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msudogs
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MLB Lagniappe 5/25

San Francisco (26-26) @ NY Mets (21-29)
— Hicks is 2-0, 3.60 in his last three starts.
— San Francisco is 2-5 in his last seven starts.
— under 6-3 last nine starts
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-2
— He is 0-1, 3.38 in 9 games (2 starts) vs New York.

— San Francisco won seven of last eight games.
— Giants are 11-16 on road.
— over 9-2 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 12-52
— record in first 5 innings: 20-26-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 6.2-6.1-4

— Severino is 4.38 in his last four starts.
— Mets are 1-4 in his last five starts.
— under 3-2 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs San Francisco.

— New York is 9-21 in its last 30 games.
— Mets are 10-15 at home.
— over 7-2 last nine games
— scored run in first inning: 16-50
— record in first 5 innings: 18-22-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-x-3

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Atlanta (29-19) @ Pittsburgh (24-28)
— Lopez is 2-1, 1.74 in eight starts.
— Braves are 5-3 in his starts.
— under 6-2
— allowed run in first inning: 0-8
— record in first 5 innings: 5-1-2
— He is 1-1, 4.86 in 5 games (2 starts) vs Pittsburgh.

— Braves lost six of their last nine games.
— They’re 5-8 in last 13 road games.
— under 23-5 last 28 games
— scored run in first inning: 13-48
— record in first 5 innings: 27-15-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: x-4.2-4

— Keller is 3-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
— Pirates are 6-4 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-5
— He is 0-3, 9.97 in five starts vs Atlanta.

— Pirates are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— They’re 11-14 at home.
— over 12-4 last sixteen games
— scored run in first inning: 12-52
— record in first 5 innings: 22-22-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-1.2

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Los Angeles (33-20) @ Cincinnati (21-30)
— Buehler is 1-1, 4.05 in three starts.
— Dodgers are 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-3
— record in first 5 innings: 2-1
— He is 2-3, 2.76 in seven starts vs Cincinnati.

— Dodgers are 4-5 in their last nine games.
— Dodgers are 5-6 in their last 11 road games.
— under 8-4 last 12 road games.
— scored run in first inning: 20-53
— record in first 5 innings: 29-21-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3.1

— Greene is 2-0, 2.03 in his last five starts.
— Reds are 2-8 in his starts.
— under 5-2 last seven
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He is 0-2, 5.40 in three starts vs Los Angeles.

— Reds lost 20 of last 27 games.
— They’re 11-15 at home.
— over 4-1 last five home games
— scored run in first inning: 13-51
— record in first 5 innings: 17-24-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-4-3.2

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Cubs (27-24) @ St Louis (23-26)
— Taillon is 3-0, 1.52 in four starts.
— Chicago is 4-0 in his starts.
— under 2-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-4
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1
— He is 5-1, 3.28 in 12 starts vs St Louis.

— Cubs are 4-8 in their last 12 games.
— They’re 12-13 on road.
— under 13-6 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 12-51
— record in first 5 innings: 19-21-11
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-5-x

— Mikolas is 1-1, 6.00 in his last three starts.
— St Louis is 1-3 in his home starts.
— under 7-3
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 1-8-1
— He is 5-4, 2.58 in 17 starts vs Chicago.

— Cardinals won eight of last ten games.
— They’re 11-12 at home.
— over 12-2 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-49
— record in first 5 innings: 14-27-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-x-x

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Philadelphia (37-15) @ Colorado (17-33)
— Nola is 4-1, 3.02 in his last six starts.
— Phillies are 8-2 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-1-3
— He is 4-2, 3.36 in ten starts vs Colorado.

— Phillies are 22-5 in their last 27 games.
— Phillies are 15-7 on road.
— over 7-3 last ten road games
— scored run in first inning: 19-52
— record in first 5 innings: 36-13-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.1-2-5

— Hudson is 1-3, 5.49 in his last four starts.
— Colorado is 2-7 in his starts.
— under 7-2
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 1-7-1
— He is 1-2, 3.58 in five starts vs Philadelphia.

— Rockies lost five of last seven games.
— They’re 10-12 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 16-50
— record in first 5 innings: 17-24-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-4.2-4.1

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Miami (18-34) @ Arizona (24-27)
— Sanchez is 0-1, 7.92 in five starts.
— Miami is 2-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 3-5
— record in first 5 innings: 1-3-1
— He hasn’t pitched against Arizona.

— Marlins won seven of their last nine games.
— Miami is 8-15 on road.
— over 17-8 last 25 games.
— scored run in first inning: 12-52
— record in first 5 innings: 19-27-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-x-x

— Montgomery is 1-0, 4.42 in his last three starts.
— Arizona is 4-2 in his starts.
— over 3-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-6
— record in first 5 innings: 4-1-1
— He is 1-0, 2.12 in three starts vs Miami.

— Arizona won three of last five games.
— Diamondbacks are 12-14 at home.
— over 8-4 last dozen games
— scored run in first inning: 16-51
— record in first 5 innings: 22-19-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-2

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Toronto (23-27) @ Detroit (24-27)
— Berrios is 1-1, 7.02 in his last three starts.
— Toronto is 7-3 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 3-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
— He is 7-2, 4.48 in 13 starts vs Detroit.

— Toronto won four its last six games.
— Blue Jays are 11-15 on road.
— over 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 10-50
— record in first 5 innings: 22-21-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3-3.1

— Olson is 0-2, 1.57 in his last five starts.
— Detroit lost his last eight starts.
— under 6-3
— allowed run in first inning: 0-9
— record in first 5 innings: 1-5-2
— This is his first start vs Toronto.

— Detroit lost seven of its last ten games.
— Tigers are 11-14 at home.
— over 14-5 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 14-51
— record in first 5 innings: 20-22-9
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-2.2-4

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Kansas City (33-19) @ Tampa Bay (25-27)
— Singer is 2-1, 2.37 in his last five starts.
— Kansas City is 7-3 in his starts.
— over 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He is 1-1, 5.16 in four starts vs Tampa Bay.

— Royals are 13-4 in their last 17 games.
— Royals are 12-11 on road.
— over 5-0 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 18-52
— record in first 5 innings: 29-16-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-2

— Civale is 0-2, 8.75 in his last five starts.
— Rays are 1-5 in his last six starts.
— under 3-0 last three
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-6-1
— He is 4-1, 3.15 in nine starts vs Kansas City.

— Tampa Bay lost its last five games.
— Rays are 14-16 at home.
— under 7-4 last 11 games
— scored run in first inning: 15-52
— record in first 5 innings: 19-26-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 5-x-4

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Baltimore (31-18) @ White Sox (15-37)
— Suarez is 1-0, 2.35 in three starts.
— His last start was April 28
— Baltimore is 2-1 in his starts.
— under 2-1
— allowed run in first inning: 0-3
— record in first 5 innings: 3-0
— He hasn’t pitched against Chicago.

— Baltimore lost three of last five games.
— Orioles are 14-8 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 10-49
— record in first 5 innings: 27-17-5
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 8-4-3

— Fedde is 2-1, 2.37 in his last three starts.
— White Sox are 4-1 in his last five starts.
— under 5-0 home starts
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 6-3-1
— He is 2-0, 0.52 in two starts vs Baltimore.

— White Sox are 1-7 in their last eight games.
— Chicago is 10-16 at home.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 9-52
— record in first 5 innings: 20-25-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4.1-4.1

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Texas (24-28) @ Minnesota (27-23)
— Lorenzen is 0-1, 1.35 in his last two starts.
— Texas is 2-5 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-7
— record in first 5 innings: 3-2-2
— He is 1-0, 2.45 in 4 games (1 start) vs Minnesota

— Rangers are 3-12 in their last 15 games.
— They’re 12-15 on road.
— under 8-3 last eleven games
— scored run in first inning: 17-52
— record in first 5 innings: 19-23-10
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4.2-4.2-4

— Paddack is 4-1, 2.97 in his last six starts.
— Minnesota is 6-3 in his starts.
— under 3-1 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4
— He is 0-0, 3.60 in two starts vs Texas.

— Twins lost seven of last ten games.
— They’re 12-11 at home
— under 8-3 last eleven games.
— scored run in first inning: 13-50
— record in first 5 innings: 23-23-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2-3.1-4

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Cleveland (34-17) @ LA Angels (20-31)
— Bibee is 0-0, 2.76 in his last three starts.
— Guardians are 9-1 in his starts.
— under 4-1 last five
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He is 0-2, 4.12 in three starts against the Angels.

— Cleveland won 10 of last 11 games.
— Guardians are 16-11 on road.
— under 9-5 last 14 games
— scored run in first inning: 11-51
— record in first 5 innings: 24-20-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-x-3.1

— Soriano is 2-0, 1.90 in his last four starts.
— Angels are 3-1 in his last four starts.
— under 4-4
— allowed run in first inning: 3-8
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-1
— He is 2-0, 0.00 in two games (1 start) vs Cleveland.

— Angels are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— They’re 6-17 at home.
— over 10-3 last 13 home games
— scored run in first inning: 14-51
— record in first 5 innings: 20-28-3
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-x-5.1

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Houston (23-28) @ Oakland (21-32)
— Arrighetti is 3-1, 5.23 in his last four starts.
— Houston is 3-4 in his starts.
— over 4-0 last four
— allowed run in first inning: 2-7
— record in first 5 innings: 1-6
— He gave up 2 runs in 5 IP, in his one start vs Oakland.

— Houston won 9 of its last 12 games.
— Astros are 9-13 on road.
— over 6-1 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 18-51
— record in first 5 innings: 23-24-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-x-3

— Sears is 2-1, 3.80 in his last four starts.
— Oakland is 4-6 in his starts.
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 4-5-1
— He is 1-1, 4.21 in four starts vs Houston.

— A’s lost 10 of last 12 games.
— Oakland is 12-15 at home.
— over 14-5 last 19 games
— scored run in first inning: 9-53
— record in first 5 innings: 17-35-1
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 9-4-5.1

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Seattle (27-24) @ Washington (22-27)
— Gilbert is 0-2, 7.56 in his last three starts.
— Seattle is 4-2 in his road starts
— under 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 2-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-3-2
— He gave up 4 runs in 6 IP, in his one start vs Washington.

— Seattle is 3-5 in its last eight games.
— Mariners are 12-15 on the road.
— over 12-4 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 11-52
— record in first 5 innings: 22-24-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3-3-2

— Williams is 2-0, 2.37 in his last six starts.
— Washington is 6-3 in his starts.
— under 5-4
— allowed run in first inning: 1-9
— record in first 5 innings: 6-2-1
— He gave up 3 runs in 4 IP, in his one start vs Seattle.

— Nationals are 3-9 in their last 12 games.
— They’re 9-12 at home.
— over 3-2 last five games
— scored run in first inning: 7-49
— record in first 5 innings: 20-25-4
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.2-x-2

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Milwaukee (29-21) @ Boston (26-25)
— Rea is 0-2, 7.36 in his last three starts.
— Milwaukee is 6-3 in his starts.
— over 6-2 last eight
— allowed run in first inning: 4-9
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-2
— He hasn’t pitched against Boston.

— Brewers are 4-8 in their last 12 road games.
— They’re 17-12 overall on road.
— over 10-6 last 16 games
— scored run in first inning: 16-50
— record in first 5 innings: 26-18-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 1-x-3.1

— Pivetta is 1-1, 4.60 in his last three starts.
— Boston is 3-2 in his starts.
— under 4-1
— allowed run in first inning: 2-5
— record in first 5 innings: 3-1-1
— He is 1-2, 9.19 in three starts vs Milwaukee.

— Red Sox won four of last five games.
— They’re 10-14 at home.
— over 5-3 last eight games
— scored run in first inning: 17-51
— record in first 5 innings: 27-17-7
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 3.2-3-4.2

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Bronx (36-17) @ San Diego (27-26)
— Stroman is 1-0, 0.68 in his last two starts.
— New York is 4-0 in his road starts.
— under 3-1 last four starts
— allowed run in first inning: 1-10
— record in first 5 innings: 3-4-3
— He is 4-0, 1.76 in five starts vs San Diego.

— New York is 18-5 in its last 23 games.
— They’re 18-9 on road.
— over 5-1 last six games
— scored run in first inning: 20-53
— record in first 5 innings: 30-15-8
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 4-3-3

— Cease is 1-1, 4.32 in his last three starts.
— San Diego is 6-2 in his last eight starts.
— under 5-1 last six
— allowed run in first inning: 4-10
— record in first 5 innings: 5-4-1
— He is 1-1, 6.75 in four starts vs New York.

— Padres are 5-3 in their last eight games.
— They’re 10-17 at home.
— over 4-3 last seven games
— scored run in first inning: 18-54
— record in first 5 innings: 23-25-6
— bullpen IP last 3 days: 2.1-5-3.1

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Umpires
SF-NY— Underdog is 4-1 in last five Bucknor games.
Atl-Pitt— Under is 7-2 in last nine Wendelstedt games.
Chi-StL— Favorite won five of last six Blaser games.
LA-Cin— Over is 6-1 in Blakney games.
Phil-Colo— Underdogs are 3-2 in last five Moscoso games.
Mia-Ariz— Under is 6-1-1 in Reyburn games.

Tor-Det— Over is 4-1 in last five Ortiz games.
Balt-CWS— Over is 4-0 in last four Johnson games.
Tex-Minn— Favorite won last eight Diaz games.
Hst-A’s— Under is 6-1-1 in Rehak games.
KC-TB— Under is 5-1 in last six Lentz games.
Clev-LAA— Home team is 8-1 in Torres games.

Sea-Wash— Over is 4-1 in last five Bellino games.
Milw-Bos— Underdogs are 6-3 in Guccione games.
NYY-SD— Over is 3-0 in last three Miller games.

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Saturday, 05/25/2024 (911) MIAMI vs. (912) ARIZONA
Favoring: ARIZONA on the money line.
MIAMI is 1-17 (-17.1 Units) against the money line against left-handed starters this season.
The average score was MIAMI 2.8, OPPONENT 6.3 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (909) PHILADELPHIA vs. (910) COLORADO
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA on the money line.
PHILADELPHIA is 17-1 (+16.1 Units) against the money line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 6.9, OPPONENT 3 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (923) CLEVELAND vs. (924) LA ANGELS
Favoring: CLEVELAND on the money line.
CLEVELAND is 22-7 (+16.9 Units) against the money line vs. a team with a good bullpen whose WHIP is 1.350 or better this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND 4.9, OPPONENT 3.5 - (Rating = 4

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (917) BALTIMORE vs. (918) CHI WHITE SOX
Favoring: BALTIMORE on the money line.
BALTIMORE is 86-41 (+43.1 Units) against the money line vs. an AL team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.5, OPPONENT 4.1 - (Rating = 3*)

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Saturday, 05/25/2024 (909) PHILADELPHIA vs. (910) COLORADO
Favoring: PHILADELPHIA against the spread.
PHILADELPHIA is 16-2 (+16.9 Units) against the run line vs. a starting pitcher whose gives up 5.5 or less hits/start this season.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 6.9, OPPONENT 3 - (Rating = 5*)

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (915) TEXAS vs. (916) MINNESOTA
Favoring: MINNESOTA against the spread.
TEXAS is 2-14 (-18 Units) against the run line in road games after having lost 5 or 6 of their last 7 games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was TEXAS 3.4, OPPONENT 5.3 - (Rating = 4*)

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (923) CLEVELAND vs. (924) LA ANGELS
Favoring: CLEVELAND against the spread.
LA ANGELS are 0-8 (-11.6 Units) against the run line vs. an excellent bullpen whose ERA is 2.70 or better this season.
The average score was LA ANGELS 3.1, OPPONENT 8 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (901) SAN FRANCISCO vs. (902) NY METS
Favoring: SAN FRANCISCO against the spread.
NY METS are 13-36 (-28.6 Units) against the run line in May games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY METS 4.2, OPPONENT 5.1 - (Rating = 3*)

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Saturday, 05/25/2024 (927) MILWAUKEE vs. (928) BOSTON
Favoring: Under on the total.
BOSTON is 13-2 UNDER (+10.9 Units) as a home favorite of -110 or higher this season.
The average score was BOSTON 3.3, OPPONENT 4.3 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (903) ATLANTA vs. (904) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: Under on the total.
ATLANTA is 30-12 UNDER (+16.8 Units) in the first half of the season this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.4, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (903) ATLANTA vs. (904) PITTSBURGH
Favoring: Under on the total.
ATLANTA is 23-8 UNDER (+13.9 Units) against right-handed starters this season.
The average score was ATLANTA 4.5, OPPONENT 3.6 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (911) MIAMI vs. (912) ARIZONA
Favoring: Under on the total.
MIAMI is 21-7 UNDER (+13.4 Units) as a road underdog of +150 to +200 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIAMI 2.9, OPPONENT 4.2 - (Rating = 2*)

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Saturday, 05/25/2024 (911) MIAMI vs. (912) ARIZONA
Favoring: MIAMI on the money line.
JORDAN MONTGOMERY is 3-13 (-15.9 Units) against the money line vs. an NL team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MONTGOMERY 3.6, OPPONENT 4.7 - (Rating = 3*)

Saturday, 05/25/2024 (911) MIAMI vs. (912) ARIZONA
Favoring: MIAMI on the money line.
JORDAN MONTGOMERY is 1-7 (-13.7 Units) against the money line as a favorite of -175 to -250 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MONTGOMERY 3.5, OPPONENT 5 - (Rating = 3*)

Old Post 05-25-24 03:28 PM
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