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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
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Posts: 12022
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Friday Tips
February 1, 2013
The first February NBA card provides bettors with a healthy 12-game card. Among the matchups, the Bulls and Nets hook up in Brooklyn, while the Knicks host the surging Bucks at Madison Square Garden. We'll begin with another key Eastern Conference matchup as two teams with bad blood meet up in a playoff rematch.
Heat at Pacers - 7:05 PM EST
Miami eliminated Indiana in six games of the second round of last season's playoffs, but the Pacers picked up some revenge in the first meeting this season. Indiana silenced Miami's offense in an 87-77 defeat at Bankers Life Fieldhouse as the Pacers cashed in the home underdog role. The Heat heads to the Hoosier State tonight off another impressive victory on Wednesday night.
The defending World Champions beat the Nets for the third time this season, 105-85 as 2 ½-point favorites, the third win over Brooklyn by double-digits. Miami drilled 11 three-pointers in the victory, while bouncing back from Sunday's double-overtime setback at Boston. Erik Spoelstra's team has cashed just three of the last 10 times in the away 'chalk' role, as the Heat has allowed less than 100 points in regulation in seven of the last eight road contests.
The Pacers snapped a three-game skid with a 98-79 dispatching of the Pistons on Wednesday, cashing as 8 ½-point home favorites. Frank Vogel's club has won 12 straight games at Bankers Life Fieldhouse, while giving up 95 points or less in each of those victories (9-2-1 to the 'under'). Indiana plays eight of the next nine games at home, which includes a back-to-back-to-back set starting Monday with a make-up game against Chicago.
Bulls at Nets - 7:35 PM EST
Chicago is quietly moving up the Eastern Conference standings with a successful 12-4 run in January. The Bulls passed the Pacers for the top spot in the Central Division at 28-17, while winning six of the last seven games away from the United Center. Carlos Boozer sat out Wednesday's rout of Milwaukee with a hamstring injury, as six Bulls scored in double-figures in their second victory at the BMO Harris Bradley Center this season.
The Nets have hit the skids recently by dropping three of their last four games, as each defeat has come by at least 13 points. In three losses to the Heat this season, Brooklyn was limited to 89 points or less each time, while allowing at least 100 points for the third time in four contests overall. In spite of the setback to Miami, P.J. Carlisemo's club has won eight of the last nine games at Barclays Center (5-3-1 ATS).
In the last meeting between the Bulls and Nets in Chicago, Tom Thibodeau's team held on for an 83-82 victory in mid-December. Brooklyn cashed as 4 ½-point underdogs, but the Nets shot just 38% from the field in the defeat. The Nets have lost five of the last six matchups with the Bulls dating back to March 2011, as Chicago makes its first visit to the Barclays Center.
Bucks at Knicks - 7:35 PM EST
The top three teams in the Central Division are all surging at the right time, which includes Milwaukee. The Bucks were tripped up the Bulls on Wednesday, but Jim Boylan's club is rolling through an 8-4 stretch since the removal of Scott Skiles as head coach on January 6. Milwaukee travels to the Big Apple tonight looking to avenge a home blowout loss to the Knicks in November.
New York shots lights out in a 102-88 triumph in Milwaukee as 2 ½-point favorites on November 15, as Carmelo Anthony scored a game-high 29 points. The Knicks outscored the Bucks by 21 points in the middle two quarters, while taking their third straight victory against Milwaukee in the series. Mike Woodson's team started the season winning their first 10 home games, but the Knicks are just 6-6 SU and 4-8 ATS the last 12 contests at the Garden.
Milwaukee is the hottest 'over' team at the moment by cashing in six straight games, while allowing at least 102 points five times in this stretch. Except for that 88-point effort against Chicago on Wednesday, the Bucks' offense has passed the 108-point mark five times in the last six, including three times on the road. The Bucks have captured five of the last seven games on the highway, while one of those losses came when Milwaukee squandered a 20-point third quarter lead at Cleveland last Friday.
Blazers at Jazz - 9:05 PM EST
Amazingly, it took until February for these two Northwest Division rivals to meet for the first time this season. Portland and Utah will see each other twice over the next two days, with a matchup at the Rose Garden on Saturday night. The first leg of this home-and-home takes place in Salt Lake City tonight, as the Jazz looks to cover one time on this three-game homestand.
After dropping a 45-point decision to the Rockets on Monday night, the Jazz rallied to top the Hornets, 104-99 on Wednesday, but failed to cash as eight-point favorites. Tyrone Corbin's squad finished January with a strong 10-4 SU record, but stumbled to an 8-6 ATS mark after three straight home ATS defeats. Utah took care of Portland last season by sweeping the four-game series, but three of those wins took place in April when the Blazers were long gone from playoff conversation.
Portland put together is most impressive effort on the season on Tuesday night by rallying from a 22-point deficit to stun Dallas at the buzzer, 106-104. LaMarcus Aldridge tied the game with his first three-pointer of the season, then won the game with a jumper at the horn, but the Mavs cashed as three-point 'dogs. Portland has cashed five of the last seven games away from the Rose Garden, but has lost three consecutive road games straight-up.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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02-01-13 06:58 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12022
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NBA
Short Sheet
Friday, February 1
LA Clippers at Toronto, 7:05 ET
LA Clippers: 29-59 ATS after playing a game as a road favorite
Toronto: 12-4 ATS after failing to cover 2 of their last 3 against the spread
Miami at Indiana, 7:05 ET ESPN
Miami: 31-14 UNDER second half of the season
Indiana: 8-23 ATS after covering 4 or 5 of their last 6 against the spread
Orlando at Boston, 7:35 ET
Orlando: 6-1 ATS after 2 straight losses by 10 points or more
Boston: 9-23 ATS after a blowout win by 15 points or more
Cleveland at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Cleveland: 1-8 ATS after having won 3 of their last 4 games
Detroit: 8-2 ATS after failing to cover the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
Chicago at Brooklyn, 7:35 ET
Chicago: 11-3 ATS after allowing 90 points or less 5 straight games
Brooklyn: 3-11 ATS after a game where they were called for 13 or less fouls
Milwaukee at New York, 7:35 ET
Milwaukee: 7-18 ATS revenging a home loss vs opponent
New York: 17-7 ATS in home games after having won 4 or 5 of their last 6
Sacramento at Philadelphia, 7:35 ET
Sacramento: 7-19 ATS after a game where they failed to cover the spread
Philadelphia: 14-2 OVER as a home favorite of 6 points or less
Washington at Memphis, 8:05 ET
Washington: 11-1 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 12 points
Memphis: 6-16 ATS after a game where they made 35% of their shots or worse
New Orleans at Denver, 9:05 ET
New Orleans: 11-2 ATS as a road underdog of 6.5 to 9 points
Denver: 5-15 ATS off an home win scoring 110 or more points
Dallas at Phoenix, 9:05 ET
Dallas: 15-5 ATS as a road underdog of 3 points or less
Phoenix: 10-27 ATS revenging a road loss vs opponent
Portland at Utah, 9:05 ET
Portland: 6-14 ATS after one or more consecutive overs
Utah: 19-8 ATS in a home game where the total is between 190 and 199.5
LA Lakers at Minnesota, 9:35 ET ESPN
LA Lakers: 1-10 ATS off a upset loss as a favorite
Minnesota: 9-1 UNDER in home games after 3 or more consecutive losses
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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02-01-13 07:10 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12022
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Saturday, February 2
Hot Teams
-- Atlanta won four of last five games (4-0-1 last five HF). Bulls won five of last seven games (8-4 AU).
-- Knicks won six of last eight games (3-7 last 10 HF).
-- Rockets won three of their last four games (7-1 last eight HF).
-- Spurs won their last nine games (9-4-1 last 14 HF).
-- Jazz won seven of last nine games (5-12-1 AU). Portland won its last three home games, last two by total of three points (0-5 last five HF).
-- Warriors won last three games, by 12-3-13 points (9-5 HF, 0-3 last 3).
Cold Teams
-- Sacramento lost six of last seven games (2-5 last seven AU).
-- Cavaliers lost last two games, by 18-13 points (5-9 HU). Oklahoma City lost three of last five on road (3-5 last eight AF).
-- Bobcats lost eight of last nine games (6-3 last nine AU).
-- Minnesota lost its last six games (7-4-1 HF/2-5 HU). Hornets lost five of last six games (1-0 AF/17-7 AU).
-- Orlando hasn't won/covered any of last eight games (0-5 last five AU). Bucks lost last two games, by 16-10 points.
-- Wizards lost last three games, by 1-9-8 points (12-8-1 AU).
-- Suns lost three of last four games (7-10-1 AU).
Totals
-- Four of last five Chicago road games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight New York games stayed under the total.
-- Three of last four Thunder games stayed under the total.
-- Four of last five Charlotte road games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight New Orleans games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Milwaukee games went over the total.
-- Three of Spurs' last four games went over the total.
-- Four of last six Utah games stayed under the total.
-- Six of last eight Golden State games went over total.
Back-to-backs
-- Bulls are 2-3 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Sacramento is 1-5 vs spread on road if it played night before. Knicks are 3-6 if they played night before.
-- Cleveland is 0-3 vs spread at home if it played night before.
-- Minnesota is 5-6 against the spread if they played the night before. Hornets are 4-6.
-- Bucks are 1-6 vs spread at home if they played night before. Orlando is 3-2 vs spread on road if it played night before.
-- Wizards are 6-1 vs spread on road if they played night before.
-- Utah is 3-5 vs spread on road if it played night before. Trailblazers are 5-6 if they played night before, 1-1 at home.
-- Phoenix is 4-7 vs spread if it played night before.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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02-02-13 03:33 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12022
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NBA
Long Sheet
Wednesday, February 6
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LA CLIPPERS (34 - 16) at ORLANDO (14 - 34) - 2/6/2013, 7:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
ORLANDO is 3-1 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
ORLANDO is 3-1 straight up against LA CLIPPERS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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INDIANA (29 - 19) at PHILADELPHIA (21 - 26) - 2/6/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
PHILADELPHIA is 76-52 ATS (+18.8 Units) after playing 3 consecutive home games since 1996.
PHILADELPHIA is 25-40 ATS (-19.0 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
INDIANA is 5-4 against the spread versus PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
INDIANA is 5-4 straight up against PHILADELPHIA over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NEW YORK (31 - 15) at WASHINGTON (12 - 35) - 2/6/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 29-17 ATS (+10.3 Units) in all games this season.
WASHINGTON is 27-14 ATS (+11.6 Units) as an underdog this season.
WASHINGTON is 14-5 ATS (+8.5 Units) after a non-conference game this season.
WASHINGTON is 15-7 ATS (+7.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
NEW YORK is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 32-17 ATS (+13.3 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
NEW YORK is 12-2 ATS (+9.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 293-357 ATS (-99.7 Units) in home games since 1996.
WASHINGTON is 13-28 ATS (-17.8 Units) against Atlantic division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW YORK is 6-1 against the spread versus WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 7-0 straight up against WASHINGTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BOSTON (24 - 23) at TORONTO (17 - 31) - 2/6/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
TORONTO is 46-31 ATS (+11.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 5-3 against the spread versus TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
BOSTON is 6-3 straight up against TORONTO over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHARLOTTE (11 - 36) at CLEVELAND (14 - 34) - 2/6/2013, 7:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
CHARLOTTE is 17-29 ATS (-14.9 Units) in all games this season.
CHARLOTTE is 38-64 ATS (-32.4 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-29 ATS (-15.9 Units) second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-30 ATS (-19.0 Units) revenging a home loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 14-24 ATS (-12.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
CHARLOTTE is 21-43 ATS (-26.3 Units) after 3 or more consecutive losses over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 16-28 ATS (-14.8 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
CHARLOTTE is 5-20 ATS (-17.0 Units) versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 7-19 ATS (-13.9 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 19-33 ATS (-17.3 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 24-39 ATS (-18.9 Units) after a non-conference game over the last 3 seasons.
CLEVELAND is 0-7 ATS (-7.7 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 99+ points/game this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
CLEVELAND is 6-1 against the spread versus CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
CLEVELAND is 5-2 straight up against CHARLOTTE over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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BROOKLYN (28 - 19) at DETROIT (18 - 31) - 2/6/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
BROOKLYN is 29-47 ATS (-22.7 Units) second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
BROOKLYN is 15-28 ATS (-15.8 Units) against Central division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
DETROIT is 13-4 ATS (+8.6 Units) in February games over the last 2 seasons.
DETROIT is 10-19 ATS (-10.9 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 6-2 against the spread versus BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-4 straight up against BROOKLYN over the last 3 seasons
6 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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HOUSTON (26 - 23) at MIAMI (31 - 14) - 2/6/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
HOUSTON is 16-6 ATS (+9.4 Units) in non-conference games this season.
Head-to-Head Series History
MIAMI is 2-2 against the spread versus HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
MIAMI is 4-0 straight up against HOUSTON over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MEMPHIS (30 - 16) at ATLANTA (26 - 20) - 2/6/2013, 7:35 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MEMPHIS is 27-17 ATS (+8.3 Units) in all games this season.
MEMPHIS is 49-33 ATS (+12.7 Units) as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
MEMPHIS is 13-5 ATS (+7.5 Units) in non-conference games this season.
MEMPHIS is 56-36 ATS (+16.4 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 3 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 2-2 against the spread versus MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 3-1 straight up against MEMPHIS over the last 3 seasons
2 of 4 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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GOLDEN STATE (30 - 17) at OKLAHOMA CITY (36 - 12) - 2/6/2013, 8:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-18 ATS (+8.2 Units) in all games this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 28-17 ATS (+9.3 Units) as a favorite this season.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 24-13 ATS (+9.7 Units) revenging a loss vs opponent over the last 2 seasons.
OKLAHOMA CITY is 15-6 ATS (+8.4 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.
GOLDEN STATE is 63-49 ATS (+9.1 Units) in all games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 45-32 ATS (+9.8 Units) as an underdog over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 36-21 ATS (+12.9 Units) in road games over the last 2 seasons.
GOLDEN STATE is 18-8 ATS (+9.2 Units) in road games second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
OKLAHOMA CITY is 4-4 against the spread versus GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
OKLAHOMA CITY is 6-2 straight up against GOLDEN STATE over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PHOENIX (16 - 32) at NEW ORLEANS (15 - 33) - 2/6/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
NEW ORLEANS is 4-4 against the spread versus PHOENIX over the last 3 seasons
PHOENIX is 5-4 straight up against NEW ORLEANS over the last 3 seasons
5 of 9 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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PORTLAND (25 - 23) at DALLAS (20 - 28) - 2/6/2013, 8:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DALLAS is 9-6 against the spread versus PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
DALLAS is 9-6 straight up against PORTLAND over the last 3 seasons
10 of 15 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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SAN ANTONIO (38 - 11) at MINNESOTA (18 - 27) - 2/6/2013, 9:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 5-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 6-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
5 of 8 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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MILWAUKEE (25 - 21) at UTAH (27 - 22) - 2/6/2013, 9:05 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MILWAUKEE is 278-334 ATS (-89.4 Units) second half of the season since 1996.
MILWAUKEE is 4-15 ATS (-12.5 Units) against Northwest division opponents over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 22-41 ATS (-23.1 Units) in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 20-32 ATS (-15.2 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
MILWAUKEE is 1-11 ATS (-11.1 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
UTAH is 12-3 ATS (+8.7 Units) in home games in non-conference games over the last 2 seasons.
Head-to-Head Series History
UTAH is 3-0 against the spread versus MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
UTAH is 3-0 straight up against MILWAUKEE over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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02-06-13 08:13 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12022
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NBA
Short Sheet
Wednesday, February 6
LA Clippers at Orlando, 7:05 ET
LA Clippers: 11-23 ATS in road games off a road loss
Orlando: 26-13 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days
Indiana at Philadelphia, 7:05 ET
Indiana: 0-9 ATS after a game giving up 5 or less offensive rebounds
Philadelphia: 12-2 ATS in home games after playing 2 games as a home favorite
New York at Washington, 7:05 ET
New York: 15-7 ATS after 1 or more consecutive unders
Washington: 13-28 ATS against Atlantic division opponents
Boston at Toronto, 7:05 ET
Boston: 51-34 UNDER second half of the season
Toronto: 11-3 ATS in home games after playing 2 games as an underdog
Charlotte at Cleveland, 7:05 ET
Charlotte: 4-12 ATS off a road loss
Cleveland: 90-64 ATS in home games after 2 or more consecutive overs
Brooklyn at Detroit, 7:35 ET
Brooklyn: 8-19 ATS after 2 straight games with 19 or less assists
Detroit: 13-4 ATS in February games
Houston at Miami, 7:35 ET
Houston: 12-4 ATS after a win by 10 points or more
Miami: 6-14 ATS after having won 6 or 7 of their last 8
Memphis at Atlanta, 7:35 ET
Memphis: 27-18 ATS in all games
Atlanta: 20-7 OVER at home after a game where they were called for 30 or more fouls
Golden State at Oklahoma City, 8:05 ET
Golden State: 26-54 ATS away after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game
Oklahoma City: 12-4 ATS at home after playing 5 consecutive games as favorite
Phoenix at New Orleans, 8:05 ET
Phoenix: 3-11 ATS when playing 8 or more games in 14 days
New Orleans: 13-4 ATS off a road loss by 10 points or more
Portland at Dallas, 8:35 ET
Portland: 2-16 ATS after successfully covering the spread in 2 or more consecutive games
Dallas: 15-5 ATS after a blowout loss by 15 points or more
San Antonio at Minnesota, 9:05 ET ESPN
San Antonio: 20-9 ATS after 6 or more consecutive wins
Minnesota: 5-16 ATS after a close loss by 3 points or less
Milwaukee at Utah, 9:05 ET
Milwaukee: 4-16 ATS against Northwest division opponents
Utah: 12-3 ATS in home games in non-conference games
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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02-06-13 08:22 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12022
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Wednesday Tips
February 6, 2013
Wednesday's NBA card is one of the largest of the season with 13 games on tap. The Thunder and Warriors meet up for the third time this season with their series tied at one apiece, while the Bucks travel to Salt Lake City with no rest to battle the Jazz. We'll begin with the Heat playing their second game back from a long road trip against a run-and-gun Houston squad.
Rockets at Heat - 7:35 PM EST
The last time these two teams met up in Houston, the Heat outlasted the Rockets, 113-110 as 5 ½-point favorites in mid-November. Miami squandered a 17-point lead, but managed the victory as LeBron James torched Houston for 38 points and 10 rebounds, while the Heat shot 50% from the floor. The Rockets head to South Florida with no rest following Tuesday's home blowout of the Warriors.
Houston has won three of its last four games away from the Toyota Center, including double-digit victories at New Orleans and Utah as underdogs. However, the Rockets lost their most recent road contest at Denver last Wednesday, 118-110, the only non-cover in the last five games. Kevin McHale's club owns a solid 16-6 ATS record against the Eastern Conference, however, the Rockets have failed to cash in their last four road games versus Eastern foes.
The Heat have covered five straight off an ATS loss, as Miami is coming off a win as a 14-point favorite over Charlotte on Monday, 99-94. Miami hopes to avoid a letdown with both Los Angeles clubs coming into the American Airlines Arena this weekend (Clippers-Friday, Lakers-Sunday). Erik Spoelstra's club has put together a 2-4 ATS record the last six home games, as three of those losses came as double-digit favorites.
Grizzlies at Hawks - 7:35 PM EST
Both these clubs are coming off losses last night, as Memphis makes the short trip to Atlanta. The Hawks have dropped four of the previous five games, including Tuesday's 114-103 defeat at Indiana as six-point underdogs. The Grizzlies were tripped up by the Suns, 96-90, as Phoenix cashed in the road 'dog role.
Atlanta took care of Memphis in the first matchup back in December, 93-83 to cash outright as seven-point underdogs. The Hawks overcame a six-point halftime deficit by outscoring the Grizzlies, 32-13 in the third quarter, as Josh Smith led the way with 24 points. The road team has now won four of the last five meetings in the series, as the Grizzlies blew out the Hawks at Philips Arena last February.
Memphis has cashed seven of 10 times with no rest this season, including a 5-1 ATS record on the highway in this situation. The defense has let down the Grizzlies recently on the road, allowing at least 100 points in four of the last five away contests. The Hawks have hit the 'over' in six of eight home games against Western Conference competition.
Warriors at Thunder - 8:05 PM EST
Golden State hits the court in Oklahoma City tonight after suffering a 31-point thumping at Houston on Tuesday. The Warriors trailed by just one after the first quarter, but Mark Jackson's club was outscored, 102-72 over the final three quarters, while allowing the Rockets to knock down 23 three-pointers. The loss snapped a four-game winning streak for the Warriors, who continue a tough road trip against a Thunder team that has alternated wins and losses in the last nine games.
OKC blew out Dallas on Monday night, 112-91, while cashing for the first time in three tries against the Mavs this season. Scott Brooks' team played just five home games in January, winning four times, including three victories against Western Conference foes Dallas, Denver, and Memphis. The Thunder fell to the Warriors in Oakland last month, 104-99 as 1 ½-point favorites, as Golden State outscored OKC, 52-42 in the second half.
The Warriors have cashed the 'over' in 10 of 12 games with no rest, while hitting the 'over' in eight of the last 10 contests overall. In fact, Golden State nailed the 'over' in eight of the last previous nine games away from Oracle Arena, as the only 'under' occurred in San Antonio with Stephen Curry out of the lineup. Golden State has lost seven straight visits to Chesapeake Energy Arena dating back to 2008, as the Thunder scored at least 100 points in each matchup.
Bucks at Jazz - 9:05 PM EST
Milwaukee suffered one of the worst ATS setbacks of the season last night, as the Bucks blew a 17-point lead in a 112-104 defeat at Denver. Here's the kicker - the Nuggets closed as seven-point favorites and never covered the spread until the final minute of regulation, much to the dismay of Bucks' bettors. The Bucks look to turn things around tonight with the short trip to Salt Lake City, facing a Jazz club that has won 10 of their last 14 games.
Utah is rolling at home with nine victories in its previous 10 contests at EnergySolutions Arena, including a 98-91 overtime triumph over Sacramento on Monday. The Jazz failed to cash as 8 ½-point favorites, the third ATS loss in the last four home games. Tyrone Corbin's team has won all six home games against Eastern Conference foes, while covering four times.
Since Jim Boylan took over as interim coach of the Bucks on January 6, Milwaukee is riding a crazy 11-4 run to the 'over.' Six of those nine 'overs' have come away from the BMO Harris Bradley Center, while scoring at least 100 points in four of the last five road games. The Bucks have struggled on the second end of a back-to-back this season, cashing in just four of 12 opportunities.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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02-06-13 08:27 PM |
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CNOTES
FoxDen Hall of Famer
Registered: Feb 2006
Posts: 12022
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NBA
Dunkel
First Post
Chicago at Denver
The Nuggets look to build on their 8-0 ATS record in their last 8 home games against teams with a winning road record. Denver is the pick according to Dunkel, which has the Nuggets favored by 9. Dunkel Pick: Denver. Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, FEBRUARY 7
Game 501-502: LA Lakers at Boston (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Lakers 119.725; Boston 121.832
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 503-504: Chicago at Denver (10:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 118.894; Denver 127.832
Dunkel Line & Total: Denver by 9; 205
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
NBA
Long Sheet
Thursday, February 7
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LA LAKERS (23 - 26) at BOSTON (25 - 23) - 2/7/2013, 8:05 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
BOSTON is 2-2 against the spread versus LA LAKERS over the last 3 seasons
LA LAKERS is 3-1 straight up against BOSTON over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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CHICAGO (29 - 19) at DENVER (31 - 18) - 2/7/2013, 10:35 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.
Head-to-Head Series History
DENVER is 2-1 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
DENVER is 2-1 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
2 of 3 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
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NBA
Armadillo's Write-Up
Thursday, February 7
Hot Teams
-- Boston won last three games, three by 4 or less points. Lakers won six of their last seven games, but now Gasol is hurt.
-- Denver won its last seven games (6-2 last eight HF). Bulls won six of last nine games (5-1 last six AU).
Cold Teams
-- None.
Totals
-- Five of last seven Laker games stayed under the total.
-- Last five Denver games went over the total.
Back-to-backs
-- Celtics are 4-5-2 if they played night before, but 2-0 at home.
NBA
Thursday, February 7
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Trend Report
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8:00 PM
LA LAKERS vs. BOSTON
The total has gone UNDER in 7 of the LA Lakers last 9 games when playing Boston
LA Lakers are 5-1 SU in their last 6 games when playing Boston
Boston is 2-5 SU in their last 7 games when playing at home against LA Lakers
Boston is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
10:30 PM
CHICAGO vs. DENVER
The total has gone OVER in 6 of Chicago's last 8 games on the road
Chicago is 12-5 SU in its last 17 games on the road
The total has gone OVER in 7 of Denver's last 10 games when playing at home against Chicago
Denver is 5-0 SU in its last 5 games
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NBA
Thursday, February 7
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NBA TNT doubleheader: Lakers at Celtics, Bulls at Nuggets
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Los Angeles Lakers at Boston Celtics (-2, 194)
Just as things were starting to fall into place for the Los Angeles Lakers, another major injury cropped up that could severely impair the team's chances of snagging a playoff slot. Forward Pau Gasol is the latest casualty for the Lakers, suffering a torn plantar fascia in his right foot during Tuesday's win over the Brooklyn Nets. Gasol was headed back to Los Angeles to be examined by a specialist, but he is expected to miss at least four weeks. Meanwhile, the Lakers will put their three-game winning streak on the line when they visit the Boston Celtics on Thursday.
Boston suffered what appeared to be a debilitating injury when All-Star point guard Rajon Rondo was lost to a season-ending knee injury. Rather than fold, the Celtics have played their best ball of the season, running their winning streak to five games since Rondo was hurt. Kevin Garnett scored a season-high 27 points in Wednesday's victory over the Toronto Raptors - the only road win during the current streak. All five starters scored in double figures for the fourth straight game for the Celtics.
TV: 8 p.m. ET, TNT
ABOUT THE LAKERS (23-26, 20-28-1 ATS): Gasol was largely responsible for helping Los Angeles snap an eight-game road losing streak, averaging 20 points during the current three-game run. He was starting in place of Dwight Howard, who has sat out the last three games after aggravating the torn labrum in his right shoulder in a loss at Phoenix on Jan. 30. Howard is listed as day-to-day, but Lakers superstar Kobe Bryant let it be known that the day should come soon. "You have to play through where you have to manage the pain," Bryant said. "When you go through those things you learn your body and what you can push through."
ABOUT THE CELTICS (25-23, 19-26-3 ATS): Boston's bench had produced an average of nearly 50 points in the three games prior to the matchup with Toronto. On Wednesday, former Raptor Leandro Barbosa did most of the damage, scoring 12 of his 14 points in the fourth quarter to spark the game-winning rally. It was the third straight game in double figures for Barbosa, who has shot at least 50 percent in each game since Rondo went down. Coach Doc Rivers earned his 400th win with the Celtics, putting him third on the franchise's all-time list behind Red Auerbach (910) and Tom Heinsohn (427).
TRENDS:
* Under is 5-0-1 in the last six meetings in Boston.
* Under is 6-2-1 in the last nine meetings.
* Lakers are 7-15-1 ATS in the last 23 meetings.
* Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings.
BUZZER BEATERS:
1. Los Angeles has won three straight against Boston, including both meetings last season by a combined four points.
2. Paul Pierce, who has four double-doubles in his last five games, is averaging 24.7 points in 24 games against the Lakers.
3. Howard averaged 16.4 points and 12.7 boards in 27 games against Boston while he was with the Orlando Magic.
Chicago Bulls at Denver Nuggets (-6.5, 197.5)
The Denver Nuggets attempt to extend their season-best winning streak to eight games when they visit the Chicago Bulls on Thursday. Denver has won 14 of 17 games and is now among the top five teams in the Western Conference standings, thanks to strong play during a home-heavy stretch. The Nuggets wrap up a six-game homestand against Chicago, which has won six of nine games. The Bulls hope to have center Joakim Noah (foot) back after a three-game absence.
Chicago is a solid 14-8 on the road despite losing at Indiana on Monday. The Bulls are 2-2 during a stretch in which eight of nine games are on the road. Chicago will be without guard Kirk Hinrich (elbow) for the fourth straight game. Denver rallied to beat the Milwaukee Bucks on Tuesday and scored 29 points off 17 turnovers. “When we create any type of offense with our defense, we score,” coach George Karl told reporters. “Everybody wants to make a great offensive play, but I think it’s actually more thrilling and exciting to a team to make a great defensive play.”
TV: 10:30 p.m. ET, TNT, WGN (Chicago), Altitude (Denver)
ABOUT THE BULLS (29-19, 20-28 ATS): Guard Marco Belinelli is a game-time decision after turning an ankle during Monday’s game against the Pacers. Belinelli suffered the injury in the first half and then returned to score 17 in the second half en route to a season-high 24 points. With point guards Derrick Rose (knee) and Hinrich sidelined, veteran Nate Robinson has played 40-plus minutes in three consecutive games while being highly productive. Robinson is averaging 18.7 points over the last seven games. Forward Carlos Boozer (hamstring) had 10 points against Indiana after missing the previous three contests.
ABOUT THE NUGGETS (31-18, 29-20 ATS): Denver has topped 100 points in eight consecutive contests and will find it challenging to keep the streak going against the Bulls, who rate third in the NBA by allowing just 91 points per game. Controlling the pace will be crucial for the Nuggets. “We’ve got to move the ball and we’ve got to run,” said swingman Corey Brewer, who tallied 20 points against Milwaukee. “It’s all about running, especially when you play a team like the Bulls, who play really good five-on-defense. You want to get the pace going.” Forward Kenneth Faried had 13 points and 10 rebounds against Milwaukee for his 20th double-double of the campaign.
TRENDS:
* Under is 4-1 in the last five meetings.
* Home team is 6-2-1 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Over is 7-3 in the last 10 meetings in Denver.
* Bulls are 5-11-1 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
* Bulls are 1-4 ATS in the last five meetings in Denver.
* Underdog is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
BUZZER BEATERS:
1. Denver has won five straight games against Chicago at the Pepsi Center and 11 of the past 12.
2. Bulls C Taj Gibson is averaging 14.8 points and 12 rebounds while starting the last four games.
3. The Nuggets are 19-3 when allowing fewer than 100 points.
Believe in the 3 G's
GIRLS, GOLF,GAMBLING not in any particular order.
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02-07-13 09:28 PM |
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