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Assasinator


Registered: Sep 2010
Posts: 96

 Killer Instinct Play of the Day

SD - CHC
NO 1st inn. Runs (-140)

SD has not scored a 1st inn run in 12 of its 14 games while

CHC has not scored a 1st inn run in 10 of its 15 games.

Its a 76% chance that no runs will be scored in the first inning of tonight's matchup

Here are odds for NO runs in NL for Tonight:
Cin - Pit - 67%
Atl - LAD - 68 %
Mil - PHI - 46%
SF - COL - 57%

GL All

Old Post 04-18-11 06:28 PM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

Interesting stuff here. GL Tonight!



Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 04-18-11 06:58 PM
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Assasinator


Registered: Sep 2010
Posts: 96

Thanks Sawyer, lets see how playing percentages work out. People say baseball is all about percentages.

Old Post 04-18-11 07:11 PM
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johannesdemanes


Registered: Jul 2009
Posts: 159

your math is wrong. 57% is the correct odds of no score. sd doesnt score in 85% in 1st, chi doesnt score in 66% in 1st. you need both to happen to win so .85*.66 gives you close to 57% of both events occurring. and laying -140 def isnt favorable to those odds. im sure your other calculations are just as suspect.

Old Post 04-18-11 09:20 PM
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Assasinator


Registered: Sep 2010
Posts: 96

Thanks johan,
Math was never my forte, thats why I became a lawyer. Instead of multiplying I added both. Sorry for those who followed, now that I know the proper way to calculate, I will provide the correct odds.
All the best

Old Post 04-18-11 11:42 PM
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Zac
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14722

 Good luck.

*

Old Post 04-19-11 12:10 AM
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Assasinator


Registered: Sep 2010
Posts: 96

Winner

Old Post 04-19-11 10:19 AM
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