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highrize
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 2326

Vegas Fix Numbers

I have been thinking about vegas fixing games and things like that and was just throwing some numbers around

IF vegas gets a 50/50 split on wagers, of say $1million on each game

16 games = $16 million wagered

Now the winners would get $8 million and the losers would pay out $8.8 million assuming a -110 line so Vegas is up $800,00

Now we all know that does not always happen and some games have 70% of wagers on 1 team. Let's say that in those situations 50% of the time the public wins(they actually win less) so with the same $16 million it would be:

Team A wins 8 games with 70% of wagers
700,000 x 8 = $5.6 mill
330,000 x 8 = $2.6 mill
Vegas loses $3 mill

Team B wins 8 games 30% of wagers
300,000 x 8 = $2.4 mill
770,00 x 8 = $6.1 mill
Vegas wins $3.7 mill

They win either way right?? Now include lines of -115 and -120 and they are pulling in even more cash. Also on games where over 70% of wagers are on 1 side they make even more dough. So my question is why would they fix games if they are guaranteed to make a profit?? Why be greedy and have a chance to lose it all. You must also include all the money they make in the casinos as well. Also I took into account the public actually winning 50% of the time but i think it's some where around 48%




Good Luck Everybody

Old Post 12-28-06 01:33 PM
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booya
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Registered: Sep 2005
Posts: 822

Nice write up Bro.

Old Post 12-28-06 06:43 PM
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AkiraWulf
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2398

Exactly! Way to articulate why Vegas doesn't need to fix games.

Old Post 12-28-06 06:48 PM
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undersNdogs
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Registered: Dec 2006
Posts: 1046

vegas doesnt fix games, as you point out...they dont need to

Old Post 12-28-06 07:45 PM
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realchosen1


Registered: Oct 2006
Posts: 159

vegas

Vegas doesnt fix the games...
it is players throwing them or officals.
Vegas makes there money.
It is the people on the outside doing it.
If you think that it doesnt happen you are wrong. I used to know a guy and was on the right side and if you knew that watching the game you could tell it was fixed.
Other than that you would never know...
Think about this who ever questions the officals?
I bet if there was a way to track it there would be certain crews that always cover the number.

Old Post 12-28-06 07:53 PM
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AkiraWulf
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Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 2398

"Who ever questions the officials?"

Seahawks' fans.

Old Post 12-28-06 08:12 PM
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BWELL316
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Registered: Dec 2004
Posts: 2064

I have to ask this, but has anyone else here lately noticed the lack of replay when a potentially horrific call happens? Like last night when Carr pulled down the UCLA Corner. You never actually saw anything but Carr catching the ball. You see that alot during NFL games too, I remember the Pats/Colts game this year when a receiver was pushed out of bounds with 2:30 left in the first half and the clock never stopped. No mention of it, though. Pay close attention to the games you watch and some of the odd things that happen. It makes you wonder sometimes....




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Old Post 12-28-06 08:24 PM
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amich1
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Registered: Sep 2006
Posts: 1547

there was a similar out of bounds play in the jets game mon night.

Old Post 12-28-06 08:27 PM
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cd329


Registered: Nov 2006
Posts: 290

Bwell,
I have noticed that also. It seems like they dont want to show the replays at all and want to just forgot about it. Like it never happened.
Its been happening in the pros and colleges, pretty weird.

Old Post 12-28-06 08:53 PM
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highrize
FoxDen Hall of Famer

Registered: Oct 2005
Posts: 2326

yes i agree

I was just trying to show u that Vegas doesn't have to fix games. That doesn't mean that games are not fixed. Sometimes the league steps in to make sure they get what they want. I'm sure the "MOB" or organized crime must have some sort of influence in the sports forum.

A couple of weeks ago I had the under in the first half with DAL/NO game and all of a sudden crazy things started happening with the clock and some really weird calls that I have never seen before happened. But is that not part of sports?? You have to remember the refs are people too. How many times have u seen an athlete screw up?? It happens to refs as well.




Good Luck Everybody

Old Post 12-28-06 09:10 PM
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