the majority of Nevada wagering outlets. Totals have yet to be released, but when they do, the Don Best Pro Odds will have them immediately.

Kickoff time will be 9:00 p.m. (ET). National TV coverage will provided by ESPN, with its normal Thursday night crew of Rece Davis, Jesse Palmer and David Pollack describing the action.

The 2012 campaign has not started as smoothly as either expected, with both suffering straight-up defeats (two of them for Utah, in fact) in September. For the Trojans, their BCS title hopes have already taken a big hit after the loss at Stanford on September 15. For the Utes, their ledger includes a pair of painful defeats vs. Utah State and Arizona State, not to mention another injury to QB Jordan Wynn.

Indeed, the latest shoulder injury suffered by Wynn, his third in his Utah career and the second to his non-throwing (left) shoulder) in the past two seasons, was enough to force him to retire from the sport. Fortunately for Utah head coach Kyle Whittingham, backup QB Jon Hays had considerable experience from a year ago when stepping into the breach after Wynn’s 2011 injury, so the Utes retain some experience at the position.

Hays, however, lacks real arm strength, and is not much more than a serviceable alternative. Whittingham has also been spotting 6-foot-7 true frosh Travis Wilson, whose style has reminded some of Tim Tebow, into the lineup. Yet it’s worth noting that Hays has recorded a decent 7-4 mark as the starter over the past two seasons.

Still, the Utes are lacking dynamism offensively, ranking in triple digits nationally in most relevant categories, and not even gaining 300 ypg, ranking a poor 110th. Utah barely gained 200 yards total in its last outing, a 37-7 beating administered by Arizona State on September 22.

The running game is also suffering, as last year’s leading rusher John White IV – who gained 1,519 yards rushing a year ago – is averaging just 67 ypg thus far, although White has been slowed by a recurring ankle sprain. Last week’s bye will hopefully have allowed the ankle to fully heal.

Fortunately for the Utes, their defense remains stingy (ranks 29th nationally), and a typically thick defensive front, led by 300-lb. DTs Star Lotulelei and Dave Kruger, will be looking to take away the USC infantry diversion and pressure Trojan QB Matt Barkley, who has often been under pressure in the early going.

Indeed, Barkley’s Heisman trophy hopes seem to have taken a real hit, especially after the loss at Stanford when Barkley didn’t throw a TD pass. Barkley has also thrown four picks his last two outings, as head coach Lane Kiffin’s desire to get Barkley as many TDs as possible to boost his Heisman hopes has not been working as planned.

Barkley would certainly benefit from more of a complement from the run game which has only appeared in fits and spurts thus far. The potential is there with explosive Curtis McNeal and Penn State transfer Silas Redd, who both cracked the 100-yard mark in their most-recent game vs. Cal on September 22, yet were held to a combined 54 yards in the previous week’s loss at Palo Alto.

The Trojans have also sprung some leaks defensively, with a rebuilt defensive front not bringing consistent pressure, and the secondary continuing to appear vulnerable and a bit uncomfy in vet coordinator Monte Kiffin’s pet 'Tampa 2' cover schemes. The Trojan pass defense ranks in the middle of the national stats and would seem to provide an opportunity for Ute QBs Hays or Wilson to look downfield. If, that is, either is up to the task.

A concern for Utah backers, however, is the recent pointspread downturn experienced by the Utes since the middle of the 2010 campaign, as Whittingham’s team has dropped 15 of 22 vs. the number since. Kiffin’s Trojans, however, are only 1-3 vs. the line themselves this season, and have failed to cover their first two as road chalk in 2012.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-02-12 05:27 AM
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Football Lines To Watch This Week - Monday Market Report

Brian Blessing and Todd Fuhrman take a quick look at the betting market this week with early analysis about spreads that have already moved, and some that could.

An SEC collision in Oxford, Mississippi where the Ole Miss Rebels host the Texas A&M Aggies is first up on the docket. Texas A&M opened as 8½-point chalk for its first SEC road game, but that number has been boosted quickly to an 11-point spread. Fuhrman points to several reasons why the number may have moved, from the Aggies' prolific offensive showing last week in a rout of Arkansas to the Rebels' struggles against Texas and Alabama.

"Texas A&M, though, starts a stretch with five of their next six games on the road," Fuhrman notes. "We'll know a lot more about them very soon."

The Pac-12 battle at Stanford between the Cardinal and Arizona Wildcats has also seen a sharp correction from the opening spread. The Cardinal opened as 12½ favorites before the line dropped as many as three points at some shops monitored by the Don Best Pro Odds. Both teams are coming off losses with Arizona losing a heartbreaker at home to Oregon State, 38-35, while Stanford was upset 17-13 on the road at Washington who was a touchdown underdog.

Oklahoma comes off its bye week that was preceded by a loss at Kansas State, and now the Sooners go to Lubbock to take on the Texas Tech Red Raiders and their top-rated defense. Tommy Tuberville's team is off to a 4-0 start behind a defense that ranks No. 1 in the country in total yardage (167.5 ypg) and fifth in points allowed (10.8 ppg). This game begins a string of five straight games against ranked opponents for the Red Raiders, while the Sooners have their big Red River Rivalry game with the Longhorns next week.

The Sooners opened as 7-point favorites vs. Tech before being bet down as low as -3½.

Another monster SEC game this week finds the LSU Tigers at the Swamp to take on the Florida Gators. Louisiana State opened -4 but was down to -2½ on Monday.

Turning to the NFL, the Minnesota Vikings come off a 20-13 win in Detroit on Sunday to host the Tennessee Titans this week. Minnesota is off to a surprising 3-1 start while the Titans come in 1-3 after being manhandled by the Houston Texans. Still, early money on Tennessee has pushed the opening 6½-point spread in favor of the Vikes down to 5-5½.

Fuhrman points to Minnesota's inability to consistently move the ball on offense as a reason why bettors don't think the Vikings can cover a 6-point spread.

One more NFL contest that has seen early movement is the matchup in Kansas City between the Chiefs and Baltimore Ravens. The line opened Ravens -6½ with the number now down to 4-4½. The money on the home 'dog is a bit perplexing considering the Chiefs have started 0-2 at Arrowhead Stadium.

"When you don't have a defense," Fuhrman said of the Chiefs, "and you can't get the fans into the game, it makes things awfully tough. Kansas City has struggled in the first half against everybody this year. I think this is a pump-fake early in the week, and would be surprised if there's any real wise-guy money coming in on the Chiefs."




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-02-12 05:29 AM
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Games to Watch - Week 6

September 30, 2012

Saturday - LSU at Florida (CBS, 3:30 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny

Two questions will be answered in this game. Is LSU really as bad as they have played so far this year and is Florida really as good? This is arguably the biggest game to date for Will Muschamp as the Gators head coach. LSU has won the last two meetings, 33-29 at Florida in 2010 and 41-11 at home last year, and Florida gets what appears to be an LSU team that is struggling in The Swamp. Last year LSU had more yards rushing (238) than Florida had total yards (213). This year it may come down to LSU QB Zach Mettenberger who has played poorly (even for LSU QB standards) against a Florida defense that has shown to be much tougher this year than anytime under Muschamp. The Florida defense ranks 10th in the country in points allowed and have faced two solid quarterbacks in Tyler Bray and Johnny Manziel to date. The Florida offense was also a big question coming into the year and RB Mike Gillislee has Florida in the top 20 in rushing with 225 yards a game. History however tells us that LSU steps up the most when the lights are the brightest under the Mad Hatter Les Miles as they are 31-14 against top 25 teams and 41-15 in SEC regular season games. LSU opens as a 3 point road favorite in this game as history and reputation supersede the short term success thus far this year for Muschamp and the Gators.

Saturday - Georgia at South Carolina (ESPN, 7:00 p.m. ET)
Matchup Skinny

Remember back in the day when the SEC used to play defense? Well, that doesn't seem to be the case anymore. Georgia comes in off a 51-44 win at home over Tennessee and these two teams put up almost 90 points last year when South Carolina went in-between the hedges in Athens and beat Georgia 45-42. Despite the loss, the Dawgs rebounded to win the SEC East before getting waxes by LSU in the SEC Championship. This year the loser might not have that chance however. South Carolina has won the last two meetings, although Georgia has never lost three in a row in this border rival. Not only do the two fan bases not particularly care for each other, as mentioned last week Steve Spurrier and the Georgia faithful simply do not like each other from his days at Florida. Georgia all but handed South Carolina the game last year giving up essentially four touchdowns on defense and a fake punt. But the man that sealed the deal was Marcus Lattimore and his fourth quarter performance. He will most likely be the difference maker this year as well if South Carolina wants to keep its SEC and National Championship hopes alive. However Georgia has the same aspirations and has won four of the last five in Columbia. South Carolina opens as a field goal favorite and the winner will definitely have the inside track to represent the SEC East in the Georgia Dome at the end of the year.

Saturday - West Virginia at Texas (FOX, 7:00 p.m.)
Matchup Skinny

The schools' only previous meeting was also in Austin; however it was back in 1956 with WVU winning 7-6. I'm going out on a limb and making a very bold prediction; the 2012 version will be higher scoring than 7-6. Just remember you heard it here first. WVU QB Geno Smith is coming off a game where he threw for a mere 656 yards and 8 TDs in WVU's wild 70-63 win over Baylor. Texas is coming off an equally entertaining, yet "low scoring" 41-36 win against Oklahoma State Saturday night. The early line has Texas listed a touchdown favorite and they are still buying calculators to try and figure out the total in this game. Not surprising Smith and the Mountaineers rank first in the NCAA in passing with over 440 yards a game and third in points scored with 53 a game. Another big game by Smith may vault him to the top of the Heisman list just under the midway point of the season. Defensively…well they don't actually have a defense. Texas doesn't have the eye popping offensive stats that WVU has, however they have been very consistent both on the ground and with QB David Ash showing monumental improvements from last year. While the Texas defense at least shows a pulse they have also struggled this year giving up big plays to Ole Miss and Oklahoma State. This back and forth game will simply come down to which teams defense is able to make a stop or force the opposing offense into a turnover. This should be another entertaining game and the team with the ball last may come out victorious.

Other Games to Watch
Matchup Skinny

USC at Utah (Thursday): Last week Stanford traveled to Washington on Thursday night and was upset 17-14. Could we see back to back PAC-12 Thursday night upsets? Last year when these two teams met in the Coliseum the Utes were lined up for a game-tying field goal in the final seconds but the Trojans not only blocked it but returned it for a touchdown to seal a 23-14 win. The loser will essentially be eliminated from the PAC-12 South division title. If that happens to be USC I'm sure Lane Kiffin's post game press conference will be extremely long and detail oriented.
at Miami, Fl. at Notre Dame (from Soldier Field): This was a bitter rivalry back in the late 80's when Dr. Lou was still just a head coach at Notre Dame and the Miami Hurricanes still ran South Beach. This obviously doesn't quite have the feel or relevance of the old days but a win by ND will move them to 5-0 for the first time since the Internet started tracking those types of things. ND leads the all-time series 16-7-1, although ND's 33-17 win in the 2010 Sun Bowl is the teams' lone meeting since 1990.

Washington at Oregon: Can the Huskies pull off back to back top 10 upsets? Well no, as they are 24 point underdogs, but they will definitely get the Ducks attention as a result of their upset win over Stanford last week. The only real question in this game is whether the Oregon starters will have to play the entire four quarters. However it should be interesting to watch Washington QB Keith Price and their passing attack against the contrasting style of Oregon QB Marcus Mariota and their running attack.
at Nebraska at Ohio State: I feel like I need to include a Big 10 game each week just in case people that like boring football read this article. After their painful to watch 17-16 "classic" win Saturday night, new Buckeyes coach Urban Meyer said something along the lines of, well, that is just a classic Big 10 football game right there. Exactly Urban…no thanks. Ohio State blew a 21-point lead in last year's 34-27 loss at Lincoln, so the Buckeyes will be looking for revenge at home under the lights.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-02-12 05:34 AM
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Pitt And BYU Favored In Friday Night College Twinbill

College football bettors have a couple of interesting matchups to consider on Friday night when the Pittsburgh Panthers visit the Syracuse Orange and the Brigham Young Cougars host the Utah State Aggies.

Both contests will be carried nationally by ESPN, beginning with the 7:00 p.m. (ET) Big East clash at the Carrier Dome. Pittsburgh opened as a 3-point favorite before the spread was quickly bet down to 1½. The total began at 55 before being pushed up to 57.

Pitt facing Syracuse generally conjures up visions of a hardwood battle, and this gridiron clash isn't going to do much to change that between the 1-3 Orange and 2-2 Panthers, those straight-up records also identical to their marks against the spread. Still, it's at least interesting from the standpoint that the next time they meet on a football field, it will be as members of the ACC, not to mention there's money to be won on the outcome of this meeting.

Syracuse's lone win was a 28-17 decision at home over Stony Brook, the Orange favored by 21½ and needing two second-half TDs to overcome a 17-14 halftime deficit. Doug Marrone's boys then followed that up last week with a 17-10 loss at Minnesota where they were giving up three to the Golden Gophers.

The Orange were at least able to move the ball in the first three games of the season, that win over Stony Brook preceded by 42-41 and 42-29 losses to Northwestern and Southern Cal respectively. Syracuse is in the top 30 nationally averaging over 487 yards per game offensively, but dropped off considerably in the Minnesota setback. Four turnovers, two of each type, after six combined the first three games played a big part.

Pittsburgh could present another defensive challenge this week with a unit that is 28th in the country allowing under 325 yards per game. Head coach Paul Chryst and defensive coordinator Dave Huxtable got off to a rough start in an upset loss to Youngstown State and follow-up embarrassment at Cincinnati. But the Panthers 'D' stepped up in an upset win over Virginia Tech and an easy shutout of Gardner-Webb two weeks ago.

The Panthers have won seven straight in this series, covering five of those. The 'over' is 3-1 the last four, and 4-1 the last five in the Carrier Dome.

Pitt and 'Cuse will be followed at 10:15 p.m. (ET) when the Aggies and Cougars kick it off at LaVell Edwards Stadium in Provo. College football oddsmakers sent BYU out at -9 with the line immediately tumbling to -7. A little movement on the total has also taken place, inching up to 45 after opening a point lower.

The contest will feature two of the top defenses in the nation, with BYU fifth in total 'D' (226.6 ypg) and Utah State 11th (280.8 ypg). The Cougs are also fourth in fewest points allowed (10.0 ppg) while the Aggies are 18th (14.2).

We followed BYU (3-2 SU & ATS) last week in a matchup against Hawaii, and wondered if Bronco Mendenhall's squad could break out offensively after a couple of tough road losses at Utah and Boise State. The Cougars did get indeed move the ball well, rolling up 540 yards of 'O' with an easy 47-0 win and cover against the Warriors.

How much of that was BYU's own execution and how much credit goes to a weak Hawaii team is open for debate. But freshman Taysom Hill did have a good showing in relief of injured QB Riley Nelson, and fellow frosh Jamaal Williams stepped in at tailback for Michael Alisa with a big game (15 carries, 155 yards, 2 TDs).

Nelson (back) is currently listed as doubtful for Friday's tussle with the Utags, while Alisa (broken arm) will remain sidelined well into November.

Utah State (4-1 SU, 4-0-1 ATS) can complete a Beehive State sweep with a win over BYU after beating the Utah Utes earlier this season with a 27-20 triumph as a 7-point home 'dog. The Aggies are coming off a 35-13 decision against UNLV last week, the final margin 'pushing' the 22-point spread.

The game against UNLV marked Utah State's fourth 'under' of the season, and that segues well into the recent trend in this series with four of the last five battles between the Aggies and Cougars failing to reach the total. The lone game in that span that didn't cash for 'under' bettors was last year when BYU's 27-24 win landed smack-dab on the 51-point total.

Brigham Young has won 10 of the last 11 vs. Utah State to take a 44-34-3 lead in the all-time series. However, the Aggies have covered the last four and eight of the last 10.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-03-12 03:51 AM
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Improved Florida Gators Host LSU Tigers

The Florida Gators appear to be a much-improved team in the second year under coach Will Muschamp. They have their toughest test of the season so far when the powerful LSU Tigers visit on Saturday afternoon.

The Don Best Pro Odds screen has LSU as surprisingly low 2½-3 point road favorites. The total is 44½ and CBS will have the 3:30 p.m. (ET) national telecast from Ben Hill Griffin Stadium, otherwise known as ‘The Swamp.’

The Gators (4-0 straight up, 3-1 against the spread) just snuck into the AP top-10 for the first time this year despite coming off a bye-week. Their last game was September 22nd versus Kentucky, a 38-0 win as 23½-point home favorites, improving them to 3-0 SU and ATS in the SEC.

Quarterback Jeff Driskel has helped the team turnaround after a subpar 7-6 SU (4-8-1 ATS) season last year. The sophomore ranks sixth in the conference in passing efficiency (158.0), but can also make plays with his legs with 148 rushing yards.

Senior Mike Gillislee (402 yards) has already surpassed his season-high in rushing. He’s averaging 5.8 yards per carry and at 210 pounds is a much bigger back than the two main ball carriers last year, Chris Rainey and Jeff Demps.

The Florida defense was supposed to be good with 10 returning starters and Muschamp’s storied background as a d-coordinator. That’s come to fruition with the scoring defense down to 12.75 PPG, tied-for-10th in the country and helping the ‘under’ start 3-1.

The Tigers (5-0 SU, 2-3 ATS) are also undefeated and rank fourth and third respectively in the AP and Coaches Poll. However, they seem to have a bit of a hangover after losing the national title game to Alabama and then the dismissal of star cornerback / returner Tyrann Mathieu in August.

Coach Les Miles guys have had an easy schedule with the smallest spread -18 at Auburn on September 22. That was also the only road game, with LSU barely holding on for a 12-10 victory. The team was 5-0 ATS in true road games last year.

LSU’s win versus Towson last week was a second consecutive failure to cover, 38-22 as 43-point favorites. The FCS squad somehow managed to out-gain the Tigers in rushing (188-158) and even led 9-7 in the second quarter. It’s fair to say a far more determined effort will be needed against Florida.

Miles thought he had an upgrade at quarterback this year with Zach Mettenberger, but he hasn’t been great (150.5 rating), especially given the quality of competition. The running game ranks 18th in the country (229.6 YPG) and has several studs left even with Alfred Blue (knee) out indefinitely.

LSU is going to make Florida prove it can stop the run with Mettenberger taking occasional shots down the field to Odell Beckham and Kadron Boone. Defensively, LSU has the speed to contain Driskel’s running as well as bring the heat via the pass rush. Florida will need to establish Gillislee early if it hopes to pull off the upset.

Florida will be looking for revenge after losing the last two against LSU (0-2 ATS). Last October was a 41-11 debacle in Baton Rouge as 14-point road ‘dogs. LSU gashed the Gators via the run (238 yards).

The Gators are just 1-7 SU and ATS over the last two years in October.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-03-12 03:53 AM
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Top Rushing Attacks Meet When Air Force Hosts Navy

Run left, run right, run up the middle and then run some more just for good measure. That is what awaits college football bettors and fans alike in the Saturday morning tilt at the Up, Up & Away Academy outside Colorado Springs.

Though he was in the US Army, it's difficult not to think of that "running fool" Forest Gump as Air Force and Navy get together for an early Saturday kickoff at Falcon Stadium. Those backing the flyboys are being asked to lay 10 points according to the Don Best Pro Odds, and an initial 55-point total has remained stale in early betting.

Ken Niumatalolo brings the Midshipmen into the contest averaging an impressive 219.3 yards per game rushing, good enough to rank 24th in the country. However, that figure pales in comparison to Troy Calhoun's Falcons who lead the nation with nearly 400 yards per game on the ground. That has translated to 21 touchdowns in four games for Air Force (2-2 straight up & against the spread), 19 of them on the ground, and a 37.8 scoring average which is 27th nationally.

Navy's offense, meanwhile, has scored just six TDs with the defense adding a seventh, and the Midshipmen (1-3 SU & ATS) are way down near the bottom in scoring at 14.5 ppg.

Quarterback Trey Miller has accounted for four of Navy's six offensive scores, three of them via the ground. The Middies failed to push the pigskin across the goal line last week in a 12-0 setback to San Jose State. In fact, neither team registered a TD with all of the Spartans' points coming on field goals. The shutout was the first for Navy under Niumatalolo, and the 144-yard offensive showing was the lowest for a Navy squad since being held under 100 in a 38-0 shellacking by Connecticut in 2002.

One thing the Midshipmen have to do this week is get running back Gee Gee Greene more touches. The senior has averaged close to eight yards a tote this season, but has only 25 carries combined in the first four games. San Jose State's defensive effort last week limited Greene to just 13 yards on six attempts.

Both of the Falcons' setbacks came on the road, a fine showing at Michigan where they fell 31-25 as big 21½-point 'dogs and an inexplicable 38-35 defeat at UNLV where Air Force was laying 10½ in the Mountain West opener for each school. Calhoun's crew was able to run almost at will against the Rebels, but the defense couldn't stop UNLV's offense that recorded a very balanced effort with almost 200 yards rushing and an even 250 yards passing.

The pass defense was again vulnerable last week against Colorado State, but the Falcons were still able to grab the 42-21 win and cover as 14-point favorites. Air Force QB Connor Dietz only completed two passes, but both went for touchdowns (his only TD passes this season), while Cody Getz tallied almost half of the Falcons' 459 yards on the ground with 25 carries for 222 yards.

This game kicks off the annual Commander-in-Chief Trophy race with both Navy and Air Force scheduled to meet Army later this season. The Falcons have won those honors each of the past two seasons and lead the series with Navy by a 27-17 margin.

Last year's battle in Annapolis was a classic with Air Force taking a 35-34 overtime win that was not without controversy. Navy staged a furious fourth-quarter rally to force OT, then scored the first touchdown in extra play. However, the Middies were penalized for unsportsmanlike conduct after the TD, and their extra point attempt from 35 yards out was blocked. Air Force went on to score on their OT possession with the extra point providing the final margin.

Air Force was a 3-point underdog in that game and will be gunning for its third straight win in the series. Six of the last eight, and four of the last five played at Air Force, have gone 'under' the total.

Saturday's kickoff will come at 9:30 a.m. local time, and current forecasts call for partly cloudy skies and the thermometer remaining in the 30s for most of the contest.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-03-12 03:56 AM
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Georgia & South Carolina In Battle Of SEC Unbeatens

Coach Steve Spurrier and the South Carolina Gamecocks host the Georgia Bulldogs on Saturday night in a game that could ultimately decide the SEC East champion.

The college football odds list South Carolina between a 1½ and 2½ point favorite. The total is a lofty 56½ and ESPN will broadcast from Williams-Brice Stadium at 7:00 p.m. (ET).

Georgia and South Carolina rank fifth and sixth respectively in the AP and Coaches Poll. Each is a perfect 5-0 straight up and 3-0 in the conference. SEC East Florida is also in the division mix at 3-0 in the conference.

The Gamecocks (4-1 against the spread) have covered their last four games, but it wasn’t easy last week. They trailed 17-7 at halftime at Kentucky before a 31-0 second-half whitewashing. The 38-17 final covered the 20-point spread by the slimmest of margins.

Spurrier is known for being extremely tough on quarterbacks going back to his Florida days. However, even he can’t complain about Connor Shaw the last two weeks. The junior was an incredible 35-of-39 (89.7 percent) passing with four TDs and no picks in those games, including a stretch of 20 consecutive completions in the win vs. Missouri.

Shaw only threw for 198.5 YPG the last two contests (31-10 home win vs. Missouri the first), but he added 117 more on the ground and Marcus Lattimore is still one of the nation’s best rushers even coming off knee surgery.

The Bulldogs (2-3 ATS) have an explosive offense with their 48.2 PPG ranked eighth in the country. The passing game was supposed to be good with junior quarterback Aaron Murray and that hasn’t disappointed at 285.6 YPG (29th nationally).

The running game has been the bigger surprise after the preseason dismissal of Isaiah Crowell. The freshman duo of Todd Gurley (536 yards) and Keith Marshall (428 yards) have more than compensated in leading the nation’s 11th-ranked attack (250.4 YPG).

Georgia’s defense has elite talent, but hasn’t matched the offense at 370.2 YPG (ranked 55th) and 22 PPG (tied-for-46th). The 4-game suspensions of All-American safety Bacarri Rambo and linebacker Alec Ogletree hurt, but the two returned last week and the team still surrendered 44 points at home to Tennessee.

Better defensive continuity should be seen this week as the Bulldogs get used to their stars being back.

Note the ‘over’ is 5-0 in Georgia’s games this season and 7-0 in the last seven overall.

The Bulldogs' only road tilt this year was at Missouri on September 8th, a 41-20 win as 1-point favorites after scoring 24 unanswered points starting late third quarter. They’re 4-1 ATS in their last five true road games overall.

South Carolina has one of the stingiest defenses in the country at 11.2 PPG. Jadeveon Clowney is an elite pass rusher and the d-line in general is going to make life much harder for the frosh running backs. Murray is going to need to make a lot of plays in the passing game to warrant being under a 3-point ‘dog.

The Gamecocks have beaten Georgia the last two years (45-42, 17-6) and are 4-0-1 ATS in the last five. The ‘under’ is 8-0 in the last eight meetings between the teams in South Carolina.

This game is arguably more crucial for South Carolina as it has to play at SEC West power LSU next week. Georgia doesn’t face LSU this year, while Georgia and South Carolina both avoid No. 1 Alabama (also out of the SEC West).




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-03-12 03:58 AM
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Football lines that make you go hmmm...


NCAAF

UCLA Bruins at Cal Golden Bears (+3, 54)

The Bruins are giving only a field goal to their state rivals, despite the fact that Cal has one win on the year - over an FCS program.

The Golden Bears, 1-4, are coming off a 27-17 loss to Arizona State and the chair in Jeff Tedford’s office is starting to resemble the Human Torch’s La-Z-Boy. Cal has crumbled down the stretch, giving up 37 percent of its 151 total points against in the fourth quarter, and will have a tough time slowing down the Bruins’ fourth-ranked offense no matter what frame it is.

Vanderbilt Commodores at Missouri Tigers (-6.5, 45.5)

A 1-3 start to the schedule has erased the Commodores from the minds of most bettors. Vanderbilt was the sleeper of all sleepers heading into the season, bringing back a surplus of talent on both sides of the ball.

However, a tough opening slate that featured three teams currently ranked in the Top 25 has oddsmakers discounting Vandy heading into Week 5’s showdown in Missouri. Vanderbilt had a bye week to put those losses in the rearview but hasn't fared well following the week off, going just 2-6 SU off the bye the past 10 seasons. (They had two seasons during that stretch without a bye.)

The Tigers are almost giving a touchdown despite being tagged as 1.5-point dogs at Central Florida last weekend. Missouri’s offense is stumbling, not giving James Franklin - who is still not 100 percent - time to hit his receivers. Franklin was sacked five times versus UCF.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-03-12 11:37 PM
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Geno Smith, West Virginia In Texas To Meet Longhorns

The Iowa Barnstormers vs. the San Jose Sabercats?

Excuse us for mistaking West Virginia’s games for the Arena Football League. Or maybe Bob Huggins’ Mountaineer basketball team, which might have trouble scoring as many points as Dana Holgorsen’s WVU footballers are doing this season.

This week, however, West Virginia is best advised to start playing some defense, too. Because the Big 12 schedule is going to start getting a lot harder for the Mounties as the calendar moves into October.

This weekend, the calendar has West Virginia (4-0. No. 12 Don Best Linemakers Poll) traveling to Austin to face a revved-up Texas (4-0, tied for No. 5 in Don Best Linemakers Poll) side at Darrell Royal-Texas Memorial Stadium. A quick check of the Don Best Pro Odds screen notes a midweek shift in money floating to the Longhorns, with Texas a 6½-7 point favorite at most Las Vegas sports books. The midweek total is posted at 75 after opening as high as 79 earlier in the week.

Kickoff time on Saturday has been moved to 7:00 p.m. (ET) with big FOX providing national TV coverage.

While West Virginia is drawing a lot of attention for its considerable pyrotechnics in the first few weeks, and has scored an astounding 10 touchdowns three different times in its last five games since the Orange Bowl demolition over Clemson, the road is going to start getting harder for the Mountaineers in the Big 12 race. Last week’s victim Baylor, which lost by a basketball-like 70-63 count at Morgantown, might not even be a top division side in the conference. Plenty of heavyweight sides, including Oklahoma, Oklahoma State, Kansas State and this week’s foe Texas still remain on the West Virginia slate.

No matter the offensive output, however, the Mountaineers are going to be asking for trouble if they can’t shore up some of the leaks in their defense. Granted, the pace and tempo of early West Virginia games has been brisk, but the Mountie stop unit ranks in triple digits nationally (106th in total defense at 474 yards per game conceded). Eventually this shortcoming figures to cost Holgorsen’s crew.

Unless, of course, WVU simply keeps outscoring everybody, and QB Gene Smith continues to set a blazing pace in his race for the Heisman Trophy, of which he is now the acknowledged frontrunner. Smith’s stats after four games, including 83.4 percent completions, 20 TD passes and no picks, are the stuff of video games. Incredibly, Smith has thrown almost as many TD passes (20) as incompletions (28) thus far, creating a new TD pass/incompletion ratio applicable only to himself.

Indeed, the Holgorsen spread offense is almost impossible to defend, more so because Geno’s receivers can also do damage after they catch the ball. Last week against Baylor, Mountie wideouts gained over 300 yards after the catch, an astounding statistic. Tavin Austin (48 receptions) and Steadman Bailey (45 catches) rank 1-2 in national pass receiving stats for a strike force scoring an astounding 53 ppg.

Texas, however, figures to offer much more of a roadblock than any foes Gene Smith & Co. have faced thus far in 2012. In fact, it can be argued that Texas has the best collection of defensive athletes that West Virginia has seen since LSU dismantled the Holgorsen spread by a 47-21 count on September 24 of last year.

Longhorn defensive coordinator Manny Diaz will also have noted that Maryland was able to somewhat slow Gene Smith two weeks ago when attacking the Mountie “O” with blitz pressure (much unlike Baylor, which was helpless as it played on its heels a week ago). To that end, it might behoove West Virginia to develop a viable infantry diversion for this game, and getting top rush threat Shawne Alston (who has missed the last two games with a thigh bruise) in a healthy state will be crucial as the Mounties begin to face an upgraded cast of opponents.

Developments at Texas have been no less noteworthy thus far in 2012, especially with head coach Mack Brown on the hot seat after two straight subpar seasons and a 13-13 record in his previous 26 games entering this campaign.

For the 'Horns to forge a turnaround this season, they had to get the QB position right after struggling with it the past two years, or since Colt McCoy graduated following the 2009 campaign.

Fortunately for Mack, soph David Ash has emerged as the answer, growing up in a hurry this season and making few mistakes. Ash has tossed only one pick compared to 10 TD passes in the first four games and ranks second nationally (behind only Geno Smith) in passing efficiency.

Ash, however, has plenty of help offensively, especially with soph RBs Joe Bergeron and Malcolm Brown (combining for almost 130 ypg) providing consistent production. Bergeron also scored the winning TD in the last minute a week ago at Oklahoma State, even though it looked like he might have fumbled the ball before he crossed the goal line.

The Long horns will move the ball and score. The question is if their defense, allowing a respectable 21 ppg, can slow down Gene Smith and the4 Mountaineers.

Note that the underdog role has suited West Virginia well in recent years, back to the later days of the Rich Rodriguez regime; since 2007, the Mounties are 8-2 as an underdog, including 3-1 vs. the number when receiving points with Holgorsen last season. As for Texas, it is only 5-10 vs. the line at Austin since 2010, although it is 4-4 the past two seasons after dropping six of seven vs. the spread at home two years ago.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-03-12 11:39 PM
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Nebraska Cornhuskers Underdogs At Ohio State

Conference schedules are in full swing as we reach the first Saturday of October, and the Big Ten is certainly no exception with a key tilt this weekend in Columbus where the Ohio State Buckeyes get a visit from the Nebraska Cornhuskers.

ABC is giving the game prime-time treatment with kickoff from Ohio Stadium a few minutes past 8:00 p.m. (ET). The Buckeyes are 3-3½ point favorites after opening -4 on the Don Best Pro Odds screen. Saturday night's total has seen a big movement since starting at 53½. The scoreboard hurdle had been bet up to 57½-58 by midweek.

The top-25 matchup marks the second consecutive clash vs. a ranked school for OSU...and it has the potential to be the last of the season for Urban Meyer's squad. The Buckeyes survived in East Lansing last week for a 17-16 triumph over Michigan State as 2-point 'dogs, and the defeat sent the Spartans tumbling from the polls.

A victory this week could result in the same fate for the Cornhuskers who come in ranked 20th and 21st respectively by the coaches and writers. Ohio State is 12th in the latest AP rankings, and not listed by the coaches due to their NCAA penalties. This week's Don Best Linemakers Poll has the two squads just 0.3 points apart with Nebraska No. 14 and the Buckeyes in a tie for 15th with Kansas State.

The stage is set for Ohio State (5-0 straight up, 2-3 against the spread) to run the table if it can get past Nebraska this week. No other ranked schools are on the Buckeyes' remaining schedule, though a trip to Wisconsin and home date vs. Michigan at the end of the slate loom as potential wrenches in the works.

For the 'Huskers to pull the upset this week, they'll have to contain OSU dual-threat QB Braxton Miller. The sophomore is 26th in the nation averaging over 300 yards of offense per game, and leads the Buckeyes with 577 yards rushing. Though his passing numbers aren't that great (8 TD, 3 INT, 144.4 rating), Miller has still been effective enough as Michigan State learned last week when he hooked up with downfield threat Devin Smith for a 63-yard scoring strike late in the third quarter that would eventually prove to be the game-winning score.

One weapon that Miller hasn't used the past two games is Jake Stoneburner. The senior has just seven receptions on the year, three for scores, but none in the wins over both UAB and Michigan State.

Nebraska (4-1 SU, 3-2 ATS) struggled to get past Wisconsin last week, needing a fourth-quarter boot to pull off the 30-27 win as 11-point home chalk. The Badgers held a 27-10 lead in the third against an error-prone Cornhuskers crew before Taylor Martinez, Nebraska's own dual-threat quarterback, got things going and engineered the comeback.

The end result was similar to Nebraska's rally last year at home against the Buckeyes. Trailing 27-6 in the third quarter, Martinez guided the 'Huskers to four straight touchdowns, passing for two scores and running for another, in deflating Ohio State for the 34-27 victory. Buckeyes backers were at least consoled by OSU covering the 10½-point spread in that contest.

The only other two times the schools have met on the gridiron came more than a half-century ago, both resulting in Ohio State home wins.

A few betting trends to consider start with the 'under' at 4-2 in Ohio State's last six home games and 6-3 when Nebraska has been on the road lately. The Buckeyes are just 1-3 ATS in their four home contests this season, 1-7 dating back to last year, while the Cornhuskers failed to cover in their only 2012 road date (at UCLA) and are 1-4-1 ATS in the last six away from Lincoln.

Cloudy and cool is the forecast for Columbus this Saturday. There's a slight chance of rain and the thermometer should be around 50 for kickoff.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-03-12 11:42 PM
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Oregon Ducks Laying 24 At Home Against Huskies

We haven't heard much about the Oregon Ducks despite their current No. 2 ranking in both polls and sitting among the top 5 since the start of the season. That probably suits head coach Chip Kelly just fine.

Oregon could start to make a little noise in the national media this week with a ranked conference rival coming to Eugene. The final game on the Week 6 college football betting card finds the Washington Huskies at Autzen Stadium with ESPN's cameras on hand for the boot a little past 10:30 p.m. (ET).

There has been no movement in the spread since the Ducks opened as big 24-point favorites against a Huskies squad that just entered the AP Poll at No. 23. Likewise, the initial 65-point total remains where it started.

Oregon (5-0 straight up, 1-4 against the spread) could spend the next month in relative obscurity unless the unthinkable happens and top-ranked Alabama is upset. Even when the Ducks' schedule picks up in early November with a trip to Southern Cal, the Crimson Tide will still be hogging the news with their annual battle against LSU, a rematch of last year's BCS Championship.

Kelly's crew remains in the shadows of 'Bama and the SEC despite once again having one of the most prolific offenses in the country. Marcus Mariota directs the unit that is seventh in total offense (550.6 ypg) and fourth in scoring (52.4 ppg). The redshirt freshman out of Honolulu has done a fantastic job spreading his aerials around with five receivers having 11 or more catches and his 11 TD tosses being hauled in by seven different pair of hands.

Helping to open up the passing game for Mariota is a deep stable of ball carriers paced by Kenjon Barner. The senior tailback is 10th in the nation averaging 121 yards per game, and third with nine rushing touchdowns. There's little to no drop-off for Oregon when De'Anthony Thomas (302 yards, 9.7 avg, 5 TD) or Byron Marshall (199 yards, 2 TD) are in the backfield.

Things aren't quite so rosy on the defensive side where the Ducks are 54th allowing over 360 yards per game. However, the stop unit has come up with 12 takeaways to offset the dozen turnovers on offense, and the defense posted a shutout the last time a ranked Pac-12 foe came to Eugene with a 49-0 pasting of Arizona State.

Saturday is the middle battle of a 3-game stretch against ranked opponents for Washington (3-1 SU, 2-2 ATS), and Steve Sarkisian's toughest job this week will be to keep the Huskies from the dreaded letdown following an upset of Stanford. The good news is that game was a Thursday night affair last week, giving Sarkisian more time to prepare for the Ducks, and more time for his team to put the big win in the rearview mirror.

The Huskies will need another defensive showing like the one they had in the 17-13 upset of the Cardinal. The contest was the second straight cover for U-Dub backers after the embarrassing 41-3 blowout loss at LSU. Washington comes in ranked 21st in total defense (315 ypg) and has held opposing QBs to a 106.6 rating.

Washington holds a commanding 58-41-5 lead in the series with Oregon, but the Ducks have been closing that margin with eight consecutive wins heading into Saturday's clash. Oregon covered seven of those victories with a 'push' in the 2010 battle when the Ducks posted a 53-16 triumph to match the closing 37-point spread.

Last year's 34-17 victory by the Ducks was just enough to cover the 16½ points, and fell well short of a 76-point total to snap a 2-year run for the 'over.' Six of the last eight played at Autzen Stadium have failed to reach the total.

The weatherman is calling for a pleasant evening in Eugene this Saturday. Clear skies are in the forecast with temps in the low-60s, upper-50s at the start.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-03-12 11:44 PM
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College football odds: Week 6 opening line report

Winning in college football isn’t just about being ahead on the scoreboard when the final seconds tick off the clock. If that were the case, the LSU Tigers would still be ranked the No. 1 team in the country.

Louisiana State, which opened the 2012 campaign as the preseason No. 1, is undefeated heading into Week 6’s SEC showdown with the Florida Gators but has slid back to the No. 3 spot in the Top 25 due to unimpressive victories over Auburn and FCS Towson.

In fact, the Tigers have fallen short of expectations - oddsmakers’ expectations - in three of their five games so far, going 2-3 ATS. Last year, LSU had the reverse of that ATS record at this point in the schedule and finished the regular season 10-3 ATS – one of six teams with double-figure paydays.

Online books opened LSU as a 3-point road favorite heading into the Swamp this Saturday and that number has dropped below the field goal to -2.5 with money on the home side. However, some oddsmakers thought the line should be higher, recommending the Tigers as big as 6-point chalk in Gainesville.

Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, says all five of his college football oddsmakers had LSU higher than a 2.5-point favorite when they crunched the numbers Sunday. Korner says LSU’s slide in the polls and Florida’s 4-0 record have books trimming the opening spread.

“It’s a combo of everything,” he says. “We were obviously a little high with the number but those early moves are sharp money moves – not the betting public. And the fact that it has slipped below the key number of three, we’ll see this go back up."

“If you’re betting the favorite, you want to wait this one out. It’s all Florida money right now, there hasn't been any on LSU. But they have their following and their money.”

Here are the opening odds for some of Week 6’s biggest games:

Oklahoma Sooners at Texas Tech Red Raiders (+5)

The Sooners have had two weeks to put the upset loss to Kansas State behind them and focus on Texas Tech. Oklahoma opened as a 4-point road favorite and early money on OU has bumped the spread to -5 as of Monday morning.

There is an aura of revenge for this Saturday’s Big 12 battle as well. The Red Raiders defeated the Sooners 41-38 as 29-point underdogs last October, snapping Oklahoma’s 39-game home winning streak and dousing OU’s national title hopes.

Georgia Bulldogs at South Carolina Gamecocks (-2.5)

The Sports Club sent out South Carolina as a field-goal favorite for this SEC showdown. Books agreed and opened the Gamecocks -3, taking early money on the Bulldogs to shrink the spread to -2.5 as of Monday morning.

The winner of this battle of unbeaten programs will have the inside track in the SEC East, especially if Florida falls to LSU. The Gamecocks have won the last two meetings with the Bulldogs SU and ATS, and are 4-0-1 ATS in their last five encounters.

Nebraska Cornhuskers at Ohio State Buckeyes (-4.5)

Without the promise of a postseason, Ohio State coach Urban Meyer may struggle for motivation at times this season. But, Week 6 isn’t one of those times. The undefeated Buckeyes welcome No. 20 Nebraska to Columbus and books have tabbed them as 4.5-point favorites. The Huskers topped OSU, 34-27, at home last October, coming back from a 27-6 third-quarter deficit.

The Sports Club sent out a suggested spread of OSU -3.5 and it seems bettors agree with that number, taking the opening spread of -5 down to -4.5 as of Monday morning. The Cornhuskers escaped with a three-point win over Wisconsin at home last weekend and head to Ohio for just their second road game of season so far. Nebraska fell 36-30 to UCLA the last time they left Lincoln.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-04-12 05:28 AM
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NCAAF
Dunkel

Week 6

USC at Utah
The Trojans look to build on their 13-5 ATS record in their last 18 games following a bye week. USC is the pick (-14) according to Dunkel, which has the Trojans favored by 23. Dunkel Pick: USC (-14). Here are all of this week's lined games.

THURSDAY, OCTOBER 4

Game 303-304: East Carolina at Central Florida (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: East Carolina 81.830; Central Florida 90.125
Dunkel Line: Central Florida by 8 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Central Florida by 14; 47
Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (+14); Over

Game 305-306: USC at Utah (9:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: USC 113.016; Utah 90.154
Dunkel Line: USC by 23; 43
Vegas Line: USC by 14; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (-14); Under

Game 307-308: Arkansas State at Florida International (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas State 80.980; Florida International 72.756
Dunkel Line: Arkansas State by 8; 63
Vegas Line: Florida International by 1 1/2; 58
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas State (+1 1/2); Over

FRIDAY, OCTOBER 5

Game 309-310: Pittsburgh at Syracuse (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 84.327; Syracuse 80.521
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 4; 52
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-1 1/2); Under

Game 311-312: Utah State at BYU (10:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Utah State 90.573; BYU 96.062
Dunkel Line: BYU by 5 1/2; 49
Vegas Line: BYU by 7; 45
Dunkel Pick: Utah State (+7); Over

SATURDAY, OCTOBER 6

Game 313-314: Navy at Air Force (11:30 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Navy 75.100; Air Force 90.035
Dunkel Line: Air Force by 15; 51
Vegas Line: Air Force by 10; 55
Dunkel Pick: Air Force (-10); Under

Game 315-316: Michigan State at Indiana (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan State 97.929; Indiana 78.809
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 19; 44
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 15 1/2; 48
Dunkel Pick: Michigan State (-15 1/2); Under

Game 317-318: Northern Illinois at Ball State (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 84.217; Ball State 83.172
Dunkel Line: Northern Illinois by 1; 73
Vegas Line: Northern Illinois by 3; 67
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (+3); Over

Game 319-320: Boston College at Army (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 88.381; Army 68.877
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 19 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Boston College by 10; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (-10); Under

Game 321-322: Bowling Green at Akron (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Bowling Green 71.589; Akron 69.567
Dunkel Line: Bowling Green by 2; 69
Vegas Line: Bowling Green by 4 1/2; 64
Dunkel Pick: Bowling Green (+4 1/2); Over

Game 323-324: Miami (OH) at Cincinnati (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 73.232; Cincinnati 96.134
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 23; 54
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 20 1/2; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-20 1/2); Under

Game 325-326: Georgia Tech at Clemson (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia Tech 97.868; Clemson 99.269
Dunkel Line: Clemson by 1 1/2; 76
Vegas Line: Clemson by 10; 73 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia Tech (+10); Over

Game 327-328: Virginia at Duke (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia 82.591; Duke 82.379
Dunkel Line: Even; 60
Vegas Line: Duke by 2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Virginia (+2); Over

Game 329-330: South Florida at Temple (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 89.137; Temple 81.062
Dunkel Line: South Florida by 8; 44
Vegas Line: South Florida by 5; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (-5); Under

Game 331-332: Northwestern at Penn State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 92.487; Penn State 91.225
Dunkel Line: Northwestern by 1 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Penn State by 3; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Northwestern (+3); Over

Game 333-334: Kent State at Eastern Michigan (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 76.095; Eastern Michigan 70.548
Dunkel Line: Kent State by 5 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: Kent State by 3; 51
Dunkel Pick: Kent State (-3); Under

Game 335-336: Connecticut at Rutgers (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 86.711; Rutgers 85.461
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 1 1/2; 43
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 9 1/2; 40 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (+9 1/2); Over

Game 337-338: Florida State at NC State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Florida State 107.542; NC State 88.990
Dunkel Line: Florida State by 18 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Florida State by 14; 55
Dunkel Pick: Florida State (-14); Under

Game 339-340: Massachusetts at Western Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 61.620; Western Michigan 76.448
Dunkel Line: Western Michigan by 15; 48
Vegas Line: Western Michigan by 17; 53
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+17); Under

Game 341-342: Vanderbilt at Missouri (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 90.670; Missouri 94.860
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 4; 49
Vegas Line: Missouri by 7; 45
Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+7); Over

Game 343-344: Texas A&M at Mississippi (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas A&M 100.243; Mississippi 90.786
Dunkel Line: Texas A&M by 9 1/2; 68
Vegas Line: Texas A&M by 11; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (+11); Over

Game 345-346: Virginia Tech at North Carolina (12:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Virginia Tech 88.576; North Carolina 90.110
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 1 1/2; 46
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 4; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+4); Under

Game 347-348: Washington at Oregon (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 89.753; Oregon 119.988
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 30; 62
Vegas Line: Oregon by 24; 65 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oregon (-24); Under

Game 349-350: Georgia at South Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 107.990; South Carolina 105.546
Dunkel Line: Georgia by 2 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: South Carolina by 2 1/2; 57
Dunkel Pick: Georgia (+2 1/2); Over

Game 351-352: West Virginia at Texas (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: West Virginia 105.255; Texas 103.182
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 2; 81
Vegas Line: Texas by 7; 75
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (+7); Over

Game 353-354: Iowa State at TCU (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Iowa State 91.534; TCU 102.967
Dunkel Line: TCU by 11 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: TCU by 11; 45 1/2
Dunkel Pick: TCU (-11); Under

Game 355-356: Illinois at Wisconsin (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 83.190; Wisconsin 95.714
Dunkel Line: Wisconsin by 12 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Wisconsin by 14 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+14 1/2); Over

Game 357-358: Kansas at Kansas State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas 79.809; Kansas State 102.108
Dunkel Line: Kansas State by 22 1/2; 50
Vegas Line: Kansas State by 24 1/2; 53 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas (+24 1/2); Under

Game 359-360: UCLA at California (10:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UCLA 93.284; California 93.732
Dunkel Line: Even; 59
Vegas Line: UCLA by 3; 54
Dunkel Pick: California (+3); Over

Game 361-362: Arkansas at Auburn (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 81.934; Auburn 96.192
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 14 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Auburn by 10; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (-10); Under

Game 363-364: Michigan at Purdue (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Michigan 97.988; Purdue 97.059
Dunkel Line: Michigan by 1; 61
Vegas Line: Michigan by 3; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Purdue (+3); Over

Game 365-366: Wyoming at Nevada (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wyoming 74.864; Nevada 97.803
Dunkel Line: Nevada by 23; 63
Vegas Line: Nevada by 16; 67 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nevada (-16); Under

Game 367-368: New Mexico State at Idaho (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Mexico State 53.864; Idaho 70.022
Dunkel Line: Idaho by 16; 52
Vegas Line: Idaho by 10 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Idaho (-10 1/2); Under

Game 369-370: Arizona at Stanford (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 103.269; Stanford 107.163
Dunkel Line: Stanford by 4; 59
Vegas Line: Stanford by 9 1/2; 54
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+9 1/2); Over

Game 371-372: Oklahoma at Texas Tech (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma 104.611; Texas Tech 102.060
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 2 1/2; 64
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 5; 58 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+5); Over

Game 373-374: Central Michigan at Toledo (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 75.671; Toledo 83.704
Dunkel Line: Toledo by 8; 62
Vegas Line: Toledo by 10 1/2; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Michigan (+10 1/2); Under

Game 375-376: Boise State at Southern Mississippi (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boise State 94.641; Southern Mississippi 85.359
Dunkel Line: Boise State by 9 1/2; 44
Vegas Line: Boise State by 11; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Southern Mississippi (+11); Under

Game 377-378: Rice at Memphis (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Rice 69.573; Memphis 65.418
Dunkel Line: Rice by 4; 69
Vegas Line: Rice by 7 1/2; 63
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+7 1/2); Over

Game 379-380: Wake Forest at Maryland (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wake Forest 81.033; Maryland 84.328
Dunkel Line: Maryland by 3 1/2; 56
Vegas Line: Maryland by 5 1/2; 50 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Wake Forest (+5 1/2); Over

Game 381-382: Mississippi State at Kentucky (12:20 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 98.381; Kentucky 80.727
Dunkel Line: Mississippi State by 17 1/2; 42
Vegas Line: Mississippi State by 10; 46 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (-10); Under

Game 383-384: Washington State at Oregon State (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington State 79.767; Oregon State 93.107
Dunkel Line: Oregon State by 13 1/2; 61
Vegas Line: Oregon State by 15 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington State (+15 1/2); Over

Game 385-386: UNLV at Louisiana Tech (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 64.525; Louisiana Tech 94.508
Dunkel Line: Louisiana Tech by 30; 63
Vegas Line: Louisiana Tech by 24 1/2; 68 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Louisiana Tech (-24 1/2); Under

Game 387-388: Tulsa at Marshall (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulsa 86.727; Marshall 85.395
Dunkel Line: Tulsa by 1 1/2; 72
Vegas Line: Tulsa by 3; 68
Dunkel Pick: Marshall (+3); Over

Game 389-390: Miami (FL) at Notre Dame (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 94.164; Notre Dame 103.591
Dunkel Line: Notre Dame by 9 1/2; 47
Vegas Line: Notre Dame by 13; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Miami (FL) (+13); Under

Game 391-392: Buffalo at Ohio (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 70.207; Ohio 82.887
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 12 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Ohio by 14; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+14); Under

Game 393-394: Nebraska at Ohio State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Nebraska 102.461; Ohio State 99.194
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 3 1/2; 59
Vegas Line: Ohio State by 3 1/2; 57 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (+3 1/2); Over

Game 395-396: Hawaii at San Diego State (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Hawaii 68.495; San Diego State 87.734
Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 19 1/2; 57
Vegas Line: San Diego State by 22 1/2; 60 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hawaii (+22 1/2); Under

Game 397-398: Fresno State at Colorado State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Fresno State 91.189; Colorado State 75.954
Dunkel Line: Fresno State by 15; 64
Vegas Line: Fresno State by 16; 59 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado State (+16); Over

Game 399-400: LSU at Florida (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 106.149; Florida 106.452
Dunkel Line: Even; 48
Vegas Line: LSU by 2 1/2; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+2 1/2); Over

Game 401-402: Texas State at New Mexico (6:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas State 69.392; New Mexico 76.635
Dunkel Line: New Mexico by 7; 48
Vegas Line: New Mexico by 3 1/2; 51 1/2
Dunkel Pick: New Mexico (-3 1/2); Under

Game 403-404: SMU at UTEP (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SMU 88.336; UTEP 82.091
Dunkel Line: SMU by 6; 54
Vegas Line: UTEP by 2 1/2; 49
Dunkel Pick: SMU (+2 1/2); Over

Game 405-406: Tulane at UL-Lafayette (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tulane 54.102; UL-Lafayette 82.954
Dunkel Line: UL-Lafayette by 29; 52
Vegas Line: UL-Lafayette by 23 1/2; 56 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Lafayette (-23 1/2); Under

Game 407-408: UL-Monroe at Middle Tennessee State (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UL-Monroe 90.678; Middle Tennessee State 64.988
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 25 1/2; 62
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 3; 66 1/2
Dunkel Pick: UL-Monroe (-3); Under

Game 409-410: North Texas at Houston (3:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Texas 74.525; Houston 82.221
Dunkel Line: Houston by 7 1/2; 63
Vegas Line: Houston by 12; 58
Dunkel Pick: North Texas (+12); Over

OTHER MAJOR GAMES:

Game 441-442: SE Louisiana at UAB (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: SE Louisiana 53.726; UAB 74.618
Dunkel Line: UAB by 21
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-04-12 05:30 AM
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Posts: 11992

NCAAF
Long Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 4

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E CAROLINA (3 - 2) at UCF (2 - 2) - 10/4/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UCF is 1-1 against the spread versus E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
UCF is 1-1 straight up against E CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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USC (3 - 1) at UTAH (2 - 2) - 10/4/2012, 9:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UTAH is 48-27 ATS (+18.3 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
USC is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
USC is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
USC is 1-0 against the spread versus UTAH over the last 3 seasons
USC is 1-0 straight up against UTAH over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS ST (2 - 3) at FLA INTERNATIONAL (1 - 4) - 10/4/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses since 1992.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 8-19 ATS (-12.9 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
FLA INTERNATIONAL is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Friday, October 5

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PITTSBURGH (2 - 2) at SYRACUSE (1 - 3) - 10/5/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SYRACUSE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
SYRACUSE is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 against the spread versus SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
PITTSBURGH is 2-0 straight up against SYRACUSE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UTAH ST (4 - 1) at BYU (3 - 2) - 10/5/2012, 10:15 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH ST is 2-0 against the spread versus BYU over the last 3 seasons
BYU is 1-1 straight up against UTAH ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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Saturday, October 6

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NAVY (1 - 3) at AIR FORCE (2 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 11:30 AM
Top Trends for this game.
NAVY is 124-94 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all games since 1992.
NAVY is 31-14 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NAVY is 124-94 ATS (+20.6 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 78-50 ATS (+23.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
NAVY is 62-30 ATS (+29.0 Units) in road games since 1992.
NAVY is 62-30 ATS (+29.0 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
NAVY is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) against Mountain West conference opponents since 1992.
NAVY is 116-86 ATS (+21.4 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
NAVY is 80-54 ATS (+20.6 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
NAVY is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
NAVY is 26-12 ATS (+12.8 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
NAVY is 65-32 ATS (+29.8 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
AIR FORCE is 1-1 against the spread versus NAVY over the last 3 seasons
AIR FORCE is 2-0 straight up against NAVY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MICHIGAN ST (3 - 2) at INDIANA (2 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MICHIGAN ST is 26-50 ATS (-29.0 Units) off a loss against a conference rival since 1992.
INDIANA is 26-44 ATS (-22.4 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN ST is 1-0 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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N ILLINOIS (4 - 1) at BALL ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
BALL ST is 1-1 against the spread versus N ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
N ILLINOIS is 2-0 straight up against BALL ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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BOSTON COLLEGE (1 - 3) at ARMY (0 - 4) - 10/6/2012, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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BOWLING GREEN (2 - 3) at AKRON (1 - 4) - 10/6/2012, 2:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BOWLING GREEN is 21-9 ATS (+11.1 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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MIAMI OHIO (3 - 2) at CINCINNATI (3 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CINCINNATI is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
CINCINNATI is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI OHIO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA TECH (2 - 3) at CLEMSON (4 - 1) - 10/6/2012, 3:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
CLEMSON is 1-1 against the spread versus GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
CLEMSON is 1-1 straight up against GEORGIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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VIRGINIA (2 - 3) at DUKE (4 - 1) - 10/6/2012, 3:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DUKE is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
DUKE is 1-1 straight up against VIRGINIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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S FLORIDA (2 - 3) at TEMPLE (1 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
S FLORIDA is 4-13 ATS (-10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
S FLORIDA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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NORTHWESTERN (5 - 0) at PENN ST (3 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PENN ST is 2-0 against the spread versus NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
PENN ST is 2-0 straight up against NORTHWESTERN over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KENT ST (3 - 1) at E MICHIGAN (0 - 4) - 10/6/2012, 1:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
KENT ST is 1-0 against the spread versus E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
KENT ST is 1-0 straight up against E MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CONNECTICUT (3 - 2) at RUTGERS (4 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 12:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
RUTGERS is 1-1 against the spread versus CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
RUTGERS is 1-1 straight up against CONNECTICUT over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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FLORIDA ST (5 - 0) at NC STATE (3 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
NC STATE is 1-1 against the spread versus FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
NC STATE is 1-1 straight up against FLORIDA ST over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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MASSACHUSETTS (0 - 5) at W MICHIGAN (2 - 3) - 10/6/2012, 2:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VANDERBILT (1 - 3) at MISSOURI (3 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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TEXAS A&M (3 - 1) at OLE MISS (3 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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VIRGINIA TECH (3 - 2) at N CAROLINA (3 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 5-13 ATS (-9.3 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
VIRGINIA TECH is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 59-37 ATS (+18.3 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
VIRGINIA TECH is 51-31 ATS (+16.9 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
N CAROLINA is 1-1 against the spread versus VIRGINIA TECH over the last 3 seasons
VIRGINIA TECH is 2-0 straight up against N CAROLINA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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WASHINGTON (3 - 1) at OREGON (5 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 10:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 62-93 ATS (-40.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
OREGON is 2-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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GEORGIA (5 - 0) at S CAROLINA (5 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
GEORGIA is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
GEORGIA is 53-34 ATS (+15.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
GEORGIA is 16-4 ATS (+11.6 Units) in a road game where the total is between 49.5 and 56 since 1992.
GEORGIA is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in a road game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
S CAROLINA is 2-0 against the spread versus GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
S CAROLINA is 2-0 straight up against GEORGIA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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W VIRGINIA (4 - 0) at TEXAS (4 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS is 53-32 ATS (+17.8 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
W VIRGINIA is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

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IOWA ST (3 - 1) at TCU (4 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TCU is 30-16 ATS (+12.4 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
TCU is 20-4 ATS (+15.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
TCU is 13-2 ATS (+10.8 Units) in a home game where the total is between 45.5 and 49 since 1992.
TCU is 93-67 ATS (+19.3 Units) in games played on a grass field since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-04-12 05:34 AM
CNOTES is offline Click Here to See the Profile for CNOTES Edit post   Report post
CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 11992

ILLINOIS (2 - 3) at WISCONSIN (3 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ILLINOIS is 62-95 ATS (-42.5 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
WISCONSIN is 48-29 ATS (+16.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
ILLINOIS is 1-0 against the spread versus WISCONSIN over the last 3 seasons
WISCONSIN is 1-0 straight up against ILLINOIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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KANSAS (1 - 3) at KANSAS ST (4 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
KANSAS is 6-20 ATS (-16.0 Units) as an underdog of 21.5 to 31 points since 1992.
KANSAS is 54-78 ATS (-31.8 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
KANSAS is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) as a road underdog of 21.5 or more points since 1992.
KANSAS is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road games since 1992.
KANSAS is 38-58 ATS (-25.8 Units) in road lined games since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 54-35 ATS (+15.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
KANSAS ST is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
KANSAS ST is 2-0 against the spread versus KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
KANSAS ST is 2-0 straight up against KANSAS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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UCLA (4 - 1) at CALIFORNIA (1 - 4) - 10/6/2012, 10:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UCLA is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.
UCLA is 6-16 ATS (-11.6 Units) in road games when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
UCLA is 11-25 ATS (-16.5 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 15-35 ATS (-23.5 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
CALIFORNIA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
CALIFORNIA is 1-1 against the spread versus UCLA over the last 3 seasons
CALIFORNIA is 1-1 straight up against UCLA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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ARKANSAS (1 - 4) at AUBURN (1 - 3) - 10/6/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
AUBURN is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) in home games against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
AUBURN is 1-1 against the spread versus ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
AUBURN is 1-1 straight up against ARKANSAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at PURDUE (3 - 1) - 10/6/2012, 4:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
PURDUE is 1-1 against the spread versus MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
MICHIGAN is 2-0 straight up against PURDUE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WYOMING (1 - 3) at NEVADA (4 - 1) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEW MEXICO ST (1 - 4) at IDAHO (0 - 5) - 10/6/2012, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW MEXICO ST is 31-53 ATS (-27.3 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
IDAHO is 25-42 ATS (-21.2 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.
IDAHO is 16-30 ATS (-17.0 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
IDAHO is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home games since 1992.
IDAHO is 21-38 ATS (-20.8 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
IDAHO is 36-58 ATS (-27.8 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
IDAHO is 42-63 ATS (-27.3 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NEW MEXICO ST is 2-0 against the spread versus IDAHO over the last 3 seasons
IDAHO is 1-1 straight up against NEW MEXICO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ARIZONA (3 - 2) at STANFORD (3 - 1) - 10/6/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
ARIZONA is 5-14 ATS (-10.4 Units) against conference opponents over the last 3 seasons.
ARIZONA is 65-95 ATS (-39.5 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
STANFORD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
STANFORD is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in a home game where the total is between 52.5 and 56 since 1992.
STANFORD is 11-2 ATS (+8.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
STANFORD is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
STANFORD is 2-0 against the spread versus ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
STANFORD is 2-0 straight up against ARIZONA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

OKLAHOMA (2 - 1) at TEXAS TECH (4 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TEXAS TECH is 56-35 ATS (+17.5 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) in home games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 66-39 ATS (+23.1 Units) in home lined games since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 47-29 ATS (+15.1 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 120-88 ATS (+23.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 91-60 ATS (+25.0 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
TEXAS TECH is 52-32 ATS (+16.8 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 against the spread versus OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
TEXAS TECH is 1-1 straight up against OKLAHOMA over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

C MICHIGAN (2 - 2) at TOLEDO (4 - 1) - 10/6/2012, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
C MICHIGAN is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-10 ATS (-10.0 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 over the last 3 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-14 ATS (-13.4 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road lined games over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) against conference opponents over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
C MICHIGAN is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) in October games over the last 3 seasons.
TOLEDO is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
TOLEDO is 37-20 ATS (+15.0 Units) in home games against conference opponents since 1992.
TOLEDO is 41-24 ATS (+14.6 Units) in home games in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
TOLEDO is 2-0 against the spread versus C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
TOLEDO is 2-0 straight up against C MICHIGAN over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BOISE ST (3 - 1) at SOUTHERN MISS (0 - 4) - 10/6/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SOUTHERN MISS is 104-77 ATS (+19.3 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 104-63 ATS (+34.7 Units) in all games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-41 ATS (+25.9 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
BOISE ST is 104-63 ATS (+34.7 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
BOISE ST is 83-53 ATS (+24.7 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
BOISE ST is 71-48 ATS (+18.2 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.
BOISE ST is 62-38 ATS (+20.2 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
BOISE ST is 66-32 ATS (+30.8 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
BOISE ST is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) in road games in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
BOISE ST is 61-28 ATS (+30.2 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

RICE (1 - 4) at MEMPHIS (0 - 4) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
RICE is 88-63 ATS (+18.7 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
RICE is 1-0 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
RICE is 1-0 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WAKE FOREST (3 - 2) at MARYLAND (2 - 2) - 10/6/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MARYLAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up losses over the last 2 seasons.
MARYLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
MARYLAND is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in games played on a grass field over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MARYLAND is 1-1 against the spread versus WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
MARYLAND is 1-1 straight up against WAKE FOREST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MISSISSIPPI ST (4 - 0) at KENTUCKY (1 - 4) - 10/6/2012, 12:20 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 against the spread versus KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
MISSISSIPPI ST is 2-0 straight up against KENTUCKY over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

WASHINGTON ST (2 - 3) at OREGON ST (3 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 6:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OREGON ST is 46-22 ATS (+21.8 Units) off a win against a conference rival since 1992.
OREGON ST is 35-20 ATS (+13.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.
OREGON ST is 54-33 ATS (+17.7 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
OREGON ST is 95-67 ATS (+21.3 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OREGON ST is 90-59 ATS (+25.1 Units) after playing a conference game since 1992.
OREGON ST is 48-28 ATS (+17.2 Units) in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OREGON ST is 1-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
OREGON ST is 1-1 straight up against WASHINGTON ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-04-12 05:35 AM
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Posts: 11992

UNLV (1 - 4) at LOUISIANA TECH (4 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
UNLV is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 1-13 ATS (-13.3 Units) in road lined games over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 2-10 ATS (-9.0 Units) in road games against WAC opponents since 1992.
UNLV is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in road games when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.
UNLV is 0-10 ATS (-11.0 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 3 seasons.
UNLV is 5-17 ATS (-13.7 Units) in road games in games played on turf since 1992.
LOUISIANA TECH is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 8-0 ATS (+8.0 Units) after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 7-0 ATS (+7.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 14-3 ATS (+10.7 Units) in all lined games over the last 2 seasons.
LOUISIANA TECH is 13-3 ATS (+9.7 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULSA (4 - 1) at MARSHALL (2 - 3) - 10/6/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULSA is 11-3 ATS (+7.7 Units) off a win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
TULSA is 1-0 against the spread versus MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
TULSA is 1-0 straight up against MARSHALL over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (4 - 1) vs. NOTRE DAME (4 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NOTRE DAME is 23-10 ATS (+12.0 Units) in road games in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
NOTRE DAME is 21-7 ATS (+13.3 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
NOTRE DAME is 1-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

BUFFALO (1 - 3) at OHIO U (5 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 12:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BUFFALO is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.
OHIO U is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in home games after 2 or more consecutive straight up wins since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO U is 1-1 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
OHIO U is 1-1 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NEBRASKA (4 - 1) at OHIO ST (5 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OHIO ST is 144-105 ATS (+28.5 Units) in all games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 144-105 ATS (+28.5 Units) in all lined games since 1992.
OHIO ST is 119-86 ATS (+24.4 Units) as a favorite since 1992.
OHIO ST is 94-65 ATS (+22.5 Units) against conference opponents since 1992.
OHIO ST is 132-92 ATS (+30.8 Units) when playing on a Saturday since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
OHIO ST is 1-0 against the spread versus NEBRASKA over the last 3 seasons
NEBRASKA is 1-0 straight up against OHIO ST over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

HAWAII (1 - 3) at SAN DIEGO ST (2 - 3) - 10/6/2012, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

FRESNO ST (3 - 2) at COLORADO ST (1 - 4) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
FRESNO ST is 31-51 ATS (-25.1 Units) in weeks 5 through 9 since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 11-24 ATS (-15.4 Units) in road games in October games since 1992.
FRESNO ST is 9-0 ATS (+9.0 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.
COLORADO ST is 0-6 ATS (-6.6 Units) in games played on turf over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LSU (5 - 0) at FLORIDA (4 - 0) - 10/6/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LSU is 19-7 ATS (+11.3 Units) in a road game where the total is between 42.5 and 49 since 1992.
LSU is 43-26 ATS (+14.4 Units) in road games when playing with 6 or less days rest since 1992.
FLORIDA is 3-12 ATS (-10.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
LSU is 2-0 against the spread versus FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
LSU is 2-0 straight up against FLORIDA over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TEXAS ST (2 - 2) at NEW MEXICO (2 - 3) - 10/6/2012, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SMU (1 - 3) at UTEP (1 - 4) - 10/6/2012, 8:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SMU is 10-23 ATS (-15.3 Units) when the line is +3 to -3 since 1992.
UTEP is 28-46 ATS (-22.6 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record since 1992.

Head-to-Head Series History
UTEP is 2-0 against the spread versus SMU over the last 3 seasons
UTEP is 1-1 straight up against SMU over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

TULANE (0 - 4) at LA LAFAYETTE (3 - 1) - 10/6/2012, 5:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TULANE is 23-43 ATS (-24.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record since 1992.
TULANE is 66-100 ATS (-44.0 Units) as an underdog since 1992.
TULANE is 57-82 ATS (-33.2 Units) in games played on turf since 1992.
LA LAFAYETTE is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) when playing on a Saturday over the last 3 seasons.
LA LAFAYETTE is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

LA MONROE (2 - 2) at MIDDLE TENN ST (3 - 1) - 10/6/2012, 3:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-9 ATS (-8.9 Units) when playing with 6 or less days rest over the last 2 seasons.
MIDDLE TENN ST is 6-15 ATS (-10.5 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 against the spread versus LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
MIDDLE TENN ST is 1-1 straight up against LA MONROE over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

NORTH TEXAS (2 - 3) at HOUSTON (1 - 3) - 10/6/2012, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 6-0 ATS (+6.0 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 12-4 ATS (+7.6 Units) as a favorite over the last 2 seasons.
HOUSTON is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) after playing a conference game over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
HOUSTON is 1-0 against the spread versus NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
HOUSTON is 1-0 straight up against NORTH TEXAS over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-04-12 05:35 AM
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FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 11992

NCAAF
Short Sheet

Week 6

Thursday, October 4, 2012

(TC) East Carolina at Central Florida, 8:00 ET CBSSN
East Carolina: 1-5 ATS off a conference home win
Central Florida: 25-10 ATS off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games

(TC) USC at Utah, 9:00 ET ESPN
USC: 8-1 ATS off a conference game
Utah: 21-8 Over off a conference loss


Added Game

Arkansas State at Florida International, 7:30 ET ESPNU
Arkansas State: 9-0 ATS off an Under
Florida Int: 8-19 ATS in October


Friday, October 5, 2012

Pittsburgh at Syracuse, 7:00 ET ESPN
Pittsburgh: 6-19 ATS away off BB home games
Syracuse: 5-1 Over off BB ATS losses

Utah State at BYU, 10:15 ET ESPN
Utah State: 0-7 ATS off ATS wins in 4 of their last 5 games
BYU: 8-1 ATS after scoring 37+ points


Saturday, October 6, 2012

Navy at Air Force, 11:30am ET
Navy: 26-12 ATS away in October
Air Force: 8-1 Over off an Over

Michigan State at Indiana, 12:00 ET
Michigan State: 14-4 ATS after scoring and allowing 17 points or less
Indiana: 9-21 ATS off a combined score of 70+ points

Northern Illinois at Ball State, 3:00 ET
Northern Illinois: 17-6 ATS after allowing 325+ passing yards
Ball State: 10-1 Over in home games

Boston College at Army, 12:00 ET
Boston College: 3-12 ATS in the first half of the season
Army: 6-1 ATS off a loss by 17+ points

Bowling Green at Akron, 2:00 ET
Bowling Green: 5-1 Under off an ATS win as a favorite of 10+ points
Akron: 1-7 ATS off a combined score of 80+ points

Miami OH at Cincinnati, 7:00 ET
Miami OH: 15-3 ATS with a total of 56.5 to 63 points
Cincinnati: 22-7 Under in October

Georgia Tech at Clemson, 3:30 ET
Georgia Tech: 3-16 ATS off BB Overs
Clemson: 12-2 Under off BB conference games

Virginia at Duke, 3:00 ET
Virginia: 12-3 Under off a loss by 6 points or less
Duke: 4-15 ATS off 3+ ATS wins

South Florida at Temple, 12:00 ET
South Florida: 3-12 ATS vs. conference opponents
Temple: 6-0 Under as an underdog

Northwestern at Penn State, 12:00 ET
Northwestern: 10-2 ATS away after gaining 525+ total yards
Penn State: 8-1 Under as a favorite

Kent State at Eastern Michigan, 1:00 ET
Kent State: 8-2 Under off an Over
Eastern Michigan: 7-18 ATS at home off a non-conference game

Connecticut at Rutgers, 12:00 ET
Connecticut: 29-12 ATS off an Under
Rutgers: 9-1 Under at home off a SU win as an underdog

Florida State at NC State, 8:00 ET
Florida State: 16-3 ATS off a SU road win / ATS loss
NC State: 15-5 Over off a combined score of 70+ points

Massachusetts at Western Michigan, 2:00 ET
Massachusetts: 0-3 ATS as an underdog of 10.5 to 21 points
Western Michigan: 24-11 Over off an Under

Vanderbilt at Missouri, 7:00 ET
Vanderbilt: 20-6 Under as an underog of 3.5 to 10 points
Missouri: 20-7 ATS at home after having 100 or less rushing yards

Texas A&M at Mississippi, 7:00 ET
Texas A&M: 2-13 ATS away off BB games with combined scores of 60+ points
Mississippi: 16-6 Under off ATS wins in 3 of their last 4 games

Virginia Tech at North Carolina, 12:30 ET
Virginia Tech: 15-5 ATS away off BB non-conference games
North Carolina: 0-6 ATS after forcing 4+ turnovers

Washington at Oregon, 10:30 ET
Washington: 1-5 ATS with a total of 63.5 to 70 points
Oregon: 9-1 Over at home off a conference game

Georgia at South Carolina, 7:00 ET
Georgia: 0-7 ATS as an underdog
South Carolina: 8-2 ATS off a win by 21+ points

West Virginia at Texas, 7:00 ET
West Virginia: 7-0 Over off BB SU wins / AT losses
Texas: 26-13 ATS off BB Overs

Iowa State at TCU, 3:30 ET
Iowa State: 1-6 ATS off 3+ games committing 3+ turnovers
TCU: 9-0 ATS off 3+ Unders

Illinois at Wisconsin, 3:30 ET
Illinois: 5-16 ATS off BB losses by 17+ points
Wisconsin: 11-1 ATS at home off BB Overs

Kansas at Kansas State, 12:00 ET
Kansas: 6-16 ATS as a road underdog of 21.5+ points
Kansas State: 6-0 Over off a road win

UCLA at California, 10:00 ET
UCLA: 0-6 ATS away off a conference win
California: 15-6 Under vs. conference opponents

Arkansas at Auburn, 12:00 ET
Arkansas: 14-4 ATS off a road loss by 21+ points
Auburn: 2-8 ATS as a home favorite of 7.5 to 10 points

Michigan at Purdue, 4:00 ET
Michigan: 22-10 Over off a bye week
Purdue: 4-13 ATS at home off a combined score of 70+ points

Wyoming at Nevada, 7:00 ET
Wyoming: 8-1 Under off a SU win
Nevada: 3-7 ATS in weeks 5 through 9

New Mexico State at Idaho, 5:00 ET
New Mexico State: 18-7 Under off a home loss
Idaho: 8-24 ATS at home off a road loss

Arizona at Stanford, 3:00 ET
Arizona: 5-14 ATS vs. confeence opponents
Stanford: 18-7 ATS as a favorite

Oklahoma at Texas Tech, 3:30 ET
Oklahoma: 9-1 Under as a road favorite of 3.5 to 7 points
Texas Tech: 22-10 ATS after forcing 4+ turnovers

Central Michigan at Toledo, 3:00 ET
Central Michigan: 1-8 ATS vs. conference opponents
Toledo: 7-0 ATS after forcing 4+ turnovers

Boise State at Southern Miss, 12:00 ET
Boise State: 8-0 ATS away vs. non-conference opponents
Southern Miss: 9-1 Under at home off a loss by 6 points or less

Rice at Memphis, 7:00 ET
Rice: 0-7 ATS away after losing 3 of their last 4 games
Memphis: 12-4 Under vs. conference opponents

Wake Forest at Maryland, 3:30 ET
Wake Forest: 11-2 Over with a total of 49.5 to 56 points
Maryland: 0-7 ATS off BB losses

Mississippi State at Kentucky, 12:20 ET
Mississippi State: 20-8 ATS away off ATS losses in 2 of their last 3 games
Kentucky: 21-37 ATS off a home loss

Washington State at Oregon State, 6:00 ET
Washington State: 31-15 Under away off an ATS win
Oregon State: 17-3 ATS off a conference win by 7 points or less

UNLV at Lousiana Tech, 7:00 ET
UNLV: 0-7 ATS away after scoring 14 points or less
Louisiana Tech: 10-1 ATS off a SU win

Tulsa at Marshall, 3:30 ET
Tulsa: 7-0 ATS away after scoring 37+ points
Marshall: 13-3 Under at home off a non-conference game

Miami FL vs. Notre Dame, 7:30 ET
Miami FL: 6-0 Over away in the first half of the season
Notre Dame: 21-7 ATS away in October

Buffalo at Ohio U, 12:00 ET
Buffalo: 0-6 ATS playing on artificial turf
Ohio U: 26-13 ATS off an Over

Nebraska at Ohio State, 8:00 ET
Nebraska: 11-3 Over in the first half of the season
Ohio State: 31-16 ATS at home off a road win

Hawaii at San Diego State, 8:00 ET
Hawaii: 1-8 ATS off an ATS loss
San Diego State: 30-15 Under in October

Fresno State at Colorado State, 10:00 ET
Fresno State: 11-24 ATS away in October
Colorado State: 10-2 ATS at home off BB games allowing 31+ points

LSU at Florida, 3:30 ET
LSU: 8-1 ATS off a home win
Florida: 0-6 ATS off 3+ conference games

Texas State at New Mexico, 6:00 ET
Texas State: 3-1 ATS vs. non-conference opponents
New Mexico: 6-0 Under off a conference game

SMU at UTEP, 8:00 ET
SMU: 8-1 Under after losing 2 of their last 3 games
UTEP: 3-13 ATS at home after losing 4 of their last 5 games


Added Games

Tulane at Louisiana Lafayette, 5:00 ET
Tulsa: 11-25 ATS off 4+ losses
LA Lafayette: 12-2 ATS playing on artificial turf

Louisiana Monroe at Middle Tennessee State, 3:30 ET
LA Monroe: 8-1 Over away off an ATS win
Mid Tenn State: 3-11 ATS in home games

North Texas at Houston, 7:00 ET
North Texas: 14-29 ATS off an Under
Houston: 12-4 ATS as a favorite


(TC) = Time Change




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-04-12 05:36 AM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 11992

NCAAF

Week 6

------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Trend Report
------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------

Thursday, October 4

7:30 PM
ARKANSAS STATE vs. FLORIDA INTERNATIONAL
Arkansas State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Arkansas State is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Florida International
Florida International is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Florida International is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Arkansas State

8:00 PM
EAST CAROLINA vs. CENTRAL FLORIDA
East Carolina is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Central Florida
East Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Central Florida is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Central Florida is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games at home

9:00 PM
SOUTHERN CAL vs. UTAH
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Cal's last 5 games
Southern Cal is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Utah is 21-4 SU in its last 25 games at home
Utah is 7-3 SU in its last 10 games


Friday, October 5

7:00 PM
PITTSBURGH vs. SYRACUSE
Pittsburgh is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Syracuse
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Pittsburgh's last 5 games when playing on the road against Syracuse
Syracuse is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Pittsburgh
Syracuse is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games when playing Pittsburgh

10:15 PM
UTAH STATE vs. BYU
Utah State is 1-10 SU in its last 11 games when playing BYU
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Utah State's last 5 games on the road
BYU is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games when playing at home against Utah State
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of BYU's last 5 games when playing Utah State


Saturday, October 6

11:30 AM
NAVY vs. AIR FORCE
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Navy's last 6 games on the road
Navy is 4-10 SU in its last 14 games
Air Force is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games at home
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Air Force's last 8 games when playing Navy

12:00 PM
CONNECTICUT vs. RUTGERS
Connecticut is 1-2-3 ATS in its last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Connecticut's last 5 games when playing Rutgers
Rutgers is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games when playing Connecticut
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Rutgers's last 5 games when playing Connecticut

12:00 PM
ARKANSAS vs. AUBURN
Arkansas is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Arkansas is 0-5 ATS in its last 5 games
Auburn is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games when playing at home against Arkansas
Auburn is 2-6 ATS in its last 8 games

12:00 PM
MICHIGAN STATE vs. INDIANA
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Michigan State's last 5 games when playing Indiana
Michigan State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing Indiana
Indiana is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Indiana is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 games when playing Michigan State

12:00 PM
BOSTON COLLEGE vs. ARMY
Boston College is 5-12 SU in its last 17 games
Boston College is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Army
Army is 3-7 SU in its last 10 games at home
Army is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games

12:00 PM
BUFFALO vs. OHIO
Buffalo is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Buffalo's last 6 games on the road
Ohio is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Ohio's last 7 games when playing Buffalo

12:00 PM
KANSAS vs. KANSAS STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Kansas's last 6 games when playing Kansas State
Kansas is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games
Kansas State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games
Kansas State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing at home against Kansas

12:00 PM
NORTHWESTERN vs. PENN STATE
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Northwestern's last 5 games on the road
Northwestern is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Penn State
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Penn State's last 5 games at home
Penn State is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home

12:00 PM
SOUTH FLORIDA vs. TEMPLE
South Florida is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games
South Florida is 3-10 SU in its last 13 games
Temple is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home
Temple is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games

12:00 PM
BOISE STATE vs. SOUTHERN MISS
Boise State is 23-2 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Boise State's last 7 games
Southern Miss is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games
Southern Miss is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games

12:21 PM
MISSISSIPPI STATE vs. KENTUCKY
Mississippi State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Kentucky
Mississippi State is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Kentucky
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Kentucky's last 8 games at home
Kentucky is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games

12:30 PM
VIRGINIA TECH vs. NORTH CAROLINA
Virginia Tech is 19-6 SU in its last 25 games
Virginia Tech is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games when playing North Carolina
North Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Virginia Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of North Carolina's last 5 games when playing Virginia Tech

1:00 PM
KENT STATE vs. EASTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Kent State's last 7 games on the road
Kent State is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Eastern Michigan is 5-2 SU in its last 7 games at home
Eastern Michigan is 3-7-1 ATS in its last 11 games at home

2:00 PM
MASSACHUSETTS vs. WESTERN MICHIGAN
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Massachusetts's last 6 games
Massachusetts is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Western Michigan is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games
Western Michigan is 2-4 ATS in its last 6 games

2:00 PM
BOWLING GREEN vs. AKRON
Bowling Green is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games on the road
Bowling Green is 4-9 SU in its last 13 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of Akron's last 5 games when playing Bowling Green
Akron is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games

3:00 PM
SOUTHEASTERN LOUISIANA vs. UAB
Southeastern Louisiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Southeastern Louisiana is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of UAB's last 5 games at home
UAB is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games at home

3:00 PM
VIRGINIA vs. DUKE
Virginia is 0-4-1 ATS in its last 5 games
Virginia is 4-11 SU in its last 15 games on the road
Duke is 5-11 SU in its last 16 games at home
Duke is 4-0-1 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Virginia

3:00 PM
ARIZONA vs. STANFORD
Arizona is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games
Arizona is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Stanford
Stanford is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games
Stanford is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

3:00 PM
CENTRAL MICHIGAN vs. TOLEDO
Central Michigan is 2-12 SU in its last 14 games on the road
Central Michigan is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 games on the road
Toledo is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games when playing Central Michigan
Toledo is 2-5 SU in its last 7 games when playing Central Michigan

3:00 PM
NORTHERN ILLINOIS vs. BALL STATE
Northern Illinois is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Ball State
Northern Illinois is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Ball State is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games at home
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Ball State's last 5 games

3:30 PM
OKLAHOMA vs. TEXAS TECH
Oklahoma is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Oklahoma's last 5 games when playing on the road against Texas Tech
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Texas Tech's last 5 games when playing at home against Oklahoma
Texas Tech is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
IOWA STATE vs. TCU
Iowa State is 7-18 SU in its last 25 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Iowa State's last 13 games on the road
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home
TCU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games

3:30 PM
LSU vs. FLORIDA
LSU is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of LSU's last 7 games when playing on the road against Florida
Florida is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 games at home
Florida is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games

3:30 PM
GEORGIA TECH vs. CLEMSON
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Georgia Tech's last 6 games when playing on the road against Clemson
Georgia Tech is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Clemson
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Clemson's last 8 games when playing Georgia Tech
Clemson is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing Georgia Tech

3:30 PM
LOUISIANA-MONROE vs. MIDDLE TENNESSEE
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 8 games when playing Middle Tennessee
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana-Monroe's last 6 games on the road
Middle Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Louisiana-Monroe
Middle Tennessee is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing Louisiana-Monroe

3:30 PM
TULSA vs. MARSHALL
Tulsa is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Tulsa is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
Marshall is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games at home

3:30 PM
ILLINOIS vs. WISCONSIN
Illinois is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Illinois's last 9 games when playing Wisconsin
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Wisconsin's last 9 games when playing Illinois
Wisconsin is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing Illinois

3:30 PM
WAKE FOREST vs. MARYLAND
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wake Forest's last 6 games on the road
Wake Forest is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games on the road
Maryland is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games when playing at home against Wake Forest
Maryland is 9-4 SU in its last 13 games when playing Wake Forest

4:00 PM
MICHIGAN vs. PURDUE
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Michigan's last 9 games when playing Purdue
Michigan is 1-4-1 ATS in its last 6 games
Purdue is 2-7 SU in its last 9 games when playing Michigan
Purdue is 3-8 ATS in its last 11 games when playing Michigan

5:00 PM
TULANE vs. LOUISIANA-LAFAYETTE
Tulane is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Tulane's last 6 games on the road
Louisiana-Lafayette is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Louisiana-Lafayette is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games at home

5:00 PM
NEW MEXICO STATE vs. IDAHO
New Mexico State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
New Mexico State is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games on the road
Idaho is 6-2 SU in its last 8 games when playing New Mexico State
Idaho is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games

6:00 PM
TEXAS STATE vs. NEW MEXICO
Texas State is 2-16 SU in its last 18 games
Texas State is 1-13 SU in its last 14 games on the road
New Mexico is 3-17 SU in its last 20 games
New Mexico is 4-17 SU in its last 21 games at home

6:00 PM
WASHINGTON STATE vs. OREGON STATE
Washington State is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games
Washington State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Oregon State's last 10 games when playing Washington State
Oregon State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington State




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-04-12 05:40 AM
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Posts: 11992

7:00 PM
VANDERBILT vs. MISSOURI
Vanderbilt is 2-9 ATS in its last 11 games on the road
Vanderbilt is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games
Missouri is 16-2 SU in its last 18 games at home
Missouri is 7-2 SU in its last 9 games

7:00 PM
WEST VIRGINIA vs. TEXAS
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
West Virginia is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Texas's last 9 games
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of Texas's last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
FRESNO STATE vs. COLORADO STATE
Fresno State is 1-4 ATS in its last 5 games when playing Colorado State
Fresno State is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Colorado State is 1-7 SU in its last 8 games at home
Colorado State is 3-6-1 ATS in its last 10 games at home

7:00 PM
RICE vs. MEMPHIS
Rice is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
Rice is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games on the road
Memphis is 0-5 SU in its last 5 games at home
Memphis is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games at home

7:00 PM
UNLV vs. LOUISIANA TECH
UNLV is 1-9 SU in its last 10 games
UNLV is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
The total has gone OVER in 5 of Louisiana Tech's last 6 games at home
Louisiana Tech is 11-1 SU in its last 12 games

7:00 PM
MIAMI (OHIO) vs. CINCINNATI
Miami (Ohio) is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
Miami (Ohio) is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games when playing on the road against Cincinnati
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Cincinnati's last 6 games when playing Miami (Ohio)
Cincinnati is 1-3-1 ATS in its last 5 games at home

7:00 PM
TEXAS A&M vs. MISSISSIPPI
Texas A&M is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Texas A&M is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
Mississippi is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 games at home
Mississippi is 3-9 SU in its last 12 games

7:00 PM
GEORGIA vs. SOUTH CAROLINA
Georgia is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing on the road against South Carolina
The total has gone UNDER in 12 of Georgia's last 14 games when playing South Carolina
South Carolina is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia
The total has gone UNDER in 5 of South Carolina's last 5 games when playing at home against Georgia

7:00 PM
NORTH TEXAS vs. HOUSTON
North Texas is 2-8 SU in its last 10 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Houston's last 5 games
Houston is 18-7 SU in its last 25 games at home

7:05 PM
WYOMING vs. NEVADA
Wyoming is 4-2 SU in its last 6 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Wyoming's last 5 games on the road
Nevada is 1-3-2 ATS in its last 6 games at home
Nevada is 4-6-2 ATS in its last 12 games

7:30 PM
MIAMI vs. NOTRE DAME
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
Miami is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games
Notre Dame is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games at home
Notre Dame is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games

8:00 PM
SOUTHERN METHODIST vs. TEXAS EL PASO
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Southern Methodist's last 6 games when playing Texas El Paso
Southern Methodist is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing Texas El Paso
Texas El Paso is 6-1 SU in its last 7 games when playing at home against Southern Methodist
Texas El Paso is 1-6 SU in its last 7 games

8:00 PM
FLORIDA STATE vs. NORTH CAROLINA STATE
Florida State is 4-1 SU in its last 5 games when playing North Carolina State
Florida State is 1-6 ATS in its last 7 games when playing North Carolina State
North Carolina State is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games when playing Florida State
North Carolina State is 7-1 SU in its last 8 games at home

8:00 PM
NEBRASKA vs. OHIO STATE
Nebraska is 12-6 SU in its last 18 games on the road
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Nebraska's last 9 games on the road
Ohio State is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
Ohio State is 22-3 SU in its last 25 games at home

8:00 PM
HAWAII vs. SAN DIEGO STATE
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of Hawaii's last 5 games on the road
Hawaii is 1-4 SU in its last 5 games on the road
San Diego State is 2-5 ATS in its last 7 games
San Diego State is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games

10:00 PM
UCLA vs. CALIFORNIA
UCLA is 3-11 SU in its last 14 games on the road
UCLA is 2-4 SU in its last 6 games when playing California
California is 1-5 SU in its last 6 games
California is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games when playing UCLA

10:30 PM
WASHINGTON vs. OREGON
The total has gone UNDER in 9 of Washington's last 13 games when playing Oregon
Washington is 3-6 ATS in its last 9 games
Oregon is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games when playing Washington
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Oregon's last 8 games when playing at home against Washington




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-04-12 05:40 AM
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 11992

NCAAF
Armadillo's Write-Up

Week 6

Thursday's games
East Carolina-Central Florida both had tough games Saturday, with ECU winning conference game with UTEP, Knights losing to BCS opponent Missouri at home. Pirates are 4-8 as road dogs under McNeill, pulling an upset at winless Southern Mississippi, getting waxed at South Carolina (48-10), North Carolina (27-6). Dogs covered four of last five series games; ECU won five of last six series games, with totals of 69-84 in last two. UCF is 12-7 vs spread as home favorite since '09, but 0-2 this year; both their losses this season came vs BCS opponents. Favorites are 4-2 vs spread in C-USA games this season.

Utah lost by 9 at USC LY when they had game-tying FG blocked on the last play and Trojans ran it back for TD. Utes are 1-2 vs I-A opponents, allowing 28.3 ppg; since '03, they're 5-2 as home underdogs, but they do not run ball well, averaging 78 ypg vs I-A foes. USC lost at Stanford due to Cardinal's balance- 202 rushing yards, 215 passing; Trojans are 7-13 in last 20 tries as road favorites, 4-4 under Kiffin. Having senior QB is big in road games, and Trojand have Barkley. Home teams are 7-5 vs spread in Pac-12 games this year, home dogs 4-2. Tough to endorse Ute squad that lost last game 37-7 at ASU and also lost at Utah State.

Arkansas State led Western Kentucky 13-0 at half LW but lost 26-13 at home; they've got only 10 starters back from LY and are on third coach in last three years. Red Wolves allowed 243+ rushing yards in their three losses this year; they covered 10 of last 15 road games. FIU is 1-4, with only win in OT over Akron; Panthers are 15-12 vs spread at home with Cristobal as HC- they've got 17 starters back from LY. FIU lost 48-20 to UL-Lafayette LW, so both teams on downer. Only team Panthers held under 411 yards was Louisville, probably best team they've played.




Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.

Old Post 10-04-12 05:41 AM
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