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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

 Thank you guys!

Miami game would be a play if line was 183 or higher. Line was 182½ in the morning but then dropped to 180. Missed it unfortunately. No play right now. Same goes for Boston vs Dallas Under as well. I would pick it as a play if line was 202½-203. It's 199 right now.

Goldenstate vs Memphis game looks interesting. I know these teams can easily score over +240 points but 233 is very high. I'm expecting 223-228 points to be scored in this one.

GL!

Old Post 03-20-10 06:54 PM
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Zac
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Registered: Mar 2006
Posts: 14717

 Good luck bud

*

Old Post 03-20-10 10:37 PM
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SharpHockey
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Registered: Dec 2009
Posts: 644

 I'm with you...

A total believer.

Good luck and appreciate you posting!

Old Post 03-21-10 01:22 AM
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hookem22
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 1878

Good luck Sawyer. Having a rough day here and need 2 winners. Let's get em. Thanks.



SIMPLE HOME CHASE-RECORDS

2007-After the All-Star Break (39-5) No units kept.
2008-May-August (85-13 +44 Units)
2009-May-August (42-9 +8.29 units)
2009-May-August "AFC" (16-1 +14.50 units)
2010 SHC+AFC (51-11 +21.68 units)
2011 SHC+AFC (31-4 +21.24 units)

Simple Home Chase Filters-Based on the start of the series.
1. Home team is .500 or better at home.
2. Home team is at least 5-5 last 10 games.
3. Visitor is .500 or less on the road.
4. Home team must lose first game.
5. For 4 game sets, home team must lose first 2 games.

*2009 Added Filter-The home team must be the favorite to be a chase. If game 1 of the chase is lost and the home team is a dog for game 2, then the chase is abandoned and we take the one game loss.

*2010 Added Filter-No chase on game 1 if the line is above -250. Not worth the risk.
**2010 No Interleague chases.

Old Post 03-21-10 01:36 AM
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CUBANO
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 10875

Forgot to check in with you today. Of course I am in.



EL CUBANO

Old Post 03-21-10 01:46 AM
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Four Horsemen


Registered: Nov 2005
Posts: 505

Nice 2-0 night...

Not sure how that Memphis game stayed under, but I'll take it!

You da Man!!!

Thanks again Sawyer... class act all the way

Old Post 03-21-10 03:25 AM
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SharpHockey
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Registered: Dec 2009
Posts: 644

33 point 4th Q. Thought it was going over after those first three quarters for sure!

Thanks, Sawyer.

Old Post 03-21-10 03:27 AM
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Bytore
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2003
Posts: 12159

Sawyer, I am almost done.

I am building a file. I always forget to ask, how is you Excel knowledge?

The file though, does not show you what to do, it shows you what not to do!

It is nuts a bit, to learn what not to do. I am making it as easy as I can for you.

Notice how your soul will change, as you become a trader. lol!

You will be ok my man, I will create that future. We will change the way the world gambles.

I still love your over/under picks though!

Too sleepy, too tired, I forget to look! That has nothing to do with picks, does it. : )


I will show all that is bad with 1.03 picks. You I hope will find the good! lol!!!

But no fear here, my mission is deeper. : )



"I do not think there is any thrill that can go through the human heart like that felt by the inventor as he sees some creation of the brain unfolding to success... such emotions make a man forget food, sleep, friends, love, everything.

Nikola Tesla

Old Post 03-21-10 04:57 AM
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live4night


Registered: Nov 2007
Posts: 632

Wow. I can't believe that game went under. A lot of over backers got moosed. It's good to be on the right side. haha

Old Post 03-21-10 07:52 AM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

1st Quarter: 61 points
2nd Quarter: 72 Points
3rd Quarter: 64 points
4th Quarter: 33 points, LoL!

TOR VS NJ UNDER 207½ *7 WINNER
GSW VS MEM UNDER 232½ *10 WINNER

Record Updated.

NBA *7 Plays: 28-20
NBA *8 Plays: 29-18
NBA *9 Plays: 16-6
NBA *10+ Plays: 13-8
NCAAB *10 Totals: 25-16 (%60.97)

NBA 7* Plays and up: 86-52 (%62.31)
NBA 8* Plays and up: 58-32 (%64.44)
NBA 9* Plays and up: 29-14 (%67.44)

Old Post 03-21-10 10:37 AM
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40804


Registered: May 2003
Posts: 291

Nice 4th Qtr for all of us! I felt like that San Diego guy with the runaway Prius with foot on the break watching that score and clock trickle in.

Old Post 03-21-10 10:56 AM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

 NBA 3/21



*8 Thunder @ Pacers Under 206.5
*7 Wizards @ Lakers Under 196.5

Old Post 03-21-10 03:19 PM
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CUBANO
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Registered: Jan 2009
Posts: 10875

A little surprised this morning. Detroit/Cleveland under 200 didnt register...??



EL CUBANO

Old Post 03-21-10 03:55 PM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

 Cubano

Detroit vs Cleveland: No Play

My line is 201.



Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 03-21-10 04:39 PM
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papak


Registered: Mar 2010
Posts: 37

Sawyer, My bookie offers Cleveland Under 202 would you play it?

Old Post 03-21-10 04:43 PM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

 Papak

Nope. I wouldn't play it since my line is 201.

Under probability is %51-52 in my opinion.

Old Post 03-21-10 06:27 PM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

 1-1

*8 Thunder @ Pacers Under 206.5 LOST
*7 Wizards @ Lakers Under 196.5 WINNER

Record

NBA *7 Plays: 29-20
NBA *8 Plays: 29-19
NBA *9 Plays: 16-6
NBA *10+ Plays: 13-8
NCAAB *10 Totals: 25-16



Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 03-22-10 11:12 AM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

 Wow!

Line for Pho vs Gsw game is 244, WTF!

PS: Still can't pull the trigger for Under, LoL!



Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 03-22-10 01:40 PM
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papak


Registered: Mar 2010
Posts: 37

I think this one will go over. Vegas set the total so high because average Joe will pound the under... noooo way this one goes over they think but last time* the total was this high it ended way over (284 combined). Also stats are supporting this bet:

Over is 7-0 in the last 7 meetings in Golden State.
Over is 9-4 in the last 13 meetings.


*GS 130 - PHO 154 O 244

Looking forward to see what your system comes up with.. BOL

Old Post 03-22-10 04:20 PM
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Sawyer
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Jan 2008
Posts: 7093

 NBA 3/22

Spurs @ Thunder Under 195 *7
Rockets @ Bulls Under 207 *7
Raptors @ T'Wolves Under 217½ *7

I may add a few plays later..



Iron Dogs 2010-2011 Regular Season Record: 144-149, x46.58 Units (1 Unit Each Play)
Statfox Denham's Best Bets Thread 2011: 32-14, %70
NCAAB *10 Totals 2009-2010: 25-16, %60.97
NBA Totals 2010: 133-83 ATS, %61.57

Old Post 03-22-10 04:27 PM
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